Logo
    Search

    2024 Predictions on AI, The Election, X's Future and More

    enDecember 19, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Predictions for the future of AI and Hollywood in 2024AI technology is expected to boost productivity and keep teams connected, but Hollywood faces financial challenges due to production disruptions from ongoing strikes, potentially impacting revenue for theaters.

      The future is exciting for AI technology, according to Atlassian, with potential to boost productivity and keep teams connected. However, Matt Bellany from Puck predicts a challenging year for the box office in 2024 due to production disruptions from the ongoing strikes in Hollywood. Theaters rely heavily on a steady pipeline of Hollywood movies for revenue, and with numerous productions being pushed back, the industry may face significant financial consequences. This prediction comes as Hollywood continues to recover from the impact of COVID-19 on theaters. Despite these challenges, there will still be notable movie releases in 2024, including "Inside Out 2," "Sonic the Hedgehog 3," and "Mad Max: Fury Road's" sequel. Overall, the coming year may bring significant changes to both the tech and entertainment industries.

    • Impact of consumer habits on media industryCompanies heavily reliant on large screens, like movie theaters, may struggle, while those generating revenue from smaller screens, like phones, are more likely to be successful. Twitter's financial struggles may lead to vulture investors taking control in 2024.

      The media and entertainment industry, particularly Hollywood and LA based media, is expected to continue facing challenges over the next 20 years. The shift in consumer habits towards smaller screens, such as phones, has significantly impacted the business model, making it less financially viable for traditional movie theaters. Success or failure in this industry may serve as a guide for investing in media companies. Those that generate significant revenue from smaller screens, like phones, are more likely to thrive. Conversely, companies heavily reliant on large screens, like movie theaters, should be avoided. Additionally, the Twitter debt saga is predicted to continue unfolding in 2024, with vulture investors potentially taking control of the platform from Elon Musk due to Twitter's financial struggles.

    • Banks reluctant to sell Twitter debtBanks hesitant to sell Twitter debt, hoping Musk overpays to avoid losses and distress investors, reducing bankruptcy likelihood

      Elon Musk may not lose control of Twitter and file for bankruptcy despite the significant debt, as the banks are reluctant to sell the debt due to potential losses and the possibility of Musk making interest payments. Another prediction discussed was the Boston Red Sox potentially becoming the winners of the American League East in 2024. While the accuracy of these predictions is uncertain, the important aspect is that they inspire conversation. The banks' hesitance to sell Twitter's debt stems from their desire to avoid recognizing losses on earnings calls and the hope that Musk will overpay for it to avoid distress investors. Musk's impending Starlink IPO and his substantial wealth give him the financial capability to make interest payments, making bankruptcy less likely.

    • Abortion Rights and the 2024 ElectionsThe abortion issue is expected to boost voter turnout and potentially benefit Democrats in the 2024 elections due to Republican confusion on the issue and recent losses. Nikki Haley is the only clear Republican stance.

      The issue of abortion rights is expected to have a significant impact on the 2024 elections, particularly in states with related ballot initiatives. Jen Psaki predicts that this issue will lead to higher voter turnout and could be a winning issue for Democrats. The Republicans, on the other hand, are seen as being out of touch and confusing on the issue, with only Nikki Haley offering a clear stance. The striking down of Roe v Wade has led to an increase in abortions and Republican losses in elections. If a Republican were to become the first female president, it could be a watershed moment for the party, but it's unlikely that Nikki Haley will secure the nomination.

    • AI revolutionizing industries and creating opportunitiesAI is transforming industries, enhancing products like Jira and Confluence, but ethical concerns and environmental impacts must be addressed

      Artificial Intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing various industries and creating new opportunities, from producing high-quality pizzas to generating podcasts. Companies like Atlassian are utilizing AI to enhance their products, such as Jira and Confluence. However, the adoption of AI systems built on unconsented and unccompensated data may lead to class action lawsuits in the future. Additionally, there's a growing concern about the climate impact of training AI systems, leading to the exploration of green AI pipelines. Overall, AI is giving everyone more resources to do great things, but it's essential to address ethical concerns and environmental impacts. The future of AI is promising, but it requires responsible implementation and collaboration between humans and machines.

    • AI will deepen and widen in 2024 with advancements in multimodal, large modelsAI is predicted to make significant strides in 2024 with advancements in multimodal, large models, enabling it to model the world and perceive things beyond human capabilities. Despite ongoing debates around its environmental impact, the crypto industry's focus on green energy sources will make their consumption the greenest.

      While the debate around the environmental impact of Bitcoin's energy consumption continues, the focus on AI's role in society and industry will persist. Fei Fei Li, a professor at Stanford, predicts that AI will deepen and widen in 2024, with advancements in multimodal, large models that go beyond language into perception and world modeling. However, the public and policymakers will continue to grapple with the messy impacts of AI. In contrast, the heavy scrutiny and capital of the biggest players in the crypto industry will enable them to place their server farms near hydro or solar facilities, making their consumption of incremental power the greenest. The real benefits of AI lie in its ability to model the world and perceive things beyond human capabilities. The ongoing discourse around AI's role in society and industry, as well as its potential to model the world and perceive things beyond human abilities, underscores its significance.

    • Impact of Unproductive Legislative Session on Industries and Technology DiscussionDespite the overwhelming amount of information and messages, the importance of technology and democracy was acknowledged, but the challenges they bring cannot be ignored.

      The current legislative session has been unproductive, leading to an increase in the influence of money in various industries, such as golf and technology. A renowned AI researcher, Kara Swisher's comments on world modeling and language models were discussed, but their significance was debated due to the overwhelming amount of information and messages, much like the issue with text messages becoming as invasive and annoying as emails. Mike Birbiglia's prediction of a replacement for text messages resonated with the group, as they agreed that the constant influx of messages can be overwhelming and problematic. The conversation also touched upon various topics, including a new comedy special and KFC's Taylor Swift collaboration. Despite the annoyances, the group acknowledged the importance of technology and democracy, even if it comes with its own set of challenges.

    • Need for innovation in communication tools and geopolitical predictionsPredictions include normalization of Saudi Arabia-Israel relations in 2024, preference for text messaging over email, and potential for AI-powered filtering in communication tools.

      While communication tools like email and text messaging have been around for a long time, there's a need for innovation to make them more effective and efficient. The conversation touched upon the issue of being overwhelmed by irrelevant messages and the desire for AI to filter out the noise. Another prediction made was the normalization of relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel in 2024, which could bring peace and prosperity to the region. Regarding communication, the speakers discussed their preference for text messaging over email due to the latter's pollution and the former's simplicity. They also suggested trying out WhatsApp and Telegraph as alternatives to manage messages better. However, they acknowledged that there could be room for innovation in email and text messaging, such as AI-powered filtering. In the geopolitical realm, the prediction was made that the kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Israel would normalize relations in 2024. This could lead to significant economic incentives and a renewed sense of peace in the region. Despite the current leadership on both sides, the hope is that this normalization would create a lasting peace. Overall, the conversation touched upon the need for improvement in communication tools and the potential for significant geopolitical developments in the coming year.

    • Expected US-China relationship improvement in 2024 with significant tax cutIn 2024, the US and China are predicted to reconcile, leading to a historic tax cut and economic benefits from interdependence. Travel stocks may boom, while disinformation from AI could surge in Q1-Q2 2023. Joe Biden is anticipated to win the US presidency.

      The US-China relationship is expected to significantly improve in 2024, leading to the world's largest tax cut in history. This thawing of relations is crucial as both countries face economic challenges and inflation, which historically has led to political instability. The economic interdependence of the US and China, with the US's IP and innovation and China's industrial manufacturing might, makes a reconciliation beneficial for both parties. Additionally, there will be a surge in disinformation from AI in Q1-Q2 2023, and the travel industry, particularly travel stocks, are predicted to boom due to younger generations prioritizing travel over home ownership. Lastly, it's anticipated that Joe Biden will win the US presidency in 2024, as the American people are growing weary of Donald Trump.

    • Predictions on 2020 Election and Google's Legal TroublesDespite Biden's age and RNC's fundraising issues, Americans may prefer to keep the current president. Trump may not be re-elected due to legal issues, but third-party candidates might not last. The Justice Department is predicted to win against Google, but the consequences are uncertain.

      Despite concerns about Joe Biden's age and the Republican National Committee's fundraising struggles, there's a feeling that Americans may choose to stick with the current president. The speaker believes Trump is unlikely to be re-elected due to potential legal issues, but third-party candidates like Trump-critic Michael Bloomberg may not have the staying power to mount a serious challenge. In tech news, the speaker predicts the Justice Department will win its case against Google, but the repercussions for the tech giant remain to be seen. Overall, the conversation touched on a range of political and technological topics, with the speaker offering insights based on their observations and gut feelings.

    • Legal battles between tech companies and regulatory bodiesPredictions suggest government may prevail in some cases, potentially leading to breakups, impacting tech stocks. Importance of deep relationships for a rewarding life.

      The legal battle between tech companies and regulatory bodies, particularly the Justice Department, may result in significant changes for these corporations in the coming years. Predictions suggest that the government might prevail in some cases, potentially leading to remedies such as breakups. This could impact tech stocks, with Google and its subsidiaries, like YouTube, potentially outperforming others due to their size and revenue potential. Additionally, personal opinions were shared about the public perception of certain individuals and the reliability of polling data. A consistent theme throughout the discussion was the importance of deep and meaningful relationships, which was suggested as a foolproof investment for a rewarding life. The show received support from Atlassian, highlighting their AI-powered products designed to enhance teamwork and productivity.

    Recent Episodes from Pivot

    SCOTUS Social Media Ruling, VW Rivian Deal, and Nvidia Stock Roller Coaster

    SCOTUS Social Media Ruling, VW Rivian Deal, and Nvidia Stock Roller Coaster
    Kara and Scott discuss Nvidia’s roller coaster week, Waymo making robotaxis available for everyone in San Francisco, and what's next for Julian Assange after his release. Then, the Supreme Court rules in favor of the Biden administration in a social media content moderation case. Will that set a precedent for future social media/misinformation rulings? Plus, Volkswagen gives Rivian a $5 billion shot in the arm. Is the deal a win-win for both companies? Finally, a listener challenges Scott on whether OpenAI should really be a for-profit company. Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 28, 2024

    Future of Travel: Is It Boom or Bust Time for EVs?

    Future of Travel: Is It Boom or Bust Time for EVs?
    Pivot's special series on the future of travel rolls on — next stop, electric vehicles. Is the slowdown in EV sales a temporary blip, or part of a larger trend? When will individuals get a piece of charging station revenues? And what will be the ultimate gamechanger to get people to buy these cars? Kara and Scott discuss it all with Beia Spiller, an energy economist, and the Transportation Program Director for Resources for the Future. Follow Beia at @starbeia Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 26, 2024

    Debate Prep, Apple and Meta's Potential AI Partnership, and Guest Brené Brown

    Debate Prep, Apple and Meta's Potential AI Partnership, and Guest Brené Brown
    Kara and Scott roll their eyes over the latest Elon stories, including the news of his 12th child, and his criticism of Melinda French Gates’ political donations. Then, are longtime adversaries Apple and Meta putting their differences aside for a new AI partnership? Plus, with the presidential debate just a few days away, Kara and Scott share their advice for the candidates. Finally, our Friend of Pivot is Brené Brown, host of the Vox Media podcasts, "Unlocking Us" and "Dare to Lead." Brené explains why she stepped away from podcasting (and why she returned), what worries her about social media, and how people can deal with election anxiety. Follow Brené at @brenebrown Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 25, 2024

    Elon's About-Face, Surgeon General's New Warning, and AI in Ads

    Elon's About-Face, Surgeon General's New Warning, and AI in Ads
    Kara and Scott are live at Cannes! They discuss Elon's plan to win back advertisers, and the Surgeon General's proposal for warning labels on social media. Then, what brands are using AI most effectively right now? Plus, the EU's hard-right parties just harnessed the youth vote in recent elections. What role will the younger generation of voters play in the upcoming U.S. presidential election? Recorded on June 18th at the AdWeek House in Cannes, France DISCLAIMER/ONLY IN CANNES: Our live taping of Pivot in Cannes had some brief competition from the Olympic torch passing by. That led to some mild audio interference at the top of the show. We've minimized it as much as possible, and hope it doesn't impact your enjoyment! Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 21, 2024

    Future of Travel: Is High-Speed Rail Finally Happening in the U.S.?

    Future of Travel: Is High-Speed Rail Finally Happening in the U.S.?
    All aboard for Pivot's special series on the future of travel, examining the big changes coming to the way we get around the world! Will 2024 be the year that high-speed rail becomes reality in the United States? How did the U.S. get so far behind other countries? And what cities have the best train systems? On this episode, Kara and Scott talk trains with Yonah Freemark, the principal research associate at the Urban Institute, who also writes the blog, The Transport Politic. Follow Yonah at @yfreemark Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 19, 2024

    Washington Post Drama, OpenAI IPO Rumblings, and Guest Scott Wiener

    Washington Post Drama, OpenAI IPO Rumblings, and Guest Scott Wiener
    Kara and Scott discuss the drama surrounding the Washington Post's new publisher and incoming editor, as well as Amazon's One Medical facing questions about its call centers. Then, Stanford's Internet Observatory, a prominent disinformation research group, is facing an uncertain future amid ongoing political attacks. Plus, OpenAI announces its newest board member, and might be moving closer to becoming a for-profit company. Finally, our Friend of Pivot is California State Senator Scott Wiener. Senator Wiener is working to pass an AI regulation bill, but not everyone in Silicon Valley is happy about it. Follow Scott at @Scott_Wiener Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 18, 2024

    Apple’s AI Pop, The Fate of Paramount, and Elon’s Eventful Week

    Apple’s AI Pop, The Fate of Paramount, and Elon’s Eventful Week
    Kara and Scott discuss North Dakota voting in favor of placing age restrictions on congressional candidates, X making likes private, and Tesla shareholders voting on Elon Musk’s pay package. Then, Apple stock is surging after the company revealed its AI plans, and Paramount’s merger talks with Skydance fall apart. Plus, a listener question on the latest drama with Justice Alito. Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 14, 2024

    Apple Intelligence, The Texas Stock Exchange, and Guests Brody and Luke Mullins

    Apple Intelligence, The Texas Stock Exchange, and Guests Brody and Luke Mullins
    Kara and Scott discuss Apple finally unveiling AI plans. Can it pull ahead in the AI race? Then, Sandy Hook families may finally get some of their settlement, as Alex Jones moves to liquidate his assets. Plus, AI start-up Perplexity is in hot water with news publishers, Amazon expands its robotaxi testing to more cities, and a proposed Texas Stock Exchange throws its hat in the ring. Finally, our Friends of Pivot are Wall Street Journal investigative reporter, Brody Mullins, and Politico contributing writer, Luke Mullins. The Mullin Brothers have written a new book, "The Wolves of K Street: The Secret History of How Big Money Took Over Big Government," and they explain how tech companies changed the lobbying game. Follow Brody at @BrodyMullinsDC and Luke at @LMullinsDC. Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 11, 2024

    AI Antitrust Investigations, Nvidia Stock Split, and OpenAI Whistleblowers

    AI Antitrust Investigations, Nvidia Stock Split, and OpenAI Whistleblowers
    Kara and Scott discuss New York's plan to regulate social media for kids, X's new rules on adult content, and Shane Smith's latest venture at Vice. Then, federal regulators move forward with antitrust investigations in the AI sector, while Nvidia surges to a $3 trillion market cap, and gets ready for a stock split. Plus, a group of current and former OpenAI employees call for transparency and whistleblower protections. Finally, a listener question about the recent ruling that blocks Fearless Fund from issuing grants to Black female entrepreneurs. Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 07, 2024

    Google Search Troubles, Trump Trial Aftermath, and Guest Elie Honig

    Google Search Troubles, Trump Trial Aftermath, and Guest Elie Honig
    Kara and Scott discuss the Paramount/Skydance merger, the Washington Post's major changes at the top, and Salesforce's worst trading day in 20 years. Then, Google is in damage control mode after a document leak raises questions about search, and its new AI Overviews feature goes viral for all the wrong reasons. Plus, Tesla shareholders are getting ready to vote on reinstating Elon Musk's multi-billion dollar pay package. Will Elon come out on top? Finally, our Friend of Pivot is CNN's Chief Legal Analyst Elie Honig. Elie discusses his New York Magazine column on why he believes the Trump hush money case was flawed, and he looks ahead to next month's sentencing. Follow Elie at @eliehonig. Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
    Pivot
    enJune 04, 2024

    Related Episodes

    It’s Official—Flexible and Remote Work are Here to Stay, Say Empowered Employees

    It’s Official—Flexible and Remote Work are Here to Stay, Say Empowered Employees

    The world’s office workers have more clout and influence now than ever over where and how they do their jobs. Those who have worked from home and want to continue are spurring on their employers to do more than just embrace hybrid work. They’re seeking to reinvent the very nature of employment.

    Subscribe to the podcast on iTunes. Read a full transcript or download a copy.

    Stay with BriefingsDirect as we explore new research into how innovations such as contingent labor exchanges and intelligent workspaces are changing the future of work forever.

    To learn more about how flexible work models are the new normal for workers and businesses alike, please welcome Andrew Bartolini, Founder and Chief Research Officer at Ardent Partners in Boston, and Tim Minahan, Executive Vice President of Business Strategy at Citrix, in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. The discussion is moderated by Dana Gardner, Principal Analyst at Interarbor Solutions.

    Subscribe to the podcast on iTunes. Read a full transcript or download a copy. Sponsor: Citrix.

    Microsoft Dynamics 365 Copilot: How Generative AI is Streamlining Sales, Marketing, and Services Processes

    Microsoft Dynamics 365 Copilot: How Generative AI is Streamlining Sales, Marketing, and Services Processes

    In this video, I share my thoughts on Microsoft’s Dynamics 365 Copilot and the benefits of new technologies, like Generative AI, to increase productivity for businesses– especially sales and marketing organizations. As businesses look to new technologies to enable their sales and marketing teams to be more successful, and provide better customer service, especially in the current economic landscape– I believe solutions like Microsoft’s Dynamic 365 Copilot are providing powerful tools to do more with less.

    This webcast covers:

    • The current technological and economic challenges facing sales, marketing and customer service-centered organizations
    • The benefits Microsoft Dynamics 365 Copilot offers businesses, particularly the reduction of manual tasks and improving critical client-outreach
    • An overview of Generative AI, as well as the problems and key productivity issues that tools like Generative AI help to solve
    • The significance of the customer experience when considering increased consumer expectations, given that 70% of customers would switch to another company after a single negative experience
    • How Microsoft Dynamics 365 Copilot is revolutionizing the way we work, offering game-changing solutions that save time and money 

    Learn more about Microsoft Dynamic 365 Copilot here.

     

    #microsoft, #microsoftdynamics365, #generativeai, #productivity, #technology, #customerservice, #ai, #futurumresearch, #danielnewman, #thefuturumgroup

    Hybrid intelligence: Working with AI instead of against it

    Hybrid intelligence: Working with AI instead of against it

    Future-focused consultant and entrepreneur Scott Klososky admits he doesn’t know exactly what the future holds as it relates to artificial intelligence. But he is definitely more upbeat about the productivity possibilities AI offers than down about the jobs AI might eliminate

    He believes AI will cut out parts of jobs, not entire ones. Klososky will talk more on this topic in September at the AICPA & CIMA Conference on Banks and Savings Institutions.

    About AI, Klososky says: “Instead of fearing it, we need to get better at embracing it and loving and appreciating what it can do.”

    What you’ll learn from this episode:

    ·         How the past 10 months have transformed the adoption of generative AI such as ChatGPT.

    ·         What Klososky means by the phrase “consumerized AI” – and how what’s happening now compares to the launch of the iPhone.

    ·         Why Klososky prefers “machine intelligence” over “artificial intelligence.”

    ·         How technology could play a role in helping to close the U.S. labor gap.

    ·         A new take on the 80-20 rule, applicable to AI.

    ·         What Klososky is looking forward to from this year’s banking conference.

    Ep 3: "How do we build tech-healthy habits?" with Daniel Sih

    Ep 3: "How do we build tech-healthy habits?" with Daniel Sih
    Episode 3: "How do we build tech-healthy habits?"

    For this episode we shift our focus away from Christianity's place in society, and more towards a universal issue worth pondering; our relationship with technology. Many of us spend large parts of our working life navigating screens and the internet, only to come home and do the same for our leisure times. We know it's changing us day by day, but not necessarily in a good way. Are there ways we can reclaim our time and humanity? And how do we guide our kids in a rapidly changing landscape when we ourselves are only novices?

    Daniel Sih is the CEO and co-founder of Spacemakers – a leadership and productivity consulting company aiming to help busy leaders and their teams make space to think deeply, build habits and get the right things done. As a trainer, coach and keynote speaker, Daniel has worked with CEO’s, executives, and other senior professionals throughout Australia and the world. His book Spacemaker: how to unplug, unwind and think clearly in the digital age continues to scoop up awards in the business world. While his latest book Raising Tech-Healthy Humans helps families and communities navigate the joys and pitfalls of tech together.

    Other References:

    Got questions?


    You can shoot Aaron or Amy an email about anything! We'd love to hear your brutally honest or delightfully encouraging thoughts on the show and the topics that come up each week. There's a good chance we have stuff on our website at Third Space too!

    Deeper Questions is produced by Production Farm Studios

    S3E5: Steven Puri on Productivity and Staying Human in a Tech-Oriented World

    S3E5: Steven Puri on Productivity and Staying Human in a Tech-Oriented World

    From the growing role of Artificial Intelligence in our lives to challenges cultivating focus in a landscape of distractions, my guest Steven Puri and I explore how to stay human in an increasingly technology-oriented world. He’s the co-founder of Centered, an app for finding focus and getting things done with mindfulness, intention and with the support of community. Join us as we discuss ways to reduce stress and burnout and make more space in your life for what matters most.