50 The Systematic Investor Series – August 25th, 2019

Mark Rzepczynski joins us this week to discuss ‘algorithm aversion’ and the science of how ‘model anxiety’ shows investors to be naturally wary of rules-based systems.  We also discuss how to evaluate momentum data, how a busy week for market news can still be a quiet week for Trend Followers, the benefits of moving away from ‘peak complexity’ as soon as possible, why having too many filters can expose a trader to large opportunity costs, the optimal percentage amount of risk per trade, as well as portfolio construction versus signal generation and which is more important.

You can find Mark’s latest writings here.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.

Check out our Global Macro series here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

Follow Niels & Mark on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive  & @MRzepczynski

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆.

Jerry Parker returns today to discuss why margin perhaps isn’t as important as people perceive it to be, the resurgence of ‘classical’ Trend Following, the importance of having a low Sharpe ratio, an update on Jerry’s Bitcoin positioning, the drawbacks of trading a single, longer-term timeframe, how European CTAs successfully compete with American CTAs, the best methods for measuring open risk, and why capturing the fewer large trends may be more important than the many small trends.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.

Check out our Global Macro series here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

Follow Niels & Jerry on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive  & @RJParkerJr09

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Moritz Seibert joins us today discuss the benefits of stripping down your trading approach as much as possible, the various ways to exit a hugely profitable trade, the different forms of research related to your investing approach, simplification vs over-complication, the acceptable amount of margin per trade, spread-betting using a Trend Following strategy, and if you should trade all markets the same way or tailor to each market accordingly.

You can find some of Moritz’s work here, and over at realvision.com.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.

Check out our Global Macro series here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

Follow Niels & Moritz on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive  & @MoritzSeibert

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

We’re joined today by Rob Carver to discuss why investors worried about inflation need to be invested in Trend Following strategies, the Russell 2000 being mainly comprised of companies that are losing money, long and short positions when Trend Following on ETFs, the difficulties in combining simple methods into a balanced and profitable system, open trade equity risk and if it can predict future returns, the perils of over-optimisation, embracing the mindset of Trend Following, and the results of an experiment where retail investors traded the same stocks as a professional fund, leading to different outcomes.

You can find more of Rob’s work here.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.

Check out our Global Macro series here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

Follow Niels & Rob on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive  & @InvestingIdiocy

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Mark Rzepczynski returns this week to discuss the recent decline in commodity prices, perceived hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, trading narratives versus trading price action, the feasibility of Trend Following on options, the increased time & labour of short-term trading, the benefits of huge sample sizes, the differences between trading single stocks versus index futures, how investing rules offset our natural human tendencies, whether Technical Analysis contributes to typical Trend Following strategies, and Mark explains the ‘3 D’s’ of inflation.

You can find Mark’s latest writings here.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.

Check out our Global Macro series here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

Follow Niels & Mark on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive  & @MRzepczynski

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Jerry Parker joins us on the show today to discuss why CTAs could be mistaken in excluding single stocks from their strategies, the possible benefits of having exposure to multiple trading systems, why price action is more important than predictions derived from fundamentals, recommended books for learning about Trend Following, the differences between paper-trading and disciplined execution of real trades, comparing Bitcoin futures to commodity futures, and the extent of simplicity a good trading system should have.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.

Check out our Global Macro series here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

Follow Niels & Jerry on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive  & @RJParkerJr09

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Special guest Eric Crittenden returns to the show today to discuss the fallacies of the typical 60/40 portfolio, the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to begin tightening fiscal policy, Eric’s last appearance on the show which was at the March 2020 stock market bottom, different speeds of Trend Following, why stable returns doesn’t always equate to low risk, the difficulty in being comfortable with doing the opposite of what we’re wired to do, how managed futures can help investor’s portfolios, negative interest rates and flight out of fixed income, what could Trend Following bring to the crypto space, and changing the narrative around Trend Following.

Find out more about Eric and his firm Standpoint here.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.

Check out our Global Macro series here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

Follow Niels on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Rob Carver is on the show with us today to discuss why Elon Musk & the Chinese government might be proving that Bitcoin may not be as decentralised as first assumed, whether you should adjust your system according to the instrument being traded, some processes for reinvesting profits into your portfolio over time, thoughts on position sizing, different ways of defending against inflation, if short-term Trend Following may actually be as good as long-term Trend Following, and the sweet spot for number of different futures contracts a good system should trade.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.

Check out our Global Macro series here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

Follow Niels & Rob on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive  & @InvestingIdiocy

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss China’s move to ban Bitcoin trading, the Federal Reserve’s announcement of research into a new central bank digital currency, some of the issues around inflation and how it might affect trading, the psychology of drawdowns and the time in between new highs, how inflation can distort price signals, the recent rise of the ‘Misery Index’, Michael Burry’s huge bet against Tesla, the importance of exits in Trend Following strategies, and matching the right ‘Operation Tempo’ for your trading personality.

You can find Mark’s latest writings here.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.

Check out our Global Macro series here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

Follow Niels & Mark on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive  & @MRzepczynski

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆