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    670: BiggerNews October: Should You Sell Before the Fed “Creates” a Crash?

    enOctober 04, 2022

    Podcast Summary

    • Investing in real estate during market fluctuationsDuring market fluctuations, investors can secure assets for less while maintaining similar cash flows through defensive investing. Tools like DealMachine and Rent to Retirement offer efficient lead generation and no-money-down investment opportunities, respectively.

      Investing in real estate during market fluctuations can offer attractive opportunities. As interest rates rise and housing prices decrease, investors can secure assets for less while maintaining similar cash flows. This strategy, known as defensive investing, is especially important in uncertain economic conditions. Additionally, resources like DealMachine and Rent to Retirement provide valuable tools for efficient lead generation and no-money-down investment opportunities, respectively. These strategies can help investors navigate market volatility and potentially increase their cash flow and long-term returns.

    • Fed's Interest Rate Hike: A Warning Sign for InvestorsInvestors should focus on defensive strategies and long-term investments based on strong fundamentals due to the Fed's ongoing interest rate hikes.

      The Fed's recent decision to raise interest rates by 75 basis points and their clear intention to continue doing so is a warning sign for investors. This means that the current standard of living may change, and it's important to be prepared. Real estate investors should consider defensive strategies, focusing on solid long-term investments based on strong fundamentals rather than speculation. Additionally, the episode discusses the importance of time management and productivity. Overall, the episode provides valuable insights for investors in the current economic climate. Sign up for DealMachine to access valuable resources and information for your real estate investing journey.

    • Impact of Fed's interest rate hikes on housing marketFed's rate hikes could lead to housing price declines but may also benefit savers and stabilize prices in financeable assets. Decreasing new listings and reluctant sellers could counteract price drops.

      The Federal Reserve's recent announcement of continued interest rate hikes has significant implications for various sectors of the economy. While this news may put downward pressure on housing prices due to increasing mortgage rates, it could also benefit savers and potentially stabilize prices in financeable asset classes like cars and homes. Additionally, the decrease in new listings and reluctance of sellers to enter the market could act as a counterbalance to price declines. Overall, the housing market's complex nature requires considering both demand and supply factors to understand the potential impact of interest rate hikes.

    • Unpredictable Real Estate Market: Game of Thrones EditionStay informed and adjust strategies in the unpredictable real estate market with longer sales times and fewer listings due to rising mortgage rates. Opportunities lie for aggressive buyers finding motivated sellers and making competitive offers.

      The current real estate market is unpredictable and complex, with rising mortgage rates leading to fewer houses coming on the market and longer sales times. However, this situation also presents opportunities for aggressive buyers who can find motivated sellers and make competitive offers. The market is compared to "Game of Thrones" where every episode brings new radical changes, making it crucial for investors to stay informed and adjust their strategies accordingly. Additionally, the release of Dave Meyer and Jay Scott's new book, "Real Estate by the Numbers," aims to help investors understand the concepts and ideas behind investing in real estate beyond just math and formulas.

    • Real Estate Investing: Beyond Cash on Cash ReturnConsider the holistic benefits of real estate beyond cash on cash return, including potential tax benefits, appreciation, and cash flow. Be aware of potential downsides as well.

      Real estate investing is about more than just cash on cash return. While it's an important factor, there are many other ways real estate makes you money that should not be overlooked. Dave's upcoming book, "Numbers," highlights these 10 ways and encourages investors to consider the holistic benefits of real estate. The book is currently in presale, and those who purchase it before the October 8th release will receive a 10% discount using the code "Dave." Additionally, Dave and Jay Scott will be discussing the economy and recession investing on upcoming BiggerPockets shows. For those interested in defensive investing, Dave and Kathy will be discussing the differences between defensive and offensive investing on the On the Market show. In short, it's important for investors to consider the various ways real estate can benefit them beyond just cash on cash return and to be aware of the potential downsides.

    • Balancing safety and potential return in real estate investingFocus on recession-resistant asset classes and areas with strong long-term outlooks for confident decisions, minimal competition, and solid returns over the long term.

      Successful real estate investing involves a balanced approach between safety and potential return, rather than chasing after the highest short-term gains. By focusing on recession-resistant asset classes and areas with strong long-term outlooks, investors can make confident decisions, minimize competition, and secure solid returns over the long term. This "defensive investing" strategy prioritizes long-term fundamentals and delayed gratification. However, the specific investment choices can vary depending on market conditions. In uncertain markets, a more conservative approach is advisable, while in more stable markets, investors may take on greater risk for potentially higher returns. Overall, the key is to find a balance on the investment spectrum that fits individual risk tolerance and market conditions.

    • Investing in real estate during uncertain economic timesConsider investing in areas with favorable tax environments, business environments, and demographic growth during post-crash periods. Be cautious and conservative with investments, focusing on established, high-quality areas. Learn from past experiences and consider opposing strategies to mitigate risks.

      When considering real estate investments, it's crucial to assess the market conditions and trends. During a post-crash period, it might be safer to invest in areas with favorable tax environments, business environments, and demographic growth, even if the cash on cash return isn't impressive. However, during uncertain economic times, it's essential to be extra cautious and conservative with investments, focusing on established, high-quality areas. It's also important to listen to your spouse or investment partner's perspective and consider opposing strategies to mitigate risks. Learning from past experiences, such as the 2008 housing market crash, can provide valuable insights into the importance of thorough research and being aware of market dynamics. Ultimately, the decision to invest defensively or offensively depends on individual risk tolerance and market conditions.

    • Identifying areas with job, population, affordability, and infrastructure growthInvest in properties in areas with diverse employment centers, strong economic trends, and government support to ensure long-term rental income and capital appreciation.

      Successful real estate investing involves identifying areas with strong job growth, population growth, affordability, and infrastructure development. These fundamentals helped the speaker build a successful company by allowing them to invest in properties that remained rented even during market crashes. It's important to avoid investing in areas dependent on one industry and to stay informed about economic trends and government actions that may impact the housing market. Currently, the speaker sees opportunities in markets with diverse employment centers and a manipulated economy, where clear intentions from the central banking system can help investors make informed decisions.

    • Fed's Actions Led to Artificially Inflated Housing PricesInvestors should adopt defensive strategies like low leverage, long-term fixed debt, ample reserves, and focus on well-maintained properties in desirable locations to mitigate potential housing market correction. Utilize services like Quantum Fiber Internet and SimpliSafe for peace of mind.

      The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates low for an extended period and purchase mortgage-backed securities to stimulate the housing market, despite it not being necessary, led to artificially inflated prices. Now, as the Fed considers reversing course, there's a risk of a significant correction. To mitigate this, investors should adopt defensive strategies such as low leverage, long-term fixed debt, having ample reserves, and focusing on well-maintained properties in desirable locations. Additionally, utilizing services like Quantum Fiber Internet and SimpliSafe can provide peace of mind, especially when traveling. Overall, it's crucial to learn from past experiences and be cautious in the current economic climate.

    • Making life easier for customersSimpliSafe provides a 60-day money-back guarantee and Host Financial simplifies the loan process for real estate investors. David, a real estate investor, shares his strategy of testing the waters with lower offers and not getting too attached to any one deal to avoid overpaying and securing better deals.

      Both SimpliSafe and Host Financial aim to make life easier for their customers. SimpliSafe offers a 60-day money-back guarantee for those who don't love their home security system, while Host Financial simplifies the loan process for real estate investors. David, a real estate investor, shared his strategy for buying properties in a more cautious manner. Instead of throwing in a high offer and hoping for the best, he's now testing the waters with lower offers and observing the seller's reactions. This approach allows him to avoid overpaying for properties and potentially securing a better deal. Another defensive tactic David mentioned was not getting too attached to any one particular deal. With a larger pool of potential investments, he can afford to be more selective and wait for the market to tip in his favor.

    • Patience and strategy pay off in real estate investingBeing patient and strategic in real estate investing can lead to significant savings and higher returns, even in a volatile market. Focus on safer, high-demand locations and value-add opportunities for substantial equity growth.

      Being patient and strategic in real estate investing can lead to significant savings and higher returns, even in a volatile market. The speaker shared an experience where they wrote an offer on a property well above the asking price, but were rejected. When economic uncertainty hit the market, the sellers reconsidered, and the speaker was able to negotiate a lower price. This strategy, combined with a focus on safer, high-demand locations and value-add opportunities, can result in substantial equity growth. It's important to remember that real estate investing requires a long-term perspective, and being defensive in uncertain economic conditions can pay off in the long run. Additionally, staying informed about market trends and economic indicators can help inform investment decisions and increase the chances of success.

    • Cautious real estate investing with renter considerationsFocus on areas with strong job markets, renter pools, and landlord-friendly laws to mitigate risks in multifamily real estate investments.

      Defensive investing in real estate involves careful underwriting and consideration of potential risks, including the impact on renters and tenants. While some areas may continue to thrive due to demographic shifts and employment diversification, it's important to avoid assuming rents will always rise and to be aware of potential eviction laws and renter pools. Additionally, the multifamily market may be more exposed to supply and demand imbalances than single family housing due to recent construction trends. Therefore, it's crucial to focus on areas with strong job markets, renter pools, and landlord-friendly laws to mitigate risks and ensure long-term defensiveness in real estate investments.

    • Understanding Local Market ConditionsStay informed about local job growth, new permit data, and market uncertainty to make successful real estate investments. Entering the market during uncertain times can lead to better negotiation and future refinancing opportunities.

      The real estate market is not uniform across all asset classes and locations. While some areas may be experiencing a surge in new inventory and potentially increasing rents, others may not be seeing the same growth. It's crucial to consider local market conditions, such as job growth and new permit data, when evaluating investment opportunities. Additionally, during times of market uncertainty, it can be advantageous for buyers to enter the market when prices are lower, allowing for better negotiation and potential future refinancing opportunities. While higher interest rates may seem daunting, they also present an opportunity to acquire properties at potentially lower prices, which could increase in value when rates eventually decrease. Overall, staying informed and adaptable to market conditions is key to making successful real estate investments.

    • Delegate tasks and prioritize self-care for effective time managementHire experts to handle tasks beyond your capabilities, establish a consistent bedtime routine, prioritize tasks, and avoid reacting to urgent demands to optimize time and resources for successful real estate investing.

      Effective time management for successful real estate investing involves delegating tasks to competent individuals and prioritizing self-care. Cathy and David, both busy investors and podcast hosts, emphasized the importance of hiring experts to handle tasks beyond one's capabilities. This allows for more focus on essential responsibilities and growth. Additionally, Cathy shared her recent personal experience of improving sleep quality and productivity by establishing a consistent bedtime routine and avoiding distractions. David suggested prioritizing tasks, accepting that not everything can be accomplished, and avoiding reacting to urgent demands instead of proactively managing schedules. By implementing these strategies, real estate investors can optimize their time and resources for maximum success.

    • Effective Time Management StrategiesSchedule tasks, focus on high-impact activities, utilize mental capacities, avoid draining activities, and prioritize energy to maximize productivity and success.

      Effective time management is crucial for productivity and success. The speaker emphasizes the importance of not letting emotions dictate priorities, scheduling everything, knowing what tasks truly matter, and using different mental muscles to avoid burnout. By scheduling tasks, focusing on high-impact activities, and breaking up your day to utilize various mental capacities, you can maximize your energy and accomplish more in less time. Don't let your attention be drained by difficult meetings or problematic people, and be mindful of who and what you allow to consume your energy. By implementing these strategies, you can make the most of your time and resources, ultimately leading to greater success.

    • Managing Time EffectivelySet priorities, manage time effectively, and stay focused to achieve success. Allocate specific time for activities and prioritize based on importance to avoid spreading oneself too thin.

      Effective time management is crucial for achieving personal and professional goals. The speakers shared their strategies for managing their time, including breaking up tasks into manageable chunks and prioritizing non-negotiable activities. One unique approach mentioned was creating a time budget, where each activity is allocated a specific amount of time per week and prioritized based on importance. This can help individuals stay focused and avoid spreading themselves too thin. Another important point made was the need to be intentional and deliberate about how one spends their time, especially in a market with many opportunities. Overall, the conversation emphasized the importance of setting priorities, managing time effectively, and staying focused to achieve success.

    • Finding the right real estate agent for financial freedomConnect with investor-friendly agents through BiggerPockets Agent Finder for informed decisions and valuable insights in the real estate market

      Navigating the real estate market can be challenging, but the ultimate goal remains the same: financial freedom. While market conditions and headlines may shift, successful investors understand that it's not about timing the market perfectly but rather consistently investing time and effort in it. If you're ready to enter or advance in real estate investing, finding an agent who understands your needs is crucial. BiggerPockets Agent Finder offers a free solution, allowing you to connect with investor-friendly agents based on your specific requirements. These local market experts can help you make informed decisions, providing valuable insights and guidance. Remember, past performance does not guarantee future results, and investing always carries risk. Use this resource wisely and consult with advisors before making any investment decisions.

    Recent Episodes from BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

    978: How to Build Your Real Estate Investing Team (Agents, Contractors, Lenders)

    978: How to Build Your Real Estate Investing Team (Agents, Contractors, Lenders)
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    977: Seeing Greene: Exiting Bad Deals, Going Over Budget, & the BEST First Rental

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    976: How to Start Mobile Home Investing (The Right Way) for Just $15,000

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    975: BiggerNews: Rent Price Updates and Why Landlords Are Optimistic About 2024 w/Zumper’s Anthemos Georgiades

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    974: Maximalism: The New Renter-Friendly Trend Landlords Can’t Overlook w/Tay “BeepBoop” Nakamoto

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    973: Seeing Greene: Retiring Early, ARMs vs. Fixed-Rate Mortgages, & When to Sell

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    972: 3 Beginner Steps to Find Undervalued Real Estate in ANY Market

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    971: BiggerNews: Mid-Year Housing Market Update + Mortgage Rate Forecast w/Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather

    971: BiggerNews: Mid-Year Housing Market Update + Mortgage Rate Forecast w/Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather
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    970: 5 Mistakes to Avoid When You Start Investing in Real Estate

    970: 5 Mistakes to Avoid When You Start Investing in Real Estate
    Before you start investing in real estate, make sure you hear this episode. Almost every beginner ends up making these five big real estate investing mistakes. Some cost money, some cost time, but all of them cost you peace of mind and push you further away from achieving financial freedom. We’re breaking down these five big mistakes so you can avoid them and start building wealth faster! Dave Meyer and Rob Abasolo are back today to discuss the five common real estate investing mistakes to avoid. From buying bad deals to doing wrong calculations, getting stuck in analysis paralysis, and beyond, even our expert investors have fallen into these beginner traps a few times. However, their previous mistakes could make you money as they share exactly how to avoid these rental property investing pitfalls. If you want to invest in real estate but are stuck, scared that you’ll make the wrong move, jump into today’s episode and take notes. If you can avoid these real estate investing mistakes, you’ll not only end up richer but with far less grey hair than even the most savvy investors. Let’s get into it! In This Episode We Cover The five biggest real estate investing mistakes that beginners make (and YOU can avoid) Why even a profitable rental property can be the “wrong” deal for you  The one thing that most new investors leave out when they’re analyzing real estate deals The “sacrifices” you can make to get the money for your first or next real estate deal  Why you should NOT borrow money to buy your first investment property  The problem with real estate partnerships and why they’re so easy to get wrong An antidote to analysis paralysis that’ll stop you from sitting on the sidelines  And So Much More! (00:00) Intro (01:25) 1. Buying the Wrong Deal (05:57) How to Avoid Bad Deals (07:14) 2. Analyzing Wrong (11:09) 3. “Lacking” Money (23:23) How to Do Partnerships (25:49) 4. Getting “Stuck” (29:01) Escaping Analysis Paralysis (31:12) 5. Doom and Gloom (34:18) Talk to THESE People Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-970 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    969: Seeing Greene: I Can’t Find Tenants! Should I Sell or Lower My Rent?

    969: Seeing Greene: I Can’t Find Tenants! Should I Sell or Lower My Rent?
    Your rental properties are sitting vacant—what do you do? Do you sell or lower your rent price to spark some interest? Will reducing your rent open you up to bad tenants? We’re getting into exactly what you should do in this sticky landlording situation, and many others, in this episode of Seeing Greene. This time, we’re sharing wisdom on what to do when you can’t find tenants, how to invest with just $15,000 in 2024, which rental property mortgage to pay off first, and whether to keep or sell your newly renovated rental. As usual, your real estate investing experts, David Greene and Rob Abasolo, are on the show to help answer any investing question you can think of. Our first video submission comes from a new investor who is completing his first BRRRR (buy, rehab, rent, refinance, repeat). With only $15,000 in the bank and a desire to build a real estate portfolio, what’s the BEST way to use such a small amount of cash? Next, a landlord with multiple rentals wants to know which mortgage to pay down first: her primary residence or her other rentals. An out-of-state investor with a vacant property struggles to find a tenant even after lowering his rent price. A medium-term rental owner with a burnt property asks whether to sell or re-rent the property after his insurance-paid renovations are completed. Want to ask David and Rob a question? If so, submit your question here so they can answer it on the next episode of Seeing Greene, or hop on the BiggerPockets forums and ask other investors their take! In This Episode We Cover Struggling to find tenants? What to do if you think your rent price is too high  Building a real estate portfolio with just $15,000 and why you must use the “BRRRR method” Paying off your mortgage early and whether to prioritize loan balance or interest rate when picking which property to pay off The huge danger of using a HELOC (home equity line of credit) to pay off a property What to do after you renovate/rebuild a rental property—keep or sell it? And So Much More! (00:00) Intro (01:24) Build a Portfolio with $15K? (10:43) Which Mortgage to Pay Off First?  (20:22) I Can’t Find Tenants!  (30:00) Sell or Keep Renovated Rental? (35:30) Ask Us Your Question!  Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-969 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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    Having a hard time finding deals in today's market? If so, book a free strategy call with us in the link below to see how we can help you!

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    📞 For Your FREE Consultation with Rob, simply fill out the form and directly book your strategy session in his calendar here: https://robtetrault.com/speak-to-rob/

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    #investingbasics #businessnews #investmentstrategy #investingbasics #VTB #VendorTakebackLoan #VTBLoan #RealEstateInvesting #Mortgage

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