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    869: Why NOW is The Time to Buy a House (BEFORE Rates Go Down) w/Avery Carl and Caeli Ridge

    enJanuary 08, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Deciding Between Buying Now or Waiting in the Current Real Estate MarketUnderstanding your investment strategy and current market conditions is essential when deciding whether to buy real estate now or wait for spring.

      The current real estate market presents unique opportunities for investors, and the decision to buy now versus waiting until spring depends on individual strategies and market conditions. According to Chailey Ridge, a nationwide lender, and Avery Carl, a real estate agent specializing in investor transactions, the most active markets are those with lower price points. However, investor sentiment is cautious, with many investors waiting to see if interest rates or prices will change before making a move. Avery mentioned that Branson, Myrtle Beach, and the Western North Carolina Mountains are currently active markets. If interest rates were to drop significantly, it could encourage more sellers to list their properties and increase inventory, making it a more favorable time for buyers. Overall, the experts suggest that understanding your investment strategy and the current market conditions are crucial when deciding whether to buy now or wait.

    • Experienced real estate investors adapt to market shiftsExperienced investors adjust strategies, focusing on short-term investments, private note holding, or lower cash flow expectations, while fewer transactions occur overall. January listings increase, with closings picking up in March.

      Experienced real estate investors are actively seeking deals in the current market, despite higher interest rates. New investors or those less experienced may be more tentative, but those who have been in the market longer understand that rates and prices are cyclical. Psychology plays a role in investor sentiment, with many focusing on interest rates without considering the bigger picture. However, experienced investors are adjusting their strategies, looking at short-term investments, being private note holders, or resetting their expectations for lower cash flow. The market is seeing fewer transactions overall, but those who offer lower prices are finding good deals. Listings typically start to increase in January, with closings picking up in March after the holiday season. Overall, the market is experiencing a shift, and experienced investors are making moves while others wait on the sidelines.

    • Unexpected inflation data and interest rate drops fuel real estate demandExperts predict a larger than usual market surge due to buyer demand, 1031 exchange opportunities, and low/no money down investment options

      Due to unexpectedly favorable inflation data and sharp drops in interest rates, the real estate market is experiencing a surge in buyer demand for the upcoming spring season. Experts predict that this trend will continue, leading to a potentially larger market surge than usual. This is encouraging past clients to consider 1031 exchanges or trading up their properties now. Additionally, there are opportunities for investing with no or low money down through programs like Rent to Retirement or private real estate funds like PPR Capital Management. These options provide passive income without the hassle of property management. If you're planning to sell a property, it might be beneficial to wait and consider these opportunities first.

    • 1031 exchanges save investors half a billion in taxes1031 exchanges help investors save on taxes and grow wealth, despite higher interest rates, due to historical lows and benefits like tax advantages and appreciation

      1031 exchanges have helped investors save over half a billion dollars in taxes through tax-deferred exchanges. With over 30 years of experience and expertise in handling various types of exchanges in all 50 states, 1031 Pros can help investors save on taxes and grow their wealth. Now, shifting gears to the current market, there seems to be a psychological flip-flop where people are discouraged from buying when interest rates are low due to competition, and now, with higher interest rates, they're hesitant to enter the market. However, it's important to remember that historically, average interest rates have been higher than the current rates, and real estate investing offers various benefits, such as tax advantages and appreciation, that can help offset the impact of higher interest rates. As we move into Q1, Avery, could you share some insights on the current inventory situation and market conditions?

    • Real Estate Market Stalemate Breaking with Decreasing Interest RatesAs interest rates decrease, sellers may list properties, causing a surge in demand and multiple offer situations. Contrarian investors can find great deals in less competitive markets.

      The current real estate market is experiencing a stalemate due to high interest rates, resulting in low inventory and fewer sales. However, as interest rates begin to decrease, sellers are expected to list their properties, leading to a surge in demand and multiple offer situations. Contrarian investors who go against the crowd and carefully research opportunities in less competitive markets can potentially find great deals. Ultimately, the success of real estate investing depends on individual investor goals and the specific market conditions.

    • Staying Persistent in a Challenging MarketExperienced investors stay informed, persistent, and cautious amidst low inventory and competition. Springtime may bring more houses and buyers, but mortgage rates and prices could impact demand.

      Even in a market where inventory is low and competition may seem high, it's important for investors to stay persistent and keep looking for deals. The experienced investors are continuing to make moves, but the lack of inventory remains a challenge. Springtime is expected to bring more houses on the market and potentially more buyers back in, which could lead to a surge in demand. However, the impact of mortgage rates and prices on this trend remains to be seen. Experts are advising their clients to stay informed and cautious, but not to wait things out completely. The psychological effect of positive media rhetoric and lower interest rates could also play a significant role in the market's behavior. Overall, it's important for investors to stay informed, stay persistent, and be prepared for potential changes in the market.

    • Real Estate Technology: Saving Time, Money, and HassleFrom lead generation to passive investing and vacation home ownership, technology is transforming real estate. DealMachine offers unlimited leads, Redfin personalized home recommendations, Connect Invest passive investing, and Vacasa full-service vacation home management provide savings and convenience.

      Technology and innovative platforms are revolutionizing various aspects of real estate, from lead generation and management to passive investing and vacation home ownership. DealMachine offers unlimited access to high-quality contact information for real estate leads, while Redfin provides personalized home recommendations and low fees for buyers and sellers. Connect Invest allows for passive real estate investing with a low entry point, and Vacasa simplifies vacation home ownership with full-service management and increased revenue. Additionally, 1031 exchanges, facilitated by companies like First American Exchange, enable real estate investors to defer capital gains taxes while expanding their portfolios. These tools and strategies can help investors save time, money, and hassle, and ultimately, make the most of their real estate journey.

    • Focus on other factors besides mortgage ratesInvestors should prioritize other variables of a real estate transaction and be prepared financially, rather than waiting for mortgage rates to drop significantly before investing.

      While mortgage rates are expected to continue running, they are not the only factor investors should consider when making real estate transactions. First American Exchange Company advises against waiting for rates to drop significantly before investing, as the difference in payments between today's rates and potential future rates may not be substantial enough to justify delaying an investment. Instead, investors should focus on other variables of vetting the transaction and be prepared with their capital and credit when they decide to buy. If rates do come down in the future, prices may initially increase in the short term, but will eventually even out with inventory in the market. It's important for investors to offer low on purchase prices and make sure the numbers work at the current interest rate, rather than encouraging irresponsible investing by "marrying the house and dating the rate."

    • Focus on buying financially sound properties nowInvest in properties with potential for appreciation and rental income growth in the Southeastern US, despite market uncertainty

      Investors should focus on buying properties that make financial sense now, regardless of interest rates or market conditions, as it is an uncertain future. The Sunbelt states, particularly metro areas in the southeastern US, are expected to see higher appreciation and rent increases. The Federal Housing Finance Agency website is a useful resource for accessing housing market data. While it's impossible to predict the future, it's recommended to buy what makes sense now rather than waiting and missing out on good deals. Competition and interest rates can make the buying process more challenging, but securing a good deal is worth the effort.

    • Capitalizing on the current real estate marketFocus on long-term strategy, be prepared financially, and make reasonable offers to capitalize on the current real estate market. Look for deals with high days on market and terrible listing photos.

      The current real estate market presents an opportunity for those who are prepared and willing to act. Agents and investors alike should encourage buyers to make offers, even if they're lower than the asking price. While it's impossible to predict market trends with certainty, focusing on the long-term strategy and being prepared financially can lead to successful investments. Additionally, high days on market and terrible listing photos can indicate potential deals. However, it's important to remember that not every offer will be accepted, and it's crucial to make reasonable and sensible offers. Lastly, being open to communication and negotiation with sellers can lead to unexpected opportunities. Overall, the current market presents challenges, but with the right mindset and approach, it can also lead to significant rewards.

    • Maximize your offer in competitive marketsWorking with your own realtor and understanding the market can help you present a stronger offer in competitive real estate markets.

      In competitive real estate markets, writing the best offer possible is crucial when you're not the only buyer. Working directly with a listing agent might not necessarily give you an advantage, as they represent the seller first. Instead, having your own realtor can provide valuable insights and help you present a stronger offer. Additionally, focusing on building relationships and understanding the market can set you apart from other buyers. Remember, every market comes with its challenges and benefits, so it's essential to stay informed and adapt to the situation.

    • Going directly to the listing agent with a lower offer may not be beneficialInstead of trying to lowball the seller directly, focus on making offers on other properties or continuing to make offers on the desired property as the market changes

      Going directly to the listing agent with a lower offer in a multiple offer situation may not be beneficial for buyers, as the agent's primary duty is to get the seller the best deal possible. The seller is more likely to choose the offer that makes them the most money, and the agent may not be motivated to present your offer in the best light due to the potential loss of commission. Instead, it's recommended to keep making offers or finding properties where there may be more motivation from the seller to accept a lower price due to longer days on the market. Ultimately, the key to success is persistence and continuing to take action in the real estate market.

    • Find Investor-Friendly Agents with BiggerPockets.comLeverage BiggerPockets Agent Finder to connect with local market experts and advance in your real estate investing journey, regardless of market conditions.

      Navigating the changing real estate market and achieving financial freedom requires time and the right resources. While market conditions may shift and headlines may whirl, the ultimate goal remains the same. To help investors get started or advance in their real estate journey, BiggerPockets offers a free service called Agent Finder. By visiting biggerpockets.com/deals and providing some details about what and where you want to buy, you can instantly match with an investor-friendly agent who can guide you through the process. These local market experts can help you analyze numbers, navigate neighborhoods, and take action with confidence. Remember, it's not about timing the market perfectly, but rather being in the market consistently. Use this free resource to find your investor-friendly agent and get closer to financial freedom today. As always, remember that investing in real estate involves risk, and it's essential to consult with qualified advisors before making any investment decisions.

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