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    Biden Talks ‘Younger Voices’, $1 Trillion AI Tailspin & An Earnings Bonanza

    enJuly 25, 2024
    Why did President Biden decide not to seek re-election in 2024?
    Who is Kamala Harris expected to campaign against in 2024?
    What factors are influencing the tech sector's recent market volatility?
    How has former President Trump targeted Kamala Harris?
    What opportunities exist for investors in the chip-making equipment market?

    Podcast Summary

    • Biden's Decision, Harris's NominationPresident Biden announced he won't run for re-election in 2024, endorsed VP Harris as the Democratic nominee, and Obama is expected to endorse her. Harris faces attacks from Trump, who's positioning himself as the Republican challenger. The tech sector, including Nasdaq, is experiencing a downturn amid cooling AI fever.

      President Joe Biden has announced his decision to not seek re-election in 2024 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee for the upcoming presidential election. Biden emphasized the importance of passing the torch to new and younger leaders in his speech, while Harris is expected to be officially confirmed as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention. Former President Barack Obama is also reportedly planning to endorse Harris. Meanwhile, Donald Trump has already started attacking Harris in his campaign rallies, positioning himself as the Republican challenger. This shift in political dynamics comes as the tech sector, specifically the Nasdaq, experiences a significant downturn due to cooling AI fever.

    • Trump's Criticism of Harris, Tech Sector Sell-offsFormer President Trump criticized Democratic nominee Harris on policies, while investors sold off tech stocks due to uncertainty about profitability of AI investments and expectations of interest rate cuts, but experts advise caution

      During a campaign rally, former President Trump criticized Democratic nominee Kamala Harris, attacking her stance on socialist healthcare, inflation, American energy, and her liberal policies. Meanwhile, in the tech sector, investors have been selling off stocks in companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, ARM, and Tesla due to uncertainty about the profitability of AI investments. The sell-offs come after a rotation from tech to rate-sensitive stocks due to softer inflation readings and expectations of interest rate cuts. However, Motley Fool's Shelby McFadden suggests that investors may not have enough information yet to make definitive decisions about the sector. Tesla, in particular, saw a significant decline after disappointing second-quarter results and production delays for its robo-taxi. The declines are not limited to Tesla, as Abigail Doolittle of Bloomberg reports.

    • Market sentiment, Tesla's uncertaintyMarket sentiment is cautious and risk-averse, causing sell-offs for Tesla and Alphabet despite solid quarters. Concerns over Tesla's EV business and shrinking margins add to uncertainty.

      Despite Tesla and Alphabet reporting relatively solid quarters, their stocks experienced significant sell-offs due to broader market concerns and the recent steep rally from April lows. NVIDIA, which reported no news at all, saw the largest decline. Meanwhile, investors are seeking safety, as evidenced by the rallying bonds and yen. Regarding Tesla specifically, concerns over its core EV business and shrinking automotive gross margins are adding to the uncertainty. Across the Atlantic, UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves is making a pro-business pitch to the G20, aiming to attract investment and avoid deep spending cuts. However, many anticipate she will use the upcoming audit of the previous government's finances to justify raising taxes. The overall market sentiment is one of caution and risk aversion.

    • Thames Water financial challengesMoody's downgraded Thames Water's bonds and the utility company is seeking leniency from the regulator to avoid potential breaches, while Environment Secretary plans to toughen up the regulator's stance and consider criminal charges against water bosses responsible for sewage pollution

      Thames Water in London is facing financial and regulatory challenges following a junk bond downgrade by Moody's. The utility company is seeking leniency from the regulator to avoid potential license agreement breaches. Environment Secretary Steve Reed has announced plans to toughen up the regulator's stance and even consider criminal charges against water bosses responsible for sewage pollution, which is at a five-year high in the UK. Meanwhile, President Joe Biden addressed the nation, emphasizing the importance of unity and democracy in the ongoing presidential race. He also expressed his belief that new voices are needed in office. Elsewhere, Donald Trump criticized his new opponent, Kamala Harris, during a rally in North Carolina, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke to a joint session of Congress. Our senior editor, Bill Fairies, will discuss the potential impact of Biden's Oval Office address.

    • Biden's Legacy and Harris' MomentumPresident Biden emphasized his legacy as a leader putting country over personal interests, gave momentum to VP Harris, and prioritized Supreme Court reform, while Trump attacked Biden and Harris at a rally.

      During his recent speech, President Joe Biden emphasized his historical legacy by positioning himself as a leader who puts country over personal interests, like past American political icons. He also focused on giving momentum to Vice President Kamala Harris and neutralizing Republican attack lines, particularly regarding foreign wars and Supreme Court reform. Biden claimed that the US is not involved in major conflicts, but this may not resonate given ongoing involvement in Ukraine and the Middle East. Biden also mentioned Supreme Court reform as a priority, appealing to progressive Democrats frustrated with the Trump-dominated court. Meanwhile, former President Trump held a rally in North Carolina, continuing his attacks against Biden and Harris, using typical campaign tactics to portray her negatively.

    • 2024 Presidential Race AttacksRepublicans attack Harris on judicial history and stance on abortion, while Netanyahu's controversial speech in Congress adds to political divisiveness and could impact the next presidency.

      The 2024 presidential race is heating up, with Republicans trying to find effective attacks against Vice President Kamala Harris, while Netanyahu's controversial speech in Congress on Israel's policies in Gaza adds to the political divisiveness and could have significant implications for the next presidency. Trump called Harris a radical and crazy person, and attacked her judicial history and stance on abortion. Netanyahu's speech, planned before the election but delivered amidst the campaign, was politically loaded and defended Israel's policies, with several Democrats boycotting and one holding up a sign labeling Netanyahu a war criminal. The status of the war in Gaza at the time of the next president's inauguration in 2025 will be a crucial factor in determining the issue's impact.

    • AI Investment UncertaintyGoogle's CEO acknowledged long-term investment in AI with uncertain returns, causing a significant drop in Nasdaq and uncertainty among investors due to potential financial losses and high run rates for AI development

      Doubts about the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) and the tech industry as a whole emerged yesterday, leading to a significant drop in the Nasdaq and a trillion-dollar route. Google's CEO, Sundar Pichai, added to these concerns when he acknowledged that the company's investment in AI, which involves acquiring expensive chips and building massive data centers, will take a long time to yield returns. Additionally, a report about OpenAI's potential financial losses and the high run rate for AI development have caused uncertainty among investors. This uncertainty comes after a tech rally driven by enthusiasm about AI, leading some investors to take profits. At this point, AI is still more of a promise than a clear path to investment and monetization.

    • Market sensitivity to geopolitical tensionsMarket volatility driven by geopolitical tensions can lead to sudden sell-offs of stocks, even for those reporting strong earnings, highlighting the importance of staying informed and adaptable for investors.

      The recent market volatility, driven in part by geopolitical tensions and global elections, has led to significant shifts in investor sentiment towards certain stocks, particularly in the tech sector. One notable example is SK Hynix, a leading supplier of high bandwidth memory for graphics chips used in AI accelerators, which saw an 8% hit on its share price despite reporting strong earnings. This sudden sell-off, while unfair to some extent given the company's financial performance, highlights the sensitivity of markets to broader economic and geopolitical trends. For those looking to invest in smaller stocks, hardware suppliers in Asia, particularly in Japan, may still present opportunities as the demand for chip-making equipment remains strong. Overall, the markets continue to be influenced by a range of factors, from central bank policy to global elections, making it essential for investors to stay informed and adapt to changing market conditions.

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