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    Biden’s Slipping Support

    enJuly 04, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Presidential Debate ImpactThe first presidential debate between Biden and Trump resulted in a significant shift towards Trump, with growing concerns among voters about Biden's age and fitness to be president potentially contributing to this trend.

      The New York Times/Sienna College poll conducted after the first presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump showed a significant shift in voter preferences, with Trump leading Biden by 9 percentage points among registered voters and 6 points among likely voters. This marked a notable increase from the Times' previous poll, which was conducted just before the debate. The poll also revealed growing concerns among voters, including Biden supporters, about Biden's age and fitness to be president, with 74% of voters expressing this view. These findings suggest that the debate may have had a negative impact on Biden's campaign, as voters' doubts about his mental fitness deepened.

    • Gender gap in voting intentionsThe debate led to a significant shift in voting intentions towards Trump among men, while Biden's lead among women remained relatively stable. Trump's machismo image and campaign strategy resonated more with male voters, increasing his support. However, the debate did not reunite the Democratic Party behind Biden or increase his overall support.

      The post-debate poll showed a significant shift in voting intentions towards Donald Trump among men, while Biden's lead among women remained relatively stable. Trump's machismo image and campaign strategy seemed to resonate more with male voters after the debate, leading to a substantial increase in his support. However, there were some glimmers of good news for Biden. Independent voters saw him as less old than before the debate, and while Democrats expressed concerns about his age, they did not significantly move away from him as their nominee. Despite these findings, the debate did not achieve the Biden campaign's goal of reuniting the Democratic Party behind him and increasing support for his candidacy. Instead, it seemed to have heightened concerns about Biden's age and energized Trump's base.

    • Biden's debate performance and age concernsDemocratic Party concerns about Biden's ability to serve as president due to his age have intensified after poor debate performance, leading to discussions about replacing him as nominee

      The poor debate performance by President Biden in the latest presidential debate has raised significant concerns within the Democratic Party about his ability to continue serving as president due to his age. These concerns are not just about specific policy issues, but rather about his overall fitness for the job. The panic within the party has grown to the point where some prominent Democrats have begun discussing the possibility of replacing Biden as the nominee. The latest polling numbers have only deepened these concerns, and the Biden campaign has even pre-emptively dismissed the findings. This shift from cable pundits to key Democratic figures on Capitol Hill is a significant development in the race.

    • Biden's mental fitness and communication concernsDemocratic calls for Biden to address mental fitness and communication concerns have intensified after disappointing debate performance, leaving him to reiterate commitment while avoiding public appearances, fueling speculation and raising doubts about his ability to effectively communicate and salvage his candidacy.

      The calls from Democratic Congress members for President Joe Biden to step aside following his disappointing debate performance have raised concerns about his mental fitness and ability to effectively communicate, leading him to reiterate his commitment to staying in the race while also acknowledging the critical nature of the coming days to salvage his candidacy. The lack of unscripted public appearances since the debate has fueled growing perceptions of communication issues, leaving many wondering why the president isn't addressing these concerns directly. The silence from Biden and his team has only added to the speculation, leading some to question why he isn't putting himself out there more to demonstrate his ability to communicate effectively. The growing drumbeat of criticism from within his own party is a significant challenge for Biden as he approaches the July 4th holiday and the remainder of the campaign season.

    • Biden's nomination challengesDemocratic Party members openly question Biden's ability to lead due to age concerns, adding to political uncertainty ahead of midterms and various crises

      President Joe Biden's nomination for a second term is facing unprecedented challenges within his own Democratic Party, with some prominent members openly questioning his ability to lead due to concerns over his age. This comes after a contentious debate performance, and the President is now meeting with governors and allies to address these concerns. The uncertainty surrounding Biden's nomination adds to the already tense political climate, as the midterm elections approach and the country continues to grapple with various crises, including Hurricane Barbara's devastating impact on the Caribbean. The Democratic Party had previously worked to quash any opposition to Biden's nomination, but now, for the first time, some members are publicly calling for him to step aside. The outcome of this situation could have significant implications for the Democratic Party and the nation as a whole.

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