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    Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend: Big Tech, BOE, 2024 Race

    enJuly 29, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Surprisingly strong performance of tech giants' core businessesDespite AI hype, tech giants' core businesses outperformed expectations during earnings season

      Key takeaway from the tech earnings discussions on Bloomberg Daybreak weekend is that the core legacy businesses of mega cap tech companies, such as Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Microsoft, have performed surprisingly well during the latest earnings season. Despite the hype around artificial intelligence (AI), the real theme has been the strong performance of these companies' existing businesses. For instance, Meta's launch of Threads and Mark Zuckerberg's comments about monetizing AI technology were notable, but the core businesses continued to outperform expectations. Microsoft's Azure cloud unit, which represents a significant portion of their revenue, also hit a milestone, generating over $110 billion in annual revenue for the first time. Overall, the earnings season highlighted the strength and resilience of these tech giants' core businesses, despite ongoing discussions about AI and other emerging technologies.

    • Microsoft and Amazon's cloud businesses thrive, Intel reports surprise profit, and Apple focuses on iPhone sales and AR/VR technologyMicrosoft and Amazon dominate cloud services, Intel profits from PC sales recovery, and Apple explores AR/VR market with expensive headset

      The importance of cloud businesses is evident as sales growth slips for some tech giants. Microsoft's Azure unit is becoming increasingly significant, while Amazon's cash cow remains its cloud services. Intel also reported a surprise profit due to improved PC sales, indicating the demand is recovering. Apple, with its expensive Vision Pro headset, is expected to focus on iPhone sales and potential growth in services revenue. The high price tag of the Vision Pro suggests it's aimed at developers and early adopters, and Apple may need to release a more affordable version to reach a wider audience. Overall, the tech industry's focus on cloud services and hardware sales, along with potential advancements in AR/VR technology, will continue to shape the market.

    • Apple and Amazon's earnings reports bring surprises and challengesApple unexpectedly announced new initiatives, while Amazon grapples with costs from COVID investments and seeks new revenue streams. Hollywood's writers and actors strike adds pressure to their streaming services.

      Apple and Amazon, two tech giants, had significant earnings reports recently, with surprising developments for both companies. Apple, known for its self-restraint, made unexpected announcements during its earnings call. Amazon, on the other hand, is still dealing with the financial fallout from its COVID-era investments in fulfillment and is exploring new revenue streams, such as AI infrastructure for businesses and higher-margin advertising. The ongoing writers and actors strike in Hollywood is adding pressure to their streaming services, Apple TV+ and Amazon Prime, as new content production is delayed, and executives are looking to cut costs. The industry is facing a challenging balance between ensuring a steady content pipeline and managing expenses to reach profitability.

    • Small business owners leverage higher yields in business bank accountsSmall business owners in various industries earn higher yields on their funds in business bank accounts, allowing their money to grow while they focus on their businesses. Central banks, like the Bank of England, make interest rate decisions based on inflation data, potentially impacting the growth of these funds.

      Behind the scenes of major industries, from sports to entertainment, small business owners are making their money work harder for them. These entrepreneurs, including lighting engineers, photographers, and caterers, are using business bank accounts like QuickBooks Money to earn a 5% annual percentage yield. This is a significant advantage, allowing their funds to grow while they focus on their businesses. Meanwhile, in the financial world, the Bank of England is expected to announce its latest interest rate decision. With inflation remaining high in the UK, there's a 50-50 chance of a 25 or 50 basis point hike. The underlying inflation data, particularly the stickiness in services, will likely influence the decision. Despite the good news on the headline figure, the Bank of England may opt for a smaller move due to the significant hikes already implemented and the potential message it could send. Ultimately, these small business owners and central banks demonstrate the importance of making the most of financial resources in a dynamic economic environment.

    • Bank of England's interest rate hikes impacting economyThe Bank of England's interest rate hikes are affecting the economy, with a decline in the flash PMI number. However, services inflation remains a concern, and the Bank will release new forecasts considering rising yields and potential recession risks.

      The Bank of England's efforts to combat inflation through interest rate hikes are starting to have an effect on the economy, as indicated by a recent decline in the flash PMI number. However, the stickiness of services inflation remains a concern, and the Bank will release a new forecast this time around, taking into account the rising yields and the potential for a recession. The Bank of England's forecasts are influenced by the market curve for interest rates, making it a hostage to the yield curve's consistency with 1-2% inflation in the medium term and the economy's avoiding a downturn.

    • UK Government Focuses on Controlling Spending to Combat InflationThe UK government aims to avoid a recession by controlling public spending, without raising taxes or borrowing more. Economists predict a mild recession with a 1% fall in GDP, while the Bank of England targets halving inflation.

      The UK government, represented by Treasury Minister John Glenn, is focusing on controlling public spending to help combat inflation, while avoiding raising taxes or borrowing more. The consensus among economists is that a recession in the UK can be avoided this year and next, with a projected peak-to-trough fall in GDP of only 1%, which is less severe compared to past recessions. The Bank of England's upcoming inflation forecasts will be closely watched, as the government remains committed to halving inflation and returning it to the long-term trend of 2%.

    • Small business owners and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis find ways to make their money work harderSmall business owners use high-interest savings accounts like QuickBooks Money to grow their savings, while Governor Ron DeSantis plans to discuss economic strategies to tackle inflation, increase energy production, and reduce US dependency on China in his upcoming address.

      Small business owners, from lighting engineers to caterers, are savvy financial managers who look for ways to make their money work harder. One such way is by earning a high interest rate on their business savings with QuickBooks Money, which offers a 5% annual percentage yield. This is a significant difference from typical savings account rates. Meanwhile, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is also focused on making his campaign money work harder, as he seeks to revive his 2024 presidential bid. In the coming week, he plans to give a major economic address, where he will discuss his plans to tackle inflation, open up domestic energy production, decouple the US economy from China, and address student debt. Despite some criticism of his handling of Florida's economy and culture wars, DeSantis has a strong economic track record in the state, which he may look to leverage in his campaign.

    • Florida Governor Ron DeSantis' Economic Focus in Campaign SpeechesDespite Florida's economic strengths, Governor Ron DeSantis' campaign faces challenges, including a lack of affordable housing, high flood insurance prices, staff layoffs, and potential poor performance in Iowa and New Hampshire primaries, which could impact his momentum.

      Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who is running for the Republican presidential nomination, presents a rosy economic picture during his campaign speeches, focusing on the state's low unemployment rate and business migration. However, Florida faces issues such as a lack of affordable housing and skyrocketing flood insurance prices, which he doesn't mention. DeSantis' campaign has undergone a reset in the past two weeks, resulting in the layoff of 38 staff members, and they are trying to curb his travel and cut back on expenses. Iowa and New Hampshire primaries are crucial for DeSantis as he has fallen in the polls, and a poor performance there could lead to a loss of momentum. The Super PAC supporting DeSantis is investing heavily in Iowa, but if he fails to do well in these states, his campaign may face further challenges.

    • DeSantis campaign faces challenges due to Trump's legal woesDeSantis' insular campaign strategy adds complexity as he navigates Trump's legal issues, making it difficult to break away from the Trump base.

      Ron DeSantis' campaign is facing significant challenges due to former President Trump's legal woes. While Trump has successfully turned indictments to his political advantage and mobilized Republican primary voters, it makes it difficult for DeSantis to break away from the Trump base. Moreover, DeSantis maintains a tight-knit team, consisting mostly of himself, his wife, and a few advisers, making traditional campaign structures less applicable to his situation. This insular approach, while effective for DeSantis, adds to the complexity of his campaign as he navigates the growing legal issues surrounding Trump.

    • Asia's Aviation Industry Recovers Slower Than Other RegionsAsia's aviation industry is recovering slower due to border closures and travel restrictions, causing economic challenges for countries in the region. Domestic demand in China is up, but international travel is down. Staffing levels are better than Europe and US, but lack of flights and visa access remains a hurdle.

      The aviation industry in Asia is recovering from the pandemic at a slower pace compared to the rest of the world due to border closures and travel restrictions, particularly for international flights. China, a major player in global travel, is seeing a surge in domestic demand but a significant decrease in international travel. The lack of Chinese outbound travel is causing economic challenges for many countries in the region. Staffing levels in Asian airlines have been better than in Europe and the US, with some airlines retaining their workforce due to government support and cargo operations. However, the lack of flights and visa access continues to be a hurdle for travelers, especially those looking to go to North Asia. QuickBooks Money offers a 5% annual percentage yield for businesses looking to make their money work harder. (Banking services provided by Green Dot Bank, member FDIC. Only funds and envelopes earn APY. APY can change at any time.)

    • Aviation industry in Asia Pacific recovering but faces challenges, particularly in Hong KongThe aviation industry in Asia Pacific is recovering from the pandemic, but continues to face staffing issues and ongoing challenges, especially in Hong Kong where the industry has been closed for over three years.

      The aviation industry in the Asia Pacific region is gradually recovering from the pandemic, but challenges remain, particularly in markets like Hong Kong where the industry has been closed for over three years. Companies are facing staffing issues, and while there's a slightly better picture in terms of staffing, it's not out of the woods yet. Danny Lee, Bloomberg Asia Transport reporter, shared insights on this topic during Hong Kong Aviation Day, highlighting various trends unfolding across the aviation industry in the region. The discussion underscores the complexities of the industry's recovery and the ongoing challenges it faces. For more information, join Bloomberg in San Francisco or virtually on May 7th for the Future Investor event, where data-driven transformations and their impact on investment decisions will be explored. Register at BloombergLive.com/futureinvestor/radio.

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