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    Dow is Up, Santos is Out, and Guest Sixto Cancel

    enDecember 05, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Collaboration and Teamwork: Key to Faster OutcomesAtlassian and Pendo support effective teamwork and collaboration through their software solutions, while the delayed release of OpenAI's GPT store highlights the importance of customizable AI platforms.

      Effective teamwork and collaboration are essential for achieving amazing outcomes in organizations. Companies that look across their teams and departments, rather than up and down the hierarchy, tend to have the fastest speed to market. Atlassian, a supporter of Pivot, offers software solutions like Confluence, Jira, and Loom to help maximize teamwork and productivity. Meanwhile, Pendo, another supporter, focuses on improving digital experiences for both customers and employees, enabling teams to build better applications and deliver more value. During a recent visit to the White House, Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway discussed various topics, including the delayed release of OpenAI's GPT store, which will allow custom versions of ChatGPT. The store was originally scheduled for release last month but has been delayed until January 2023 due to safety concerns and internal investigations. Despite the delay, the importance of having a platform for custom versions of ChatGPT is recognized, as they already exist. The conversation also touched on topics like the Dow hitting record highs, home prices, and the Ron DeSantis-Gavin Newsom debate.

    • Regulating AI content and platform ownershipRegulatory approach to AI models like ChatGPT should be reconsidered as they can generate editorial content. Platform owners ultimately decide on content, and companies like OpenAI play crucial roles. Proxy fights like Nelson Peltz vs Disney can distract, but allowing board representation for investors may benefit companies.

      The regulatory approach to AI models like ChatGPT should be reconsidered, as these models are capable of generating content that can be considered editorial decisions. This was discussed in relation to a media company's potential use of ChatGPT to create bots for specific voices. However, the decision to allow or disallow content on these platforms ultimately lies with the platform owners, who can also charge for their services. The importance of companies like OpenAI, the creators of ChatGPT, to maintain these platforms and make decisions on content was emphasized. Additionally, activist investor Nelson Peltz's ongoing proxy fight against Disney was mentioned as a potential distraction for companies, and the potential benefits of allowing board representation for such investors were discussed. Despite some miscommunications, it was agreed that the future of these technologies and companies will continue to evolve, and it's important for companies to adapt and make informed decisions.

    • Disney's Board Elections Depend on Stock PerformanceDisney's board elections can be influenced by stock performance, with a strong showing potentially deterring activist investor Nelson Peltz. However, if the stock price drops, Peltz may renew efforts to secure board seats, leading to a lengthy and potentially messy process.

      The outcome of Disney's annual meeting, where shareholders vote on directors, hinges on the company's stock performance. Activist investor Nelson Peltz has put forward an alternative slate of directors, but Disney's board, which includes the CEO of Morgan Stanley and the former CEO of Sky, is trying to present a strong and experienced team. The stock price has been a significant factor in the past, with a 10% increase in the last month potentially diminishing Peltz's chances. However, if the stock price drops, Peltz may return with renewed efforts to secure board seats. The process can be lengthy, with losing at the first attempt and winning at the second being a common outcome. Disney has also noted that a significant portion of shares are owned by Ike Perlmutter, who was terminated from his employment and has a personal agenda against Disney CEO Robert Iger. The situation could get messy, and past experiences have involved private investigators digging up dirt on the opposing party.

    • Dispute between Iger and Perlmutter and ongoing Google investigationCEO focus, transparency, accountability, effective communication crucial for business success and legal compliance

      The ongoing dispute between a shareholder and a company CEO, in this case Bob Iger and Perlmutter, could negatively impact the company's stock performance if the numbers don't improve. The CEO, Bob Iger, needs to focus on turning things around and calming down the situation. Another major concern is the ongoing investigation into Google for deleting evidence in the Epic vs Google case. The judge overseeing the trial has expressed his displeasure, and companies have a legal obligation to preserve evidence when instructed by the court. The use of the word "riz" as the 2023 word of the year reflects the increasing pace of language change due to social media. However, the discussion also touched upon the importance of personal digital hygiene and the potential consequences of not adhering to legal instructions. Overall, the conversation highlighted the importance of transparency, accountability, and effective communication in both personal and business contexts.

    • Exceptional month for Dow, S&P 500, and Crypto in November 2022The Dow reached its highest close since January 2022, the S&P 500 had its fourth best month of the last decade, and Crypto saw significant gains due to competition disappearing. Long-term, buy-and-hold strategy recommended over trying to predict the market or individual stocks.

      The stock market, specifically the Dow, had an exceptional month in November 2022, reaching its highest close since January 2022. This was partly due to the Federal Reserve's indication that they may be done raising interest rates. The S&P 500 had its fourth best month of the last decade and the second best November of the last 40 years, with 9 in 10 listed stocks gaining. Crypto, specifically Coinbase, had significant gains due to the disappearance of competitors like FTX and Binance. Expedia also saw a 43% increase, as travel was predicted to rebound. However, attempting to predict the market or individual stocks can be a futile endeavor, as Jack Bogle and Charlie Munger argue. Instead, a more successful strategy might be to adopt a long-term, buy-and-hold approach, such as buying the entire haystack rather than trying to find the needle.

    • Economic Trends and Housing UncertaintiesEconomic growth continues despite housing affordability issues, caused by policies favoring incumbents and hindering new home formation. To improve accessibility, focus on addressing these policies and promoting new home construction.

      Despite the unpredictability of the stock market and economic uncertainties, such as inflation and housing affordability issues, the overall economic trend is upward due to population and productivity growth. Buying a house, which is a significant economic and psychological investment, has become increasingly difficult due to rising mortgage rates and home prices, leading to widespread unhappiness. However, the economy as a whole is doing well, and policies that favor incumbents and hinder housing formation are the root cause of the problem. The solution lies in addressing these policies and promoting the formation of new homes to make the market more accessible to first-time buyers.

    • The housing market has become inaccessible for young peopleRising housing prices and interest rates make it difficult for young people to buy homes, exacerbated by a lack of supply and the inability to move without significant financial loss, leading to emotional and financial disconnection and anger towards the system.

      The rising housing prices and interest rates have made it increasingly difficult for young people to buy homes, leading to emotional and financial disconnection. This issue is further compounded by the lack of supply due to local government regulations and the inability to move without giving up a low-interest mortgage. This situation not only discourages young people but also creates anger towards the system. For instance, in 1992, an MBA graduate could afford a house with their salary, but today's graduates earning similar salaries cannot. Homeownership, an essential investment and asset, has been sequestered to the incumbents. Trump's proposal to provide houses and cars to everyone, while symbolic, highlights the growing affordability crisis. The housing market has essentially been "ossified," and the consequences are far-reaching.

    • Building wealth through real estate investingReal estate investing can offer tax deductions, substantial profits, and financial security for those who are handy and able to hold onto properties long-term. However, avoid over-leveraging and be cautious of risks and challenges.

      Real estate investment, specifically buying, fixing, and selling properties, can be an effective way for individuals to build wealth, especially for those who are handy and able to do the renovations themselves. This strategy can provide significant tax deductions and the potential for substantial profits. However, it's essential to avoid over-leveraging and be able to hold onto the properties for an extended period. Despite the risks and challenges, many retirees have found financial security through this method. On a different note, George Santos became the sixth lawmaker in US history to be expelled from the House of Representatives, following bipartisan votes and ethics committee reports accusing him of various misconducts, as well as facing two federal indictments. This marks the first expulsion without a prior federal conviction or support for the Confederacy. A special election is expected to fill the vacant seat in February.

    • Political Debates: Santos Expulsion and Governor's ConfrontationThe expulsion of Rep. George Santos and the confrontation between Govs. Newsom and DeSantis sparked debates about accountability, voter role, and media's impact on public perception.

      The expulsion of Representative George Santos from Congress, despite allegations of campaign finance misconduct and lying about his background, is a complex issue with valid arguments on both sides. Some believe that the law should take its course, while others see political value in removing such a controversial figure. The incident has sparked debates about the role of voters, the importance of holding elected officials accountable, and the potential distraction from more pressing issues. Additionally, the interview touched upon the recent high-profile confrontation between Governors Gavin Newsom and Ron DeSantis during a moderated discussion by Sean Hannity, which was criticized for its sensational nature. Overall, these political events highlight the importance of transparency, accountability, and the potential impact of media coverage on public perception.

    • Governors Newsom and DeSantis Clash in DebateNewsom criticized DeSantis for mocking people and was seen as holding his own. Many believe Newsom is the most prepared for the presidency, while DeSantis's debate performance was not a disaster but his smile was a distraction.

      During a 90-minute debate between Governors Gavin Newsom and Ron DeSantis, they clashed over various issues including the economy, crime, and abortion access. Newsom ended the debate with a jab, acknowledging their differences but noting neither would be the 2024 nominee for their party. Despite some criticism for the format, Newsom was seen as holding his own against DeSantis and Hannity. Newsom's strongest point was his criticism of DeSantis's mocking and diminishing of people. Many believe Newsom, as the governor of the 4th largest nation in the world, is the most prepared to be the next U.S. president. The real election, in the opinion of some, should be between Newsom and Nikki Haley. DeSantis's debate performance was not a disaster, but his smile, which was a topic of conversation, was a distraction for some. Overall, the debate provided insight into the potential presidential contenders and their readiness for the role.

    • Focusing on keeping families together in foster careCEO Sixto Cancel emphasizes the importance of kinship care and prevention programs to keep children at home, and encourages states to prioritize family placements in foster care.

      The foster care system in the country needs significant changes, and a major focus should be placed on keeping families together whenever possible. Sixto Cancel, the CEO and founder of Think of Us, shared his personal experience of growing up in foster care and how he was inspired to create a nonprofit organization to transform the system. He emphasized the importance of kinship care, which involves placing children with their extended family members instead of unknown foster parents. Cancel also highlighted the need for a prevention department that provides resources and programs to keep children at home, and for states to prioritize placing children with their family members when they do enter the system. The Biden administration has made some progress in this area by making it easier for family members to foster and receive financial support, but more needs to be done to ensure that the foster care system prioritizes keeping families together.

    • Using Technology to Advocate for Foster ChildrenTechnology helped gather crucial info from foster youth during pandemic, leading to significant funding. More resources needed for family placement, and initiatives like Hershey model offer promising solutions.

      Technology is playing a crucial role in advocating for the needs of foster children and their extended families. During the pandemic, technology was used to gather crucial information from foster youth about their experiences and bring it to the attention of Congress, leading to significant funding for their support. However, the foster care system is complex, with foster parents ranging from those genuinely committed to helping children, to those motivated by financial survival. Proactive recruitment of potential foster parents who have the right qualities is essential, but it's not enough to address the current crisis. The system needs more resources to ensure children are placed with family members whenever possible, as research shows this leads to better outcomes for their emotional and mental health, education, and future employment prospects. Despite the challenges, initiatives like the Hershey model offer promising solutions for creating supportive foster care environments.

    • Improving Foster Care with Extended Family PlacementsLegislation and technology initiatives aim to streamline processes, prioritize extended family placements, and prevent children from entering foster care, ultimately keeping families together.

      The foster care system can be improved by prioritizing the placement of children with extended family members, but outdated technology and bureaucratic processes create barriers to this. For instance, in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, an organization called A Second Chance has a high school graduation rate of 95% for foster youth placed with extended family, compared to the national average of 85%. However, this isn't the norm due to the "foster industrial complex" and antiquated technology that makes it difficult to find and place children with family. The recent change in legislation allows for a streamlined process for extended family members to take in children while ensuring their safety. A collaborative funding initiative has provided $47.5 million over five years to build a technology called the "Lived Experience Engine," which will collect data to help states make informed decisions about preventing children from entering foster care and placing them with extended family members. The main challenge is changing people's beliefs about family and improving the foster care system's design. The tragic story of a 3-year-old boy who was beaten to death despite a court order for his removal highlights the need for better tools for workers on the front lines. Overall, technology can be a catalyst for change by providing the right information and data to support system reform efforts and keep families together.

    • Leveraging Technology and Personal Experiences for Meaningful SolutionsIncorporating technology, data, lived experiences, and a sense of responsibility can lead to impactful solutions in the child welfare sector and beyond, such as improving travel booking and enhancing customer service.

      Technology, data, and lived experience are essential elements in co-designing solutions for systemic reforms, particularly in the child welfare sector. Sixto Winkler, a guest on the podcast, emphasized the importance of using his personal experiences and insights to make a positive impact on the world. He shared his unique background in child welfare, technology, and systemic reform, and expressed his sense of responsibility and calling to this work. Scott, another guest, discussed the importance of prioritizing the lack of data in travel industry and how Viator is addressing this issue by providing a platform for booking guided tours, activities, and excursions in one place. The discussion also touched upon the importance of real traveler reviews, free cancellation, and 24/7 customer support for travelers. Overall, the conversation highlighted the significance of leveraging technology and personal experiences to create meaningful solutions in various industries.

    • Urgency in foreign policy and empathy's impactMark Esper, Mike Gallagher, and Liz Cheney discuss the need for swift action on foreign policy issues like Taiwan, Ukraine, and potential autocracy. Personal experiences with empathy and positive influences instilled values and helped avoid negative paths.

      There's a sense of urgency needed in foreign policy and our leadership, as discussed in interviews with Mark Esper, Mike Gallagher, and Liz Cheney. The slowness in addressing issues like Taiwan, Ukraine, and potential autocracy is a concern. On a personal note, the importance of empathy and positive influences was highlighted in the speaker's experience with integration in junior high school and the impact of the Jarvis family in his life. Despite challenges and lack of resources, their values instilled in him a sense of country, success, and sports that helped him avoid a potentially negative path.

    • The impact of personal experiences and relationshipsReflecting on unexpected encounters can reveal the importance of community, care for others, and shaping our perspectives and values.

      Personal experiences and relationships, no matter how unexpected, can have a profound impact on our lives. Derek's encounter with Mormon families led him to value their positive influence and made him reflect on the importance of community and care for others. This experience resonated with Kara, who also had a deep connection to religion growing up. The conversation also touched on the idea that the ultimate expression of masculinity lies in taking an irrational interest in the well-being of others and bringing them into one's own family. The show emphasized the importance of these experiences and relationships in shaping our perspectives and values, and encouraged listeners to reflect on their own formative experiences. Additionally, the episode touched on the importance of collaboration and positive outcomes in organizations, as exemplified by Atlassian's software.

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