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    E169: Elon sues OpenAI, Apple's decline, TikTok ban, Bitcoin $100K?, Science corner: Microplastics

    enMarch 08, 2024
    What are the reasons for Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI?
    How has OpenAI's status changed since Musk's involvement?
    What concerns have been raised about OpenAI's operations?
    What incident involving Epic Games highlights Apple's control issues?
    What factors suggest Apple's potential challenges in future growth?

    Podcast Summary

    • Elon Musk sues OpenAI for breach of contract and misrepresentationElon Musk is suing OpenAI for breach of contract, fiduciary duty, and unfair competition, alleging that the organization misled him about its mission and financial gains.

      Elon Musk is suing OpenAI, the organization he helped fund as a nonprofit focused on making artificial intelligence open source, for breach of contract, fiduciary duty, and unfair competition. Musk's argument is that OpenAI, which has since become a for-profit company, misled him by initially presenting itself as a nonprofit and then changing its mission. Musk is seeking to force OpenAI to open source its models and ensure that shareholders receive no financial benefit from the company. The case has sparked a heated debate on social media, with some arguing that OpenAI's actions were ethical and others siding with Musk. The outcome of the lawsuit remains to be seen, but it highlights the complexities and potential pitfalls of the relationship between philanthropy, nonprofits, and for-profit businesses in the tech industry.

    • Elon Musk's Lawsuit Against OpenAI: More Than EmotionsMusk's lawsuit against OpenAI involves potential tax implications of a non-profit creating a for-profit subsidiary, highlighting the importance of legal compliance in complex financial matters.

      Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI is not just about emotional betrayal or a disagreement over the name of the organization. It's also about the legal and financial implications of a potential tax loophole. Musk's concern stems from OpenAI's status as a non-profit that created a for-profit subsidiary to raise funds, which he believes could lead to significant tax implications. The case highlights the importance of following the law, especially when it comes to complex tax matters and large sums of money. The example of the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation's investment in a for-profit entity to develop a cure demonstrates the potential benefits of such an arrangement. Ultimately, the resolution of this case will likely depend on the rule of law and the potential financial consequences for all parties involved.

    • OpenAI's Complex Relationship with its For-Profit Entity and Nonprofit StatusThe ownership structure and stake of a nonprofit in a for-profit entity, along with its continued charitable activities, are crucial factors in determining its nonprofit status. OpenAI's relationship with Microsoft and its holding company may result in the OpenAI Foundation owning a significant but uncertain percentage.

      The complex relationship between a nonprofit organization, OpenAI, and its for-profit entity could determine its nonprofit status. Elon Musk recognized the need for significant investment to realize OpenAI's goals, leading to the creation of a for-profit entity. However, the key question is whether the nonprofit owns a meaningful stake in the for-profit. If it does, then the nonprofit maintains an investment interest. Another question is whether the nonprofit continues to engage in charitable activities. The IRS requires a certain amount of assets to be deployed annually for nonprofit status. The removal of nonprofit experts from the board could potentially be a concern. In cases like the Mozilla Foundation and Samasource, separate boards, no huge equity transfers to employees, and all money flowing back to the nonprofit were crucial. OpenAI's structure, with Microsoft owning a 49% stake in the for-profit entity, and the majority being owned by a holding company, suggests that the OpenAI Foundation may own between 5% to 20%. The IRS will likely scrutinize the ownership structure and require precise percentages to determine the nonprofit status.

    • OpenAI's Complex Structure and Potential ConcernsOpenAI's shift from open-source to for-profit model raises questions about transparency, fairness, and potential conflicts of interest, which could lead to reputational damage, legal challenges, and loss of public trust.

      The structure and operations of OpenAI, a leading artificial intelligence research lab, are under scrutiny due to concerns about transparency and potential attempts to avoid regulatory oversight or tax liabilities. The organization's shift from an open-source, nonprofit model to a closed, for-profit entity has raised questions about the fairness of the transfer of intellectual property and the role of the nonprofit arm, which owns a significant stake in the for-profit entity. The complexity of the structure, with various interconnected entities and potential conflicts of interest, adds to the uncertainty. The potential consequences of these issues include reputational damage, legal challenges, and the loss of public trust. It is essential for OpenAI to address these concerns transparently and demonstrate that its operations are in the best interests of the scientific community and the public.

    • Funding and ownership conflicts at OpenAIPerception of insiders profiting from OpenAI while keeping it closed source raises questions about alignment of incentives and mission fulfillment, potentially leading to IRS scrutiny and negative public perception

      The structure and transparency of the OpenAI project's funding and ownership have come under scrutiny due to potential conflicts of interest and perceived misalignment with its open-source mission. The discussion revolved around the creation of the OpenAI Fund, and whether Sam Altman, as its GP, had usurped a corporate opportunity that should have belonged to OpenAI. While the truth of the matter is unclear, the perception of insiders profiting from the project while keeping it closed source raises questions about the alignment of incentives and the fulfillment of the project's stated mission to benefit all of humanity. The potential implications of these issues include possible IRS scrutiny and negative public perception.

    • OpenAI's Transition from Non-Profit to For-Profit: Concerns over Concentration of AI Advancements and ProfitsThe transition of OpenAI from a non-profit to a for-profit company with Microsoft as a major investor raises concerns over the concentration of AI advancements and potential profits in the hands of a single powerful tech company, potentially affecting the entire nonprofit industry and the tax and structuring implications for future entrepreneurs.

      The discussion revolves around the controversial transition of OpenAI from a non-profit organization to a for-profit company, with Microsoft as a major investor. The concern raised is that this move, which was initially supposed to benefit humanity through open-source access, has instead led to the concentration of AI advancements and potential profits in the hands of a single powerful tech company. The speakers express skepticism about the safety concerns cited by OpenAI for not sharing the open-source code, suggesting instead that profit motives may have played a significant role in the decision. They also question the necessity of the large-scale equity grants and the sale of billions of dollars' worth of the nonprofit's intellectual property to Microsoft. The speakers suggest that if OpenAI truly acted in good faith and for the greater good, they should reconsider and open-source their work once again. However, this move could have implications beyond just the lawsuit, potentially affecting the entire nonprofit industry and the tax and structuring implications for future entrepreneurs.

    • OpenAI's Complex Ownership Structure Raises QuestionsOpenAI's unique ownership structure, with Elon Musk holding a large stake and Sam Altman having no formal equity despite his leadership role, has led to uncertainty about risks and returns for investors and regulatory scrutiny from the SEC.

      The complex ownership structure of OpenAI, a leading artificial intelligence research lab, has raised significant questions about equity distribution, moral obligations, and regulatory compliance. Elon Musk, a co-founder, reportedly holds a large stake due to early investments, but Sam Altman, the current CEO, has no formal equity despite his significant role. The organization operates as a non-profit, but it appears the economic value generated by the ecosystem could far exceed the value of the platform itself. This has led to discussions about restructuring the entity into a for-profit organization and giving Sam Altman a larger stake. The SEC is currently investigating the situation, and the LP investment agreement states that the partnership's mission takes precedence over generating a profit. This unusual structure has left investors uncertain about the potential risks and returns. The financial diligence process, typically handled by firms like KPMG or Deloitte, might not have fully addressed these concerns.

    • Debate over open vs closed source AI models raises ethical questionsThe pursuit of AGI raises concerns about job replacement and existential risks, but also offers potential to expand human potential and solve complex problems. The decision to keep models closed source is driven by financial considerations, and the definition of AGI varies.

      The debate around open versus closed source AI models raises important questions about the balance between advancing technology for the benefit of humanity and ensuring ethical practices. The example of OpenAI's mission to create artificial general intelligence (AGI) highlights this dilemma, as some argue that the pursuit of AGI could potentially replace human jobs and even pose existential risks. However, others view AGI as a tool that could significantly expand human potential and solve complex problems that were previously unimaginable. The decision to keep AI models closed source is often driven by the need for financial returns for investors. The term AGI is subject to interpretation, with some defining it as a system that can replace 80% of jobs, while others view it as a system that surpasses the intelligence of the smartest human being. Ultimately, the potential of AI is vast, and it's essential to approach its development with a clear understanding of its capabilities and potential consequences.

    • Understanding the Debate Around Artificial General IntelligenceRecent advancements in AI show promise of intelligence beyond human capabilities, but the definition and motives behind AGI remain debated. Tests like the Turing and IKEA tests evaluate AI intelligence, while the merger of Definitive Intelligence and Grok highlights progress.

      The definition of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is still unclear, leading to varying interpretations and debates. However, recent advancements in AI, such as the CLOG 3 model's ability to generate a quantum physicist's thesis, show promising signs of intelligence beyond human capabilities. Some in the tech community may have ulterior motives, desiring the creation of a superintelligent AI that surpasses humans. Tests like the Turing test and the IKEA test are used to evaluate AI intelligence, but the merger of Definitive Intelligence and Grok, and the growth of their developer community, highlights the exciting progress being made in the field.

    • Discussion on latest profit models and Apple's regulatory challengesParticipants discussed the latest profit models, with some expressing support despite limited access, while expressing concerns over Apple's monopolistic practices and regulatory challenges, including Epic Games' termination and $2 billion fine.

      The discussion revolved around the latest profit models launched by a company, which some participants expressed support for, despite not having access to it yet. The company, which has a history of collaboration with some of the participants, has limited the availability of the models to Llama and Mixtrel, while keeping other models in private mode. The participants also reminisced about their past business ventures and expressed appreciation for each other's contributions. Meanwhile, Apple is facing regulatory challenges in the EU regarding its App Store policies. Epic Games, a major iOS developer, was recently terminated from Apple's EU developer account after publicly criticizing Apple's compliance plan with the Digital Markets Act. Additionally, Apple was fined $2 billion by antitrust regulators for its anti-steering rules, which restrict music apps from informing users about pricing and discounts. The European Commission considers these practices anti-competitive, as Apple also runs Apple Music and charges a 30% commission. Saks, a participant in the discussion, shared his thoughts on the situation, expressing concern over Apple's monopolistic practices and the potential impact on smaller developers. The conversation also included suggestions of support for Epic Games and potential alternatives to Apple's App Store. Overall, the discussion highlighted the ongoing regulatory challenges for tech companies and the importance of fair business practices.

    • Apple's power and control in tech industry under scrutinyApple's removal of Epic Games from App Store raises concerns over free speech and tyrannical behavior. Apple's reliance on GDP growth, recent project failures, and decreased mentions in Buffett's letters hint at potential challenges ahead.

      Apple's heavy-handed treatment of Epic Games, leading to Epic's removal from the App Store, has raised concerns about Apple's power and control in the tech industry. This incident has been criticized as a violation of Epic's free speech and a sign of Apple's tyrannical behavior. Additionally, Apple's reliance on GDP growth and recent failures in new projects, such as Project Titan, have raised questions about its future prospects. Warren Buffett's decreased mentions of Apple in his annual letters also signal potential disengagement from the company. These factors, along with the stagnation of iPhone revenue, suggest that Apple may be facing a challenging period in the next five to ten years unless it can find new ways to grow and expand.

    • Feeling indifferent to new iPhone modelsThe speaker questions whether increasing costs and hassle of upgrading, as well as Android dominance, will prevent Apple from gaining market share in emerging markets. Apple may need to focus on expanding services to maintain profitability.

      The speaker shares his experience of feeling that the latest iPhone models are not compelling enough for him to upgrade, leading him to keep his old device for longer periods. He also mentions the increasing cost and hassle of upgrading, as well as the dominance of Android in the global market. The speaker raises the question of whether the high switching costs associated with moving from Android to iOS will prevent Apple from gaining market share in emerging markets, where Android devices are more affordable. He suggests that Apple may need to focus on expanding its services business to maintain profitability and growth, as the pool of potential new hardware products shrinks.

    • Apple's potential growth strategiesApple may consider acquisitions to expand and compete in various markets, such as cars and cloud services, while improving Siri using LLMs and local silicon.

      Apple, with its high-end devices like the Vision Pro, may need to consider expanding through acquisitions to become more ubiquitous and competitive in various markets, especially as they face challenges in executing projects internally. The discussion also touched upon Apple's past missed opportunity to buy Tesla and the potential for Apple to enter the car market or launch a large cloud service to compete with AWS and GCP. Additionally, the potential for Apple to improve Siri using LLMs and local silicon was mentioned as a significant upgrade for their devices. However, the execution of these ideas internally or through acquisitions remains uncertain.

    • AI integration in consumer products and data privacy concernsAI integration in consumer products could lead to significant upgrades but raises data privacy concerns, particularly with foreign companies like TikTok, leading to debates over potential bans or divestitures.

      The integration of advanced AI technology into consumer products, such as smartphones, could lead to significant upgrades and motivate users to upgrade their devices. However, concerns over data privacy and potential espionage, particularly with apps owned by foreign companies like TikTok, continue to raise alarms. The proposed bill to ban or force the divestiture of TikTok from the US app stores highlights these concerns, as the Chinese company's alleged ties to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) raise suspicions over potential data sharing. The ongoing debate underscores the need for transparency and evidence regarding data handling practices, as well as the potential risks and consequences of allowing foreign entities to operate within domestic markets. The recent Google AI IP case serves as a reminder of the motivation and capabilities of intelligence agencies to infiltrate organizations and access sensitive information.

    • TikTok as a Business IssueChina's access to TikTok's algorithms and data poses a significant threat to national security, and the app should be divested to mitigate this risk.

      TikTok should be viewed as a business issue, not a cultural one. Palmer Luckey's "law of equivalent exchange" suggests that if we cannot sell our data to China, they should not be able to sell TikTok to us. However, the potential consequences of China having access to TikTok's algorithms and data are significant. They could manipulate content to influence public opinion, shift elections, or even start wars. The algorithm's ability to automatically play the next video for users makes the ranking of content crucial, as users are more likely to see and be influenced by frequently shown content. This power is too great for China to have access to, and TikTok should be divested to ensure national security.

    • Social Media Influence and Election Interference: A Balanced PerspectiveMaintain a balanced perspective on social media influence and election interference, recognizing that most people make their own decisions based on all available information, while being vigilant against genuine interference and threat inflation.

      The influence of social media on elections and the fear of foreign interference are major concerns, but it's essential to maintain a balanced perspective. While some people may be influenced by social media, most believe they make their own decisions based on all available information. The suppression of certain information, like the New York Post story during the 2020 election, can be concerning, but it's crucial to differentiate between genuine election interference and threat inflation. Regarding Bitcoin, its recent surge to an all-time high can be attributed to the approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the US. Overall, it's important to stay informed and maintain a critical perspective on various issues, including social media influence, election interference, and financial markets.

    • Bitcoin's Growth and Health ImplicationsBitcoin's price could reach 100k due to acceptance, halving event reducing supply, and use as a stored value asset. Microplastics in the body from various sources could lead to health risks like heart attacks, strokes, and death.

      Bitcoin, represented by ETFs like BlackRock's, has experienced significant growth and acceptance in the financial world, with many predicting its price could reach 100k. The halving event in April reduces the supply of new bitcoins, potentially causing price swings. Bitcoin's technological stability and reliability, along with its use as a stored value asset, have contributed to its resilience and increasing popularity. However, concerns about microplastics in the human body, which were highlighted in a study, could have serious health implications, including a higher risk of heart attacks, strokes, and death. These findings underscore the importance of reducing exposure to microplastics and highlight the potential risks associated with their accumulation in the body.

    • Microplastics and nanoplastics in PET and PVC plastics can trigger inflammatory responses and increase health risksExposure to microplastics and nanoplastics can lead to increased inflammation, potential health risks, and a higher chance of mortality or cardiovascular events. Minimizing exposure by using alternatives like glass, cans, and stainless steel is essential.

      Microplastics and nanoplastics, commonly found in PET and PVC plastics, can bind to key immune cells and trigger inflammatory responses in the body. This can lead to increased inflammation and potential health risks, including a higher chance of mortality or cardiovascular events. These plastics, which are ubiquitous in our water and food supply, can accumulate in our bodies over time. The study mentioned that half of the patients had these particles in their bodies, and they faced a four and a half times higher risk of mortality or cardiovascular events within 34 months. The particles were also found to act as scaffolding for plaque, potentially accelerating its growth. While avoiding plastic entirely is challenging, it's essential to minimize exposure as much as possible. Glass, cans, and stainless steel are better alternatives. However, the environmental and financial costs of these alternatives can be significant. It's a complex issue with no easy solution, but being aware of the risks and taking steps to reduce exposure is a good start.

    • Considering the impact of our actions on othersBe mindful of how our actions affect others and consider taking action to reduce negative impacts, as small actions can have a ripple effect.

      While personal opinions may differ, it's important to consider the impact of our actions on others. The friend in this conversation expressed concern about the use of plastic and urged the other to stop, acknowledging that the threshold for concern may vary between individuals. The conversation also touched upon the power of taking action and the ripple effect it can have, as seen in the example of open-sourcing winning ideas to fans. Ultimately, the conversation underscores the importance of being mindful of our actions and considering the potential impact they may have on those around us.

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    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WMT:NYSE

    https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/kamala-harriss-economic-team-and-agenda-start-to-take-shape-7682e539

    https://time.com/7009317/reintroduction-of-kamala-harris

    https://x.com/TIME/status/1822951410956218385

    https://www.axios.com/2024/08/11/kamala-harris-trump-taxes-tips-service-workers

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries

    https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2019-annual-letter

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BA:NYSE

    https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1413855

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/07/26/boeing-starliner-astronauts-stuck-orbit-space-station

    https://spacenews.com/41891nasa-selects-boeing-and-spacex-for-commercial-crew-contracts

    https://newatlas.com/space/first-manned-crew-dragon-flight-date

    https://qph.cf2.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-26d9f1dddb4d24469b593b28f40d277b-lq

    https://spaceflightnow.com/2016/08/02/boeing-nears-fix-for-cst-100-starliner-design-hitch

    https://spacenews.com/crewed-starliner-test-flight-could-slip-to-2019

    https://spaceflightnow.com/2020/02/28/boeing-says-thorough-testing-would-have-caught-starliner-software-problems

    https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/08/19/boeings-starliner-spacecraft-returns-to-processing-facility-for-valve-work

    https://www.boeing.com/space/starliner/launch/archive.html

    https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch

    https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia

    https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/nord-stream-pipeline-explosion-real-story-da24839c

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/03/nord-stream-bombing-yacht-andromeda

    https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4O8rGRLf8

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ild-PsPD_Uw

    Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz

    Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz

    (0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID!

    (3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues

    (27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"?

    (45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position

    (55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes

    (1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate

    Follow the besties:

    https://twitter.com/chamath

    https://twitter.com/Jason

    https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

    https://twitter.com/friedberg

    Follow on X:

    https://twitter.com/theallinpod

    Follow on Instagram:

    https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

    Follow on TikTok:

    https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

    Follow on LinkedIn:

    https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

    Intro Music Credit:

    https://rb.gy/tppkzl

    https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

    Intro Video Credit:

    https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

    Referenced in the show:

    https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/covid-guidelines-2024-cdc-symptoms-contagious-cdefb6b8

    https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate

    https://pebblewriter.com/the-yen-carry-trade-explained

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/604424/median-age-of-the-population-in-japan

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japans-nov-core-consumer-inflation-hits-fresh-40-year-high-2022-12-22

    https://x.com/GoldmanSachs/status/1793998451291615316

    https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/boj-wont-raise-rates-when-markets-are-unstable-deputy-gov-says-6f4bf962

    https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html

    https://www.wsj.com/finance/the-u-s-government-will-soon-spend-more-on-interest-payments-than-defense-ee6fbeec

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/business/archegos-bill-hwang-guilty.html

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-08/jpmorgan-says-three-quarters-of-global-carry-trades-now-unwound

    https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/job-growth-totals-114000-in-july-much-less-than-expected-as-unemployment-rate-rises-to-4point3percent.html

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE

    https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.IXIC:INDEXNASDAQ

    https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-07-2024/card/airbnb-stock-slides-after-rental-company-warns-of-slowing-u-s-demand-inf2c6emjcl5KI7KmkfR

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ

    https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1799085407394845087

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/gurufocus/2024/02/15/warren-buffett-bolsters-chevron-stake-revealing-key-q4-moves

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ

    https://www.ft.com/content/2aa3b542-d4e4-4afb-8d81-89bb734d7b17

    https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25032786-googleruling

    https://x.com/Jason/status/1820823406503157764

    https://x.com/chamath/status/1817893425137508474

    https://www.vox.com/2018/10/31/18039528/tech-employees-politics-liberal-employers-candidates

    https://www.natesilver.net/p/tim-walz-is-a-minnesota-nice-choice

    https://x.com/NickFondacaro/status/1820840411335737852

    https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820918063966962143

    https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/08/06/politics/tim-walz-inside-harris-vp-pick

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/us/politics/vance-walz-military-record.html

    https://x.com/PokerGO/status/1818836856890704291

    Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

    Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

    (0:00) Bestie intros!

    (0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain

    (19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky?

    (33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession?

    (40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility

    (45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East?

    (1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO

    Follow the besties:

    https://twitter.com/chamath

    https://twitter.com/Jason

    https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

    https://twitter.com/friedberg

    Follow on X:

    https://twitter.com/theallinpod

    Follow on Instagram:

    https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

    Follow on TikTok:

    https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

    Follow on LinkedIn:

    https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

    Intro Music Credit:

    https://rb.gy/tppkzl

    https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

    Intro Video Credit:

    https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

    Referenced in the show:

    https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech

    https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title

    https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012

    https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572

    https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784

    https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e

    https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs

    https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html

    https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html

    https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html

    https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp

    https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17

    Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG

    Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG

    (0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears!

    (3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO

    (13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week

    (17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off?

    (22:47) Sam Altman's UBI study was a mixed bag

    (42:02) Succession IRL: Rupert Murdoch's children are in a legal battle over the future of his media empire

    (48:35) Biden out, Kamala in: Hot swap complete, speed-run primary subverted

    (1:03:08) Antisemitism rising, Josh Shapiro as a VP candidate

    (1:08:37) Sacks responds to smear campaign

    (1:26:46) Science Corner: China's nuclear buildout

    Follow the besties:

    https://twitter.com/chamath

    https://twitter.com/Jason

    https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

    https://twitter.com/friedberg

    Follow on X:

    https://twitter.com/theallinpod

    Follow on Instagram:

    https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

    Follow on TikTok:

    https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

    Follow on LinkedIn:

    https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

    Intro Music Credit:

    https://rb.gy/tppkzl

    https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

    Intro Video Credit:

    https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

    Referenced in the show:

    https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/google-wiz-deal-dead.html

    https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-71924-big-tech

    https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/12/snowflake-shares-slip-after-att-says-hackers-accessed-data.html

    https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2024/07/crowdstrike-blames-testing-bugs-for-security-update-that-took-down-8-5m-windows-pcs

    https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/falcon-update-for-windows-hosts-technical-details

    https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/23/business/delta-flight-cancellations/index.html

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRWD:NASDAQ

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ

    https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/alphabet-set-to-report-q2-earnings-results-after-the-bell.html

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE

    https://public.websites.umich.edu/~mille/ORUS_Health.pdf

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/business/media/rupert-murdoch-succession-fox.html

    https://apnews.com/article/fox-news-dominion-lawsuit-trial-trump-2020-0ac71f75acfacc52ea80b3e747fb0afe

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/07/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-democrats-endorsement-list.html

    https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4790684-kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-wisconsin

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/05/us/politics/biden-interview-stephanopoulos-abc.html

    https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/biden-no-ones-pushing-me-out-00166497

    https://www.axios.com/2024/07/23/inside-harris-sprint-democratic-nomination

    https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/why-biden-dropped-out-00170106

    https://apnews.com/article/biden-election-trump-democrats-329071c25dfaaae583b5f06184586267

    https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320

    https://x.com/paulg/status/1816334112086712830

    https://x.com/paulg/status/1771640321446683060

    https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/admin/2017/33-10429.pdf

    https://x.com/mwseibel/status/1816542692727488784

    Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem

    Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem

    (0:00) Bestie intros: Live from the RNC!

    (1:34) Reacting to the assassination attempt against President Trump

    (12:52) Impact of charged rhetoric

    (21:15) Secret Service's massive failure; institutional decay

    (37:02) Inside the RNC: Sacks breaks down his speech

    (41:16) Trump picks JD Vance as his running mate

    (58:52) All-In Summit scholarship applications are LIVE!

    (59:46) VC update: Exits creeping back, Sequoia's secondary offering for Stripe, Google in talks to acquire Wiz for $23B

    Apply for the All-In Summit:

    https://summit.allinpodcast.co

    Follow the besties:

    https://twitter.com/chamath

    https://twitter.com/Jason

    https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

    https://twitter.com/friedberg

    Follow on X:

    https://twitter.com/theallinpod

    Follow on Instagram:

    https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

    Follow on TikTok:

    https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

    Follow on LinkedIn:

    https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

    Intro Music Credit:

    https://rb.gy/tppkzl

    https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

    Intro Video Credit:

    https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

    Sacks RNC speech:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLArznk0Ns4

    Jason's links (16:34):

    https://pt.icct.nl/article/donald-trump-aggressive-rhetoric-and-political-violence

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html

    https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it

    Referenced in the show:

    https://www.foxnews.com/us/trumps-attempted-assassin-posted-message-before-shooting-july-13-my-premiere-watch-unfolds

    https://abcnews.go.com/US/trump-assassination-attempt-investigation-continues-new-details/story?id=112020474

    https://x.com/TeslaVee/status/1813785645472690479

    https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/08/politics/fact-check-trump-january-6/index.html

    https://x.com/DylanByers/status/1811855698566975936

    https://x.com/newrepublic/status/1810009748697448541

    https://pt.icct.nl/sites/default/files/import/pdf/nacos-et-al.pdf

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html

    https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it

    https://apnews.com/article/trump-rubio-vance-burgum-scott-stefanik-vp-11ec39b0da11152ad110ff987d4eaeee

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pot7R0Affjs

    https://x.com/cb_doge/status/1813289249288134660

    https://x.com/mualphaxi/status/1812579998735491327

    https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1813270784942494110

    https://theintercept.com/2022/07/14/jan-6-texts-deleted-secret-service

    https://x.com/yashar/status/1813757637584134615

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/16/us/politics/trump-vance-vp-decision.html

    https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1812929198433964249

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/17/peter-thiel-boosted-jd-vance-career/74397520007

    https://x.com/RitaPanahi/status/1813790835332595863

    https://x.com/RWTNews/status/1813779819697725669

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4FnpoNU8AI

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xejs4gGUpjE

    https://www.axios.com/2024/07/15/sequoia-capital-stripe

    https://www.wsj.com/business/deals/google-near-23-billion-deal-for-cybersecurity-startup-wiz-622edf1a

    https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor-first-look

    https://www.axios.com/2024/07/18/president-biden-drop-out-election-democrats

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJP2zlH2nt8

    https://www.semafor.com/article/07/17/2024/donors-cash-is-drying-up-jeffrey-katzenberg-warns-biden-in-private-meeting

    Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections

    Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections

    (0:00) Bestie intros!

    (4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Plus: partisan economic perception

    (20:48) AI sentiment turns bearish due to massive spend with little revenue

    (40:51) A16Z's 20K GPU cluster

    (46:41) Broad implications of France elections

    (1:06:10) Hot swap update: President Biden holds firm as backers flee, press corps chaos, speed-run primary chances

    Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co

    Follow the besties:

    https://twitter.com/chamath

    https://twitter.com/Jason

    https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

    https://twitter.com/friedberg

    Follow on X:

    https://twitter.com/theallinpod

    Follow on Instagram:

    https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

    Follow on TikTok:

    https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

    Follow on LinkedIn:

    https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

    Intro Music Credit:

    https://rb.gy/tppkzl

    https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

    Intro Video Credit:

    https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

    Referenced in the show:

    https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/1811423421861113915

    https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/11/cpi-inflation-report-june-2024.html

    https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-071124/card/odds-of-a-september-rate-cut-jump-as-inflation-cools-Du34tNx5OPXwQpXrKTT2

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

    https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_pe_ratio

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-analysis-americans-rate-economy-partisan-lens

    https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240709188/heres-how-far-the-dow-has-fallen-behind-the-sp-500-so-far-in-2024

    https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw

    https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/ais-600b-question

    https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/gs-research/gen-ai-too-much-spend-too-little-benefit/report.pdf

    https://www.theinformation.com/articles/andreessen-horowitz-is-building-a-stash-of-more-than-20-000-gpus-to-win-ai-deals

    https://x.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13594307/french-election-candidates-drop-rn-le-pen-victory.html

    https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1810110921383010563

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/opinion/joe-biden-democratic-nominee.html

    https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/07/11/what-obama-and-pelosi-are-doing-about-biden-00167520

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/disastrous-biden-campaign-fundraising-takes-major-hit-rcna161214

    https://x.com/greenfield64/status/1811199262350532767

    https://x.com/Olivianuzzi/status/1808924240529535352

    https://x.com/peterjhasson/status/1811052411584164210

    https://youtu.be/kOeARghNIaY

    https://www.semafor.com/article/07/07/2024/blitz-primary-could-open-up-democratic-race-if-biden-drops-out

    The Jonathan Haidt Interview

    The Jonathan Haidt Interview

    (0:00) New format: The All-In Interview!

    (0:59) Jonathan Haidt joins Jason and Friedberg: broader themes of his work, gamification and supercharged social media

    (12:39) Understanding how humans are wired from an evolutionary biology perspective

    (27:22) Haidt's proposals to help younger generations

    (33:12) Linking themes and trends in Haidt's books with recent college protests

    (48:17) Explaining traditional liberalism and conservatism

    (56:55) Lightning Round: Parenting tips, Gen Z employees

    Jonathan's website:

    https://jonathanhaidt.com

    Buy The Anxious Generation:

    https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/book

    Follow the besties:

    https://twitter.com/chamath

    https://twitter.com/Jason

    https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

    https://twitter.com/friedberg

    Follow on X:

    https://twitter.com/theallinpod

    Follow on Instagram:

    https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

    Follow on TikTok:

    https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

    Follow on LinkedIn:

    https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

    Intro Music Credit:

    https://rb.gy/tppkzl

    https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

    Intro Video Credit:

    https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

    Referenced in the show:

    https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/take-action

    https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1385350

    https://www.azquotes.com/quote/926752

    https://www.thecoddling.com/chapter-1-antifragility

    https://www.anxiousgeneration.com

    https://www.afterbabel.com

    https://letgrow.org

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    DomainSherpa Review – February 1, 2024: Minivans and Tank Engines

    DomainSherpa Review – February 1, 2024: Minivans and Tank Engines
    (Aired February 1, 2024) Minivans and Tank Engines - Get into the minds of the Sherpas with this DomainSherpa Review! In this show, The Sherpas play The Domain Game (starting at the 8:05 mark), where they guess what certain domains were bought and sold for by the Sherpas and discuss the reasons behind their evaluations. Today's domains are Infrared.com, CUTU.com, VEYA.com, BUSK.com, and Sonata.com. The Sherpas discuss the recent sales of Transformational.com and 469.com. The Sherpas review a list of domains about to come up for auction on NameJet.com, including EnergyStore.com, HomeInsulation.com, and BarKeep.com. They briefly review the portfolio of an audience member, who currently has the domains listed on NameJet, including BananaSplit.com, Juanita.com, StrongBody.com, and FunShop.com, with the full list of domains included in the show notes. The Sherpas also discuss the idea of a "neoregistrar", a term recently introduced on social media by Michael Cyger, and how those types of hybrid entities could impact domains. Also, DomainSherpa is now integrating with Muse.ai for episode transcripts and an AI-driven video player to easily look for topics, words, phrases, etc., and jump to the points in the video where they occur. Let us know your feedback! Plus, all DomainSherpa podcasts are now up on our YouTube channel at DS.tv and much more! JT is joined by Drew & Josh - so be sure to tune in!!

    DomainSherpa Review – January 11, 2024: 2k24x7

    DomainSherpa Review – January 11, 2024: 2k24x7
    (Aired January 11, 2024) 2k24x7 - Get into the minds of the Sherpas with this DomainSherpa Review! In this show, The Sherpas skip The Domain Game as we slide into the new year and catch up with Drew on his groundbreaking interview with Tim Ferriss and his recent trip to the Far East. The Sherpas review a list of domains about to come up for auction on NameJet.com, including Arnica.com, FarmEquipment.com, and ContractLaw.com. The Sherpas discuss the start of the New Year and 2024's outlook. They briefly talk about the approval of Bitcoin ETFs and what that means for crypto and domain names. Chris breaks down the different domain buyer types and related strategies. The Sherpas also mention the upcoming ICA meetup next week in Las Vegas. Also, DomainSherpa is now integrating with Muse.ai for episode transcripts and an AI-driven video player to easily look for topics, words, phrases, etc., and jump to the points in the video where they occur. Let us know your feedback! Plus, all DomainSherpa podcasts are now up on our YouTube channel at DS.tv and much more! JT is joined by Drew & Chris - so be sure to tune in!!

    DomainSherpa Review – December 7, 2023: Up and Adam

    DomainSherpa Review – December 7, 2023: Up and Adam
    (Aired December 7, 2023) Up and Adam - Get into the minds of the Sherpas with this DomainSherpa Review! In this show, the Sherpas play The Domain Game (starting at the 19:47 mark), where they guess what certain domains were bought and sold for and discuss the reasons behind their evaluations. Today's domains are GolfCops.com, AlphaX.com, EleventhHour.org, and LoveLockets.com. The Sherpas review a list of domains about to come up for auction on NameJet.com, including HyperFocus.com, SkiLodge.com, and ChildProdigy.com. The Sherpas celebrate Adam's birthday. They briefly discuss Tesla's recent Cybertruck news and AI robots as well. The Sherpas also mention the upcoming ICA meetup in Las Vegas. Don't forget to register for the event today at https://www.zeffy.com/en-US/ticketing/fd1a0898-0982-463a-beaf-24535c27e860 and book your hotel before it's too late at https://book.passkey.com/go/InternetCommerce2024 Also, DomainSherpa is now integrating with Muse.ai for episode transcripts and an AI-driven video player to easily look for topics, words, phrases, etc., and jump to the points in the video where they occur. Let us know your feedback! Plus, all DomainSherpa podcasts are now up on our YouTube channel at DS.tv and much more! JT is joined by Drew, Ammar, & Adam - so be sure to tune in!!

    How Sam Altman’s Bromance With Elon Musk Turned Toxic

    How Sam Altman’s Bromance With Elon Musk Turned Toxic
    Sam Altman once called Elon Musk, one of his OpenAI co-founders, his hero. Now Musk is suing Altman, accusing him of abandoning OpenAI’s founding mission in pursuit of profit, which OpenAI denies. WSJ’s Berber Jin reports on the highs and lows of a Silicon Valley’s bromance.  Further Reading: - How the Bromance Between Elon Musk and Sam Altman Turned Toxic  - Elon Musk Sues OpenAI, Sam Altman, Saying They Abandoned Founding Mission  Further Listening: - Artificial: The OpenAI Story  - Money, Drugs, Elon Musk and Tesla’s Board  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Artificial: Episode 1, The Dream

    Artificial: Episode 1, The Dream
    In 2015, a group of Silicon Valley heavy-hitters met for a dinner that would change tech history. They believed that the time had come to build a super-intelligent AI, and they founded a non-profit lab to try to do it. In part 1 of our series, Artificial: The OpenAI Story, we explore the company’s idealistic origins and speak with early employees about the struggle to make their AI dream a reality. Further Reading: - Elon Musk Tries to Direct AI—Again  - The Contradictions of Sam Altman, AI Crusader  Further Listening: - The Company Behind ChatGPT  - The Hidden Workforce That Helped Filter Violence and Abuse Out of ChatGPT   - OpenAI’s Weekend of Absolute Chaos  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices