Election podcast 4 with special guest Mure Dickie

Participants:

• Dr Hannah Randolph, Associate Economist, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde
• Professor Mairi Spowage, Director, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde

Timestamps:

(00:30) The state of the Scottish economy

(03:20) Scotland's pandemic recovery

(07:40) Last thoughts on the Scottish Budget

(09:50) Future fiscal events and funding decisions

Participants:

• Dr Hannah Randolph, Associate Economist, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde
• Professor Mairi Spowage, Director, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde
• João Sousa, Deputy Director, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde

Timestamps:

(00:30) Challenges in economic forecasting; growth in 2023

(04:55) Uncertainty in measuring the economy

(06:50) The Labour Force Survey and labour force estimates

(11:45) 25 years of the Scottish Business Monitor

(15:50) Income tax analysis

(22:00) Upcoming research: Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy

(25:30) Impact of increasing interest rates 

Participants:

• Dr Hannah Randolph, Economist, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde
• Professor Mairi Spowage, Director, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde
• João Sousa, Deputy Director, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde

Timestamps:

(00:25) The challenging backdrop to the Scottish Budget

(05:28)  The impact of the Autumn Statement on the Scottish Budget

(08:33) Spending commitments from the Scottish Government since the Medium-Term Financial Strategy

(13:55) Options for reforming Scottish Income Tax

(22:51) The Scottish Government's constraints on borrowing

(26:49) Main areas to look out for on Budget Day

Participants:

• João Sousa, Deputy Director, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde
• Professor Mairi Spowage, Director, Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde

Timestamps:

(00:28) Economic forecasts for growth and inflation

(03:03) Fiscal drag and its consequences

(06:50) National Insurance cuts

(08:45) Spending settlements for departments and devolved administrations remain tight - are they realistic?

(13:03) Consequences for Scotland

(17:17) What does this mean in the context of a looming general election?

Chair: Kate Milne, Assistant Economist, Fraser of Allander Institute

Guests: João Sousa, Deputy Director, Fraser of Allander Institute

Timestamps

(00:21) What can we expect from the budget next week?

(02:13) Could recent GDP revisions lead to looser fiscal policy?

(04:46) How might households and businesses be affected?

(06:49) What could the Chancellor do to spur on investment?

(10:28) How do things look for the Scottish economy?

Chair: Hannah Randolph, Associate Economist, Fraser of Allander Institute

Guests: David Jack, Economic Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute

Chirsty McFadyen, Associate Economist, Fraser of Allander Institute

Timestamps:

(00:25) Previous work on learning disabilities

(01:45) Data on people with learning disabilities

(11:15) Recommendations for data collection and use 

(20:15) Looking ahead - more on data 

(27:05) Looking ahead - qualitative work 

Chair
Ben Cooper, Associate Economist

Guests
Adam McGeoch, Fellow Economist 

Timestamps
(00:30) A general economic update 
(07:50) Are we heading for a recession? 
(10:54) Are businesses feeling more optimistic? 
(14:09)  What are the main issues concerning firms right now? 

Timestamps

(00:24) Latest GDP data from the ONS

(02:30) IMF forecast of UK economy in 2023

(05:08) UK Statistical Authority weighs in on proper use of data 

(07:48) What have we seen so far from the FM

(09:37) The road ahead for Humza Yousaf 

Chair 
Ben Cooper, Associate Economist 

Guests
Professor Mairi Spowage, Director
Hannah Randolph, Economic and Policy Analyst

Timestamps 
(00:31) The latest findings from the Economic Commentary 

(02:43) A review of the latest Scottish and UK economic data 

(04:16) What does the data suggest about the ongoing cost of living crisis? 

(05:55:) Economic inactivity and the Scottish labour market

(08:07) The spring statement and implications for Scotland 

(13:37) Looking forward to the Scottish Business Monitor and the issues facing Scottish firms 

Chair: Calum Fox, Economist, The Fraser of Allander Institute.

Guest: Mairi Spowage, Director, Fraser of Allander Institute.

Time Stamps:

(00:48) The OBR's GDP forecast.

(02:52) The OBR's inflation forecast.

(O4:22) The UK's public finances.

(07:31) What is the UK budget and why is it important?

(09:36) What additional funding does the Chancellor's announcements generate?

(11:15) Changes to childcare support.

(14:41) The Energy Bills Support Scheme.

(17:55) Disability Payment reforms.

(20:15) Changes to alcohol duty.