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    Election Week 5: The Beginning of the End – with Gavin Esler and Ros Taylor

    enJune 28, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • NordVPN benefitsNordVPN offers access to restricted content and ensures online privacy with features like IP masking and threat protection, especially important for travelers or those in censored areas. Listeners can enjoy a special discount.

      NordVPN provides a solution for accessing restricted content and ensuring online privacy, especially important for travelers or those in areas with censorship. With features like IP masking, threat protection, and a special discount for Oh God What Now listeners, NordVPN offers peace of mind for safe and uninterrupted access to favorite streams, websites, and data. Meanwhile, in political news, the Conservative government's tenure may be coming to an end as the polls indicate a shift towards a new administration, potentially bringing about change in the coming weeks.

    • 2024 UK ElectionThe 2024 UK Election is a tight race, with voters carefully considering their options and the potential impact of tactical voting on the outcome.

      The 2024 UK election is not a done deal for any party, and voters are increasingly considering tactical voting due to the country's first-past-the-post system. The election campaign has left many feeling poorer, sicker, and lonelier, and the recent shift in labour messages reflects growing concerns about voter complacency and the potential impact of tactical voting. The memory of past elections, such as Neil Kinnock's loss in 1992, has instilled a deep sense of caution in the Labour Party, leading them to focus on getting out the vote and preventing tactical voting against them. The last TV debate of the campaign saw a more aggressive Rishi Sunak, but it remains unclear whether the debates will have any significant impact on the election outcome. Overall, the election is shaping up to be a tight race, with voters weighing their options carefully and considering the potential consequences of their votes.

    • Political debatesDebates offer insights into leaders' character but may not persuade or inform viewers with new policy ideas, and historical examples suggest other factors often influence election outcomes.

      Debates can provide insights into the character of political leaders but may not be effective in conveying new or persuasive policy information. The speaker noted that the recent debates had declining viewership and that audiences seemed unimpressed with rehearsed opinions. They also expressed skepticism towards the influence of the media in shaping election outcomes, citing historical examples where other factors played a larger role. Ultimately, while debates may not be the game-changer in elections, they can still offer valuable insights into the personalities and approaches of those seeking to lead.

    • Media's impact on electionsMedia's impact on elections may not be significant during election times, but crucial months leading up to elections shape public discourse, and the effectiveness and tone of political ads matter.

      While the media's coverage of political issues and endorsements can influence public opinion, their impact may not be significant during election times. Instead, the months leading up to elections are crucial when particular issues gain attention and shape public discourse. The speaker also noted that the influence of tabloid newspapers may not be as strong as they believe, as their readers are more diverse than assumed. Additionally, the speaker questioned the effectiveness and tone of recent Conservative Party ads, which seem desperate and divisive. Overall, the discussion emphasized the complex role of media in shaping public opinion and the importance of nuanced and thoughtful political discourse.

    • Conservative Party communication strategyThe Conservative Party's communication strategy has been criticized for being misaligned and ineffective, with the 'stop the boats' pledge and ongoing gambling scandal overshadowing policy discussions and potentially damaging the party's reputation.

      The Conservative Party's communications and policies have been criticized for being misaligned and ineffective, as evidenced by the "stop the boats" pledge made during a calm week in August and the ongoing gambling scandal. The "stop the boats" announcement, which was intended to address migration concerns, was undermined by its timing and the inclusion of products made outside the UK in a promotional image. The gambling scandal, while not illegal, has overshadowed policy discussions and may negatively impact the party's reputation. The speaker suggests that the Conservative Party could benefit from a change in communications strategy and potentially new leadership.

    • Political Consequences of Appeasing PutinAppeasing Putin's regime is a political liability and can result in backlash from the public, especially in regards to human rights abuses and perceived connections to Putin.

      The speaker expresses concern over the actions of some politicians who seem to have a different moral compass than the general public. Specifically, they mention Faraj and his perceived connections to Putin, and the potential political consequences of appearing to be soft on Putin's regime. Despite this, Reform Party is still making progress but not surpassing the Tories. The speaker emphasizes the importance of standing up against Putin's human rights abuses, such as the murders of Litvinenko and Navalny, and the attempted poisonings in London and Salisbury. Appeasing Putin is seen as a political liability, and the leader of the Reform Party would likely face backlash for any perceived coziness with the Russian leader.

    • UKIP's controversial languageUKIP and its leader Nigel Farage have faced scrutiny for homophobic and racist language from a campaigner, raising concerns about party leadership and candidate vetting. The importance of character and accountability in politics is highlighted.

      The UK Independence Party (UKIP) and its leader Nigel Farage have been under scrutiny for the controversial language used by a campaigner in their ranks, raising questions about the party's leadership and the individuals it attracts. Farage has previously blamed the drop in polls on the quality of his candidates, but recent investigations by Channel 4 uncovered homophobic and racist language from a UKIP campaigner in Platon, where Farage is standing. This behavior would not be tolerated in other major political parties, but it seems to be a pattern within UKIP. Additionally, there have been issues with the vetting process for UKIP candidates, with Farage expressing frustration over the company hired to vet them. The vetting story, along with Farage's defensiveness, highlights the importance of character and accountability in politics, as well as the potential consequences of questionable associations and actions.

    • Biden 2024Biden's candidacy for 2024 may not be successful due to poor performance and shifting blame during debates. Democrats must consider a brokered convention or selecting a new candidate to prevent Trump's re-election.

      The ongoing political drama surrounding certain leaders often involves shifting blame and poor performance, as seen in the case of the Biden-Trump debate. Despite Biden's past accomplishments, his candidacy for 2024 may not be successful, and the Democrats are left in a difficult position. A brokered convention could be an option for selecting a new candidate, but ultimately, the priority for American democracy is ensuring that Trump does not win in 2024. The debate highlighted Trump's continued use of untruths, but Biden's inability to effectively counter them. It's clear that some tough decisions need to be made for the sake of the country. Biden, who is reportedly aware of his limitations as a candidate, may need to step back and allow the party to choose a more viable nominee.

    • Biden's potential resignationBiden's potential resignation could leave the Democrats in a tough spot, with Kamala Harris as a potential replacement causing division, and finding a new candidate in August being challenging. Failure to act effectively could harm both Biden and the Democratic Party.

      The possibility of Joe Biden stepping down as the Democratic nominee for President, due to his perceived incoherence, leaves uncertainty and potential challenges for the Democratic Party. If this were to happen in August, finding a replacement candidate could be difficult, but American politics have a way of making the impossible possible. Kamala Harris, as the Vice President, is a potential candidate, but her selection could cause division among voters. The Democrats have talented potential candidates like Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, and Gavin Newsom. However, the ultimate decision rests with Biden and his advisors. The biggest danger is that both Biden and the Democratic Party could appear weak to ordinary Americans if they fail to act effectively.

    • Political Disappointment in AmericaMany Americans feel let down by current political leadership and question the ability of candidates to do the right thing, leaving some to consider alternative solutions

      The current political situation in America leaves many feeling disappointed with the leadership on offer. The inability of political figures to persuade each other to do the right thing was a common theme in the discussion. The comedian's response that neither of the current candidates are the best America has to offer was echoed by the speaker. With most Americans sharing this sentiment, the question then becomes what can be done about it. On a lighter note, the speaker shared his plans for the probable last weekend of the Conservative government in the UK, including going to the beach and having a barbecue. For those interested in ad-free episodes and access to the election night live show, consider supporting Oh God What Now? on Patreon.

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