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    Ep. 1499 - Joe Biden’s Stagflation Cannot Be Escaped

    enMay 20, 2022

    Podcast Summary

    • Economic Challenges and Consumer DebtAmidst economic concerns, consumer debt in car loans, personal loans, and credit cards is on the rise, potentially leading to another financial crisis. The Biden administration's policies and the ongoing pandemic contribute to these economic woes, prompting investors to seek safety in bonds and consumers to explore affordable alternatives like PureTalk.

      The economy is facing serious challenges, with concerns of a potential recession and rising unemployment claims. Meanwhile, consumer debt, particularly in the areas of car loans, personal loans, and credit cards, is becoming a concern, hinting at the possibility of another subprime mortgage crisis. The Biden administration's policies and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic are contributing to these economic woes. Additionally, investors are seeking safety in bonds as they become increasingly uncertain about the economy. Consumers looking for alternatives to "woke" wireless networks are turning to companies like PureTalk, which offers affordable plans and veteran-owned customer service.

    • Subprime borrowers face rising delinquency rates and potential mortgage defaultsSubprime borrowers, older Americans, and those hit hardest by inflation and expired benefits are at risk of mortgage defaults as delinquency rates for credit cards, personal loans, and car loans approach pre-pandemic levels, with the Fed's expected interest rate hikes adding to the financial strain.

      The delinquency rates for subprime credit cards, personal loans, and car loans are on the rise and nearing pre-pandemic levels. This trend is particularly concerning as the Federal Reserve is expected to increase interest rates, which could lead to a real estate bubble burst and more mortgage defaults. Subprime borrowers, who may have lower incomes or less savings, are being hit hardest by inflation and the expiration of government benefits. Older Americans, who were expected to retire but are now being forced back into the workforce due to inflation, are also struggling to make ends meet. This could lead to a serious problem in the mortgage market, with millions of older Americans and others defaulting on loans. The labor market recovery is not evenly distributed, with older workers making a more complete recovery than younger workers, who are still lagging in terms of labor force participation.

    • Older workers returning to workforce could lead to lower wagesEconomic rebound surprises with vigor, but older workers returning could lower wages and inflation causes concerns for fixed income Americans, with potential for stagflation

      The economic rebound from the pandemic has surprised many with its vigor, despite fears of early retirements due to health concerns. However, older workers are returning to the workforce, which could lead to lower wages due to increased labor supply. On the other hand, inflation is causing significant concerns for those on fixed incomes, leading to widespread fear and pessimism among Americans. Economists and investment managers are now warning of the possibility of stagflation, a combination of economic stagnation and high inflation, which could have serious consequences for the economy and the political landscape. Central banks have been tasked with managing both unemployment and inflation, but their responses have been criticized for being too slow and inadequate. The potential for stagflation, with both growth and inflation falling below desirable levels, is seen as a major concern for the global economy.

    • Biden Administration's Approach to Inflation Causes ConcernsThe Biden administration's plan to raise taxes to combat inflation could disincentivize businesses from investing, worsening the economic situation.

      Despite some belief among fund managers that the worst of inflation may have passed, the current economic situation is far from returning to normal. The inflation rate, which was 8.3% last month and 8.5% the month before, is increasing at a slower rate but still causing concern. The dollar is currently seen as a safe bet due to rising interest rates. Bitcoin and the stock market have taken hits, and there's talk of a possible 10-year slowdown. The root cause of this economic turmoil is bipartisan spending policies and the Biden administration's approach to inflation, which involves raising taxes and punishing businesses. This approach, rather than helping, risks causing stagflation. The Biden administration's plan to raise taxes to cut inflation could disincentivize businesses from investing, making the situation worse. A more straightforward approach would be for the administration to acknowledge the role they played in causing inflation and work to address it through monetary policy. However, the administration's aversion to taking blame for their actions means they plan to raise taxes and punish corporations instead, potentially leading to further economic pain.

    • Politicians blame corporations for inflation, but revenues are already highPoliticians blame corporations for inflation, but the real issue is excessive spending. Effective policies, not blaming external factors or raising taxes, are needed to address economic issues.

      The ongoing debate about inflation and deficit reduction focuses on corporate tax reform as a solution. However, the argument that corporations are driving inflation due to greed is not supported by facts, as revenues to the federal government are already at an all-time high. The real issue is the excessive spending. Instead of addressing this, some politicians are blaming corporations and even Vladimir Putin for economic problems. Meanwhile, regulatory agencies like the FDA have created issues, such as a baby formula shortage, which could have been mitigated with more effective policies. Ultimately, blaming external factors and raising taxes without addressing the root causes of economic issues is unlikely to solve the problem.

    • Global vs US economic concerns and vaccine skepticismPeople are concerned about income inequality and economic hardships in the US, while global issues take a backseat. Vaccine skepticism exists towards children's vaccines due to low death rates from COVID-19 in this age group.

      There is a disconnect between the issues that matter to people in other countries and those in the United States, particularly regarding income inequality and economic hardships. The speaker expresses frustration with the Biden administration's handling of economic issues and feels that they are out of touch with the American people. Additionally, there is skepticism towards the advice of health organizations, such as the CDC, regarding COVID-19 vaccines and boosters for children, as the number of deaths in this age group is statistically negligible compared to other causes. The speaker also encourages people to take actions to reduce their expenses, such as using the Upside app to earn cash back on gas purchases.

    • Save money with cash back rewards at grocery stores, restaurants, and takeout ordersThe Upside app helps users save money on groceries, dining out, and takeout orders, providing a valuable tool amid rising gas prices.

      The Upside app offers cash back rewards at grocery stores, restaurants, and for takeout orders, which can be cashed out to various payment methods or gift cards. Amid rising gas prices, this app can help users save money. Meanwhile, health officials like Rochelle Walensky and Vivek Murthy continue to recommend mask usage to prevent the spread of COVID-19, despite ongoing debates about their effectiveness. Joe Biden's administration remains a topic of controversy, with recent revelations about Hunter Biden's business dealings during his father's tenure as Vice President. Despite these issues, the administration maintains broad support from some sectors. Overall, it's essential to stay informed and make decisions based on accurate information.

    • Biden Administration Faces Challenges on Multiple FrontsThe Biden administration is dealing with Hunter Biden's financial dealings and the Democrats' emphasis on abortion as a political issue, potentially alienating voters and increasing criticism

      The Biden administration is facing significant challenges on multiple fronts, including the ongoing scrutiny of President Biden's son Hunter's financial dealings and the Democrats' focus on abortion as a political issue. Hunter Biden reportedly spent over $200,000 a month from 2017 to 2018 on luxury items and unexplained bank withdrawals, raising questions about his income sources. Meanwhile, the Democrats, led by Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Vice President Kamala Harris, are trying to frame abortion as a "kitchen table issue" to divert attention from other pressing concerns like the economy and COVID-19. Harris argues that ending Roe v. Wade would be a direct assault on women's self-determination, but the lack of self-awareness in this argument is astonishing, given the government's role in regulating personal decisions. The administration's handling of these issues risks further alienating voters and fueling criticism.

    • Kamala Harris voices concerns over potential implications for privacy rightsKamala Harris highlights the potential impact of abortion policy changes on privacy rights, emphasizing the importance of open dialogue and diverse perspectives.

      The ongoing debate surrounding abortion rights and the potential overturning of Roe v. Wade has become a contentious issue, with strong opinions on both sides. Kamala Harris, a prominent Democrat, has expressed concerns about government interference in personal decisions, drawing attention to the potential implications for privacy rights, including those related to contraception and same-sex marriage. However, it's important to note that violence and unrest are not typically the responses to policy changes or the achievement of desired outcomes. The suggestion that such violence could come from either side of the abortion issue is an attempt to spread fear and misinformation. It's crucial to recognize the importance of open dialogue and the value of diverse perspectives in addressing complex issues.

    • Daily Wire Tackles Controversial Topics, Twitter Plans More Content GuardrailsThe Daily Wire pushes boundaries with documentaries on George Floyd and Black Lives Matter, while Twitter considers restricting information during crises, raising free speech concerns. Elon Musk faces allegations of sexual misconduct and SpaceX pays off a flight attendant to keep quiet.

      The Daily Wire continues to tackle controversial topics fearlessly, as seen in their upcoming documentary with Candace Owens about the George Floyd incident and Black Lives Matter, and their Sunday special with Jonathan Isaac discussing his book "Why I Stand." Twitter, on the other hand, is facing potential controversy with its plans to add more content guardrails and restrict information, particularly during crises, which has raised concerns among users and potential new owner Elon Musk. Musk himself has faced allegations of sexual misconduct, which were reported by The Verge and Business Insider, and SpaceX reportedly paid a flight attendant $250,000 to keep her from speaking out or suing the company. These developments underscore the ongoing debates around free speech, censorship, and accountability in media and technology.

    • Elon Musk's $250,000 settlement with flight attendantDespite the large settlement, doubts remain about the credibility of sexual misconduct allegations against Elon Musk due to potential political motivations and legal costs outweighing the settlement amount.

      The $250,000 settlement between Elon Musk and a flight attendant who accused him of sexual misconduct raises questions about its credibility given the size of the payment and the timing of the story. Musk has denied the allegations and characterized the settlement as a politically motivated hit piece. The flight attendant's friend, who spoke publicly about the allegations, felt an obligation to share the information but was advised by the attorneys involved that sharing certain documents could put the flight attendant at risk. The media's coverage of the allegations is seen by some as an attempt to take Musk out politically. The legal costs and potential negative publicity associated with a trial likely outweigh the settlement amount, leading some to question the strength of the allegations.

    • Democratic Party and Tech Industry ControversiesAllegations of sexual harassment at Tesla and disputes over proposed congressional maps in New York are causing chaos and division within the Democratic Party and tech industry, with significant political implications.

      There are ongoing controversies and disputes within both the Democratic Party and the tech industry. At Tesla, allegations of sexual harassment have surfaced, leading to uncomfortable work environments for some women. In New York, the Democratic Party is facing backlash over proposed congressional maps, with some arguing that they could divide historically black neighborhoods and disrupt existing districts. Hakim Jeffries, a Democratic congressman, is leading an aggressive campaign to prevent the new map from being implemented, likening it to Jim Crow tactics. Meanwhile, in New York courts, a special master has been appointed to redraw the maps due to the previous ones being deemed unconstitutional, leading to last-ditch appeals from both parties. The situation is chaotic and divisive, with significant implications for the political landscape in New York and beyond.

    • Find joy and laughter in the journey of understanding the worldDespite serious issues, find joy and laughter in The Andrew Klavan Show for thought-provoking discussions, insightful commentary, and a refreshing take on the news.

      Learning from The Andrew Klavan Show is that despite the serious and often concerning state of the world, particularly the fall of the republic, it's important to find joy and laughter in the journey. Andrew Klavan invites listeners to join him in his unique perspective on current events, promising a fun and engaging experience. The show offers a refreshing take on the news, encouraging listeners to approach complex issues with a sense of humor and optimism. Tune in to The Andrew Klavan Show for thought-provoking discussions, insightful commentary, and a good dose of laughter.

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    Listen to our hosts make their case, and then tell us who won by submitting your vote via Planet Money's Instagram or email us with "Family Feud" in the subject line. Voting ends on December 31st.

    This episode was hosted by Jeff Guo, Kenny Malone and Wailin Wong. It was produced by Julia Ritchey and Willa Rubin with engineering help from Valentina Rodriguez Sanchez. It was fact-checked by Sierra Juarez. Kate Concannon edits The Indicator.

    Music: Universal Music Production, "Terry And Mildred," "Decked Out For The Holidays." Audio Network - "Counting Down Seconds," "Tijuana Choo Choo."


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    Spotlight: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Reappointed: Is Inflation Set To Increase in 2022?

    Spotlight: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Reappointed: Is Inflation Set To Increase in 2022?

    Markets are applauding President Biden's reappointment of Jerome Powell to head the Federal Reserve, but don’t break out the champagne yet. Steve Forbes on the Fed’s money-printing gimmicks that started well before COVID-19 and on why more inflation will likely be coming in 2022 and 2023.

    Steve Forbes shares his What’s Ahead Spotlights each Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.

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