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    Exclusive: Is Britain Adrift? Plus: UBS finalizes Credit Suisse Takeover

    enJune 12, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • UK Business Leaders Express Concern Over Government's Economic PolicyBusiness leaders in the UK are worried about the government's handling of the investment climate, specifically regarding Brexit and the foreign subsidies arms race. They're calling for a more sustainable economic policy and less government intervention.

      The business community in the UK is expressing concern over the government's handling of the investment climate, particularly in the context of Brexit and the foreign subsidies arms race. The chairman of Marks and Spencer, Archie Norman, spoke to Bloomberg Daybreak Europe about the issue, stating that other countries are making investments in areas like laboratory assistance, coders, and data scientists, while the UK seems uncertain about its needs. He also criticized the government for having a footprint that is too big in the economy and called for a more sustainable economic policy. This criticism comes on the same day that Bank of England policymaker Katharine Mann called for a transition from crisis policy to a longer-term agenda in an essay for the Resolution Foundation. The business leaders' concerns and Katharine Mann's warning signal that both Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and opposition Labor leader Keir Starmer will need to address these issues as they begin to set out their agendas and spending plans for the expected general election next year.

    • Political instability in UK and Scotland, business changes, and Ukraine's counter offensiveThe Conservative Party faces more elections, Nicola Sturgeon faces police questioning, Crispin OD's hedge fund gets a new co-manager, UBS completes takeover of Credit Suisse, and Ukraine begins counter offensive against Russian forces.

      Political instability continues to plague the Conservative Party in the UK, with the resignation of Boris Johnson and two allies leading to by-elections that could further weaken their position against Labour. Meanwhile, former Scottish first minister Nicola Sturgeon faced questioning by police in an investigation into her party's finances, adding to the SNP's electoral woes. In business news, Crispin OD's hedge fund will be run by a new co-manager following allegations against its founder, and UBS has completed its takeover of Credit Suisse with potential restrictions on bankers from the merged entity. Lastly, Ukraine's counter offensive against Russian forces has reportedly begun, with gains made in the southeast of the country but the situation remaining fluid. Overall, these stories highlight the challenges facing various political and economic entities in the UK and beyond.

    • UK Economy Needs a Clear Long-Term Plan from the GovernmentBusiness leaders call for a clear, ambitious, and deliverable long-term economic plan from the UK government to help the country compete globally. Criticisms include lack of direction on skills and recent policy blunders.

      The UK economy is facing significant challenges and uncertainty, with business leaders expressing concerns over the government's economic policies and strategies post-Brexit. Archie Norman, the chairman of Marks and Spencer, emphasized the need for a clear, ambitious, and deliverable long-term plan from the government to help the UK compete in the global economy. He also criticized the government's lack of direction regarding skills acquisition and recent policy blunders. The economic challenges, including the pandemic, war in Ukraine, and Brexit, have created frictionful trade and dislocation, making it essential for the UK to have a well-defined strategy for competition.

    • Addressing business concerns for UK growthUrgent policy action is needed to boost the UK economy by focusing on increasing trade, providing certainty amidst political uncertainty, and implementing radical reforms in business funding.

      There is a pressing need for policy solutions to address the concerns of businesses in the UK, particularly in relation to increasing trade and finding certainty amidst political uncertainty. Martha Lane Fox, president of the British Chambers of Commerce, emphasizes the importance of focusing on these issues to boost the UK's economy and attract businesses to list and headquarter in London. Additionally, there is a call for radical reform in how businesses are funded, with a shift towards more equity financing similar to the US model. The UK has a lot to offer, with extraordinary businesses, a talented workforce, and innovative universities. However, there are challenges, including a people crisis and the need for stability and certainty for businesses. These issues require urgent attention and policy action.

    • Challenges in funding high-growth businesses in the UK and EuropeDespite complex economic issues and regulatory environments, opportunities exist for growth through industrial strategies, accountability, and high-yield savings options for small businesses.

      The UK and Europe face significant challenges in funding high-growth businesses due to a more regulatory and government-driven investment environment compared to the US. Xavier Rolle, a business leader, emphasized the importance of deeper equity markets for scaling up industries of the future, particularly tech. The economic issues in the UK are complex, with political distractions and a large government presence in the economy. However, there's an opportunity for well-thought-out industrial strategies and accountability to drive growth. Meanwhile, small business owners, like those behind the scenes of the entertainment industry, can make their money work harder with high-yield business bank accounts like QuickBooks Money. These small business owners, despite their critical roles, often face financial challenges and can benefit from better yielding savings options.

    • UK's economic challenges: Inflation, competitiveness, and BrexitThe UK government faces pressure to address inflation, maintain competitiveness amid Brexit, and boost growth through investment, while dealing with political infighting and uncertain global economic conditions.

      The UK government's focus on halving inflation to create stability for growth is being challenged both domestically and internationally. Business leaders are expressing concerns about the UK's competitiveness, particularly in sectors like AI and semiconductors, due to the economic impact of Brexit. The government's efforts to boost growth through investment pale in comparison to those of the US and EU. Meanwhile, the Bank of England's Huw Pill is advocating for a long-term strategy for the economy, focusing on sustainability rather than firefighting. Both major political parties, Labour and Conservatives, are vying to be seen as the party of business and growth, but are doing so within a politically and fiscally constrained environment. The UK's position in the global economy is uncertain, and the government's ability to address these challenges while dealing with domestic political infighting remains to be seen.

    • Political turmoil distracts from Sunak's focus on economyJohnson's resignation and political instability within Conservative Party could negatively impact Sunak's efforts to address economic challenges, potentially benefiting Labour Party and causing uncertainty for investors

      The political turmoil surrounding Boris Johnson's resignation and the resignations of his allies in the Conservative Party could distract from Rishi Sunak's focus on the economy. The timing of Johnson's resignation and the comparison to Donald Trump's situation add to the distraction. Sunak faces immediate challenges, including potential by-elections and calls for a general election, as well as keeping an eye on developments in Scotland with the Scottish National Party. These events could benefit the opposition Labour Party and potentially lead to a landslide victory in an election. The instability within the Conservative Party and other political parties adds uncertainty to the political landscape, potentially impacting investor confidence and economic stability.

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