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    Fed’s restrictive policy needs more time to work

    enApril 17, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Fed Chair Powell Signals Longer-Term Interest Rates, Video Game Industry Faces LayoffsFed Chair Powell signaled longer interest rates to combat inflation, while the video game industry faces layoffs and project cancellations.

      Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that interest rates may stay higher for longer to combat inflation, and the tech sector, specifically the video game industry, is facing significant layoffs and project cancellations. Powell expressed that the central bank needs more time to work on reducing inflation, which currently stands above the Fed's 2% target. As a result, the probability of the Federal Open Market Committee keeping rates at their current level has increased significantly. Additionally, the video game industry is experiencing a wave of layoffs, with companies like Take-Two Interactive reducing their workforce by about 5% and scrapping several projects as part of cost reduction measures. This trend is not new, as similar layoffs occurred in the industry during 2020. The stock price of Hawaiian Electric also saw a significant drop of over 10% in Tuesday's trading. These developments suggest that investors should closely monitor the tech sector, particularly the video game industry, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.

    • Maui Fires Investigation Results, Lawsuits Against Hawaiian Electric, Union Vote for Volkswagen Workers, and MoreMaui fires investigation results expected, Hawaiian Electric faces lawsuits, Volkswagen workers vote on unionization, and various business updates including Boeing, Arcline, US stocks, and notable events.

      The investigation into last summer's Maui fires by the state attorney general's office is expected to be released today, focusing on the initial response and aftermath based on scientific evidence. Meanwhile, Hawaiian Electric faces lawsuits alleging their power lines caused the fires and neglected maintenance during the storm. Elsewhere, Volkswagen workers in Tennessee will vote on unionization, Boeing's CEO and an engineer will testify at a senate subcommittee hearing, and Arcline's $1.8 billion buyout offer for Cayman will be voted on by shareholders. US stocks ended mixed on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 retreating, while the Dow added slightly. Crude oil dropped 1% and Bitcoin gained 0.3%. Today, Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq futures are up, while Bitcoin continues to rise. Other notable events include Evercore's view on the DOJ versus Google case, Shopify's reported employee practices, and a Green Power Motor webinar.

    • ASML Holding's Q1 revenues decline and price dropEuropean markets saw modest gains, but ASML Holding's Q1 revenue decline and subsequent price drop were noteworthy. Investors will watch the Fed for insights on economic assessment and future policy decisions.

      While European markets, FTSE 100 and DAX, experienced modest gains, ASML Holding stood out as a significant mover, reporting a 21% year-over-year decline in Q1 revenues and experiencing a 4% price drop as a result. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the Federal Reserve today, with the release of the Beige Book reports at 2 PM, an update from Loretta Mester at 5:30 PM, and Michelle Bowman participating in a fireside chat at the Institute For International Finance Global Outlook Forum in Washington DC at 7:15 PM. These events could provide insight into the Fed's current economic assessment and future monetary policy decisions.

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