Logo
    Search

    Has Ukraine’s spring offensive begun?

    en-gbMay 17, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Ukraine Tension: Drone Attacks or Beginning of Offensive?Ukraine tensions escalate with drone attacks on Russian military equipment, potentially signaling the start of an offensive or just the opening stage. The importance of quality sleep is highlighted with the Sleep Number smart bed, ranked #1 in customer satisfaction by JD Power.

      The situation in Ukraine is tense, with an anticipated military offensive, but the recent drone attacks may not be a preview of the offensive, but rather its opening stage. Meanwhile, in a different sphere, the importance of quality sleep is emphasized with the Sleep Number smart bed, which allows individualized comfort for better sleep. The JD Power ranks Sleep Number number 1 in customer satisfaction with mattresses purchased in store. This week, Ukrainian military commander Roman Kostenko showed Luke Harding, a senior Guardian foreign correspondent, a Ukrainian-made attack drone used to destroy Russian military equipment. These drone attacks have been successful and have caused fear among Russian soldiers, earning the name "Baba Yaga." The world is watching and waiting for the offensive to begin, but it's possible that these drone attacks are the beginning of it. In the midst of this geopolitical tension, the need for a good night's sleep remains essential.

    • Ukraine Counterattacks in Donbas, Pushes Russians Back Few KilometersUkraine successfully counterattacks in Donbas, pushing Russians back few kilometers. Favorable weather and terrain for Ukraine to make gains. Ukrainian strategy is to gradually degrade Russia's military capacity through attrition.

      The war in Ukraine between Russia and Ukraine remains uncertain, with both sides showing significant gains and losses. Last February, Russia attempted a grandiose project to seize Kyiv and colonize Ukraine, but failed. Ukraine then counterattacked successfully in the south and northeast, retaking cities like Kherson and Kharkiv Oblast. The latest focus of the conflict is in the Donbas region, specifically the city of Bakhmut, where Russia has been trying to seize territory for 10 months. However, recent advances by Ukrainian forces have pushed the Russians back a few kilometers, marking the most significant advance for Ukraine in 6 months. The weather and terrain are favorable for Ukraine to make gains, and the Russian offensive has not made significant progress since the beginning of the year. The expectation is that Ukraine will continue its counteroffensive in the next few months before the weather turns unfavorable. The Ukrainian strategy is to gradually degrade Russia's military capacity through attrition, and signs of this are already visible on the ground.

    • Ukraine's Counteroffensive: A Strategic ApproachUkraine's counteroffensive against Russia will not be a large-scale, tank-led advance. Instead, they will employ a strategic approach, focusing on areas where Russians are less prepared and have fewer defenses.

      The upcoming Ukrainian counteroffensive against Russia is not expected to be a large-scale, tank-led advance like the one seen last year to take Kherson. Instead, the Ukrainians are likely to employ a more strategic approach, focusing on areas where the Russians are less prepared and have fewer defenses. This approach is necessitated by the fact that the Russians have mobilized a large number of troops and have had time to construct extensive fortifications. Additionally, Ukrainian President Zelensky has expressed concerns about the number of casualties that would be incurred in such an offensive and the potential political repercussions if it fails. Therefore, the Ukrainians are reportedly waiting for more time and additional resources before launching their next major offensive.

    • Ukraine's Counter Offensive: Isolating Russian-held TerritoriesUkraine plans to split the land corridor connecting Eastern Ukraine, Crimea, and occupied territories, using new military equipment to expand reach and isolate Russian positions. Success depends on Ukrainian army's bravery, ingenuity, and Western support.

      Ukraine's counter offensive against Russia's occupation is expected to involve multiple attacks, with a focus on isolating Russian-held territories, particularly in the Zaporizhzhia region. The Ukrainian army aims to split the land corridor connecting Eastern Ukraine, Crimea, and occupied territories, making these areas unviable for the Russians. New military equipment, such as long-range missiles from the UK, could significantly expand Ukraine's reach and make Russian positions more vulnerable. However, the state of Ukraine's army remains a concern, with its ability to carry out these plans depending on factors like bravery, ingenuity, and continued support from the West.

    • Russia's War in Ukraine: A Complex SituationThe Ukrainian army is stronger than before with Western training, but faces a larger Russian military. Russia's army faces internal issues and significant losses, and Putin's quick victory plan is not materializing.

      The Ukrainian army is in a stronger position than ever before, with highly motivated soldiers and some Western training, but they face a much larger and less motivated Russian military. The Russian army, however, is facing internal issues, with mercenaries complaining about lack of resources and divisions within the Kremlin. The war is not going as planned for Russia, with significant losses and casualties, and even Russian propaganda is acknowledging this. Putin expected a quick victory and transformation of Ukraine, but the war is not going well, and the Russians are beginning to realize they might lose.

    • Ukraine's Offensive Against Russia: Success or Failure?Ukraine's military success against Russia is crucial to maintain international support and prevent potential annihilation of Ukrainian forces. Demonstrating the value of Western aid on the battlefield is key to keeping allies invested in the long term.

      Success in Ukraine's offensive against Russia would mean taking back major cities or territories, pushing the front line back significantly, or weakening Russian military capabilities. Failure could mean the continuation of the war and potential annihilation of Ukrainian forces without sufficient international support. In other news, Mint Mobile is offering a discount on their unlimited plan, while Sleep Number introduces individualized comfort beds. Zelensky's recent diplomatic visits and Germany's aid package highlight the importance of Ukrainian military success to maintain international support. Ukraine must demonstrate the value of Western aid on the battlefield to keep allies invested in the long term.

    • Ukraine vs Russia: The Next Few MonthsThe outcome of the Ukraine-Russia conflict in the coming months could result in a surprising military victory for Ukraine or a prolonged and bloody stalemate.

      The next few months in the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia are crucial in determining the outcome of the war. The Ukrainians have shown remarkable resilience and determination in the face of Russian aggression, but the clock is ticking as both sides prepare for a prolonged battle. Vladimir Putin is betting that the international community, particularly the US, will grow tired of the conflict and seek a settlement. However, Ukraine, with its smaller population and fewer resources, cannot afford to wait and is looking for a victory as soon as possible. Despite the looming threat of a bloody and protracted war, the mood among Ukrainians remains optimistic, with everyone recognizing the importance of the stakes. The outcome of this conflict could result in either a surprising military victory for Ukraine or a prolonged and bloody stalemate. Ultimately, the next few months will reveal which side has the upper hand and whether there will be a settlement or a continuation of the war.

    • Ukraine's Extraordinary Resilience and DeterminationThe Ukrainian people's resilience, determination, and unity in the face of conflict demonstrate the importance of emotional and psychological factors in successful higher education transformation. Leadership, inspiration, care, empowerment, investment, and collaboration can significantly improve chances of success.

      Learning from Luke Harding's report from Mykolaiv, Ukraine is the extraordinary resilience and determination of the Ukrainian people in the face of ongoing conflict. Despite the city being bombed regularly just weeks ago, there is now a sense of normality returning, with schools reopening and a strong faith in the Ukrainian army and its commander, Valerius Iluzhniy. What's more, many of the people fighting are not professional soldiers but everyday citizens, from taxi drivers to poets, who have re-skilled to join the fight against Russia. This sense of unity and shared purpose has turned Ukraine into an "extraordinary superorganism," and while the shape of victory is still uncertain, there is confidence that the Ukrainians will prevail. This human centered approach, where emotional and psychological factors are just as important as technology, can significantly improve the success of higher education transformation, as suggested in a recent report. Factors such as leadership, inspiration, care, empowerment, investment, and collaboration can more than double an organization's chances of successful transformation.

    Recent Episodes from Today in Focus

    Rishi Sunak staggers on – but for how long?

    Rishi Sunak staggers on – but for how long?
    The prime minister is another MP down after Natalie Elphicke crossed the floor to join Labour. With the Conservatives trailing by 30 points after heavy local election losses, what options does Rishi Sunak now have? Guardian political correspondent Kiran Stacey tells Helen Pidd what these losses mean for the PM, and looks at what calculation Keir Starmer made in taking in a rightwing Tory. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/infocus

    The London Bridge ‘hero’ who could go to prison for 99 years

    The London Bridge ‘hero’ who could go to prison for 99 years
    In 2019, ex-offender Marc Conway helped hold down a knifeman who killed two people in a terror attack. But by doing so he risked being recalled to prison. Simon Hattenstone reports Marc Conway risked his life to stop the London Bridge terror attack. Why did he fear being sent to prison for it?. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/infocus

    Related Episodes

    Reporting from Iran with a bias towards peace

    Reporting from Iran with a bias towards peace

    We want to learn more about our listeners. Take this 3-minute survey to help us improve the show! 

    Reza Sayah is an Iranian-American journalist, currently based in Tehran. He’s reported on major events around the world including the Ukrainian Revolution of 2004, the Second Iraq War, and the Egyptian Revolution. 

    Reza has spent much of his career working for major broadcast news networks including ABC, CNN, and Al Jazeera. In those roles, he’s had to explain complicated conflicts - in the form of very brief segments. And he says the corporate news model often works to perpetuate conflicts. But, another way is possible. 

    This episode was originally published in June 2022. 

    Watch:

    Top Hamas official discusses Israel attack, Iran relations for PBS Newshour

    Reza Sayah reports on Iran’s Jewish community for PBS Newshour

    Reza Sayah: How This Iran-Backed Militia Helped Save Iraq from ISIS for PBS Newshour

    Reza Sayah’s Tedx talk: How to Spot News that is NOT News

    ABOUT THE SHOW

    Making Peace Visible is a project of War Stories Peace Stories. Making Peace Visible is hosted by Jamil Simon and produced by Andrea Muraskin, with help from Faith McClure. Learn more at warstoriespeacestories.org. 

    We want to learn more about our listeners. Take this 3-minute survey to help us improve the show! 

    Support this podcast and the War Stories Peace Stories project

    How the war in Ukraine changed the world – Politics Weekly UK

    How the war in Ukraine changed the world – Politics Weekly UK
    This week marks one year since Russia sent its troops into Ukraine. The Guardian’s John Harris is joined by defence and security editor, Dan Sabbagh, and the Ukrainian MP, Kira Rudik, to look at how the war has changed world politics. And, what the future may look like for Ukraine and Russia.. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/politicspod