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    On the Ground with GOP Candidates & Iowa Voters | 7.23.23

    enJuly 23, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • 2020 Republican Primary: Iowa Caucuses Approach with Trump as Frontrunner and DeSantis as Close ContenderDonald Trump leads the Republican primary race in 2020, with Ron DeSantis as a close contender. Republicans must meet polling and donor requirements to qualify for debates, which start on August 23rd.

      The 2020 presidential race is gearing up for the Iowa caucuses, with a clear frontrunner in Donald Trump and a close contender in Ron DeSantis. The Republican primary field is mostly stable at the moment, but is expected to become more volatile during the debate season. To qualify for the first debate, candidates must have at least 1% in 3 national or primary state polls, and 40,000 unique donors with 200 from 20 different states. Some candidates are getting creative with their fundraising efforts to meet these requirements. On the Democratic side, the primary race is unusually competitive, with incumbent presidents typically cruising through with little opposition. The last serious primary challenge came in 1992 when Pat Buchanan pulled in 25% of the votes against George H.W. Bush. The Republican Iowa caucuses are scheduled for 6 months from now, and the debates will begin on August 23rd.

    • Iowa Republican Primary: Undecided Voters and UncertaintyThe Republican primary in Iowa is wide open, with many undecided voters and no clear front-runner. The caucus system adds uncertainty, potentially making the race more competitive and costly for the nominee. The Democratic primary sees a strong challenge from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., which could impact resources for the eventual nominee.

      The Republican primary race in Iowa is wide open, with no clear front-runner as of now. Many voters are still undecided and are waiting to hear from all the candidates before making their decision. The caucus system in Iowa, where voters gather to publicly support their preferred candidate, adds an element of uncertainty to the process. While some names like Trump, DeSantis, and Nikki Haley were mentioned frequently, the majority of voters expressed that they were keeping their options open. The lack of a clear favorite among Republicans could make the primary race more competitive and potentially costly for the eventual nominee. The Democratic primary, on the other hand, is seeing a strong challenge from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., which could divert resources from the eventual nominee in the general election.

    • Iowans prioritize immigration and the economy during caucus seasonIowans are considering various issues, including immigration and border security, the economy, and personal values, while evaluating presidential candidates. Some voters support Trump's decision to skip debates, while others disagree.

      Iowans are keeping an open mind during the presidential caucus season, giving all candidates a chance despite the uncertainty of the polls. The top issues for voters include immigration, border security, and the economy. While some are pro-life and concerned about gender identity, others are struggling financially and see the economy as a major concern. Regarding President Trump, some supporters believe he has earned the right to skip the debates, while others are less forgiving. Overall, the caucus process is still in its early stages, and Iowans are eager to see how the field shapes up before making their decisions. The immigration issue is a significant factor, with border security being a top priority for many voters. The economy is also a major concern, with some families facing hardships. President Trump's potential absence from the debates has sparked mixed reactions.

    • Surprised Outsider Candidates Gain Support, Differ on Key IssuesOutsider candidates, like Vivek Ramaswami, can gain support by strong debate performances and unique stances on issues. Ramaswami believes his stance on Ukraine and China could put him on a trajectory to win the nomination, while others see Trump's absence as an opportunity to distinguish themselves.

      Some presidential candidates, including a front-runner, risk alienating voters by displaying an arrogant attitude towards debates and campaigning in key states like Iowa. Vivek Ramaswami, an outsider contender, shared his surprise at gaining support and his belief that his strong performance in Iowa and New Hampshire could put him on a trajectory to win the nomination. Ramaswami also discussed his stance on ending US support in Ukraine and differing from other candidates by requiring concessions from Putin to exit military partnerships with China. Regarding Trump's absence from the debate stage, Ramaswami saw it as an opportunity for other candidates to distinguish themselves and focus on their policies. Overall, the interviews highlighted the importance of engaging with voters and standing out from the competition.

    • Republican Candidates Differ on Foreign Policy Stances During DebatesNikki Haley wants to keep Ukraine out of NATO, Tim Scott emphasizes unity, and Mike Pence supports Ukraine's military against Russian aggression.

      During the recent Republican primary debates, candidates had varying views on foreign policy, particularly regarding Ukraine and China. Nikki Haley expressed her commitment to keeping Ukraine out of NATO to appease Russia and focus on pulling Russia out of its alliance with China. Tim Scott emphasized the importance of unity and optimism against the backdrop of a divisive culture that profits from conflict. Mike Pence, on the other hand, highlighted his unwavering support for Ukraine's war effort against Russia and his intention to ban gender transition surgery for minors if elected president. Pence's stance on Ukraine was particularly noteworthy, as he believes continued support for Ukraine's military is crucial to preventing Russian aggression against NATO allies.

    • President Biden supports potential ban on transgender treatments for minorsPresident Biden advocates for a ban on transgender treatments for minors due to their lack of full understanding, and he looks forward to debating Trump in upcoming presidential debates.

      President Biden expressed his support for potential federal legislation that would prohibit medical professionals from administering transgender treatments to individuals under the age of 18. He believes that minors lack a full appreciation for the consequences of such decisions. Additionally, President Biden is looking forward to debating former President Trump in the upcoming presidential debates. Despite having debated him numerous times behind closed doors, he is excited for the public confrontation. The first debate and the Iowa caucus are quickly approaching, marking the start of an intense political season. Stay tuned for more updates.

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    In Memorial of Jerry Pippin 1939-2015

    Endnotes: West Virginia State Bd. of Educ. v. Barnette https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/319/624/case.html