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    Prepare for Russian winter onslaught, Zelensky warns Ukrainians

    enNovember 13, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Proposing with Blue Nile and Affordable Wireless with Mint MobileBlue Nile offers customizable ring designs for delivery at home. Mint Mobile provides a reverse auctioneer technique for an affordable wireless plan at $15 a month. Ukrainian forces push back against Russian troops, with no confirmed gains made in Avdiivka.

      For those planning to propose, Blue Nile offers the convenience of designing a unique ring online, with the assurance of receiving it at home. Meanwhile, Mint Mobile provides an affordable wireless plan with the reverse auctioneer technique, bringing the price down to $15 a month. In the news, Ukraine continues to face offensive operations from Russian forces around Avdiivka, with no confirmed gains made. The latest updates suggest Ukrainian forces have pushed Russian troops out of certain positions and made marginal gains. The Institute for the Study of War reports that visual evidence of Russian forces holding positions on the outskirts of Stepa Bay or in the settlement itself is not observed. The war in Ukraine is ongoing, with the latest developments being discussed on The Telegraph's podcast every weekday afternoon.

    • Intense clashes between Ukrainian and Russian forces around AvdiivkaConfusing reports of Russian troop movements near Dnieper River, uncertainty over territorial gains, and potential for Russia to exploit Ukraine's defensive posture

      There have been intense clashes between Ukrainian and Russian forces around the villages south and southwest of Avdiivka, with no significant territorial gains reported. There has been confusion regarding Russian troop movements near the Dnieper River, with conflicting reports of troop relocations and denials from the Russian military. The situation remains unclear, and it is uncertain if Russia is indeed moving troops or if there is misinformation being spread. The Russian military previously claimed to have thwarted Ukraine's attempt to establish a bridgehead on the eastern bank of the Dnieper, but this has been disputed with geolocated footage. If Ukraine is indeed transitioning to a defensive posture, Russia may look to take advantage by pushing back and potentially taking troops from other areas to do so.

    • Tactical maneuvers in eastern UkraineUkraine is making marginal advances, potentially cutting Russian supply lines, while Russia is falling back to defend their existing lines. Reports of attacks on Russian forces in occupied territories add to the complexity and danger of the situation.

      Both Ukraine and Russia are engaging in tactical maneuvers in the eastern part of the country, particularly around the town of Krynki. Russia is reportedly falling back to defend their existing lines, while Ukraine is making marginal advances and potentially cutting Russian supply lines. The situation is fluid and there is ongoing speculation about each side's intentions and capabilities. Additionally, there have been reports of attacks on Russian forces in occupied territories, including the killing of three Russian officers by pro-Ukrainian partisans in Melitopol. The situation remains complex and dangerous, with both sides continuing to make moves on the ground.

    • Ukraine: Preparing for Russian Attacks, UK: New Foreign SecretaryUkraine's President urges readiness vs Russian attacks; Romanian F-16 training center opens. UK undergoes major govt reshuffle, appoints Cameron as new foreign secretary

      There are significant developments both in Ukraine and the United Kingdom that are impacting their respective security landscapes. In Ukraine, President Zelensky is urging preparation for Russian attacks on critical infrastructure and the eastern front line, following drone and missile strikes on Kyiv. Meanwhile, a Romanian training center for Ukrainian pilots to fly F-16 fighter jets has officially opened. In the UK, there has been a major government reshuffle, with former Prime Minister David Cameron being appointed as the new foreign secretary. This appointment has been met with mixed reactions, and it remains to be seen how this will influence the UK's stance on the Ukrainian war.

    • David Cameron's new role in the EU raises questions about his influence and past stances on Brexit and UkraineDavid Cameron's appointment as EU envoy brings attention to his potential impact on EU policy, particularly regarding his past positions on Brexit and Ukraine, as well as his stance on China and Russia.

      The appointment of David Cameron as the new EU envoy raises interesting questions regarding his influence within the EU, particularly given his past stance on Brexit and Ukraine. Another thread to watch is his position on China, as he previously championed close UK-China relations during his tenure as prime minister. A recent incident involving a Chinese-funded port city project in Sri Lanka has raised concerns among China hawks. Additionally, a train sabotage incident near Moscow over the weekend highlights the importance of security for Russia's rail network, which is crucial to their war effort. Overall, Cameron's role in the EU and his past relationships with China and Russia will be significant areas of focus as he takes on his new position.

    • Russian logistics under threat from sabotage, Kadyrov's succession planning causes instabilitySabotage on Russian railway networks is hindering their war effort in Ukraine, while Kadyrov's potential successor in Chechnya is causing instability, potentially impacting Russian stability and the conflict in Ukraine

      The Russian military's logistics are under threat due to sabotage on their railway networks, which could slow down their war effort in Ukraine. This was highlighted by the recent discovery of over a million shells sent from North Korea to the front line in Ukraine, which were transported via Russian trains. Additionally, in Chechnya, Ramzan Kadyrov's health concerns and apparent succession planning are causing instability, with his teenage son Adam Kadyrov being promoted as a potential successor. This succession issue could have wider implications for Russian stability and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The recent incidents of sabotage and Kadyrov's actions suggest resistance to the war both domestically and internationally.

    • Instability in Chechnya and its implications for Russia and UkraineChechnya's instability, led by Ramzan Kadyrov, could distract Russia from Ukraine and require significant resources, while the succession plan could lead to power struggles. Recent attacks in Russia may have propaganda value but their military impact is debatable.

      The stability of Chechnya, a region in Russia with a troubled past, is crucial for the Kremlin as any instability could distract them from their operations in Ukraine and potentially require significant military resources. Ramzan Kadyrov, the Chechen leader, is backed by the Kremlin and has taken steps to secure power for his family, but the succession plan could lead to potential power struggles. The age requirement for the Chechen president to take power means that Kadyrov's eldest son is still too young to take over, potentially leading to a decade of jockeying for position. This instability in Chechnya could be exploited by Ukraine and is a significant concern for the Kremlin. Additionally, the recent attack on a train in Russia and the question of whether such attacks have any military impact brings up the historical comparison to the Special Operations Executive (SOE) during World War II and their mission to "set Europe ablaze." While these attacks may have propaganda value, their military impact is debatable.

    • SOE Operations and PropagandaSOE sabotage can boost morale and serve as propaganda victories, but can disrupt intelligence gathering efforts

      The SOE (Special Operations Executive) operations, such as the sabotage in Ukraine, can serve as propaganda victories and boost morale on the home front. However, there is a tension between SOE and intelligence agencies like MI6, as SOE operations can disrupt MI6's efforts to establish networks and gather intelligence. The upcoming Russian elections are expected to confirm Vladimir Putin's reelection, with the Kremlin putting together a list of official supporters for him to stand as a candidate. A surprise development is that Putin may stand as an independent candidate, departing from his previous role as the official candidate of his political party, United Russia. While the SOE operations may not always be helpful in terms of intelligence gathering, they can contribute to shoring up domestic and international morale. The wider context and implications of these events should be considered in perspective.

    • Putin positions himself as an independent war candidateDespite domestic political challenges, Putin is distancing himself from agendas and focusing on the war in Ukraine to maintain power, raising concerns about potential manipulation in elections

      Russian President Vladimir Putin is positioning himself as an independent war candidate, distancing himself from domestic political agendas, despite the Russian political landscape being heavily influenced by the Kremlin's actions. This shift comes after the United Russia party, which had been instructed to campaign heavily on the war in Ukraine, experienced voter turnoff during regional elections in September. Additionally, the Kremlin's push for electronic voting in recent elections has raised concerns about potential manipulation and inflated numbers for Putin. The historical context of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, signed in 1940 between the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany, serves as a reminder of the complex and sometimes contradictory political alliances in the region.

    • Armenia strengthens ties with UK through strategic dialogue and embassy upgradeArmenia invests in UK relationship with strategic dialogue, embassy upgrade, and seeks support amidst tensions with Russia

      Armenia is strengthening its relationship with the UK as part of a broader shift away from Russia. This was highlighted by the first strategic dialogue between the UK and Armenian foreign ministers, which took place in London. The Armenian embassy in London has recently upgraded from a small office to a £17,000,000 townhouse, indicating a significant investment in the relationship. This move comes amidst tensions between Armenia and Russia over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and Russia's lack of support for Armenia. The UK, with its staunch support for Ukraine, is seen as a potential important ally for Armenia as it seeks to step away from the Kremlin's orbit. This is an interesting development in the geopolitical landscape of Eastern Europe and a significant test for British foreign policy under David Cameron.

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    Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on Twitter.


    Many of our listeners have raised concerns over the potential sale of Telegraph Media Group to the Abu Dhabi-linked Redbird IMI. We are inviting the submission of comments on the process. Email salecomments@telegraph.co.uk or dtletters@telegraph.co.uk to have your say.


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