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    Should British investors worry about the US election?

    enOctober 16, 2020

    Podcast Summary

    • Markets favoring Biden due to stimulus and monetary easingExpect large-scale stimulus and continued monetary easing under a Biden presidency, but be cautious due to potential instability and uncertainty

      Despite the uncertainty surrounding the US election and its potential impact on investors, the markets seem to be favoring a Biden win due to the expected large-scale stimulus package and continued monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. However, it's important to note that markets could be underestimating potential instability under a Biden presidency and that the polls have been wrong before. Regardless of the outcome, the Fed's actions are likely to keep fueling inflation and market growth. Meanwhile, the election itself has been marked by volatility and uncertainty, with Trump's refusal to commit to a peaceful transfer of power adding to the uncertainty. Overall, investors should remain cautious and keep a close eye on developments in the coming weeks.

    • Focus on company fundamentals, not market reactionsInvestors should base decisions on company fundamentals, consider long-term implications of regulations, and avoid market sentiment.

      Investors should focus on making informed decisions based on the fundamentals of a company or situation, rather than trying to predict market reactions. The markets can be unpredictable and may not react significantly to major events, as seen with the UK government's spending package and the ongoing US presidential election. Instead, investors should consider the potential long-term implications of regulatory changes, such as the regulation of big tech companies, and make investment decisions accordingly. The markets may exhibit herd mentality and behave erratically, but it's important for investors to stay focused on their investment goals and not let market fluctuations sway their decisions. The outcome of the US presidential election is unlikely to cause significant market disruption if there is a decisive victory, but uncertainty and legal challenges could lead to market volatility. Ultimately, investors should focus on the underlying value of the companies they invest in and avoid making decisions based on market sentiment.

    • Predicting US election outcomes and market impact is uncertain, focus on market trends and undervalued sectors insteadWhile election outcomes are unpredictable, focusing on market trends and undervalued sectors can yield better results for investors. Consider US smaller companies and value stocks for potential growth opportunities.

      While it's challenging for investors to predict the outcome of the US presidential election and its impact on the markets, focusing on the overall market trend and considering undervalued sectors or companies might be a more productive approach. Adrian Locock from WillowZone emphasized the unpredictability of elections and the potential detrimental effects of getting the outcome wrong. Neil Wilson from markets.com added that the market primarily wants a clear election result and the only significant risk is prolonged legal disputes. Regarding US markets, especially tech giants, there's a debate about their valuations. Some argue that these companies, like Facebook and Amazon, are not as expensive as they seem due to their vast cash reserves and potential for further monetization of their subsidiaries. However, there's growing scrutiny of these tech giants, and the outcome of the election could influence their regulatory environment. As investors, it's crucial to assess the composition of your investment portfolio, particularly regarding the US market's significant weight in the global stock market. Additionally, considering sectors like US smaller companies and value stocks might offer opportunities for growth.

    • Stay Calm and Follow Basic Investing PrinciplesAmidst economic and political uncertainty, stay calm, follow basic investing principles, and find opportunities in volatile markets. Central banks' unconventional policies require faith, but can help stabilize markets. Decide investment strategy and stick to it.

      Despite the uncertainty surrounding the economy and political landscape, it's important for investors to stay calm and follow basic investing principles. The markets have been volatile due to the COVID-19 pandemic, US election, and potential Brexit restrictions. However, there are opportunities to be found amidst the chaos. The rules of investing, such as not panicking during market downturns and avoiding the next bubble, still apply. The unconventional monetary policies of central banks like the Bank of England and the Fed require a certain level of faith, but they have helped stabilize markets. Ultimately, investors need to decide their investment strategy - short term gains, long term investment, or a mix of both - and stick to it. While the current situation is challenging, it also presents opportunities for those who are willing to look for them.

    • Trading vs Investing: Key DifferencesSuccessful investors focus on long-term value, avoid market timing, and maintain a disciplined approach to achieve better outcomes.

      There is a fundamental difference between trading and investing. Trading involves making short-term gains and accepting the potential for losses, while investing implies a long-term perspective and focusing on the underlying value of the asset. Successful investors often advise against market timing and emphasize the importance of buying at a reasonable price. When considering an investment, it's essential to evaluate whether the asset fits your personal needs and long-term goals, and if the price is fair. Additionally, maintaining a disciplined approach, such as regular investing and avoiding panic selling, can lead to better outcomes in the long run.

    • Missing out on opportunities due to procrastinationRecognize valuable opportunities and act on them to avoid missing out and align with values and long-term goals in purchases, investments, and various aspects of life.

      While it's important to make thoughtful and informed decisions when it comes to purchases or investments, there's also value in recognizing when it's time to move on and make a change. The speaker shares a personal example of missing out on a matching chair for their sofa due to procrastination, and how this experience serves as a reminder to act on valuable opportunities when they arise. This lesson applies not only to consumer behavior but also to various aspects of life, including ethical investing. With the increasing focus on sustainability and reducing carbon footprints, it's essential to consider ethical investments as part of one's financial strategy. The UK government's recent commitment to increasing offshore wind capacity and reducing carbon emissions by 2050 highlights the growing importance of ethical investing. Ultimately, it's crucial to assess the significance of a potential investment or purchase and make a decision that aligns with one's values and long-term goals.

    • Investment opportunities in UK's net zero carbon goalThe UK's net zero carbon goal offers investment chances in renewable energy and eco-friendly heating systems, but ethical investing requires careful evaluation to avoid greenwashing.

      The UK government's commitment to achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050 presents significant opportunities for investment, particularly in projects that contribute to this goal. This includes infrastructure projects that promote renewable energy and the replacement of gas boilers with electric heat pumps or biomass systems. Ethical investing, which involves avoiding companies that don't align with one's values, is a complex area that goes beyond climate change. It can include considerations of sustainability, social impact, and corporate governance. However, the increasing popularity of ethical and socially responsible investing, or ESG, can lead to a risk of greenwashing, where companies or funds use the label as a marketing tool without fully committing to the principles. It's essential to carefully evaluate the authenticity of ESG claims and ensure that investors are actively implementing the necessary filters to align their investments with their values.

    • Investing in ESG issues benefits the world and provides a competitive edgeInvesting in companies addressing environmental challenges can lead to improved yields, reduced water usage, and lower carbon footprints, providing a competitive edge and potential financial gains

      Being an investor involves not only choosing the best companies and avoiding risks, but also actively working with them to improve environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues. This approach not only benefits the world, but also provides a competitive edge and potential financial gains. For instance, some investment trusts and funds focus on companies that address environmental challenges, such as those that make reverse vending machines or use digital methods in farming. These investments can lead to improved yields, reduced water usage, and lower carbon footprints. Moreover, investors don't have to be passionate advocates for ESG causes to benefit from them. Instead, they can simply recognize the long-term potential of these industries and invest accordingly. As the world grapples with issues like water scarcity, food production, and climate change, these investments are likely to continue growing in importance.

    • Financially rewarding energy-efficient improvements with green mortgagesGreen mortgages offer financial incentives for energy-efficient home upgrades, contributing to a smaller carbon footprint. Consider researching savings and current accounts with green or ethical focuses for additional eco-friendly financial choices.

      Individuals have the power to make a difference for the environment through their financial decisions, particularly when it comes to mortgages. The UK government and financial institutions are now offering green mortgages that financially reward homeowners for making energy-efficient improvements. This is just one way to put your money to productive use while reducing your carbon footprint. Other areas to consider include savings accounts and current accounts with green or ethical focuses. While there may be additional costs associated with these choices, the long-term benefits for the environment can outweigh the financial considerations. It's essential to do your research and choose the options that align best with your values and financial situation. The mortgage industry is leading the way in this area, but there's still work to be done in other sectors like broadband and savings accounts. Overall, every little bit helps, and your money can make a positive impact on the environment.

    • Choosing a mortgage with ethical considerationsConsider ethical implications and potential long-term benefits when choosing a mortgage. Green mortgages offer incentives for energy-efficient home improvements. The choice of a bank for a current account also has ethical implications.

      When it comes to choosing a mortgage, people often prioritize convenience and acceptance over considering the ethical implications and potential long-term financial benefits of their decision. The speaker shares a personal experience of regretting not choosing a building society over a larger bank due to ethical concerns and past experiences with early repayment charges. However, the advantage of green mortgages is that they offer incentives like financial assistance for energy-efficient home improvements, making the extra cost worthwhile for some. Moreover, the choice of a bank for one's current account also has ethical implications, even though it may not directly impact the environment. The bigger picture is that holding a key banking relationship with a bank that prioritizes green initiatives and improving the world, despite not directly benefiting from it through interest or returns, is a worthwhile consideration. The speaker emphasizes the importance of applying thought to financial decisions and not just talking a good game but following through with ethical choices. Sarah's comprehensive guide to green finance products is recommended for those looking to make informed decisions in this area.

    • Playing the stock market game for big prizesDespite not always understanding motivations, opportunities exist for significant stock market gains through games like This is Money's Share Game, where substantial prizes can be won by correctly picking stocks.

      While we may not always be able to understand the motivations behind certain financial decisions, there are opportunities for significant gains in the stock market. The Share Game on This is Money is a prime example, where participants have the chance to win substantial prizes by correctly picking stocks. Even if you feel like you're lagging behind, there's always a chance to make a big gain and move up the leaderboard. And if you're interested in our podcast, be sure to rate us on Itunes to help others discover it. Additionally, feel free to reach out to us with any questions or comments, and check out our website for more information.

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    - BRT S03 EP34 (133) 7-22-2022 – Wealth for Life

     

    Things We Learned This Week

    • Control Taxes - Tax Protection, move $ to Tax Free position, must reduce taxes to grow wealth, every $1 lost to taxes = $8 lost wealth  
    • Control Capital - Access to Capital, use w/ Leverage of 4:1 to grow Capital, & Protect Principal, Lock in Gains, grow wealth efficiently  
    • Control Assets – Acquire Assets like real estate, or stocks, or pull $ from biz income, & redeploy for passive investing to Grow Wealth more - then Repeat
    • FED Stimulus Money $ props up Zombie Cos (weak debt ridden co’s) in S&P Index, drags good biz down
    • Business Owners concentrate on Earning $, need Good Advisors to Protect & Grow wealth after, reduce taxes, structure LLC right

     

     

    *** This Show is a Replay w/ Clips taken from:

    BRT S01 EP28 8-16-2020 - Cannabis Investing is Growing w/ Alan Brochstein, CFA of New Cannabis Ventures

     

     

     

    Co-Host: Denver NowiczPresident - Wealth For Life


    https://wealthforlife.net/brt/

    https://twitter.com/denvernowicz 

    Denver is an advisor with nearly 20 years experience working with clients in investments and insurance, designing retirement plans with a combo of both. He takes us through different strategies for clients to get the best allocations for their money over the long term. It is the Combo Strategy of both Offense and Defense, the synergy of the mix, not ‘All or Nothing’.

     

    Notes: 

     

    Market was up 27% in 2019, but average investor not up as much,

    2020 market recovered quick from Covid dip of March 2020

    S&P Index carried by 20% of top companies - 80/20 Pareto Principle

    S&P market breakup, maybe 20-25% are worth investing in, 50% not good, bad companies, some underwater (15-20%) living on debt – Zombie companies (cost of servicing debt eats at profit), not growing.

    Rebalance Portfolio – Investors do not want to be too top heavy, so they sell some winning stocks (and losers) and take profits to balance overall portfolio.

    Buffett & Vanguard tell people to buy Index Funds, whole market because average investor not doing research, study and work . Catch is, Buffett does not do this and most financial advisors don’t do research either, just put clients in ETF.

    FED put stimulus money into system and helps prop up Zombie companies in S&P. If invest in 15-20 good companies, get best of S&P.

    Opportunity Cost – if you put money in bad companies, you lose money, but putting money in good company & company grows faster = more profits. Some companies are propped up and kept alive by FED cheap money vs. good companies who take free money, grow faster.

     

    Investing plan for Top 10% of income earners ($150K +) or top 5% ($250K +)

    Need different strategies, not just 401K or stocks, not like other 90% of population

    Wealthy diversify their assets / investments, stock market is just 25% of their investing

    Control taxes – protect money from taxes

    Control Capital - access to capital – use leverage properly at 4:1

    Control Assets – acquire assets to create passive income streams

    Wealthy does not put all their money in the stock market.

    Every $1 lost to taxes = $8 in lost wealth

    $1 at 7% (rule of 72), at 10 yrs = $2, at 20 yrs = $4, at 30yrs = $8

    $50K lost = $400K (x8) lost over the long term

    If you earn over $500K / year +, top 1% of income earners

    The ultra wealthy know that you have to control taxes.

    401K does not reduce taxes, it defers taxes, and at $25K /yr, this will not move the needle enough, need major changes to reduce taxes, and propel wealth  

    Control Capital – protect principal, no losses, lock in gains

    Use Leverage well at a 4:1 multiple, Control $4 with $1 

    Just like you finance your house thru a mortgage, finance your retirement (mortgage leverage is typically 3:1, loan is 3x your yearly income) 

    Deploy different strategies to grow wealth and make $ millions, really scale wealth from $1 to $5 mil, or $5 to $10 mil

    Assets –pull money from passive income & use for more investing

    Create investing cycle and repeat to grow wealth

    Tax advantage loop to grow money wealth, reduce taxes, and redeploy gained $ for more investing to grow wealth faster and more efficiently

    Opportunity to compound up vs. reverse of losing $

    Opportunity cost where you lose money to taxes

    Have to reduce taxes – you will not make enough money in ROI to mitigate taxes & the money lost

    The more your income grows, more advantages to tax deductions

    Typical business owner needs to learn this, get good advisors to limit.

    Tax Code provides guidelines, rich get richer.

    Tax exposure lessoned, then put money in right place to maximize LLC and business corporate structure - move money properly

    Advanced Tax Reduction Strategies – Conservation Easement, Foundations

    Most CPAs do not know these strategies because 90% of their clients have 1040 / W2 tax return. Do not have business income. You need the right CPA, right advisors to handle your growing situation.

    Business Owners concentrate on making money (sales) and grow business, need advisors to protect their money and grow it passively + protect from taxes.

     

     

    *** This Show is a Replay w/ Clips taken from:

    BRT S01 EP28 8-16-2020 - Cannabis Investing is Growing w/ Alan Brochstein, CFA of New Cannabis Ventures

    https://www.newcannabisventures.com/

    Alan covers the Cannabis industry, from investing ideas, to news

    Full Show: Here

     

     

     

    More Info on WFL and Tax Free Matching: HERE

     

     

    Wealth For Life Topic: https://brt-show.libsyn.com/category/Wealth+For+Life

     

    Link to Taxes Show on 10/31/2021 w/ Denver: Here

    Link to Offense / Defense Show on 6/6/2021 w/ Denver: Here

    Link to Shows, Denver was a Guest: Here

     

    Investing Topic: https://brt-show.libsyn.com/category/investing

    More - BRT Best of: https://brt-show.libsyn.com/category/Best+Of

     

     

    Thanks for Listening.

    Please Subscribe to the BRT Podcast. 

     

     

    Business Roundtable with Matt Battaglia

    The show where EntrepreneursHigh Level Executives, Business Owners, and Investors come to share insight and ideas about the future of businessBRT 2.0 looks at the new trends in business, and how classic industries are evolving

    Common Topics Discussed: Business, Entrepreneurship, Investing, Stocks, Cannabis, Tech, Blockchain / Crypto, Real Estate, Legal, Sales, Charity, and more… 

    BRT Podcast Home Page: https://brt-show.libsyn.com/

    ‘Best Of’ BRT Podcast: Click Here

    BRT Podcast on Google: Click Here

    BRT Podcast on Spotify: Click Here                   

    More Info: https://www.economicknight.com/podcast-brt-home/

    KFNX Info: https://1100kfnx.com/weekend-featured-shows/

     

    Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this program are those of the Hosts, Guests and Speakers, and do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of any entities they represent (or affiliates, members, managers, employees or partners), or any Station, Podcast Platform, Website or Social Media that this show may air on. All information provided is for educational and entertainment purposes. Nothing said on this program should be considered advice or recommendations in: business, legal, real estate, crypto, tax accounting, investment, etc. Always seek the advice of a professional in all business ventures, including but not limited to: investments, tax, loans, legal, accounting, real estate, crypto, contracts, sales, marketing, other business arrangements, etc.