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    Sorghum Production and Demand Outlook

    enAugust 21, 2024
    What factors have affected the 2024 US sorghum crop?
    How is China's demand for sorghum driven?
    What impact does temperature have on sorghum crop conditions?
    Why are sorghum sales behind last year's pace?
    How might US policies influence the sorghum market?

    Podcast Summary

    • 2024 US Sorghum CropDespite lower acreage and favorable winter/spring moisture, the 2024 US Sorghum Crop has shown potential, but recent temperature rises have caused deteriorating conditions in some areas, potentially reducing yields. Demand is also slow due to falling prices, with sales significantly behind last year's pace.

      The 2024 US sorghum crop has shown great potential despite lower planted acreage due to favorable winter and spring moisture. However, recent temperature rises have caused crop conditions to deteriorate in some areas, potentially reducing yields. On the demand side, sales for the upcoming sorghum crop year are significantly behind last year's pace due to falling prices. Producers and consumers are waiting for better buying opportunities before making large purchases. Overall, the sorghum market is experiencing a slow start, but there is optimism for improved conditions and increased sales in the weeks ahead.

    • China's sorghum demandChina's sorghum imports are mainly for animal feed and Baiju production, making it an affordable alternative to corn due to import quotas. CHS expands business through partnerships, and potential election outcomes and trade policies could impact the market.

      China's demand for sorghum is primarily driven by its feed industry due to import quotas on corn, making sorghum an affordable alternative. About one-third of the imports are used for producing Baiju, a traditional Chinese liquor. CHS, a leading agribusiness company, has significantly expanded its sorghum business through partnerships, including a joint venture export facility in Houston, Texas, and an expanded grain marketing joint venture in the southern plains. Sorghum producers should keep an eye on the upcoming election and any potential trade or policy changes that could impact the market.

    • Sorghum market geopoliticsGeopolitical developments and government policies, particularly those related to China and US food programs, can significantly impact sorghum exports and prices, making it a key topic for agricultural investors and producers to monitor.

      The sorghum market is closely tied to geopolitical developments and government policies, particularly those related to China and US food programs. These factors can significantly impact sorghum exports and prices. As we look ahead to 2025 and beyond, the outcome of the US administration and any resulting tariff changes could have a major impact on the sorghum industry. Keelan Griffin, lead sorghum trader with CHS, emphasized the importance of monitoring these developments. Overall, the sorghum market is subject to external influences that can create uncertainty, making it a key topic to watch for agricultural investors and producers.

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