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    Starmer and The Seven Rebels

    enJuly 24, 2024
    What challenges does the Department for Energy Security face?
    How many Labour MPs were suspended during PMQs?
    What sector is experiencing the highest level of homelessness?
    Who is entering the Tory leadership race?
    What trade deal is David Lamy pursuing in India?

    Podcast Summary

    • UK ChallengesDespite the Tory leadership race and PMQs, concerning reports from the National Audit Office revealed issues in HS2, NHS infrastructure, GCSE results gap, carbon capture targets, bridge conditions, and homelessness, highlighting numerous challenges for the UK

      The first Prime Minister's Questions session for Keir Starmer was held with seven fewer Labour MPs behind him due to suspensions. Meanwhile, the Tory leadership race kicked off with James Cleverley launching his nominations. However, the National Audit Office reports, which received less attention than expected, revealed concerning issues such as a new 460 million pound white elephant station on HS2, a 2.4 billion pound risk in NHS infrastructure, and a significant gap in GCSE results between rich and poor children. The Department for Energy Security and Net Zero also faces challenges in achieving ambitious carbon capture targets. Additionally, 2,300 bridges in England are in substandard condition, and homelessness is at its highest level since records began. The UK space agency saw a 73 percent increase in its budget but lacked clarity on its aims, outcomes, or priorities. These reports underscore the pressing challenges facing various sectors in the UK.

    • UK Government DisarrayThe UK government is facing significant challenges including poor infrastructure, public services, and leadership changes, which Chancellor Rachel Reeves will address in her upcoming budget speech, while PM Kiyastama faces his first PMQs since switching sides.

      The current state of the UK government and its machinery is in a state of disarray, as evidenced by recent NAO reports highlighting the poor condition of infrastructure and public services. This context will significantly influence Chancellor Rachel Reeves' upcoming budget speech, allowing her to make a compelling case for the need to address these issues. Additionally, the impending resignation of the most senior civil servant, Simon Case, due to health reasons, will bring about a significant shift at the heart of government, potentially leading to a new powerful figure influencing policy decisions. Furthermore, Prime Minister Kiyastama will face his first PMQs today since switching sides, with seven suspended Labour MPs adding to the challenges Keir Starmer may be facing within his own party. Despite these challenges, Starmer's large majority in the House of Commons gives him a strong position of power.

    • Starmer's crackdown on dissenting MPsStarmer's decision to suspend dissenting MPs, including Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell, for voting against the government's legislative program could quell future uprisings but may also sow seeds of discontent and come back to haunt him if his majority changes in future elections.

      UK Labor Party leader Keir Starmer took a firm stance against dissenting MPs by suspending several of them for voting against the government's legislative program just three weeks after winning the election. Starmer's decision to crack down on these MPs, including Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell, was met with angst within the party and may sow the seeds of discontent. The suspensions came after Starmer and his team appeared sympathetic to concerns about the two-child limit, but ultimately took a hardline position due to the financial implications. This is the first major rebellion on a King's speech debate since 1945, highlighting the unusual nature of the situation. Starmer's decision may quell future uprisings but could also come back to haunt him, especially if his majority changes in future elections. The suspensions, including that of McDonnell, who played a key role in managing the left at the last conference, mark a significant shift in their relationship.

    • Tory Leadership ContestJames Cleverly enters Tory Leadership Contest with a pitch to appeal to a broad range of voters, contrasting hardline Brexit figures, while Labour deals with internal discontent and seven suspended MPs.

      The political landscape in the UK is undergoing significant changes, with various parties and leaders facing challenges and opportunities. At the heart of this is the ongoing Tory leadership contest, where James Cleverly, the shadow home secretary, has entered the race with a pitch to appeal to a broad range of voters, including reformists, liberals, and Labour supporters. This approach contrasts with more hardline Brexit figures in the party, setting up a debate about winning from the center versus going all in on the right. Meanwhile, the Labour Party is dealing with discontent within its ranks, as seven MPs were suspended for voting against the government on the two-child benefit cap. The larger picture includes Kyostalma as the new prime minister being interrogated at PMQs, Rishi Sunak leading the opposition, and Ed Davy representing the Lib Dems. The SMP's role has been diminished, but they may still ask questions about Labour's stance on the two-child benefit cap. The Tory leadership contest will be a significant tussle, with the question being whether MPs can persuade party members not to choose the most right-wing candidate.

    • UK Tory Leadership Race, Welsh Labour LeadershipThe UK Tory leadership race is expected to have multiple contenders, while Welsh Labour may only have one candidate, Eleanor Morgan, who has an unusual political background, having been an MEP and leading Labour on EU referendum bills in the Lords. Morgan is seen as a unity candidate for Welsh Labour amidst political instability in Britain.

      The Tory leadership race in the UK is expected to see a flurry of contenders due to the low threshold of 10 Tory MPs required to enter. The Welsh leadership contest, on the other hand, may only have one candidate, Eleanor Morgan, who is currently the Welsh Health Secretary and a peer. Morgan has an unusual political journey, having been an MEP in Brussels and leading Labour on EU referendum bills in the Lords. She is seen as a unity candidate for Welsh Labour, which is currently divided. The Welsh First Minister position may be formally awarded to Morgan in the coming days. Amidst the political instability in Britain, with numerous leaders stepping down in Scotland, Wales, and Westminster, these leadership contests highlight the ongoing changes in political leadership.

    • Labour govt's foreign policyLamy in India reviving post-Brexit trade deal, Wallace in Paris, Berlin discussing defense partnership with Europe, marking a departure from Labour's traditional stance towards international engagement

      Key takeaway from today's discussion is that two key cabinet ministers in the new Labour government, David Lamy (Foreign Secretary) and Ben Wallace (Defense Secretary), are making significant strides in foreign policy. Lamy is in India, working to revive the long-promised post-Brexit free trade deal with India, which was put on hold under the previous administration. This unexpected focus on trade deals marks a departure from the Labour Party's traditional stance. Meanwhile, Wallace is in Paris and Berlin, discussing a new defense partnership with Europe. Both ministers' actions indicate a more proactive and internationalist approach to foreign policy under the new Labour government. Stay tuned for further updates on these developments.

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