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    Stocks for the Next 10 Years

    enFebruary 22, 2019
    What topics does the Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast cover?
    How did Kraft Heinz's financial issues impact its shareholders?
    Why is effective communication important in business?
    What are the risks of cashing out a 401k?
    How is the consumer goods market changing currently?

    Podcast Summary

    • Effective Communication Skills: Tips from ExpertsEffective communication skills are vital for success in business and personal life. The Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast offers insights from experts on managing anxiety, taking risks, and harnessing nervous energy to improve communication skills.

      Effective communication skills are essential in both business and personal life, as highlighted in the Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast. The podcast, which has received nearly 43 million downloads and is the number one career podcast in 95 plus countries, offers valuable tips from experts on various communication topics, including managing anxiety, taking risks, and harnessing nervous energy. Strong communication skills are crucial in various scenarios, such as crafting an elevator pitch or preparing for an important meeting. Listeners can tune in every Tuesday on their preferred podcast platform or YouTube to gain insights from professionals like neuroscientist Andrew Huberman, speechwriter Dan Pink, and psychologist Kelly McGonigal. Meanwhile, in the business world, Kraft Heinz faced a significant setback with a $15 billion charge, a subpoena from the SEC, and a dividend cut. The company's struggles stem from the CPG industry's pricing pressure and low sales growth, resulting in a high-teens percentage drop in operating profits for the next quarter. Kraft Heinz's woes have affected its shareholders, including Berkshire Hathaway and 3G Capital, which own 26% and 22% of the stock, respectively. Despite the financial hit, Berkshire Hathaway, with its vast resources, is expected to weather the storm. The discussion also touched upon the increasing prevalence of non-GAAP financial reporting, which can sometimes obscure the full impact of companies' financial performance.

    • Companies Adapting to Changing Consumer Behavior and Market ConditionsKraft Heinz may sell off brands, Wayfair's repeat customers are promising, Walmart excels online, international markets present challenges

      The consumer goods market is experiencing a shift with more choices available, and companies are under pressure to cut costs and increase profitability. Kraft Heinz, for instance, may consider selling off some brands to pay down debt. Wayfair's strong repeat customer numbers indicate a promising future, but they must continue to grow these metrics to maintain investor confidence. Walmart's impressive online sales growth and expanding online grocery services demonstrate their successful adaptation to changing consumer preferences. However, international markets present challenges for Walmart, and companies must navigate these issues to remain competitive. Overall, the market rewards companies that can effectively adapt to changing consumer behavior and market conditions.

    • Stamps.com ends partnership with USPS, causing stock drop and potential legal issuesStamps.com's decision to end partnership with USPS leads to stock drop, revenue loss, and potential legal issues due to stock repurchases at allegedly overvalued prices.

      Stamps.com's decision to end its business relationship with the US Postal Service came as a shock to the market, causing a significant drop in the company's stock price. This move will result in short-term pain for shareholders as the revenue derived from the USPS deal will disappear. The company is attempting to broaden its carrier options by using FedEx and UPS instead. However, this is a game-changing situation for Stamps.com, and shareholders need to consider the impact on the business's profitability picture. Additionally, the company's management team's decision to repurchase over $270 million worth of stock between 2017 and 2018, heavily weighted towards the end of 2018, at allegedly overvalued prices is raising questions and potential legal issues. The timing of these repurchases, given the impending material change, is being scrutinized, and class action suits are expected. The Amazon effect was also a significant topic during the company's conference call, with Amazon being mentioned 49 times compared to the USPS's 90 mentions.

    • Texas Roadhouse, Zillow, and Boston Beer Company Report Q4 EarningsTexas Roadhouse saw a 5.6% comp sales growth, but labor costs lowered operating income. Zillow's shares surged due to a good quarter, new CEO, and expansion plans. Boston Beer Company's shares rose on strong profits and solid 2019 guidance, driven by popular brands

      Texas Roadhouse reported strong top line numbers with a 5.6% comp sales growth, marking their 36th consecutive quarter of positive comps. However, labor costs led to a decrease in operating income, which was partially offset by lower taxes. The company also raised its dividend for the 6th straight year. Zillow saw a 20% surge in shares due to a decent top line quarter, new CEO Rich Barton taking over, and optimistic guidance for the future. Zillow aims to become a one-stop shop for housing transactions by partnering more with Premier Agents and extending their balance sheet significantly. Boston Beer Company's shares rose 15% on the back of solid 4th quarter profits and stronger-than-expected 2019 guidance. The growth was driven by popular brands like Truly Hard Seltzer, Twisted Tea, and Angry Orchard, while traditional Sam Adams faced some challenges.

    • Innovating to Stay Competitive: Boston Beer and Domino's PizzaBoston Beer introduces new brands to target new markets, while Domino's sees strong sales growth through technology and online ordering. However, Boston Beer faces pricing challenges, while Domino's adapts to changing pizza market.

      Companies like Boston Beer and Domino's Pizza are innovating to stay competitive and grow in their respective markets. Boston Beer is introducing new beer and tea brands to target new markets and increase revenue, while Domino's continues to see strong same store sales growth in the US and internationally, despite increasing competition in the food delivery space. However, Boston Beer has had struggles with pricing power in the beer market, while Domino's has been successful with technology and online ordering. When it comes to pizza, it may still be the go-to choice for many when ordering food for delivery, but the options are becoming more diverse. Domino's is doing well, but they will need to continue to adapt to the changing landscape. Overall, these companies are facing unique challenges, but are taking steps to innovate and grow.

    • Impact of Tax Law Changes and Withholding Adjustments on RefundsDespite smaller refunds or owed taxes, file promptly to determine correct withholding amounts for future. Average 401(k) balance increased but decreased in 2018 due to market declines. Savings rate is up, but many aren't saving enough for retirement, and 20.3% still have loans against their 401(k)s.

      Taxpayers who received smaller refunds this tax season or even owe taxes unexpectedly should not panic. The tax law changes and withholding adjustments have affected many people differently, and it's essential to file taxes promptly to determine the correct withholding amounts for the future. Additionally, Fidelity's retirement savings report reveals mixed news. While the average 401(k) balance increased from 2008, it decreased in 2018 due to market declines. Although the savings rate is up, many people might not be saving enough for retirement, and 20.3% of participants still have loans against their 401(k)s, primarily to pay off credit card debt. Overall, it's crucial for individuals to assess their tax situations and retirement savings proactively.

    • Using 401k for debt or cashing out can have consequencesAvoid using 401k for debt or cashing it out for retirement penalties. Prioritize debt repayment and saving for retirement.

      While taking out a 401k loan for short-term needs can be a smart move, using it to pay off debt is generally not a good idea. Additionally, cashing out a 401k when leaving a job can lead to significant tax and penalty costs, and may hinder retirement savings. It's suggested that employers should automatically enroll employees in 401k plans to encourage saving. Debt, particularly consumer debt, is a concern on both an individual and macroeconomic level. Historical recessions have been caused by excessive debt, and the economy's reliance on consumption makes bringing consumption forward a problem. The increasing debt among older Americans, including student loans, is alarming and may indicate a lack of preparedness for retirement. It's important for individuals to prioritize paying off debt and saving for retirement.

    • Debt burden among older Americans increases, Target Retirement Funds offer helpSince 2010, debt burden among Americans aged 60 and older has risen by 84%. Target Retirement Funds can help manage retirement savings and debt with automatic rebalancing and asset allocation based on retirement dates.

      The debt burden among Americans aged 60 and older has increased by 84% since 2010, making retirement more challenging. However, there are investment tools like Target Retirement Funds that can help manage retirement savings and debt. These funds allocate assets based on retirement dates and automatically rebalance, making them a good option for hands-off investors. While they may be more conservative for those with longer retirement horizons, they offer a one-stop solution for retirement savings. During the 10th anniversary celebration of Motley Fool Money, it was recalled that the first episode aired during a volatile market in 2009, with the S&P 500 returning 16% a year since then. Upcoming episodes include the listener mailbag and a discussion with a Motley Fool Wealth Management financial planner about handling life events like having a child or getting divorced.

    • Long-term investment strategies and stock picks for the next decadeInvestors should consider long-term strategies and consider stocks like CRISPR Therapeutics and PayPal for potential growth until 2029, but diversification is important.

      Key takeaway from this episode of Motley Fool Money is the discussion about long-term investment strategies and specific stock picks for the next decade. Robert Brokamp reflected on the 10-year anniversary of the show and expressed gratitude to the team, listeners, and radio affiliates. In the spirit of looking ahead, the team shared their picks for stocks to hold until 2029. Ron Gross recommended CRISPR Therapeutics, a Switzerland-based gene therapy company focused on the CRISPR Cas9 gene editing platform. Jason Moser chose PayPal due to its role in the growing trend of electronic and contactless payments. Both stocks come with some level of risk, and investors may consider diversifying their portfolio by investing in competitors or other related stocks. The team encourages a long-term investment perspective and emphasizes the importance of staying informed and patient with investments.

    • Digital payment platforms and programmatic advertising companies to grow in importancePayPal expands partnerships, The Trade Desk leads programmatic advertising, $700B market projection, Google, Facebook, Amazon to watch

      Digital payment platforms like PayPal and programmatic advertising companies such as The Trade Desk are expected to continue growing in importance and value in the coming years. PayPal is expanding its partnerships with banks and card issuers, making it a significant player in the financial technology sector. The Trade Desk, the leader in programmatic advertising, specializes in helping clients place ads on various websites based on user demographics and interests, and the market for programmatic advertising is projected to reach $700 billion. While Google and Facebook are currently the dominant players in online advertising, Amazon is rapidly gaining ground and should be watched closely. Overall, these companies offer exciting opportunities for investors looking to capitalize on the shift towards digital transactions and targeted advertising.

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