Logo
    Search

    Stocks Have Worst Day of 2023; Fed Minutes on Way

    enFebruary 22, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Stay informed and adapt to changing circumstances in business and financeUsing the right tools like QuickBooks Money with a high yield can help small businesses grow, while staying updated on stock market news and Fed minutes can guide investment decisions

      The business world is filled with challenges that may not always be apparent, but having the right tools and resources can help individuals and businesses thrive. For instance, using a business bank account like QuickBooks Money, which offers a 5% annual percentage yield, can help small business owners make their money work harder. Meanwhile, in the world of finance, stocks have experienced a rough start to the year due to weak earnings and fears of more interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. The US equity market remains quite expensive, and investors are looking for clues on the direction of interest rates when the Fed releases minutes from its policy meeting. Overall, it's essential to stay informed and adapt to changing circumstances in both business and finance. To learn more about QuickBooks Money and other business topics, tune in to the Visibility Gap podcast presented by Cigna Healthcare. For the latest news and insights on the stock market and other financial developments, listen to Bloomberg Daybreak.

    • Fed's Inflation Assessment to Determine Future Interest RatesThe Fed's inflation assessment will dictate the future direction and duration of interest rate hikes. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions persist with Russia's invasion of Ukraine and potential Chinese-Russian alliance.

      That the future direction of interest rates and the duration of increases will depend on the Federal Reserve's assessment of inflation. Meanwhile, geopolitically, President Biden's speech in Warsaw marked the unity of democracies in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, but former NATO ambassador Kurt Volker cautions that the war is far from over. In international relations, China and Russia's high-level support for each other might lead to a visit from Chinese President Xi Jinping to Moscow. In business news, McKinsey and Company plans to eliminate about 2,000 jobs in a major round of cuts, while Citigroup's CEO bucked the trend of pay cuts with a substantial compensation package.

    • CEO Compensation: Frasier's Significant Increase vs Dimon's UnchangedFrasier, the only female CEO among major American banks, received a substantial compensation increase, while Dimon's remained unchanged. Other banks reduced CEO pay, but JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo kept theirs constant. JPMorgan also restricted the use of ChatGPT by staff.

      Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, saw his compensation remain unchanged this year, while Frasier, the only female CEO among major American banks, received a significant increase in compensation. Frasier was granted approximately $23 million in stock awards, $3.5 million in cash bonus, and $1.5 million in salary. This move comes as other banks like Bank of America and Goldman Sachs reduced CEO pay. Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo kept their CEO compensation unchanged. Additionally, JPMorgan Chase is reportedly limiting the use of the chatbot, ChatGPT, by its staff due to normal controls around third-party software. Elsewhere, a storm left damage in Southern New Jersey, with possible tornado activity. A strong winter storm is expected to hit the Northern United States, bringing heavy snow. In New York City, a suspect was arrested for setting a pride flag on fire outside a Manhattan restaurant. The NYPD is investigating the incident as a hate crime. Global news coverage continues with over 27,000 journalists and analysts in 120 countries.

    • NFL Teams Decide on Franchise Tags and Free AgentsThe NFL offseason sees teams deciding on franchise tags for key players and pursuing free agents like Derek Carr. Small business owners are also making their money work harder, with QuickBooks Money offering a high yield and Stifel providing long-term growth opportunities.

      The NFL offseason is in full swing, with teams deciding whether to apply the franchise tag to keep their key players. The Giants are considering franchising quarterback Daniel Jones, and if they do, they could also franchise running back Saquon Barkley. Derek Carr, released by the Raiders, is a hot free agent, with the Jets and Saints reportedly interested. In the NBA, the Nets have extended coach Jacques Vaughn's contract, while the Hawks have fired Nate McMillan. In sports news unrelated to the discussion, the Yankees are starting their shortstop competition, with Isaiah Kiner-Falefa and several young prospects vying for the position. John Stashow, Bloomberg Sports. Moreover, in the world behind the scenes, small business owners in various industries are making their money work harder for them. QuickBooks Money offers a 5% annual percentage yield, helping these entrepreneurs earn more on their funds. Stifel, a leading wealth management and investment banking firm, has been quietly growing for over 130 years, providing clients with access to equity research and middle market investment banking services. Success, as Stifel has shown, is not just about the final destination but also about the journey, the discipline, teamwork, and passion that comes before recognition.

    • Looking beyond US for potential higher returnsInvestors may consider Asia for highest returns due to evaluation story and China's economy opening up, with Europe offering lower valuations and attractive sectors like banks, energy, and commodities.

      Key takeaway from this discussion between Nathan Hager and Peter Oppenheimer on Bloomberg Daybreak is that investors may want to consider looking beyond the US market for potential higher returns, particularly in Asia. Oppenheimer, the chief global equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, suggests that the returns in Asia could be the highest due to an evaluation story and the opening up of China's economy. He also emphasizes the importance of looking beyond equity index levels to find better relative opportunities, as cheaper things have outperformed more expensive ones in the previous year and are expected to continue doing so. Furthermore, Oppenheimer mentions that Europe has been outperforming the US due to lower valuations, with sectors like banks, energy, and commodity-related businesses being particularly attractive. Overall, the global economic outlook is optimistic, but the returns are expected to be modest at the index level, making it essential for investors to seek pockets of value within various regions.

    • UK market: Balancing value and growthInvest in UK's value sectors like banking, healthcare, and resources, but also consider a mix of growth sectors for stable margins. European mega-companies offer defensive growth.

      The UK market, which has been the best performing major index in Europe last year, still holds potential due to its value sectors like banking, healthcare, and resources. However, it's essential to adopt a more eclectic approach to investing, balancing value with pockets of growth that offer stable margins. European mega-companies, which make up a large portion of the index, continue to maintain their appeal as defensive growth areas due to their high and stable margins. It's important to note that the trend of growth versus value may not follow the same secular patterns as before. Instead, investors should consider a mix of both value and growth sectors in their portfolios. The financial crisis led many to adopt a binary approach to investing, but the market's current state calls for a more nuanced perspective. Listen to Bloomberg Daybreak Today for more insights on the European and global markets.

    Recent Episodes from Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

    Instant Reaction: Supreme Court Immunity Ruling

    Instant Reaction: Supreme Court Immunity Ruling

    The US Supreme Court ruled that Donald Trump has some immunity from criminal charges for trying to reverse the 2020 election results, all but ensuring that a trial won’t happen before the November election. The justices, voting 6-3 along ideological lines, said a federal appeals court was too categorical in rejecting Trump’s immunity arguments, ruling for the first time that former presidents are shielded from prosecution for some official acts taken while in office. Bloomberg's Paul Sweeney and Alix Steel get instant reaction.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Instant Reaction: 2024 CNN Presidential Debate

    Instant Reaction: 2024 CNN Presidential Debate

    Bloomberg's Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz recap the first 2024 presidential debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. They receive additional analysis from Bloomberg Correspondent David Gura, Republican Strategist and Stone Court Capital Partner Rick Davis and Democratic Strategist and ROKK Solutions Partner Kristen Hawn.  

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Bloomberg Exclusive: Supreme Court Abortion Ruling

    Bloomberg Exclusive: Supreme Court Abortion Ruling

    The US Supreme Court is poised to allow abortions in medical emergencies in Idaho, according to a copy of the opinion that was briefly posted on the court’s website. Bloomberg Law obtained a copy of the opinion, which would reinstate a lower court order that had ensured hospitals in the state could perform emergency abortions to protect the health of the mother. Bloomberg Law Host June Grasso and Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel explain the decision to Bloomberg's Kailey Leinz and Joe Mathieu. 

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Related Episodes

    Macro & Market Analysis: Michael Talks ERP, Risk Free Rates & Markets

    Macro & Market Analysis: Michael Talks ERP, Risk Free Rates & Markets

    Episode 39:

    On today's show I speak with Michael Kramer, Founder of MOTT Capital and creator of Reading the Markets, an SA Marketplace Service. Michael has over 25 years of experience as a buy-side trader, analysts and portfolio manager. He focuses on long-only macro themes and trends, looks for long-term thematic growth investments and uses options dta to find unusual activity.

    • Higher for Longer
    • Powell's Message of Data Dependence
    • If Data Indicates Faster Tightening is Warranted, FED Will Increase Pace of Rate Hikes
    • RISING M/M CORE CPI
    • Recent january 2023 Data and Meaning
    • Inflation is Cumulative
    • Cleveland FED - Feb 23 and March 23 Forecasting
    • 3 Ways to Reduce Inflation
    • Labor Market
    • Lower Unemployment Possible?
    • Earnings Compression and Recession 
    • Compressed Margins
    • P/E for S&P 500 and Nasdaq is High
    • Indexes are Most Expensive in Over a Decade
    • Higher Rates Should Lead to Lower PE and Lower Stock Prices
    • Equity Risk Premiums at Narrowest Spread in Over 15 Years
    • Risk Free Rates Breaking Out
    • Bond Yields
    • Earnings Yields
    • Fundamentals Matter
    • CASH is King

     

    Visit Michael on his SA Platform: https://seekingalpha.com/author/mott-capital-management

    ✨SUBSCRIBE to The RO Show Podcast!✨
    https://youtube.com/@theroshowpodcast

     

    ➡️CONNECT with ROSANNA PRESTIA & The RO Show⬅️
    ✨ONE SITE FOR ALL: https://sociatap.com/RosannaPrestia

    ✨YOUTUBE: https://youtube.com/@TheROShowPodcast

    ✨TWITTER: https://www.twitter.com/@rosannainvests

    ✨TWITTER: https://www.twitter.com/@theroshowpod

    ✨WEBSITE: https://www.rosannaprestia.com

     

    THINK Different with Rosanna
    ©️ 2022-2023

    Groundhog Day

    Groundhog Day

    It’s a bit early but for the financial markets, this Friday was Groundhog Day. We got the best indication if the Fed would see its shadow or not and if we’d soon see interest rate cuts or a longer cold period of higher inflation. On this week’s show we look at the results and how we can have so much pressure higher on inflation but still see a resolution of a soft landing.


    The information contained in this podcast represents the opinions of the hosts and guests and does not necessarily represent the views of Raymond James and Associates, Inc., The Wise Investor Group, or their respective affiliates and employees.


    This podcast is for investor educational purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, investment advice. The contents of this podcast do not purport to constitute a comprehensive summary of all information necessary to base an investment decision. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.


    Securities mentioned in this podcast may not be suitable for all investors. Seek the advice of your financial advisor or other qualified financial service provider with any questions you may have regarding your individual situation. Discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional advisors.


    Raymond James and Associates, Inc., member New York Stock Exchange, SIPC.

    Peter Boockvar Exposes Bear Steepening of the Yield Curve & BOJ

    Peter Boockvar Exposes Bear Steepening of the Yield Curve & BOJ

    Episode 104:

    Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Financial Group & Editor of The Boock Report, talks the true meaning of higher yields and the hidden REAL effects on all of us. We explore possible catalysts for the long term rates rising such as the Bank of Japan, the top foreign holder of US debt, selling treasuries to repatriate their own bonds. Recession is imminent but what about stagflation?

    With markets, we discuss why US Dollar and GOLD are both UP and where there are some interesting investing opportunities. They are out there! Find out now! 

    ➡️Check Out Peter Boockvar on Twitter: https://twitter.com/pboockvar

    ➡️Visit Peter's Boock Report: https://peterboockvar.substack.com/

     

    ✨SUBSCRIBE to The RO Show YT Channel✨
    https://youtube.com/@theroshowpodcast

    ➡️CONNECT with ROSANNA PRESTIA⬅️
    ✨ONE SITE ♾️ https://sociatap.com/RosannaPrestia/

    ✨X ♾️ https://twitter.com/RosannaInvests

    ✨X ♾️ https://twitter.com/TheROShowPod

    ✨LinkedIn ♾️ https://www.linkedin.com/in/rosannaprestia/

    ✨WEBSITE ♾️ https://www.rosannaprestia.com/

    THINK Different with Rosanna
    ©️ 2022-2023

    FED 'Flying Blind' from Inflation to 'Baked In' Recession with Steve Hanke

    FED 'Flying Blind' from Inflation to 'Baked In' Recession with Steve Hanke

    On today's show I am so honored to be here with Steve Hanke, renowned monetarist economist and professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University. Professor Hanke gives is the economic reality of our economy, impact of money supply, and FED led inflation and recession. Inflation snuck up on the FED and they thought it was "transitory" when the cause is directly related to the Money Supply.

    "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon."

    - Milton Friedman 

    00:00:00 Intro

    • Professor Hanke on state of US Economy from Inflation to Recession

    • FED 'flying blind'

    • How will they change course?

    • Money Supply msotly created by commercial banks ~85%

    • Monetary Squeeze fastest rate since 1930s

    • Recession Q1 2024

    • Quantity Theory of Money

    • FED uses Post-Keynesian Economics

    • Golden Growth Rate

    • What would Steve do if FED chair?

    • Global Landscape

    • Inflation is LOCAL - created by local central banks

    • Currency

    • Markets

    • GOLD & Commodities

    • COVID lockdowns biggest policy mistake in modern times

    • Gold Sentiment Report: https://thegoldsentimentreport.com/

     

    ➡️Visit Steve Hanke on Twitter: https://twitter.com/steve_hanke

    ➡️The Best GOLD Sentiment Indicator using the Hanke-Cofnas Gold Sentiment Score: https://thegoldsentimentreport.com/

     

    ✨SUBSCRIBE to The RO Show Podcast!✨
    https://youtube.com/@theroshowpodcast

     

    ➡️CONNECT with ROSANNA PRESTIA & The RO Show⬅️


    ✨ONE SITE FOR ALL: https://sociatap.com/RosannaPrestia

    ✨YOUTUBE: https://youtube.com/@TheROShowPodcast

    ✨TWITTER: https://www.twitter.com/@rosannainvests

    ✨TWITTER: https://www.twitter.com/@theroshowpod

    ✨WEBSITE: https://www.rosannaprestia.com

     

    THINK Different with Rosanna
    ©️ 2022-2023

    Is The FED Injecting Liquidity? Truth In Economics | Dr EJ Antoni

    Is The FED Injecting Liquidity? Truth In Economics | Dr EJ Antoni

    Episode 111:

    On today's show I speak with the great Dr. EJ Antoni, Research Fellow at Heritage Foundation and public finance economist focusing on fiscal and monetary policies and TRUTH IN ECONOMICS beyond the headlines!

    Join us as we go deep under the hood and analyze the REAL economic numbers. We talk Debt, Massive Government Spending, Bidenomics, the TRUE Unemployment Rate and Labor Market Numbers, Inflation, and more.

    Where is all this liquidity coming from while FED is reducing its balance sheet? We discuss the BTFP details you need to know!

    Will the FED pivot? What is the Financial Market Outlook for 2024? An episode you cannot afford to miss!

    ➡️Follow Dr EJ Antoni on X: https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni

    ➡️Read Dr EJ Antoni's papers on Heritage: https://www.heritage.org/staff/ej-antoni

     

    For Investment Inquiries and/or to speak to an Investment Advisor at HYDRA WEALTH ADVISORS, please visit: https://www.hydrawealthadvisors.com

    ✨SUBSCRIBE to The RO Show YT Channel✨
    https://youtube.com/@theroshowpodcast

    https://rumble.com/c/c-5300605

    ➡️CONNECT with ROSANNA PRESTIA⬅️
    ✨ONE SITE ♾️ https://sociatap.com/RosannaPrestia/

    ✨X ♾️ https://twitter.com/RosannaInvests

    ✨X ♾️ https://twitter.com/TheROShowPod

    ✨LinkedIn ♾️ https://www.linkedin.com/in/rosannaprestia/

    ✨WEBSITE ♾️ https://www.rosannaprestia.com/

    THINK Different with Rosanna
    ©️ 2022-2024