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    Sunak suffers a Tory backlash - but what will Labour do next?

    enOctober 05, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Political Debate Surrounding Abandonment of HS2 ProjectRishi Sunak's decision to abandon HS2 project faces criticism from political establishment and former leaders, seen as going against long-term planning and damaging UK's reputation for infrastructure commitment.

      The decision to abandon the HS2 project by Rishi Sunak, the current UK Chancellor, has sparked a significant political debate. This decision was a reversal of a previous commitment made by his predecessor, and it has been met with criticism from various quarters, including former Prime Ministers and Chancellors. The Labor Party, too, has a complex history with the project, with its current Shadow Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, having previously opposed it. The consensus among the political establishment seems to be that this decision goes against long-term planning and could potentially harm the UK's reputation for stability and commitment to major infrastructure projects. The former PM, David Cameron, has been particularly vocal in his criticism, stating that the decision will fuel the views of those who argue that the UK can no longer think or act for the long term. This situation highlights the challenges and complexities of political decision-making, especially when it comes to large-scale infrastructure projects and the legacies of previous leaders.

    • Sunak's strategy for Tory victory: Positioning himself as the changeRishi Sunak is positioning himself as the change the public desires to win the 2024 Tory election, rather than promoting the Conservative Party. His strategy includes local projects, contrasting himself with former leaders, and emphasizing these efforts in local media.

      Rishi Sunak's political strategy for the 2024 Tory victory revolves around the message of change. Sunak, who is seen as a "hired gun" with no strong ideological beliefs, is taking orders from strategists like Isaac Levito. They argue that the only way to win an election after 13 years of Tory rule is to position Sunak as the change the public desires, rather than the Conservative Party itself. Sunak's strategy includes local projects to secure votes, pitting himself against former leaders like David Cameron and Boris Johnson, and appearing in local media to emphasize these projects. This approach, which some call "pork barreling," aims to energize MPs and secure their support. However, the success of this strategy remains uncertain.

    • British Labour Party turns to Australian politics for inspirationThe British Labour Party is adopting Australian political strategies due to financial constraints, observing Anthony Albanese's success in opposition, and needing to address inconsistency perceptions while considering HS 2 project implications.

      The British Labour Party is looking towards Australian politics for inspiration on campaigning and governance, rather than the United States, as previously assumed. This shift is due to the financial constraints in British politics, making large-scale campaign investments like those seen in the US impossible. Instead, the Labour Party is closely observing the success of Anthony Albanese in Australia's recent election while in opposition. This Australianization of British politics could influence how Labour approaches policy and campaigning moving forward, particularly in the context of the ongoing HS 2 project and Rishi Sunak's recent speech. The Labour Party will need to address the challenges posed by the Tories' attempts to paint them as indecisive and inconsistent while also considering the significant financial implications of canceling projects like HS 2.

    • Tories may attack Labour's unpopular leader as election strategyThe Conservative Party plans to use Keir Starmer's low popularity as a key attack line against Labour in the upcoming election, positioning themselves as the saviors from an unpopular opposition.

      The Conservative Party may use the perceived lack of popularity of Labour leader Keir Starmer as their key attack line in the upcoming election. A senior Tory expressed this sentiment, stating that people don't like the Tories less than they dislike Labour. Starmer's favorability ratings are not as high as those of past Labour leaders like Blair, and he is not seen as a net asset. The Conservative Party may try to position themselves as the saviors from an unpopular Labour Party. This strategy is reminiscent of the 1993-1994 period when John Smith, a less charismatic Labour leader, was unable to excite the public and ultimately died before a general election. The Conservative Party's success in Manchester, led by Rishi Sunak's gamble on a highly anticipated speech, allowed the right wing of the party to dominate the narrative in the days leading up to the speech.

    • Rishi Sunak's push for change in Conservative Party complicated by past roles and public perceptionRishi Sunak aims to present himself as a change candidate in Conservative Party despite his significant roles and public's perception of him as a status quo figure. His handling of potential successors and past promises adds to the complexity.

      Rishi Sunak's push for change in the Conservative Party is complicated by his past roles and the public's perception of him. With 79% of people wanting a change in the Conservative Party but only 37% wanting a change to Labour, Sunak needs to present himself as a change candidate. However, his significant roles in the party, including being the chancellor during COVID and the prime minister, make it difficult for him to dismiss the past. Sunaka's former colleagues, like David Cameron, feel betrayed by his calls to abandon past promises, such as the HS2 railway project. Sunak's handling of Suella Braverman and other potential successors is also a point of contention. Some argue that he's allowing her to be an outrider, while others believe he's uncomfortable with her radical stance and positioning for the future. Ultimately, Sunak's success will depend on his ability to convince the public that he represents a genuine change while acknowledging the party's past.

    • Rishi Sunak's leadership faces challenges from Suella Braverman and criticism for trashing past leaders' legaciesRishi Sunak's leadership faces internal challenges, particularly from Suella Braverman. His campaign against campaigning has left some perplexed and criticized for trashing past leaders' legacies. Despite his call for a mandate in another year, the country's problems persist, and another year of campaigning is expected.

      That Rishi Sunak's leadership of the Conservative Party is facing internal challenges, particularly from Suella Braverman, who some believe may be dismissed in an upcoming reshuffle. Sunak has criticized the party's focus on short-term campaigning for the last 30 years and aims to distinguish himself from past leaders. However, his approach of campaigning against campaigning has left some perplexed and criticized for trashing the legacies of past leaders, including Margaret Thatcher. Despite Sunak's call for a mandate in another year, the country continues to face numerous problems, and another year of campaigning is expected. The circular logic and postmodern approach of Sunak's message have left many questioning the strategy's coherence. The ongoing reshuffle and Sunak's relationship with advisors like Dominic Cummings remain points of interest.

    • New Prime Minister's Bold Moves Amidst Political InstabilityRishi Sunak's bold moves as a new prime minister under pressure face dismissal from Labour Party, with Nigel Farage's presence adding to political instability.

      Rishi Sunak, facing the difficult position of being a new prime minister under pressure to perform and fearing a potential loss to the Labour Party, has felt compelled to make bold moves, leading to speculation about major policy changes. However, the Labour Party may not feel the need to engage with these changes, instead choosing to attack and dismiss Sunak's actions as insignificant given the Conservative Party's long-standing policies and the perceived instability of Sunak's leadership. Nigel Farage, a notable figure in British politics, was present at the Conservative Party conference and could potentially cause further disruption with his presence and campaigning efforts.

    • Scotland's Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election: A significant test for SNP and LabourThe Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election in Scotland is crucial for both SNP and Labour, with implications for the upcoming Scottish and UK general elections.

      The by-election in Rutherglen and Hamilton West, Scotland, is more than just a battle for one seat. It's a significant test for the Scottish National Party (SNP) under their new leader, Hamza Yousaf, following the resignation of Nicola Sturgeon due to her husband's arrest and ongoing criminal investigation. For Labour, led by Keir Starmer, winning this seat could boost their morale and potential electoral chances in Scotland, where they've been outperformed by the SNP for years. The first recall by-election in Scotland's history adds pressure on the SNP due to the unexpected voter-initiated poll, and the SMP's past leadership and financial issues further complicate their campaign. This by-election could set the tone for the upcoming Scottish and potentially UK general elections.

    • UK Election in Scotland: A Tight Race Between Labour and SNPDespite criticism and investigations, SNP maintains lead in Scottish polls. Labour's potential win may signal change but independence prospects are uncertain.

      The UK parliamentary election in Scotland is a closely contested race between the Labour Party and the Scottish National Party (SNP). The campaign has been acrimonious, with the SNP using Labor's UK party line on issues like the bedroom tax to differentiate themselves. The SNP still holds a lead in voter intention polls despite criticism of their domestic policy record and a well-publicized police inquiry into their party finances. If Labor wins, it may reinforce the narrative that something has changed in Scotland. However, the prospects for Scottish independence don't look bright in the short term, as the political focus will be on the new Labor government. In the long term, the SNP may position themselves as a more left-wing Scottish alternative and capitalize on any struggles the Labor government faces. It remains to be seen if a new dawn for Labor in Scotland is truly premature or not.

    • SNP's Advantage in Scottish Politics and Uncertainty over Collaboration with LabourThe SNP benefits from demographic trends, but support for Scottish independence remains balanced. Collaboration between the SNP and a Labour government is uncertain due to differing ideologies.

      The Scottish National Party (SNP) holds an advantage in the Scottish political landscape due to demographic trends favoring younger generations, who are more pro-independence. However, polls suggest that support for independence remains finely balanced. The possibility of a formal collaboration between the SNP and a Labour government is uncertain, with the SNP's red line being another referendum on independence. Both sides seem hesitant to form a successful partnership, as the SNP argues that UK politics and the UK state are inherently right-wing, and a successful Labour government might undermine this argument. In other news, politicians had an eventful week, with Suella Braverman, a Tory party member, causing controversy by standing on a guide dog's tail during a photo opportunity.

    • Two public figures and their dogs make headlines for controversial incidentsPublic figures face unexpected scrutiny, even when it comes to their pets, and the stresses of their positions can impact their animals' behavior.

      Two high-profile figures, Suella Braverman and Joe Biden, found themselves in the news for controversial incidents involving dogs. Suella Braverman, the UK Home Secretary, was criticized for appearing to step on a dog's tail during a campaign event. The image sparked outrage due to its resemblance to Cruella de Vil from "101 Dalmatians." On the other side of the Atlantic, President Joe Biden's dog, Commander, was banned from the White House after biting two Secret Service agents. The incidents highlight the unexpected challenges and scrutiny that come with being a public figure, even when it comes to our beloved pets. The stress of living in the White House was cited as a possible factor in Commander's behavior. These incidents serve as a reminder that, no matter how powerful or famous we become, we and our pets are still subject to the unexpected twists and turns of life.

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