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    Swamp Notes: Biden’s climate agenda runs out of steam

    enJune 22, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Young voters in North Carolina and climate changeYoung voters in North Carolina, particularly those at universities, express concern over climate change but are uncertain if President Biden's actions have been sufficient, potentially impacting their decision to vote in November.

      While young voters in North Carolina, particularly those at universities like North Carolina State, express concern over climate change, they are unsure if President Joe Biden's actions have been sufficient to address the issue. This uncertainty may impact their decision to vote in November. For instance, Cameron, a biology major, acknowledged the importance of climate change but felt that Biden's approach has not been aggressive enough. She expressed a sense of having to choose the lesser evil, and while she wants to exercise her right to vote, she also considered staying home if she doesn't feel there's a better candidate. This sentiment was shared by other students interviewed, highlighting the need for more tangible action from politicians on climate change to mobilize young voters.

    • Climate change and young votersDespite Biden's efforts on climate change, young voters remain unimpressed and may not support his reelection due to perceived lack of an aggressive enough agenda.

      While President Joe Biden has taken significant steps on climate change through legislation and regulations, his efforts may not be resonating with young voters, a critical part of his coalition. The Inflation Reduction Act, which includes subsidies for green technologies and clean energy, is intended to spark a clean energy boom in the US. However, young voters in North Carolina and elsewhere express apathy towards Biden's reelection due to feelings of disappointment over the perceived lack of an aggressive enough climate agenda. The next few months are expected to see a big effort to win these voters back.

    • Climate policies perception gapDespite Biden's accomplishments on climate policies through the Inflation Reduction Act, there's a disconnect between what voters perceive and the actual benefits, leading to potential voter apathy instead of a shift towards Trump.

      There's a disconnect between what President Joe Biden has accomplished on climate policies through the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and what voters perceive. This disconnect may lead to voter apathy rather than a shift towards Trump, as some voters are not yet seeing tangible benefits from these policies. The IRA projects, such as battery factories, take time to materialize and may not translate into votes until after the election when people can see the economic benefits and job creation. Biden's messaging on these issues might not be resonating with some voters, leading to a lack of awareness about the subsidies and factories being built under the IRA.

    • Marketing the Inflation Reduction ActEffective marketing of the Inflation Reduction Act as a climate transition bill was hindered by its positioning as an inflation solution, potentially overshadowing its climate agenda. The US's role as a major fossil fuel producer and the affordability of electric vehicles also pose challenges for climate voters.

      The Inflation Reduction Act, despite its name, was not effectively marketed as a bill primarily focused on climate transition. Instead, it was positioned as a solution to reduce inflation, leading to some confusion and potentially overshadowing the climate agenda. Additionally, the US being the world's largest oil and gas producer can make it challenging for climate voters to overlook the country's fossil fuel industry, even with the creation of green jobs and incentives. Furthermore, the affordability of electric vehicles, a significant part of Biden's climate policies, remains an issue, hindering their widespread adoption.

    • US climate policy apathy among young votersThe lack of a clear climate plan for Biden's second term and potential return of Trump could be contributing to apathy among young voters, hindering international efforts to combat climate change

      While President Biden has made significant strides in climate policy during his first term with the implementation of the Inflation Reduction Act, there is a lack of a grand, new climate plan for his second term. This could be contributing to apathy among young voters who may not fully understand the policy changes. On the other hand, former President Trump's potential return to office could have disastrous consequences for climate action, as he has previously threatened to pull the US out of the Paris Agreement and roll back climate-related regulations. The US, as a global power, plays a crucial role in UN climate talks, and its absence could hinder international efforts to combat climate change.

    • Climate regulations, election oddsThe potential rollback of IRA subsidies by the incoming administration could impact climate regulations domestically and Biden's election odds, while the ban of Joey Chestnut from the hot dog eating contest could have unforeseen effects on public opinion.

      The potential rollback of IRA subsidies by the incoming administration could lead to a significant change in climate regulations domestically, and a major setback for international climate talks. This could have implications for Biden's election odds, as the benefits of these subsidies have reached many small towns and rural areas, particularly in Republican districts. Additionally, the ban of Joey Chestnut, the hot dog eating contest's record holder, from this year's Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest after signing an endorsement deal with a plant-based hot dog maker could also have unforeseen effects on public opinion and engagement with key issues.

    • Politics and Hot Dog Eating ContestsPolitics and seemingly unrelated events, like hot dog eating contests, can interconnect in unexpected ways, with potential political opportunities and debates arising from the most unlikely sources.

      Politics and hot dog eating contests can intertwine in unexpected ways. During a discussion on the FT News Briefing's Swamp Notes show, the possibility of former President Donald Trump attending the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest in Coney Island was brought up as a potential political opportunity. Joey Chestnut, the contest's reigning champion, was jokingly labeled a Democrat due to his plant-based diet. The conversation then touched upon the challenge of consuming a large number of hot dogs, with some speculating that plant-based options might be easier to eat due to their size. Ultimately, the show's hosts expressed their appreciation for Amy Williams, the FT's US climate reporter, and James Politi, the Washington bureau chief, for their insights on the intersection of politics and climate change. The episode underscores the unpredictable nature of politics and the various ways it can be connected to seemingly unrelated events.

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