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    The end of Brexit

    enJuly 16, 2024
    What is Labour's stance on Brexit negotiations?
    How did Brexit influence the 2024 UK election manifestos?
    What economic impacts of Brexit are acknowledged by Labour?
    What diplomatic efforts has Keir Starmer made with Europe?
    How might the UK-EU relationship evolve post-Brexit?

    Podcast Summary

    • UK-EU relationsLabour Party in power signals potential shift towards warmer UK-EU relations, but it's unclear if this means an end to Brexit as we know it, as Brexit was barely mentioned in the 2024 UK election manifestos due to the challenges and frustration with the process.

      The Labour Party, now in power in the UK, is seeking warmer relations with Europe despite not wanting to reopen Brexit negotiations. This could signal a new era of reconnection with the EU, but it remains to be seen if this means the end of Brexit as we know it. During the 2024 UK election, Brexit was barely mentioned in the manifestos of the major parties, reflecting the general sense of disappointment with the process. The lack of discussion on Brexit in the campaign speaks to the challenges of delivering on the promises made during the EU referendum and the frustration with compromise and uncertainty that has characterized the Brexit negotiations. The future of UK-EU relations remains uncertain, but Labour's actions suggest a potential shift in course.

    • Conservative Party and BrexitThe Conservative Party, once the champions of Brexit, have been significantly impacted by the process and have barely mentioned it in their 2023 campaign due to economic challenges. Labour, under Keir Starmer, has ruled out rejoining the EU, but faces the challenge of generating growth from trade with Europe without EU membership.

      The Brexit process has significantly impacted the Conservative Party, leaving it divided, exhausted, and unable to focus on other issues. The Tories, who were once the champions of Brexit, barely mentioned it in their 2023 campaign as they grappled with the economic challenges of the post-Brexit era. Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats, who have consistently advocated for EU membership, have been largely silent on the issue due to shifting public opinion. Labour, under Keir Starmer, has ruled out rejoining the EU, citing economic reasons and a lack of formal mandate from the electorate. However, the economic costs of leaving the EU are significant, and Labour faces the challenge of generating growth from trade with Europe without rejoining the EU. The question remains whether Labour will experience the same internal divisions on Europe as the Conservatives did.

    • UK-EU relationsLabour under Keir Starmer aims to improve UK-EU relations despite past tensions, focusing on trade, security, and defense cooperation, while acknowledging the economic costs of Brexit

      The UK's relationship with the EU has evolved significantly since the Brexit vote, with Labour, under Keir Starmer, prioritizing improved relations despite red lines and past tensions. During the 2024 election campaign, EU-related discussions were largely absent, but behind the scenes, work was underway for closer ties in areas like trade, security, and defense. Keir Starmer's early diplomatic efforts, such as meetings with European leaders, signaled a desire for a good faith relationship, despite the UK's departure from the EU. The economic costs of Brexit, such as the forecasted 4% reduction in GDP, are acknowledged by Labour figures, but the focus remains on finding areas of mutual interest for cooperation.

    • Labour Party's EU relationship challengesThe Labour Party, under Keir Starmer, is grappling with the economic realities of Brexit, including new import regulations and border control issues, while advocating for a closer relationship with Europe for economic growth and easing trade. Urgent solutions are needed to address immediate crises.

      The Labour Party, under the leadership of Keir Starmer, is facing numerous challenges in navigating the UK's relationship with the EU post-Brexit. The economic realities of Brexit, such as new import regulations and border control issues, are causing immediate crises and requiring urgent attention. Labour MP Stella Creasy, as the chair of Labour Movement for Europe, is pushing for a closer relationship with Europe to boost economic growth and ease trade. However, some within Labour, like Rachel Reeves, are advocating for a more protectionist approach. The lack of resources due to the 2019 defeat has hindered Labour's preparation for these challenges, and compromises within the party will be necessary. The party is focusing on resetting the relationship, but issues like border control and import regulations require immediate attention and solutions. Possible solutions include joining the Mediterranean Convention to alleviate paperwork and potentially pausing or reviewing certain regulations to prevent food and other shortages.

    • UK-EU negotiationsEffective communication and understanding are crucial in international negotiations. Past confrontational approaches have left emotional scars and negatively impacted reputation and trust. Future negotiations require diplomacy and respect to build a successful relationship.

      Effective communication and understanding are crucial in negotiating international relationships, as demonstrated by the tensions between the UK and EU during Brexit negotiations. Rishi Sunak's confrontational approach during the European Political Community summit in 2022 served as a reminder of the UK's past behavior, damaging the reputation and trust of European counterparts. The new Labour government must prioritize building a respectful and collaborative relationship with Europe to successfully negotiate a new trade and cooperation agreement. The past negotiations left emotional scars, and the UK's reputation is still seen negatively in the EU. Therefore, it is essential to learn from the past and approach future negotiations with diplomacy and respect.

    • Rebuilding trust with EuropeTo effectively engage in European affairs and boost the British economy, Labour must recognize the changed geopolitical landscape and focus on security cooperation with Europe to rebuild trust.

      For Labour to effectively engage in European affairs and boost the British economy, they must recognize the changed geopolitical landscape since the EU referendum. Global tensions, including the ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe and the decoupling of major powers like the US and China, make effective trade with friendly powers crucial. To rebuild lost trust and start a productive conversation, Labour should focus on security cooperation with Europe, as they plan to do with a new security pact with Germany. At the upcoming European Political Community meeting at Blenheim Palace, the UK's new prime minister, Keir Starmer, will try to assure European leaders that the Brexit negotiations are over and that he's open to new ideas for economic growth. While some may view the meeting as merely a talking shop, Starmer's acknowledgement of the need for European help and his goal of rebuilding trust could mark a significant step towards a more productive relationship.

    • Britain-EU talksSecurity talks between Britain and EU could lead to economic cooperation, rebuilding trust, and overall development if both sides are willing to compromise and negotiate in good faith.

      The upcoming talks between Britain and the EU, which are primarily focused on security, may serve as a stepping stone for discussions on economic cooperation. Despite the strained relationships and distrust built up during Brexit negotiations, there is a growing sentiment that this could be an opportunity for both sides to rebuild trust and potentially move towards a more constructive partnership. However, any progress will depend on the willingness of both parties to compromise and negotiate in good faith. As former EU ambassador João Valle de Almeida notes, security and economic prosperity are interconnected, and addressing both areas could lead to better conditions for job creation, investment, and overall development. Ultimately, the success of these talks will depend on the ability of both sides to put aside their differences and focus on the shared goal of creating a stable and prosperous relationship.

    • UK-EU Relations ResetBoth UK and EU are open to finding new ways to talk and avoiding toxic language, UK signals willingness to accept dynamic alignment, Labour explores ways to cooperate without rejoining, focusing on shared interests is crucial in the shifting geopolitical landscape.

      The UK's relationship with the EU is evolving, and both sides are looking for ways to move past the Brexit impasse. A senior Brussels official suggests a potential reset, focusing on finding new ways to talk about old topics and avoiding toxic language. The UK has signaled its willingness to accept dynamic alignment with EU rules and regulations, which could bring the two sides closer to economic cooperation, though not necessarily to the single market. Meanwhile, Labour is reportedly exploring ways to improve relations with the EU without explicitly rejoining, recognizing the need for cooperation on security and finding a new language to describe this relationship to skeptical domestic audiences. Ultimately, the UK and EU must find a way to put aside the past and focus on their shared interests, as the geopolitical landscape continues to shift.

    • Baby Boomer Generation, PoliticsThe Baby Boomer generation's mindset during six crucial years influenced the unpopular figures, Joe Biden and Donald Trump, to dominate the American political landscape

      We're witnessing two historically unpopular figures, Joe Biden and Donald Trump, running for the presidency once again, and the reason behind this lies in the story of their generation, the Baby Boomers, who are nearing the end of their political journey. As John Prido, US editor at The Economist, explains, he aims to make sense of their inheritance and legacy by exploring the mindset of the Baby Boomer generation during six crucial years. This podcast, titled "Boom" from The Economist, offers insights into why these two figures continue to dominate the political landscape despite their unpopularity, providing a deeper understanding of the generational influences shaping American politics.

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