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    The Road to Autonomous Vehicles: Are We There Yet?

    enJune 26, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Experience of Autonomous Rides in Vibrant CitiesWitnessing self-driving tech in cities is exciting, the debate over lidars vs cameras is secondary, focus on regulation, user experience, and AI. Autonomous rides offer a smooth, safe, and enjoyable experience, even for those prone to car sickness.

      We are witnessing the arrival of self-driving technology in vibrant cities like San Francisco with Waymo leading the way. The experience of riding in a fully autonomous vehicle is both exciting and surreal, as seen in the reaction of people around and even a curious 2-year-old kid. The debate over lidars versus cameras is not fundamental, and the focus should be on regulation, user experience, and the role of AI. The journey to autonomy started in 2016, and even those deeply involved, like Waymo's Chief Product Officer Saswat Hanigrahi, still find it magical. The autonomous vehicle offers a smooth and safe ride, making the driving experience less jerky and more enjoyable for even those prone to car sickness. Despite knowing how the technology works, the awe-inspiring feeling of being in a driverless car remains.

    • Reaching level 4 autonomy in automotive industryOvercoming technological challenges to achieve fully driverless vehicles brings increased safety and convenience, but requires societal adaptation and regulatory frameworks.

      We are currently experiencing a significant milestone in the automotive industry with the implementation of level 4 autonomous vehicles, which allows for fully driverless operation under certain conditions. However, reaching this level required overcoming numerous challenges, primarily technological in nature. Building a reliable and high-performing autonomous driving system has been a complex task. Additionally, society must continue to adapt to this new technology, including addressing regulatory frameworks and public acceptance. Despite these challenges, the potential benefits of fully autonomous vehicles, such as increased safety and convenience, make the journey worthwhile. As we move forward, it's essential to maintain a clear vision of the ultimate goal and continue pushing the boundaries of innovation.

    • Developing a fully autonomous vehicle at scale involves both hardware and software in-houseAutonomous vehicles require a full stack solution, combining sensors, machine learning, and human behavior understanding for superior perception of the world.

      Building a fully autonomous vehicle at a large scale requires a full stack solution where both hardware and software are developed in-house. The challenges are diverse, from managing busy intersections at slow speeds to dealing with wider streets and faster driving speeds. The technology involves a combination of sensors like lasers, cameras, and radars that provide a clear and precise understanding of the environment. However, anticipating the actions of people and objects around the vehicle requires deep machine learning and understanding of human behavior. Each stage of this process demands an immense amount of machine learning, and the combination of these sensors creates a superior perception of the world compared to human capabilities. This autonomous vehicle technology is not just about recognizing objects but also anticipating their actions, which is a much harder challenge.

    • Waymo's Self-Driving Cars Use Multiple Sensors for Safe and Comfortable RidesWaymo's self-driving cars use a combination of lidar, cameras, and radar to ensure safe and comfortable rides, leveraging each sensor's strengths and weaknesses, and adapting to unexpected situations.

      Waymo's self-driving cars use a combination of sensors, including lidar, cameras, and radar, to make decisions on the road. They analyze the behavior of pedestrians and other vehicles to determine their next moves and adjust the car's speed accordingly. Waymo chose to use a combination of sensors, rather than relying on one technology over another, because each sensor has its strengths and weaknesses. For example, lidar is effective in nighttime conditions, while cameras excel in daylight. Radar, on the other hand, is useful for detecting the presence and speed of other vehicles. The economic practicality of using expensive hardware, such as lidar, is a concern, but the cost has been decreasing rapidly, and the combination of sensors positions Waymo better than relying on a single technology. The goal is to provide a safe and comfortable ride for passengers, giving them feedback on why the car is slowing or stopping. The car also adapts to unexpected situations, such as pedestrians jaywalking, and yields to them when necessary. Waymo's approach is to avoid taking an ideological stance on specific technologies and instead use a first principles approach, considering the strengths and weaknesses of each sensor and their combination.

    • Deciding Between Building and Buying Autonomous Driving TechnologyWaymo chose to manufacture their own LiDAR and radar hardware for better optimization and a proprietary advantage, but companies must evaluate the practicality of building vs buying with each hardware generation.

      Companies operating in the autonomous driving industry face a significant decision: build or buy technology. Waymo, a leader in this field, initially explored both options before deciding to manufacture their own LiDAR and radar hardware. The reason being, they found that the best available technology was not optimized for autonomous driving. This choice allows Waymo to create a moat by developing proprietary hardware and building a knowledge curve through extensive testing and simulation. However, the industry is vast, with a potential value of trillion miles, and the number of autonomy players is still smaller than a few years ago. Technological unlocks, such as improving the cost curve, are still necessary for broader implementation of autonomous driving. Waymo continues to innovate at a massive rate, as shown by their development of a new LiDAR design that is 10 times cheaper than competitors. Ultimately, the decision to build or buy is a practical one that each company must evaluate with each hardware generation.

    • Adapting AI for Self-Driving Cars: Urban vs. Highway DrivingAI's ability to generalize and learn from diverse driving conditions is essential for self-driving cars' success. Advanced simulation technology and machine learning investments enable testing and refining the AI's performance in various conditions.

      The advancements in AI technology are enabling self-driving cars to adapt and navigate various driving environments more effectively. The speakers shared their experiences of adapting to different driving styles in San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Phoenix. They noted that the AI's ability to generalize and learn from different driving conditions, such as dense urban areas and fast highways, is crucial for its success. Additionally, the use of advanced simulation technology allows for testing and refining the AI's performance in various conditions, including rain and fog. The AI system uses a combination of general and specialized models to understand and respond to complex human behavior and traffic situations. Furthermore, the immense infrastructure and machine learning investments made by companies like Waymo and Google are essential for processing and learning from the vast amounts of data required to build a well-learned algorithm.

    • Ensuring Safety in Self-Driving TechnologySelf-driving technology's safety involves complex interplay between regulators, technologists, and consumers. It goes beyond collisions to prevent risky behavior and make riders feel safe. Truthful communication about capabilities, consideration of environmental factors, and various methodologies for evaluation are crucial.

      Ensuring safety is a crucial aspect of developing self-driving technology, and it involves a complex interplay between various parties, including regulators, technologists, and consumers. Safety encompasses not only the quantitative analysis of collisions but also the prevention of risky behavior and making the rider feel safe. It's essential to be truthful about the capabilities of the technology and consider various environmental factors, such as sound cues from sirens, to make informed decisions. The evaluation of safety involves a combination of many methodologies, and the technology's progress should be measured against the number of human crashes each year. The ability to detect and respond to various road users, such as cyclists, is crucial in maintaining a balance between making progress and ensuring safety.

    • Cruise's Autonomous Cars: 1 Million Miles Without a CollisionCruise's self-driving cars have driven 1 million miles autonomously, achieving zero collisions causing injuries. Prioritizing safety and user experience, Cruise implements features like alerting passengers to cyclists and focuses on stationary hazards. Regulatory alignment and open communication further strengthen their position.

      Cruise, a self-driving car company, has achieved significant milestones in safety and user experience. They have driven over 1,000,000 miles autonomously without a single collision resulting in injury. This is a remarkable feat, as the cars were operating without human intervention. Furthermore, the company has implemented safety features beyond just driving, such as alerting passengers when cyclists are approaching. Cruise's focus on safety extends beyond the vehicle's operation, considering potential hazards even when the car is stationary. Additionally, the user experience design is a priority, with features like quiet workspaces and confidential call capabilities. The company's alignment with safety regulations and open communication about their data has facilitated constructive conversations with regulators and other stakeholders. By prioritizing safety and user experience, Cruise is demonstrating the potential of autonomous vehicles to revolutionize transportation.

    • Leading in Autonomous Driving with Transparency and SafetyWaymo prioritizes safety, transparency, and user experience in their autonomous vehicles through extensive real-world and simulation testing, debating various aspects, and designing a user-friendly interface.

      Waymo, a leading autonomous driving technology company, is committed to transparency and safety. They have accumulated an impressive amount of data from over 2,000,000 miles of real-world testing and billions of miles in simulation. This data is used to improve their autonomous vehicles and ensure they are safer drivers than humans. Waymo's approach to designing their autonomous vehicles involves debating various aspects from different angles, but their core mission of safety remains the priority. The vehicle's interface is designed to provide necessary information to the passenger while maintaining a user-friendly experience. The goal is to create a product that people not only find safe but also want to engage with regularly, making it a viable option for daily commuting. Waymo's dedication to safety, transparency, and user experience sets them apart in the autonomous driving industry.

    • Understanding human context for safe autonomous drivingGathering user feedback and considering context, design, and safety for a user-friendly and safe autonomous driving experience

      Creating a user-friendly and safe autonomous driving experience involves a deep understanding of human behavior and context. The feedback from the first 10,000 users of fully autonomous cars is invaluable for improving the system. For instance, something as simple as deciding which side of the street to pull up on can depend on the context, such as whether the rider is leaving home or going to work. Regarding the design of the vehicle, the absence of a driver raises questions about what features are necessary. For example, the steering wheel is currently required by regulations, but in the future, it may be possible to eliminate it. The design of the vehicle should prioritize the rider's experience, taking into account safety, artificial intelligence, and user understanding. The vehicle should be able to respond appropriately to various road conditions and potential risks, leaving enough gap and positioning itself optimally. In essence, the development of autonomous driving technology requires a multidisciplinary approach, combining machine learning, user experience design, and safety considerations.

    • Testing Autonomous Vehicles in Diverse CitiesAutonomous vehicles are being tested in vibrant cities to ensure their ability to handle diverse situations and become more robust and adaptable drivers. Public excitement and curiosity towards the technology demonstrate its potential societal impact.

      The autonomous vehicle technology is not only being tested in controlled environments but also in vibrant cities like San Francisco, Phoenix, and Los Angeles to ensure its generalizability and ability to handle diverse situations. The technology is designed to be cautious and responsive to various road conditions and unpredictable elements, such as children and other vehicles. The decision to test in these cities was strategic, as they present unique challenges that push the system to its limits and help build a more robust and adaptable driver. The excitement and curiosity of the public, especially children, towards the technology is a testament to its potential impact on society. Despite initial apprehension, the individuals involved in testing the technology have grown confident in its capabilities, having spent significant time using it. The journey of autonomous vehicle development is ongoing, with a focus on continuous improvement and expansion to new locations and environments.

    • Impact of Self-Driving Technology on Cities and Urban LifeSelf-driving technology could reduce number of vehicles on road, make cities more productive and efficient, and disrupt industries like insurance and trucking. Data collected can be used to improve city planning and infrastructure.

      Self-driving technology has the potential to significantly impact various industries and aspects of urban life. The technology, which is still in its early stages, has already shown promising results in improving road safety, making transportation more accessible and convenient, and even changing city design. Self-driving cars are not just designed around a driver, but life is designed around driving. Cities dedicate vast amounts of space to parked cars, which are underutilized assets. Self-driving cars have the potential to reduce the number of vehicles on the road, making cities more productive and efficient. Additionally, the data collected by self-driving cars can be used to improve city planning and infrastructure. The technology also has the potential to disrupt industries such as insurance and trucking. Overall, self-driving cars represent a profound shift in how we move around cities and interact with our environment.

    • Revolutionizing transportation and addressing societal challengesSelf-driving technology could transform industries, make transportation safer and more efficient, and address societal needs for mobility and economic opportunities

      Self-driving technology has the potential to revolutionize transportation and address various societal challenges, including mobility for the elderly and visually impaired, economic opportunities for vulnerable populations, and reduction of pollution and city real estate usage. This technology could also transform industries like city delivery and long-haul trucking, potentially making them safer and more efficient. The ultimate goal is to provide a safe and easy option for people and things to move around while allowing for personalization and choice. The excitement of witnessing the technology in action and the seamless user experience are key aspects that make this innovation so intriguing.

    • The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on SocietyAutonomous vehicles have the potential to revolutionize society by improving infrastructure, reducing energy consumption, transforming finance, and enhancing shopping experiences

      The advent of autonomous vehicles is an exciting development with far-reaching implications for various aspects of society. The host shared a personal anecdote about her fear of driving and how she had waited until self-driving cars became a reality before getting her license. She expressed her excitement about the potential societal changes that could result from this technology, including improvements to public infrastructure, energy consumption, finance, and shopping. The host encouraged listeners to share their own thoughts on the topic in the comments section, inviting them to consider how autonomous vehicles might reshape society in ways that are most meaningful to them. Overall, the episode highlighted the significance of this technological advancement and the potential it holds for transforming the way we live, work, and move around.

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    The Road to Autonomous Vehicles: Are We There Yet?

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    Key Takeaways 

    • Waymo believes that a fully autonomous car will be safer than the human-driven alternative 
    • Autonomous driving can be distilled down to: 
      • Is the car aware of what’s happening around it? 
      • Can it anticipate what the things around it are going to do? 
      • Given its surroundings, can the vehicle reason on what it should do next?
    • Autonomous vehicles use machine learning to make predictions on what pedestrians will do next depending on the gate and hand motions of the given pedestrian 
    • Instead of debating LiDAR vs video, Saswat believes the more important question is whether or not the radars, lasers, cameras, and sensors position the vehicle better than the individual
    • Waymo has driven +20M miles in testing and billions of miles of simulation 
    • Waymo took every fatal crash that ever occurred in Phoenix, re-simulated them, and showed that Waymo’s technology could have avoided the crash
    • Our society is designed around driving; consider how much of our cities are designed around parking, the amount of air pollution idling cars cause, and the amount of wasted real estate designated for parking   
    • Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic 


    Read the full notes @ podcastnotes.org




    Self-driving cars have been on the horizon for quite some time. But, they might actually be here.

    We got to ride around in one all over San Francisco with Waymo’s Chief Product Officer, Saswat Panigrahi.

    We discussed so much, including the five levels of autonomy, the infamous LIDAR vs video debate, regulation, UX, and the role of AI in fine-tuning these models. But most importantly, if autonomy is here… now what?!

    Topics Covered:

    • 00:00 - Introduction
    • 03:20 - A first look at Waymo
    • 05:21 - How much progress has been made?
    • 09:45 - Technology challenges
    • 14:32 - LiDAR vs video debate
    • 18:19 - How Waymo differentiates
    • 19:01 - Technological unlocks on the horizon
    • 20:39 - The role of AI in autonomous vehicles
    • 25:37 - How Waymo views safety
    • 32:05 - Collaborating with regulators 
    • 37:26 - Learnings from the first 2m miles
    • 39:45 - Driving user retention
    • 43:47 - Waymo’s expansion strategy
    • 47:00 - Changing regulation
    • 47:41 - Societal unlocks enabled by autonomy
    • 52:21 - Will self-driving cars replace humans?
    • 52:58 - Closing thoughts 

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    Check out a16z's 8-part series on the autonomous vehicle ecosystem: https://a16z.com/2018/02/03/autonomy-ecosystem-frank-chen-summit/

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    Technology in Sport: A race against the machine?

    Technology in Sport: A race against the machine?

    Professional sport is a world where individuals can earn as much as a decent-sized business, and teams have evolved to become multi-national corporations. And where there's money, technology follows. 

    In this episode, we'll be meeting with amazing people at the cutting edge of sports technology to look at how data has become a key part of the field - and looking at what organisations around the world can learn from the performance analysis revolution.

    We're speaking to Professor Steve Haake of Sheffield Hallam University about the revolution in data capture and analytics that came about with mobile computing and wearable tech, and how the data revolution has augmented the materials revolution in sports for everything from training routine optimisation to predictive injury prevention.

    That's something Hawk-Eye Innovations are also exploring, alongside their better known video capture and virtual refereeing systems. Global Commercial Director Peter Irwin talks us through how mass video capture from hundreds of data points and generating real-time virtual skeletons for every person on a pitch is not only helping enforce the rules, it's predicting injuries and giving strategic insights in real time.

    Hewlett Packard Enterprise Chief Technologist Matt Armstong-Barnes talks us through in more detail how AI and humans are interacting to create better athletes and sportsmen, and how the future of sports technology is athletes whose skills are allowed to flourish by having compute take over some of their workload. He argues AIs are getting better, but the optimum performance still comes from humans and AIs working together, especially in motorsport. 

    No-one understands that better than Lucas Di Grassi, driver for Formula E team ROKit Venturi Racing. He's used to taking to the track in one of the most technically advanced cars in the world, but believes that human rules are holding the sport back. He's keen to see AI take on more of a role in the field, and to that end, is leading the charge with self-driving racecars, in his 'robo race' project. 

    We also talk about how businesses can take advantage of a revolution in insights - getting the best data from a set to the right end users, in such a way as they can get the best advantage out of it. 

    The long show notes for this episode can be found here: https://community.hpe.com/t5/HPE-Blog-UK-Ireland/Technology-in-Sport-A-race-against-the-machine/ba-p/7167448#.Ys7r7HbMKUk 

    Pedestrian Deaths in America

    Pedestrian Deaths in America

    Pedestrian deaths in the United States have risen by 50% since 2009, with over 6,000 pedestrians dying in 2018 alone. In this month's episode, Stephen Elser (@stephen_elser) talks with our guest, Angie Schmitt (@schmangee), about her recent book addressing some of the factors that have led to this silent epidemic. She explains how marginalized groups tend to be most vulnerable to traffic violence and how systemic racism keeps these communities in dangerous situations. She tells us how design principles in our cities have totally changed over time from being pedestrian-focused to being car-focused, and what that means for pedestrian safety. They also discuss what role autonomous vehicles play in current and future conditions on our streets and how the cars we drive affect pedestrian safety.


    You can buy Angie's book, Right of Way: Race, Class, and the Silent Epidemic of Pedestrian Deaths in America through the publisher by follow this link. You can get 20% off if you use the author's last name, "Schmitt" at checkout.


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    If you have questions, comments, or suggestions for future episodes, e-mail us at futurecitiespodcast@gmail.com or find us on Twitter @FutureCitiesPod. Learn more about the Urban Resilience to Extremes Sustainability Research Network (UREx SRN) at www.sustainability.asu.edu/urbanresilience.

    Automotive Voice Design - Shyamala Prayaga, Ford Motor - Voice Tech Podcast ep.052

    Automotive Voice Design - Shyamala Prayaga, Ford Motor - Voice Tech Podcast ep.052

    This is a time-limited preview. To hear the full episode, and access the full catalogue of episodes and bonus content, become a Voice Tech Pro

    Today on the show we welcome Shyamala Prayaga, the product owner for the Autonomous Digital Assistant at Ford Motor. In this episode, listeners will gain some insight into where voice tech is heading from the auto manufacturer’s point of view. 

    Shyamala will share about her background in design and why she moved into the voice field, and then she outlines some of the major use cases for voice in the car and the current challenges with the implementation of voice. She discusses the factors to consider when designing for car voice assistants, introduces us to the idea of full-size remote-controlled cars that operate through teleoperation, and gives her take on integrating with parties versus developing your own assistant from scratch. 

    Tuning into this episode, you will also learn more about biometric identification, data privacy and security, and much more. Shyamala has also launched a new book called Emotionally Engaged Digital Assistant, so be sure to check that out!

    Highlights

    Quotes from the show

    [0:08:55]
    Most bots are branded as dumb even though they have a personality

    [0:29:33] If you don’t see the value using voice, you should not use it

    [0:33:06] The moment you start talking with any bot there is a connection

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