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    The Swing Issue That Could Win a Swing State

    enJanuary 24, 2020

    Podcast Summary

    • The Democratic primary race is focused on electabilityDemocrats grapple with complexities of electability, with single issues like fracking being misleading, and nuanced understanding required

      That the Democratic primary race is heavily focused on electability, with voters and pundits alike trying to determine which candidate has the best chance of beating Donald Trump in the general election. This conversation is particularly salient in swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, where issues like fracking natural gas can be decisive. For instance, opposition to fracking could be fatal for a candidate in Pennsylvania. However, the simplicity of electability based on single issues like fracking can be misleading. The Democratic party is grappling with a complex set of insecurities about losing the election and is seeking answers to that question in advance. For instance, candidates like Elizabeth Warren, who have taken strong stances against fracking, may face challenges in swing states where the issue is contentious. Ultimately, the electability question requires a nuanced understanding of the complexities of the political landscape and the diverse concerns of voters.

    • From struggling town mayor to statewide politicianJohn Fetterman, a progressive Pennsylvania politician, moved to a struggling town, became its mayor, and used his experiences to shape his views on inequality and criminal justice, winning statewide office in 2018.

      John Fetterman, the lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, is an unconventional politician with a compelling personal story. He moved to the struggling post-industrial town of Braddock in 2001 to confront inequality and was elected mayor in 2005, winning by a single vote. As mayor, he became a symbol of the town, tattooing his ZIP code and the date of every homicide on his arms. Fetterman's experiences in Braddock shaped his progressive views on issues like criminal justice, inequality, living wage, women's reproductive freedom, and marijuana legalization. He ran for statewide office in 2018 and won the Democratic primary with endorsements from progressive figures like Bernie Sanders. Despite his progressive stance on most issues, he has one notable exception. Fetterman may not embrace labels, but his views align closely with the left of the Democratic party. His unique background and commitment to his beliefs make him a notable figure in Pennsylvania politics.

    • Democrat Fetterman fights for jobs in fracking industry despite progressive stanceFetterman aims to bring economic opportunity to coal and fracking regions using clean energy, fearing potential backlash from voters in crucial states if Democrats ban fracking

      The economy and jobs, particularly in industries like fracking, are major concerns for Democrats, especially in crucial states like Pennsylvania. John Fetterman, a Democratic candidate, is focused on fighting for these jobs despite his alignment with progressive candidates who may advocate for ending such industries. He believes that a false sense of complacency within the party could lead to re-electing President Trump, who has made fracking a key campaign issue. Fetterman's concern stems from Hillary Clinton's comment about coal miners during the 2016 election, which was seen as damaging and out of touch. Fetterman's unique approach is to bring economic opportunity to coal and fracking regions using clean, renewable energy. The stakes are high in Pennsylvania, and an outright ban on fracking could be a losing proposition for Democrats.

    • Pennsylvania's Natural Gas Production and the 2020 ElectionThe 2020 election could be influenced by Pennsylvania due to its natural gas production and importance in deciding the presidency. Trump and Biden have contrasting views on American energy production, which could impact Pennsylvania's economy and jobs.

      The 2020 presidential election could hinge on Pennsylvania due to its significant natural gas production and the state's importance in deciding the presidency. Donald Trump recognized this when he visited Pennsylvania during the impeachment proceedings, highlighting the state's 34% increase in natural gas production since the election. Many Democrats, including frontrunner Joe Biden, have pledged to eliminate American production of oil, clean coal, and natural gas, which could impact Pennsylvania's economy and jobs. While Biden isn't calling for a complete ban on fracking, some activists have pressured him to do so. Biden's roots in Pennsylvania and his perceived electability give him an advantage in the state. Trump recognizes this and may prioritize Biden as the most electable Democrat, making it a challenge for Democrats to balance their preference for a candidate with their desire to defeat Trump. The decision on whom to support could be a conundrum for Democrats, as they weigh their personal preferences against the need to win the election.

    • Unions in Pennsylvania see economic benefits from frackingFracking has led to significant job creation and improved economic conditions for unions in Pennsylvania, despite concerns over environmental impact and fossil fuel use.

      For union leaders in Pennsylvania, the economic benefits of fracking and the natural gas industry cannot be ignored. These unions, which collectively represent around 60,000 people, have seen a significant decrease in unemployment rates since the industry's arrival in the region. The jobs created have led to improved economic conditions, less crime, and fewer issues with substance abuse. The union leaders acknowledged concerns over the environmental impact and the industry's contribution to fossil fuel use, but argued that it's the best option available compared to other sources of fossil fuels. They emphasized the importance of jobs and the lack of viable alternatives, such as green jobs, that could provide similar wages and benefits for their members.

    • Union leaders in Pennsylvania face tough decision on presidential vote due to fracking ban stanceUnion leaders in Pennsylvania may advise members to vote for Trump over a Democratic nominee who supports a fracking ban, impacting election results in a swing state.

      Union leaders in Pennsylvania, who represent tens of thousands of members, are facing a difficult decision regarding their vote in the upcoming presidential election. While they may not be fans of President Trump, they acknowledge that if a Democratic nominee, such as Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren, supports a fracking ban, they may have to advise their members to vote for Trump to keep jobs in the industry. This is a significant issue in a state where elections are often decided by a small margin of votes. The union leaders expressed their concerns about both Trump and the Democratic nominees, with some viewing Bernie Sanders as the "Donald Trump of the left." Ultimately, many expressed their preference for Joe Biden as the most viable Democratic candidate. However, it's important to note that these union leaders represent just one side of the political equation, and there are also Democrats who are passionate about climate change and view fracking as harmful to Pennsylvania and the planet.

    • Local environmentalists discuss concerns over fracking and support for Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth WarrenEnvironmentalists at a local meeting express their concerns over fracking's impact on freshwater and their community, and support Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren for their strong environmental stances.

      At a local environmentalists meeting in a library, there's a strong focus on stopping fracking due to concerns over injecting chemicals into freshwater and taking resources against the community. Many attendees support Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren for their strong environmental stances. Alyssa, a fracking opponent, shares her concerns and identifies as a former Republican who switched to vote for Bernie in the primaries. Jillian, another attendee, emphasizes the importance of voting and her support for Bernie or Elizabeth. Ellie, another attendee, expresses her disappointment in candidates like Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg for their lack of strong environmental stances and refuses to support or volunteer for their campaigns. The group's main concern is the impact of fracking on the environment and their community, and they believe that Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren are the best candidates to address these issues.

    • A dilemma for climate voters in energy statesClimate voters face a tough decision in the 2020 primary between more progressive candidates proposing bold climate action and moderate ones supportive of energy industries. Ultimately, the outcome depends on which candidate can mobilize young people and build a broader movement for climate action.

      The 2020 Democratic primary race presents a dilemma for climate voters, particularly in states with strong energy industries. While some candidates, like Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, are proposing bold climate action and mobilizing young people, others, like Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg, are more moderate and supportive of industries like fracking. For climate voters in states like Pennsylvania, this presents a difficult decision. While some may feel compelled to vote for the more progressive candidates, others may feel that a moderate like Biden is the better option for climate action compared to Trump. Ultimately, the outcome of the primary and the decision for climate voters will depend on which candidate can effectively mobilize young people and build a broader movement for climate action. The untested nature of a Sanders or Warren presidency adds uncertainty, but the urgency of the climate crisis demands bold action. For climate voters, the choice may come down to a difficult decision between the ideal candidate and the pragmatic one.

    • Voting blocs and their commitment to the Democratic nomineeUnion leaders may threaten to withhold votes, while environmentalists pledge support, but all agree on the urgency to replace Trump.

      Key takeaway from the discussion on The Daily podcast is the divide among different voting groups and their level of commitment to the Democratic nominee. While some, such as union leaders, threatened not to vote for the Democrat if their preferred candidate wasn't chosen, others, like environmentalists, expressed their intention to still support the party. However, a centrist voter made it clear that they would vote for any Democrat running against Trump, even if they didn't prefer that candidate. Ultimately, the urgency to replace Trump, who was described as "evil and dangerous," was a unifying factor among the voters interviewed. The podcast also acknowledged the contributions of numerous individuals involved in its production.

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