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    The Weekend Intelligence: The war the world ignores

    enAugust 24, 2024
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    Podcast Summary

    • Sudan conflict consequencesDecades-long conflict in Sudan led to over 150,000 deaths, displacement of 20% population, and attacks on medical centers, despite a 2005 peace agreement, and remains overlooked due to other global crises

      The conflict in Sudan, which has been ongoing for decades, has resulted in devastating consequences for the population, including the loss of over 150,000 lives, displacement of a fifth of the population, and attacks on medical centers and hospitals. Despite the signing of a peace agreement in 2005, the war in Darfur, which was not included in the agreement, continued and intensified. The conflict, which has been described as the largest and most devastating anywhere in the world, has been largely overlooked due to other global crises. The story of Sudan is complex, with roots in colonialism, independence, and various wars, but the current situation is a reminder of the need for sustained attention and action to prevent such crises from escalating.

    • Darfur conflictThe Darfur conflict in Sudan resulted in extreme violence against civilians, primarily the African population, with systematic attacks on villages leading to mass displacement and hundreds of thousands of deaths. International response was limited, and those responsible for the atrocities, including government officials and militia leaders, were largely unaccountable.

      The Darfur conflict in Sudan during the early 2000s was marked by extreme violence against civilians, primarily the African population. The Sudanese government, through its militia allies like the Janjaweed, carried out systematic attacks on villages, resulting in mass displacement and the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people. These atrocities were largely ignored or downplayed by the international community, including the Sudanese government, which characterized the situation as mere rebel unrest. US officials and aid workers on the ground reported on the ethnic nature of the violence and called for assistance, but their pleas were often dismissed. The International Criminal Court eventually took up the case, issuing indictments against government officials and militia leaders, including President Omar Al-Bashir, for their roles in the violence. Despite this, Al-Bashir remained in power and was not arrested until years later. The conflict in Darfur is a stark reminder of the devastating consequences of ethnic violence and the challenges of holding accountable those responsible for such atrocities.

    • Sudan's historyThe ICC's indictment of Sudan's President Omar Al-Bashir in 2008 for war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide led to continued violence and unrest in Darfur, but ultimately paved the way for the December Revolution in 2018, where citizens demanded change and ultimately succeeded in removing Al-Bashir from power.

      The indictment of Sudan's President Omar Al-Bashir by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide in 2008 was a significant moment in Sudan's history. However, Al-Bashir's defiance and the lack of international cooperation to enforce the arrest warrant allowed him to remain in power, leading to continued violence and unrest in Darfur. The indictment and subsequent events set the stage for the December Revolution in 2018, where citizens, including Mariam El-Fahki, took to the streets to demand change. Despite the risks, Mariam and others organized and protested, ultimately leading to Al-Bashir's eventual removal from power. The events of this period highlight the complexities and challenges of pursuing justice and peace in the face of powerful opposition.

    • Sudanese RevolutionProtesters demanded civilian rule despite uncertainty and danger, leading to end of al-Bashir's regime but complex transition to civilian rule

      During the Sudanese revolution in 2019, protests against the authoritarian regime of Omar al-Bashir led to violent clashes with security forces. Mariam, a protester, shared her experience of being chased and hiding during the protests, and how they eventually led to al-Bashir's arrest and the installation of a military junta under Burhan. Initially, the protesters saw Burhan as a better alternative to al-Bashir, but soon realized that he was just as unacceptable due to his past involvement in the military. The protesters' demands for civilian rule led to a standoff with the military, and thousands, including Mariam, camped out at the military headquarters for days. Despite the uncertainty and danger, they refused to leave until their demands were met. The revolution ultimately led to the end of al-Bashir's regime, but the transition to civilian rule remained a complex and uncertain process.

    • Sudanese power struggleIn the midst of Sudanese uprising for democracy, the military seized power, leading to a fragile compromise with civilians. Tensions continue to rise due to internal disagreements and potential return of old regime elements, with Al-Burhan and Hemeti holding significant power.

      During the Sudanese uprising in 2018-2019, while the people were fighting for democracy, the military seized the opportunity to regain power. The massacre in June 2019, which resulted in over a hundred deaths and hundreds of injuries, was a turning point. The military, led by Hemeti and Al-Burhan, took control, forming a transitional government with civilian Prime Minister Abdullah Hamdok. However, Al-Burhan remained the de facto president. Despite the fragile compromise, tensions continued to rise, and in July 2021, some civilian leaders left the coalition and returned to the protest movement. Hemeti, who rose from a camel raider to a wealthy businessman and deputy president, was considered the most powerful man in Sudan. The main threats to the transition include internal disagreements among the power-sharing group and the potential return of elements from the old Al-Bashir regime. Al-Burhan and Hemeti are seen as the ones in control, and while they claim to protect the people, there are fears of a coup or threats to their own lives.

    • Sudan's failed transition to democracyDespite diplomatic efforts, a military coup derailed Sudan's transition to democracy, leading to a resumption of military rule and a devastating war between armed factions, causing millions to flee their homes.

      The situation in Sudan reached a critical point by October 2021, leading to multiple diplomatic visits from the US. Despite assurances of easing tensions and a pathway to peace, a military coup took place shortly after the diplomats' departure, derailing Sudan's transition to democracy. The coup's perpetrators, Al-Bohan and Hamiti, were warned about consequences if they didn't reverse the coup and hand power back to civilians. However, these consequences never materialized, and the decades-long military rule resumed. The power struggle between Al-Bohan and Hamiti eventually escalated into a full-blown war between their respective armed factions. The civilian population suffered greatly, with millions fleeing their homes and living in fear. This account highlights the missed opportunities for peace and the devastating consequences of military rule in Sudan.

    • Sudan Conflict InternationalizationThe Sudan conflict has become deeply internationalized, involving multiple foreign powers and making a political solution more challenging to achieve, potentially leading to a Rwanda-type scenario with widespread human suffering and ethnic violence

      Sudan is experiencing a devastating war with widespread human suffering, and the conflict has become deeply internationalized, making a political solution more challenging to achieve. Omnia, a Sudanese woman, shares her personal experience of living through the crisis in Madani, where her family faced food shortages, sickness, and the fear of sexual violence at the hands of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The RSF, led by Hermiti, have captured large parts of Sudan, including Khartoum, and are seeking control of the borders, the Red Sea coast, and rich agricultural lands. The international community's response has been muted, with some countries filling the gap by supporting different sides, leading to a regional proxy war. The war's impact on the social fabric of Sudan is concerning, with ethnic identity becoming a primary source of violence and potentially leading to a Rwanda-type scenario. The people who have managed to leave the country are the lucky ones, but many are trapped in the conflict and facing dire circumstances. A political agreement is the only way to end the war, but with both sides backed by foreign powers, a peaceful resolution seems elusive.

    • Sudan Crisis NeglectDespite allegations of war crimes, genocide, and millions of internal refugees, the international community has largely ignored the humanitarian crisis in Sudan. Modern weapons including guns and drones are being provided to a genocidal militia and unrepentant army by the UAE and others with little international outrage.

      The ongoing conflict in Sudan, which has forced millions of people to flee their homes, is a neglected humanitarian crisis of unprecedented proportions. Despite charges of war crimes and even genocide, the African Union and international community have largely ignored the situation. A military government and a coup have been given a pass by America and its allies. Today, a genocidal militia and an unrepentant army are equipped with modern weapons, including guns and drones, by the United Arab Emirates and others, with little international outrage. The tragedy of modern Sudan is a story of neglect, as regions like Darfur have been ignored and marginalized for decades. With over 8 million internal refugees, more than anywhere in the world, this humanitarian crisis requires urgent attention. The international community must hold those responsible accountable and provide aid to those affected.

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