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    This Is How Prejudice Can Hinder the Economy

    enDecember 31, 2020
    What is the main goal of economics according to the text?
    How did the COVID-19 crisis affect economic perspectives?
    What role does Principal Asset Management play in economics?
    What are the two forms of opportunity cost from irrational decisions?
    How can government intervention influence equal treatment in business?

    • Economics should focus on improving human well-beingEconomics should prioritize human well-being over models and equilibrium, with the ultimate goal of making people better off

      The economic field, particularly after the financial crisis, has faced criticism for losing sight of its primary goal: improving human well-being. Economists have been criticized for focusing too much on models and equilibrium, forgetting that the ultimate goal is to create better conditions for people. The COVID-19 crisis has brought renewed attention to this issue, leading to a greater focus on the purpose of economics and the problems it aims to solve. Some proposed solutions, such as distributing more money, have gained currency due to this increased clarity. Principal Asset Management, as a real estate manager, embodies the importance of considering human well-being in investment decisions, combining local insights and global expertise to identify the most compelling opportunities. Economics, at its core, should be about making people better off than they would be otherwise.

    • Prejudice hinders profits during industrial revolutionsPrejudice can reject valuable resources, leading to inefficiencies and missed opportunities during industrial revolutions, requiring recognition and mitigation for maximum profits and gains.

      Prejudice, as irrational discrimination, can significantly hinder profits and economic well-being, particularly during periods of industrial revolution like the current 4th Industrial Revolution. This revolution, characterized by artificial intelligence, robotics, and automation, requires the right people in the right jobs to effectively apply technology and adapt to changes. However, the uncertainty and shifting social positions brought about by this revolution can also encourage more prejudice, creating a vicious cycle that could hinder progress. Prejudice, which is rejecting someone based on non-rational grounds like race, gender, or sexuality, can result in the rejection of potentially valuable resources, leading to inefficiencies and missed opportunities. Previous industrial revolutions have also seen prejudice, providing valuable lessons on how to mitigate its negative effects. Ultimately, recognizing and addressing prejudice is crucial for maximizing profits and gains in this era of technological upheaval.

    • Seeking Simple Solutions to Complex ProblemsDuring times of change, it's common to identify scapegoats rather than understanding complex economic forces. Resist this simplistic thinking and seek a nuanced understanding to make informed decisions.

      Throughout history, during times of industrial change and economic upheaval, people have sought simple solutions to complex problems. This often involves identifying a scapegoat group to blame for their hardships, rather than understanding the complex forces at play. From the Luddites in the first industrial revolution, to working-class Britons in the second, and even women in the third, this pattern has repeated itself. It's a compelling narrative, but ultimately, it's based on fear and misunderstanding. As we navigate the ongoing changes brought about by the fourth industrial revolution, it's important to resist this simplistic thinking and instead seek out a nuanced understanding of the economic forces at play. This will require open-mindedness, education, and a willingness to challenge our assumptions. Only then can we make informed decisions and work towards creating a more equitable and prosperous future for all. Principal Asset Management, as a leading real estate manager, recognizes the importance of this perspective and harnesses it to deliver local insights and global expertise, giving clients an exclusive advantage in today's market.

    • Irrational decisions and their economic costsIrrational decisions driven by false information and propaganda lead to lost productivity and flawed decision-making due to lack of diversity in perspectives.

      Irrational decisions, driven by prejudice and discrimination, have always existed and have significant economic costs. However, the source of irrationality often lies in the dissemination of false information and propaganda. From the Luddites in the 18th century to the fascist movements in the 19th and 20th centuries, and even to the present day with fake news and social media, irrationality exploits new means of communication. The opportunity cost of irrational decisions is difficult to quantify as economies become more complex, but it comes in two forms: lost productivity from not employing the right person for the job, and flawed decision-making from a lack of diversity in perspectives around the table.

    • The Hidden Costs of Prejudice in BusinessPrejudice and discrimination can lead to significant economic losses for organizations, particularly in diverse teams and industries. Diverse teams can lead to increased productivity and economic growth.

      Prejudice and bad decision-making based on biases can lead to significant economic costs for organizations. However, these costs can be challenging to quantify as people may hide their prejudices and some forms of prejudice can be invisible. Research suggests that more diverse teams, particularly in creative roles, can lead to increased productivity. For instance, in the US, studies have shown that racial diversity in financial services leads to higher productivity. Similarly, lifting restrictions on women entrepreneurs in Saudi Arabia resulted in an explosion of new businesses and economic activity. These examples illustrate the potential economic losses when prejudice and discrimination are present. It's crucial for firms to make an effort to address these issues to avoid suffering from the hidden costs of prejudice.

    • The importance of addressing prejudice for businessesBusinesses benefit from addressing prejudice, but smaller firms may need government intervention to ensure equal treatment and prevent damage to society.

      While large global businesses understand the importance of addressing prejudice and are taking active steps to do so due to the profit incentive, smaller firms may not fully grasp the benefits and continue to make damaging decisions. The example given is from baseball's history of segregation and desegregation, where integrated teams outperformed but it took time for all teams to follow suit. The speaker emphasizes the need for both the profit motive and government intervention to ensure equal treatment and prevent damage to businesses and society. In essence, the government's role is to treat everyone equally and create an environment where all groups have the opportunity to succeed.

    • Reducing prejudice for economic benefitsAddressing prejudice can lead to increased productivity, economic growth, and a higher standard of living, while reducing environmental damage. Central banks and policymakers addressing unemployment gaps can contribute to a stronger economy.

      Reducing prejudice in society can lead to significant economic benefits, including increased productivity, economic growth, and a higher standard of living, while also reducing environmental damage. The global economy has experienced low productivity and growth in recent years, and addressing prejudice could be a potential solution. This can result in a more efficient society that maintains or improves living standards with less environmental impact, or it could lead to additional growth. The GDP, while widely used as a measure of economic success, may not fully capture these changes. Central banks and policymakers taking a more expansive view of employment and addressing unemployment gaps between different races can lead to better household income and opportunities for children, ultimately contributing to a stronger economy.

    • Social status shapes political leanings beyond income inequalitySocial status significantly influences political preferences, and addressing this issue through practical solutions can contribute to more efficient labor and capital use, leading to future growth.

      While income inequality plays a role in shaping political preferences, it's not the only factor. Social status, or perceived standing in society, can also significantly influence political leanings, especially when income doesn't offset the loss of social status. Central banks can help mitigate some of the economic damage, but they may not be well-equipped to address social status over time. Companies and economies should pay attention to this issue, as productivity improvements will likely be a major driver of future growth, and addressing social status can contribute to more efficient use of labor capital. However, acknowledging this issue isn't enough. Practical solutions, such as implementing diversity initiatives and providing financial support, are necessary to address the complex issue of prejudice and its impact on social status.

    • Traditional economic institutions acknowledge economic inequalityThe conversation around economics and social justice is evolving, with traditional economic institutions recognizing the importance of addressing economic inequality. The Federal Reserve's focus on this issue under both Powell and Yellen is a significant development.

      The conversation around economics and social justice is evolving, and traditional economic institutions are starting to acknowledge the importance of addressing economic inequality. This shift is a promising sign that we may be entering a new economic paradigm where prosperity is not just seen as an end goal, but as something that should benefit all people. The fact that this conversation is happening in mainstream economic circles is encouraging and suggests that progress is being made. The Federal Reserve's focus on economic inequality under both Powell and Yellen is a significant development, and the idea that economics should ultimately improve people's well-being is gaining traction. Listeners of Odd Lots can get a discount on Paul Donovan's book "Profit and Prejudice: The Luddites of the 4th Industrial Revolution" by using the code "ol25" on the Rutledge website. For more finance news and insights, check out Bloomberg's Money Stuff podcast, available every Friday on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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