Logo

    "This is the most important company on planet Earth."

    enJanuary 13, 2022
    What factors are driving the demand for housing?
    How has KB Home's earnings report impacted investor outlook?
    What changes are occurring in the office real estate sector?
    How have REITs performed compared to the S&P 500?
    What investment opportunities are present in the real estate sector?

    • Strong demand and profitability in housing industryKB Home reports solid earnings, expects 30% sales and revenue growth, and significant ROE improvement due to persistent supply-demand imbalance, millennials reaching prime home-buying age, and shifting living patterns due to COVID-19.

      The housing industry is experiencing strong demand and profitability for homebuilders, as indicated by KB Home's solid earnings report and raised guidance for 2022. The company expects midpoint 30% sales and revenue growth, and a significant improvement in return on equity. This trend is driven by a persistent supply-demand imbalance, with estimates suggesting the US is short 4-6 million homes due to underbuilding after the global financial crisis. Additionally, millennials reaching prime home-buying age and shifting living patterns due to COVID-19 are contributing to the surge in demand. This presents a promising investing opportunity for those interested in the real estate sector.

    • Housing market's surge in demand and shortage of supply driving up home pricesHomebuilders like KB Homes report strong earnings and rising home prices due to inventory deficit. Market response suggests upcycle could continue, but some analysts caution potential peak in earnings. Homebuilders like Lennar express confidence in future cash flows by increasing dividends.

      The housing market is experiencing a significant surge in demand and a shortage of supply, leading to increased average selling prices for homes. This trend is evident in the performance of homebuilders like KB Homes, who have reported strong earnings and rising average selling prices. The market's response to KB Home's earnings report suggests that this upcycle could continue due to the persistent inventory deficit. However, some analysts believe that the market may be approaching a peak in earnings, as indicated by KB Home's low PE ratio. Despite this uncertainty, other large homebuilders like Lennar are expressing confidence in their future cash flows by increasing their dividends. Lennar's 50% dividend increase is a strong signal of their capital allocation abilities and their belief in the market's robustness. Overall, the housing market is expected to remain strong due to the supply-demand imbalance, but the market's response to earnings reports may provide some insight into potential future trends.

    • Lennar's Dividend Boost and Focus on iBuyingLennar's dividend yield increases to 1.4%, payout ratio remains low, and focus on iBuying through Lennar X and Opendoor shows potential for growth

      Lennar Corporation is increasing its dividend yield from around 1% to approximately 1.4%, which is a nice boost. However, the company's dividend payout ratio remains low, indicating there is room for further improvement. I admire Lennar for its venture capital division, Lennar X, which includes a substantial investment in Opendoor, the leading iBuying company. Ibuying, or instant buying, is a process where a company purchases a home directly from a seller, bypassing the traditional real estate market. While the Zillow debacle has left some investors skeptical, Opendoor, as a pure play iBuying company, may have a better chance at success due to its focus and expertise in the area. Lennar's shift towards a land-light business model, with a focus on returns on invested capital and equity, is another reason for optimism. Despite not having a personal stake in Lennar, I find the company's approach to the industry and its investments in technology intriguing.

    • Taiwan Semiconductor invests $44 billion in CapEx to boost semiconductor production capacityTaiwan Semiconductor invests $44 billion in CapEx to expand production capacity, underscoring their global leadership role in semiconductors. This investment also provides exposure to real estate tech sector via Lennar partnership.

      Taiwan Semiconductor, a company manufacturing over 50% of the world's technological chips, is investing $44 billion in capital expenditures (CapEx) this year to increase its manufacturing capacity. This significant investment signifies the high demand for their products and underscores their importance as a global leader in the semiconductor industry. Despite the long-term nature of this investment, which won't dramatically impact semiconductor production in 2022, it's a demand story that investors should keep an eye on. Additionally, Taiwan Semiconductor's investment in iBuyer Lennar provides exposure to the real estate technology sector while maintaining a reasonable price-to-earnings ratio. This diversified approach to investing in technology and real estate sectors makes Taiwan Semiconductor a compelling investment opportunity.

    • Taiwan Semiconductor's Market Dominance and Long-Term Investment OpportunityTaiwan Semiconductor, a 90% market leader in advanced chips, is a long-term investment opportunity due to its crucial role in tech industry and strong customer relationships. Real estate, with impressive 2021 recovery and historical outperformance, remains a successful long-term investment strategy.

      Taiwan Semiconductor, currently a duopoly leader in the world's most advanced chips with a 90% market share, is a worthwhile investment for those with a long-term horizon, despite its relatively low consumer and investor recognition. Comparable to NVIDIA, Taiwan Semiconductor acts as a valuable platform for its customers, as evidenced by NVIDIA CEO Jianxin Huang's quote, "Taiwan Semiconductor is like air to us." The real estate market also experienced an exceptional year in 2021, with the Vanguard Real Estate ETF and National Association of REITs reaching their best years on record, up 40% and 41% respectively. REITs have historically outperformed the S&P 500 with an average return of 13.5% per year since 1972. Despite the impressive 2021 recovery from the challenging 2020, real estate investing has been a successful long-term investment strategy.

    • Population Boom in Sun Belt Due to PandemicThe pandemic has accelerated population growth in the Sun Belt, driving demand for housing and creating opportunities for REITs like MAA in markets with limited supply and high demand, such as Florida and Texas.

      The Sun Belt region of the United States has experienced a significant population boom due to the pandemic, which has accelerated trends that were already in place for years. This trend is driven by workers' newfound flexibility to work remotely and the desire for cheaper living costs and warmer weather. As a result, there is a high demand for housing, particularly in markets like Florida and Texas, where supply is limited. This demand has led to rising home prices and apartment rents, which is creating opportunities for real estate investment trusts (REITs) focused on apartment ownership and development, such as Mid America Apartment Communities (MAA). This REIT is the biggest owner and operator of apartments in the country and has significant exposure to these high-demand markets.

    • Real Estate Market Shifts: Opportunities and ChallengesThe Sunbelt's apartment market thrives with record occupancy rates and rent growth, while the office sector faces a shift towards less space due to remote work, potentially transforming excess office space into apartments, co-working spaces, or hospitality.

      The real estate market is undergoing significant changes due to shifting trends. Mid America Apartment Communities, as the largest apartment owner and operator in the Sunbelt region, has benefited greatly from the surge in demand for housing in those markets, leading to record occupancy rates and rising rents. However, the office real estate sector is experiencing a major shift due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the rise of remote work. Although some companies are still leasing office space at record paces, the prevailing thought is that companies will need less office space in the future. This excess office square footage may be transitioned to other uses such as apartments, co-working spaces, or hospitality. While there will still be demand for certain types of office spaces, such as technology, R&D, life science, and medical offices, the traditional office building may become a thing of the past. Overall, these trends present both opportunities and challenges for the real estate industry.

    • ARE's focus on catering to leading innovatorsARE's strong performance in the life sciences and technology REIT sector is due to its focus on catering to leading innovators like Moderna, Pfizer, Facebook, Google, and others, resulting in high occupancy rates and consistent rent collections.

      Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE) has been a top performer in the REIT sector, particularly in the life sciences and technology segment. The company's focus on catering to leading innovators such as Moderna, Pfizer, Facebook (Meta), Google, and others has resulted in high occupancy rates and consistent rent collections, even during the crisis. ARE's founder-led management team has outperformed the market for decades, and despite the stock's recent run and potentially high valuation, it remains a favorite due to its positioning in the booming life science office market. Notably, the company recently secured a significant deal with Moderna for a new headquarters building in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

    Was this summary helpful?

    Recent Episodes from Motley Fool Money

    Rates Go Down, Market Goes Up

    Rates Go Down, Market Goes Up
    Low rates are great for stocks, as long as we’re looking at a soft landing. (00:21) Ron Gross and Asit Sharma discuss: - The Fed’s 50 bps rate cut, the market’s reaction, and what history has to say about cuts this dramatic. - Nike’s CEO swap, what went wrong for John Donahoe and whether Elliot Hill has what it takes to turn the company around. - A new partnership masking bad results from Olive Garden, and FedEx’s signals about shipping trends. (19:11) Reddit hit the market in 2024, but it’s been around as the front page of the internet for almost 20 years. CEO Steve Huffman joined us to talk through how the company stands out in the world of social media with its focus on community, where it has been and where it is heading. (33:26) Ron and Asit break down two stocks on their radar: D.R. Horton and Intel. Stocks discussed: NKE, DRI, FDX, RDDT, DHI, INTC, Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Asit Sharma, Ron Gross, Steve Huffman Engineers: Tim Sparks, Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 20, 2024

    Gimme! Gimme! Gimme! (A Half-Point Rate Cut)

    Gimme! Gimme! Gimme! (A Half-Point Rate Cut)
    Markets, you got what you wanted. (00:21) Bill Mann and Ricky Mulvey discuss: - The rate cut from the Federal Reserve, and what the central bank is responding to. - New rules from the SEC that aim to make markets more efficient. - Tupperware Brands filing for bankruptcy. Then, (16:50) Mary Long and Motley Fool analyst Anthony Schiavone check in on housing stocks in the first of a two-part series. Visit our sponsor: www.landroverusa.com Companies discussed: TUP, AAPL, DFH, NVR, DHI Host: Ricky Mulvey Guests: Bill Mann, Mary Long, Anthony Schiavone Engineers: Dan Boyd, Tim Sparks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 19, 2024

    Celebs, CRMS, and Avocado Robots

    Celebs, CRMS, and Avocado Robots
    Salesforce throws a party, while Chipotle streamlines guacamole prep. (00:21) Asit Sharma and Mary Long talk about two types of automation: one for agents, and another for avocados. They also discuss: - The enviable guest list at Dreamforce - Salesforce’s positioning in the AI arms race - The future of casual dining Then, (18:41) Fool Contributor Travis Hoium joins Ricky Mulvey for a close look at Crocs, the market-beating clog company. Check out the Range Rover Sport at www.landroverusa.com Companies discussed: CRM, NVDA, CMG, MCD, CROX, NKE, OTC: ADDYY Host: Mary Long Guests: Asit Sharma, Travis Hoium, Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Dan Boyd, Tim Sparks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 18, 2024

    Signs Intel’s Foundry is Heating Up

    Signs Intel’s Foundry is Heating Up
    Intel investors have been looking for signs of life with its foundry business – a couple billion dollars in deals and its new independent subsidiary status might help.  (00:21) Tim Beyers and Dylan Lewis discuss: - Intel’s three focuses for turning it around: its Foundry business, AI strategy, and cost structure. - The real reason Amazon might be pushing workers to return to office five days a week, and why Andy Jassy is looking to reduce bureaucracy. - Microsoft’s new buyback authorization and dividend hike and it marches on the path to being a Dividend Aristocrat. (18:20) Alison Southwick and Robert Brokamp look at how Gen X saves and how to catch up if you’re feeling behind. Join us at our live podcast recording in Denver with BiggerPockets on Wednesday, September 18: https://www.meetup.com/biggerpockets/events/303028272/  Companies discussed: INTC, TSMC, AMZN, MSFT Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Tim Beyers, Robert Brokamp, Alison Southwick Producer: Mary Long Engineers: Tim Sparks, Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 17, 2024

    The Next AI Investment Story: Power

    The Next AI Investment Story: Power
    One query on ChatGPT takes 10x the amount of electricity as a Google search. (00:21) Ricky Mulvey and Asit Sharma discuss: - How big tech is dealing with the electricity demands of AI systems. - Companies that could benefit from more energy usage. - If Under Armour can turn around. Then, (17:43) Brendan Hughes, the author of “Markets in Chaos” joins Ricky to discuss why he’s concerned about the level of money printing in the United States, and one area for investors to watch. Companies discussed: NVDA, MSFT, DUK, OKLO, UA, META, FNV Live podcast in Denver on Wednesday, September 18: https://www.meetup.com/biggerpockets/events/303028272/?eventOrigin=group_upcoming_events Visit our sponsor: Go to www.monarchmoney.com/fool for an extended 30-day free trial Host: Ricky Mulvey Guests: Asit Sharma, Brendan Hughes Producer: Mary Long Engineers: Dan Boyd, Tim Sparks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 16, 2024

    Stocks for the Road

    Stocks for the Road
    If you’re looking for a stock that’s been a multi-bagger over the past five years, then check the gas station next to a Walmart.  Mary Long caught up with Motley Fool Canada’s Jim Gillies for a look at three companies you can find on your next road trip. They discuss: - An industry where investors can ignore sales growth. - What shifting consumer tastes mean for convenience stores. - One company “taking over a mountain no one else wants”. Companies mentioned: TSE: ATD, OTCMKTS: SVNDY, CASY, TKO, WMT, MUSA Host: Mary Long Guest: Jim Gillies Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineer: Tim Sparks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 15, 2024

    Amazon Can’t Be Contained

    Amazon Can’t Be Contained
    40% of everything sold online in the United States is through Amazon. Its web services division owns almost a third of the worldwide cloud infrastructure. Amazon is a goliath. Dana Mattioli is an investigative journalist at the Wall Street Journal and the author of “The Everything War: Amazon’s Ruthless Quest to Own the World and Remake Corporate Power.” Mary Long caught up with Mattioli for a conversation about: - Amazon’s early days and how it withstood years of sustained losses.  - How Amazon makes Wall Street look genteel. - The lengths that the company went to get information from competitors. Companies discussed: AMZN, TGT, EBAY Host: Mary Long Guest: Dana Mattioli Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Dez Jones, Austin Morgan Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 14, 2024

    Rich Signals from Berkshire

    Rich Signals from Berkshire
    Normally people love reaching a milestone – but Berkshire Hathaway hitting $1T might’ve triggered a different kind of thinking for Warren Buffett and his lieutenants. (00:21) Jason Moser and Matt Argersinger discuss: - The signs execs at Berkshire Hathaway believe the market is rich – Ajit Jain reducing his Berkshire stake, and the company winding down its buyback activity. - Brian Niccol’s vision for returning to Starbucks’ roots as a third place. - Why the market was up on RH’s results, down on Adobe’s outlook, and still hoping a Kroger/Albertson’s deal will go through. (19:11) This week was Apple’s annual product event. Dan Barbera from MacRumors gives the scoop on the latest releases, one way the latest iPhones could fuel Vision Pro adoption, and what to expect from Apple in 2025.  (33:54) Jason and Matt break down two stocks on their radar: Top Golf Callaway and Oxford Industries. Stocks discussed: BRK, SBUX, RH, ADBE, KR, AAPL, DNUT, OXM, MODG. Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Jason Moser, Matt Argersinger, Dan Barbera Engineers: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 13, 2024

    Easy Money Returns

    Easy Money Returns
    The European Central Bank cut rates this week and the Fed is expected to cut rates next week. When money gets cheaper, the party gets started. (00:21) David Meier and Ricky Mulvey discuss: - OpenAI’s $50 billion valuation jump in one week. - A space SPAC that’s more than 10xed since April, 2024. - One of Warren Buffett’s top lieutenants selling $140 million of Berkshire Hathaway stock. Then, (16:27) Asit Sharma joins Ricky to look back on Meta’s turnaround story and what it means for investors today. Companies discussed: MSFT, ASTS, RKLB, BRK.A, BRK.B, META, LE Visit www.factormeals.com/foolpod50 to get 50% off your first box plus 20% off your next month. Host: Ricky Mulvey Guests: David Meier, Asit Sharma Engineer: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 12, 2024

    Southwest Changes Seats

    Southwest Changes Seats
    The airline is keeping its CEO, but losing a large chunk of its board. In the fight with Elliott Management, who’s winning?(00:21) Bill Mann and Mary Long discuss: Proposals for the US to develop a sovereign wealth fund The activist battle at Southwest Airlines Why Campbell’s dropped the “soup” Then, (13:52) Robert “Bro” Brokamp continues a two-part interview with Dave Hatter, a cybersecurity consultant at Intrust IT, about how to protect your personal data after a security breach. Check out the Range Rover Sport at www.landroverusa.com Join us at our live podcast recording in Denver with Bigger Pockets on Wednesday, September 18: https://www.meetup.com/biggerpockets/events/303028272/ Companies discussed: SWA, DLA, CPB Host: Mary Long Guests: Bill Mann, Robert Brokamp, Dave Hatter Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineer: Tim Sparks, Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Motley Fool Money
    enSeptember 11, 2024

    Related Episodes

    Retail sales blow past forecasts

    Retail sales blow past forecasts
    Consumer spending confounds expectations in July, with an Amazon (AMZN) assist. (0:15) Sea Limited (SE) tumbles after earnings. (2:40) More than 70 banks could face credit downgrades. (3:25)

    Sign up for our daily newsletter here and for full access to transcripts, analyst ratings, stock quant scores, dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.

    Show Notes
    Money managers boost risk, dump REITs to Lehman levels
    Electric vehicle sticker shock: Tesla introduces cheaper versions of the Model S and Model X
    Michael Burry's Scion shorts stock market in Q2, exits bank stocks
    Home Depot sees comparable sales fall 2% as big-ticket demand lags

    Big names join AI Safety Institute

    Big names join AI Safety Institute
    Apple, Microsoft, JPMorgan among those in new U.S. AI Safety Institute. (0:16) Chip company Arm adds $40 billion in market cap post-earnings. (2:45) These idiosyncratic stocks could help your portfolio. (5:22)

    Show Notes
    Greenlight Capital founder: Markets are fundamentally broken by passive investors
    Philip Morris points to strong momentum as smoke-free sales climb

    Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb
    Sign up for our daily newsletter here and for full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores, dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.

    Stocks poised for a decade of low returns

    Nvidia hits new yearly high on earnings optimism

    Nvidia hits new yearly high on earnings optimism
    Nvidia (NVDA) is riding high ahead of results. Is it party on or party over? (0:15) Dig into ever-rising bond yields. (3:11) Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) spooks the sector with guidance cut. (4:52)

    Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb

    Sign up for our daily newsletter here and for full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores, dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.

    Show Notes
    Nvidia Is Poised For Another Earnings Blowout
    Nvidia Q2: Party May Be Over
    Medtronic raises guidance as Q1 results exceed forecasts
    JPMorgan continues to ring the alarm of sticky inflation



    Homebuilder Confidence Reaches New Heights

    Homebuilder Confidence Reaches New Heights

    What effect might homebuilder confidence have on the real estate market?

    For all buyers, sellers investors and real estate entrepreneurs, gaining insight to what might be over the horizon in real estate can make you thousands of dollars. The latest news in the world of real estate and new home construction is that home builder confidence has reached the highest levels since 1999! Today, we will talk about that and reflect on what that meant to the market then. What followed and what might we see as a result.

    We will also take a look at what Realtors across the country expect to happen in their markets. Plus discuss why we may want to verify those expectations ourselves.

    Finally, we will also check out the 4 reasons why home builders have been hesitant to jump in and build affordable housing.

    Todays Links:

    • https://magazine.realtor/daily-news/2019/12/16/4-reasons-there-s-not-enough-building
    • https://magazine.realtor/daily-news/2019/12/16/where-realtors-expect-highest-price-gains
    • https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/16/homebuilder-confidence-jumps-to-highest-level-in-20-years.html
    • https://www.macrotrends.net/1314/housing-starts-historical-chart

    HELP THE SHOW GROW by filling out the audience demographic survey by clicking the button at the top of the page titled "Take the survey to support the show". Follow the prompts and this will automatically enter you for a chance to win a $50 Amazon Gift card!

    Interested in getting free content, advanced notice of upcoming events and real estate exclusives? Then simply join the Rebel Underground by texting the word 'rebelbroker' to 44222 - or click the button below. When prompted, text your email address and you are in!

    JOIN THE REBEL UNDERGROUND!


    SPONSOR

    Audible.com - Audible is offering real estate realities listeners a free audiobook of your choice and a free 30-day trial membership. Just go to http://audibletrial.com/rebel and choose from over 180,000 audio programs – download a title free and start listening!

    SUBSCRIBE TO AUDIBLE TODAY AND CLAIM YOUR FREE BOOK AND 30 DAY TRIAL!

    #realestate,#investing,#realestateinvesting,#homebuilding,#entrepreneur,#predictions, #2020,#Realty,#Realtor,#Realestateagent,#Homeforsale,#Newhome,#Househunting

    Logo

    © 2024 Podcastworld. All rights reserved

    Stay up to date

    For any inquiries, please email us at hello@podcastworld.io