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    Tim Harford special - the things that created our economy

    enDecember 22, 2017

    Podcast Summary

    • Exploring the origins of 50 inventions that shaped the modern worldUnderstanding the history of inventions and their unintended consequences provides valuable insights into the modern world and our society

      Understanding the history of inventions and their unintended consequences can help us make sense of the complex modern world we live in. Tim Harford, author of "50 Things That Made the Modern Economy," shares how he compiled a list of 50 interesting stories from various fields and time periods to help people understand the economic world around them. From barbed wire and disposable razors to electricity and double entry accounting, these inventions revolutionized industries and shaped our society. By tracing the origins of these innovations, we can gain a deeper appreciation for how they continue to impact our lives today.

    • The Invention of Paper and Shipping ContainersThe invention of paper allowed for mass production and dissemination of knowledge through the printing press, while shipping containers revolutionized global trade by standardizing transportation.

      Many important inventions and innovations in history, like the diesel engine by Rudolf Diesel and the development of artificial fertilizer by Fritz Haber, have had tragic consequences. However, there are also inventions, like paper, that have had a profound impact on the world but often receive less recognition. The invention of paper, which became the cheap writing surface necessary for the economic success of the printing press, allowed for mass production and dissemination of knowledge. Another intriguing invention discussed is the shipping container, which revolutionized global trade by standardizing the size and shape of containers, making transportation more efficient and cost-effective. These examples show that while some inventions bring great success and recognition, others may have unintended consequences or be overlooked despite their significance.

    • The Shipping Container Revolution: A Game Changer for Global TradeMalcolm McLean's invention of the shipping container led to a more efficient and cost-effective global trade system, despite initial challenges, and transformed logistics, enabling mass movement of goods around the world.

      The shipping container revolution, led by Malcolm McLean, had a profound impact on the global economy by making international trade more efficient and cost-effective. The invention, which is often overlooked, is estimated to have had an even greater impact than major trade agreements. McLean's determination and vision led to the creation of a system that transformed logistics and trade, leading to the mass movement of goods around the world. Despite the challenges, including opposition from labor unions and financial struggles, McLean's resilience allowed him to bounce back and continue innovating in the industry. The cost of shipping, which is often considered negligible in economic models, is a crucial component of the global economy, enabling the seamless transportation of goods from one side of the world to the other. The story of the shipping container serves as a reminder of the complex and interconnected nature of the global economy and the unsung heroes behind its success.

    • Exploring the History of Technology: Diverse Sources and the Importance of DeadlinesHistorian's research on technology relied on diverse sources, emphasized deadlines, and found the battery's role in mobility and renewable energy storage intriguing.

      The creation and evolution of various technologies are shaped by numerous sources, from academic research and economics papers to personal curiosity and the convenience of having a well-stocked library. The speaker, a historian of technology, shared how they relied on a diverse range of sources to research their book, including the impact of the contraceptive pill on women's careers and education, and the role of batteries in enabling portable technology. The speaker also emphasized the importance of having a deadline and the fun and discipline that comes with it. For the speaker, the battery stands out as a particularly fascinating technology due to its role in enabling mobility and the potential for renewable energy storage to transform the energy landscape. The speaker's research process highlights the importance of being open-minded and persistent in seeking out knowledge and understanding the impact of various technologies on society.

    • From portable power to grid storageAdvancements in energy storage technology could revolutionize the energy grid by enabling the storage and redistribution of excess renewable energy, transforming electric cars into mobile energy storage units (V2G).

      Batteries are evolving from portable power sources for devices like watches and smartphones to large-scale energy storage systems for renewable energy. This shift has the potential to revolutionize the energy grid by allowing for the storage and redistribution of excess electricity from renewable sources like wind and solar. This concept, known as vehicle-to-grid (V2G), could transform electric cars into mobile energy storage units, feeding electricity back into the grid during peak demand or when renewable sources are not producing enough power. Contrary to popular belief, household appliances like washing machines did not significantly reduce women's domestic workload as much as initially thought. However, the ongoing advancements in energy storage technology could lead to a more efficient and sustainable energy grid, empowering both individuals and communities.

    • Technological Advancements and Their Impact on Daily LifeFrom sweat-absorbing uniforms to washing machines and industrialized food, technological innovations have transformed daily life, saving time and resources, but also raising concerns about health and societal norms.

      Technological advancements in various industries, such as textiles and food, have significantly impacted our daily lives by saving time and resources. For instance, the introduction of uniforms with sweat-absorbing pads allowed children to attend school without the hassle of washing their clothes frequently. However, the arrival of the washing machine later on made the process even easier. Similarly, the food industry saw a surge in industrialization with the invention of TV dinners and convenience foods, which not only saved time but also led to changes in eating habits and societal norms. The affordability and ease of access to these foods have contributed to the increase in calorie consumption, leading to concerns about obesity. While these advancements have brought about significant conveniences, it's essential to consider their potential impacts on our health and well-being. Another interesting idea that emerged during the crowdsource project was the role of pornography in driving technological innovations, from photography to video on demand and credit card processing. Although intriguing, this topic was not included in the final list for the BBC show. Overall, the discussion highlights the far-reaching consequences of technological advancements on various aspects of our lives.

    • Credit Cards: A Double-Edged SwordCredit cards offer benefits like purchase protection and interest-free periods, but also pose risks of mass consumer debt due to their normalization in society

      Credit cards, despite their potential financial risks, are a ubiquitous and normalized aspect of modern life. The discussion highlighted the generosity of the credit card system, which offers features like purchase protection and interest-free periods, but also acknowledged the potential for mass consumer debt. The history of credit cards shows that even with early challenges like mass fraud, their long-term profitability for banks and credit card companies has made them a lucrative financial tool. The psychology behind credit cards is fascinating, as people may believe others can handle them responsibly, but underestimate their own ability to manage debt. The Normalization of credit cards has led to the normalization of debt, with staggering statistics like 4 million unpayable credit card balances in the UK. Despite the risks, credit cards remain a significant part of our financial landscape.

    • The Evolution of Credit Cards: Trust, Convenience, and Human BehaviorFrom local trust to urban identification, and eventually to global convenience: The history of credit cards shows how technology, economics, and human behavior have shaped its development, raising questions about status and target markets.

      The history of credit cards reflects the evolution of trust and consumer finance, starting from local shopkeepers knowing their customers, to the need for identification in urban environments, and eventually to the widespread use of credit cards that allow consumers to be trusted to spend money anywhere and at any time. This gradual process brought about an enormous amount of freedom and convenience, but also raised questions about status and the targeting of specific markets. The trajectory of credit card innovations has been shaped not only by technology and economics, but also by our own behavior and preferences. As technology advances, there is an increasing emphasis on ease of use, convenience, and design to persuade people to adopt new financial technologies. This is evident in the rise of payday loans and the support for alternative financial institutions like credit unions. Ultimately, the evolution of credit cards and other financial technologies is a reflection of the complex interplay between technology, economics, and human behavior.

    • Cheap innovations that reshape the worldSensor technology is becoming cheap and ubiquitous, transforming industries and daily life, but also poses reliability concerns as it becomes widespread in sectors like cars

      The real game-changers in technology often come in the form of cheap innovations that become ubiquitous. These innovations, such as paper, the shipping container, and barbed wire, reshape the world by becoming an integral part of our daily lives. Currently, sensors are a prime example of this trend, as they are becoming increasingly cheap and widespread, transforming various industries and aspects of our lives. However, there is a potential downside: as technology becomes cheaper, it can also become less reliable and prone to malfunctions. This is a concern as we see the widespread adoption of smart technologies in various sectors, such as cars. As we move forward, it's crucial to recognize the potential of seemingly mundane innovations and adapt our economies and societies to take full advantage of them, while also addressing the challenges that come with their widespread use.

    • Focus on tasks, not jobs in tech impactTechnology automates tasks, not entire jobs. Examples like spreadsheets show this. Debate on 4th industrial revolution may overstate job losses. Adaptation takes time.

      The focus should be on tasks rather than jobs when considering the impact of technology and automation in the workforce. Economist David Autor argues that jobs are made up of various tasks, and technology will automate away specific tasks rather than entire jobs. An example of this is the transition from manual spreadsheets to digital ones, which led to the disappearance of manual spreadsheet tasks but not the entire accounting profession. The ongoing debate about a potential 4th industrial revolution brings up concerns about job losses due to advancements in AI and machine learning. However, current employment rates and low productivity suggest that the impact may take longer to materialize than anticipated. It's important to remember that technological breakthroughs often require time for the rest of the economy to adapt.

    • The societal implications of AlphaGo 0's advancementThe advancement of AI could lead to job loss and a shift in the economy, potentially requiring a rethinking of the welfare state and universal basic income.

      The advancement of artificial intelligence, as demonstrated by AlphaGo 0, has the potential to significantly impact society and the economy. While the creators of these technologies may be focused on developing the technology itself, it's important to consider the societal implications. As technology advances, there's a risk that many jobs will become automated, leaving people without an economic value. This could lead to a fundamental shift in how our economy functions, potentially requiring a rethinking of the welfare state and the introduction of universal basic income. The future of work and the economy is uncertain, but it's crucial that we start having conversations about how to prepare for this potential future.

    • Discussing the possibility of a post-scarcity economyTim Harford explores the idea of a post-scarcity economy in his latest book, where resources are abundant and everyone's basic needs are met, contrasting it with current societal organization.

      Tim Harford, a special guest on this episode, discussed the possibility of a post-scarcity economy, where resources are abundant and everyone's basic needs are met. This idea is a significant departure from the current societal organization, but it's not entirely impossible. Harford's latest book, "50 Things That Made the Modern Economy," explores this concept further. To stay updated on the latest personal finance news and listen to more of Harford's insights, download the This is Money app or visit their website. Remember to rate and share their podcast to spread the word. NS and I are partners in this venture, providing 100% security for your savings, backed by the Treasury.

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