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    TIP319: Intrinsic Value Assessment of Charles Schwab w/ Arif Karim (Business Podcast)

    enOctober 18, 2020

    Podcast Summary

    • Democratizing trading and reducing costsCharles Schwab's mission to make trading accessible and affordable has led to the commoditization and automation of investment services, resulting in lower fees and a wide range of investment products with competitive pricing.

      Charles Schwab, founded over 40 years ago with the mission to democratize trading and bring down the cost for the average investor, has successfully commoditized and automated various investment services through technology, leading to lower fees for trading and asset management. This ethos of reducing costs has been a driving force behind the company's growth and expansion into different investment products and services. Today, Schwab offers a wide range of investment vehicles with some of the lowest fees in the industry, making it an attractive pick for value investors looking for high-quality stocks at reasonable prices.

    • Moving up the value chain and expanding offeringsCharles Schwab grew their customer base and expanded offerings by continuously moving up the value chain, commoditizing lower-end services and scaling high-margin businesses. They kept costs low and adapted to new trends to attract and retain customers, ultimately growing assets under management to $4 trillion.

      Charles Schwab's success can be attributed to their strategic approach of continuously moving up the value chain by commoditizing lower-end services and scaling high-margin businesses. This strategy allowed them to offer high-quality services at competitive prices, attracting customers and maintaining a strong relationship with them over the long term. Starting as a discount trading broker, Schwab grew their customer base and leveraged technology to reduce costs and expand their offerings. They created platforms like OneSource, which enabled mutual funds to trade commission-free, and acquired companies to offer options trading and eventually, their own mutual funds and ETFs. By keeping costs low and adapting to new trends, Schwab was able to attract and retain customers, ultimately growing their assets under management to an unprecedented $4 trillion. Additionally, Schwab's horizontal expansion strategy allowed them to offer a range of services beyond trading, including wealth management and advisory services, to a broader customer base. Their fixed costs for trading and custody made it possible to expand these offerings while maintaining competitive pricing. Overall, Schwab's strategic approach to growth, coupled with their commitment to offering high-quality services, has been key to their success in the financial services industry.

    • Financial services companies adapt to changing market conditionsCompanies shift from commission-based to fee-based models, invest in higher-value services, and diversify revenue streams to match changing regulations, customer preferences, and technological advancements

      Over the past few decades, financial services companies have shifted their business models to adapt to changing regulations, customer preferences, and technological advancements. This trend is exemplified by Charles Schwab's move from a commission-based brokerage business to a fee-based asset management business. As technology automates lower-value services, companies like Schwab invest in expanding their offerings to higher-value services, such as asset management. This shift not only benefits customers by aligning incentives with their long-term financial goals but also allows companies to diversify their revenue streams and reduce their reliance on commission-based revenue, which was once a significant portion of their income. This evolution demonstrates the importance of adaptability and innovation in the financial services industry.

    • The trend towards commission-free tradingCompanies offer commission-free trading to attract customers, make up for lost revenue through other sources, and create a flywheel effect of growth and lower costs.

      The use of technology in the financial industry, specifically in brokerage services, has led to a significant reduction in trading commissions towards zero. Companies like Schwab, Interactive Brokers, and Robinhood have introduced commission-free trading platforms to attract customers and gain a competitive advantage. While these companies no longer make revenue from commissions, they make up for it through order flow, fees from asset management services, and interest margins from customer cash deposits. The trend towards lower explicit fees is expected to continue, but the opportunity cost or implicit fees will remain. This flywheel effect of lower fees attracting more customers and assets, leading to increased scale and lower costs, is a significant shift in the financial industry.

    • Schwab Bank generates revenue from clients' idle cashSchwab Bank earns around 50-60% of its revenue by investing clients' idle cash in low-risk federal government insured products, providing a high-margin asset for the bank

      Schwab Bank uses a significant portion of its clients' idle cash to generate revenue through investments in higher yielding credit instruments, contributing to around 50-60% of their total revenue. This means that clients unknowingly miss out on potential investment opportunities when they keep cash in their accounts without putting it to work. However, the risk associated with Schwab Bank's investments is relatively low since the majority of their balance sheet consists of low-risk federal government insured products. This business model, which sources low-cost funds from brokerage accounts and invests in safe credit instruments, allows Schwab to maintain a high-margin asset within their bank.

    • Leveraging Communities and Tools for Enhanced Value InvestingJoining supportive communities like TIP Mastermind and utilizing tools such as Yahoo Finance can significantly enhance value investing experience by providing valuable insights, relationships, and market knowledge.

      Having a supportive community can significantly enhance the value investing experience. The TIP Mastermind community, for instance, offers weekly Zoom calls, stock idea sharing, special podcast guest interactions, and lifelong relationships. Meanwhile, businesses can leverage reliable networks like AT&T Business to bring innovative ideas to life. On a different note, staying informed about market trends and news is crucial for investors. Yahoo Finance serves as a valuable tool for keeping up with the latest financial news and market insights. Lastly, the business model of asset management firms like Schwab, with their relatively fixed costs, allows them to manage larger assets at a lower cost per dollar, resulting in a lower expenses on client assets ratio.

    • Charles Schwab's Competitive Advantage: Low Cost StructureCharles Schwab's low cost structure, driven by platform design and automation culture, gives it pricing power and allows for lower prices for customers without hurting margins. Its 16 basis point expense ratio is significantly lower than competitors, enabling effective competition and making it hard for new entrants to challenge its position.

      Charles Schwab's competitive advantage comes from its low cost structure, which is a result of its platform design and automation culture. This cost advantage gives Schwab pricing power, allowing it to lower prices for customers without harming margins. This is a strategic advantage in attracting customers and increasing market share. Compared to competitors like Ameritrade, E Trade, BofA, and Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Schwab's expense ratio of 16 basis points per dollar in assets managed is significantly lower. This scale and efficiency enable Schwab to compete effectively and make it difficult for new entrants to challenge its position in the industry. Understanding the competitive landscape, including key ratios like expenses on client assets, is crucial for evaluating the competitiveness of financial services companies like Charles Schwab.

    • Schwab's Competitive Advantage: Lower Costs and Client-Directed InvestingSchwab's growth is driven by lower costs, client-directed investing, and acquisitions like Ameritrade, resulting in annual net new assets growth of 5-7% and a healthy net interest margin.

      Schwab is growing its competitive set towards traditional investment and wealth management firms, while maintaining a lower cost structure through a platform that allows clients to express their own investment views. The elimination of commissions and acquisition of Ameritrade have expanded Schwab's assets under management (AUM) and improved expenses on client assets. A key metric to measure Schwab's success is its net new assets growth, which has been around 5-7% annually. Another important metric is net interest margin (NIM), which measures the difference between what Schwab earns on customer cash balances and what it pays out to customers. These metrics provide insights into the health of the business and the competitive environment.

    • Understanding Schwab's Revenue and Profitability through Client Cash and Competitor DisruptionSchwab's revenue and profitability depend on the percentage of client cash held and the ability to earn a profit. Robinhood's user-friendly interface and growing customer base could potentially disrupt Schwab's business model.

      The percentage of client cash held by brokerages like Charles Schwab and the ability to earn a profit on that cash are important metrics for understanding the firm's revenue, operating margins, and profitability. The "silver bullet test," a concept from Warren Buffett, asks which competitor could be eliminated with one bullet based on their price to value ratio. Regarding this test, the speaker suggests that Robinhood, a small but rapidly growing competitor, could potentially disrupt Schwab's business model by attracting young customers with a superior user interface and experience. The robo-advisors, such as Wealthfront and Betterment, were once seen as potential threats due to their lower costs, but their asset gathering scale is still smaller compared to Schwab. Overall, the speaker emphasizes the importance of monitoring new competitors and their potential impact on the industry rules and Schwab's position.

    • Automation and Lower Costs in the Financial IndustryRobo-advisors automate tasks and offer lower costs, posing a threat to traditional financial advisors. However, larger firms adapt by acquiring and scaling robo-advisory platforms, becoming major players themselves. The trend towards automation and lower costs is here to stay, and financial institutions that can adapt and innovate will succeed.

      The financial industry has seen significant disruption through the rise of robo-advisors, automated platforms that offer financial planning and portfolio management services at a lower cost than traditional financial advisors. These robo-advisors automate tasks like asset allocation and portfolio rebalancing, allowing human advisors to focus on relationship management. While they may pose a threat to traditional financial advisors with simpler client needs, larger firms like Schwab have been able to adapt by acquiring and scaling robo-advisory platforms, becoming major players in the industry themselves. Ultimately, the trend towards automation and lower costs is here to stay, and financial institutions that can adapt and innovate will be best positioned to succeed.

    • Saving on Travel with NerdWallet and Potential Schwab AcquisitionNerdWallet helps save on travel expenses with travel credit cards suggestions. Schwab's potential acquisition by JPMorgan could bring strategic benefits but faces challenges due to low-interest rates and inflation.

      NerdWallet can help individuals save money on travel by suggesting smarter travel credit cards. Additionally, there's speculation that larger financial platforms, such as JPMorgan, may find value in acquiring smaller, fast-growing platforms like Charles Schwab for strategic reasons. However, the current low-interest rate environment negatively impacts Schwab's banking business, and inflation could potentially reverse this trend by increasing the spread between what they pay depositors and what they earn on their assets. It's important to note that any potential acquisition would come with a premium price tag and is not a certainty.

    • Schwab's Inflation Strategy: Building a Cushion and Expanding NIMCharles Schwab aims to let inflation rise, benefiting their NIM and potentially asset prices, but may negatively impact P/E ratios. Intrinsic value is estimated at $70, but uncertainty remains due to interest rates and Ameritrade deal.

      Charles Schwab is looking to allow inflation to rise beyond the historically low 1.5% to 2% range in order to build a larger cushion for future recessions and expand their net interest margin (NIM). This could lead to higher long-term interest rates, which would benefit Schwab's NIM and profitability. Additionally, inflation could also potentially boost asset prices, but may negatively impact P/E ratios. Based on the analysis, a conservative estimate for Schwab's intrinsic value per share is around $70, assuming a normalized net interest margin of 2%. However, there is uncertainty regarding future interest rates and the impact of the Ameritrade deal, which could bring additional assets and profits to Schwab.

    • Schwab's Acquisition of Ameritrade: Significant Upside PotentialArif from Ensemble Capital discusses Schwab's acquisition of Ameritrade, estimating a potential 40% to 80% increase in operating margins, leading to significant upside for Schwab's stock price. Understanding a business and industry well is crucial for estimating a company's worth and projecting future cash flows.

      Arif from Ensemble Capital discussed the highly accretive acquisition of Ameritrade by Schwab, estimating a potential operating margin increase from 40% to 80%, leading to significant upside for Schwab's stock price. Arif also emphasized the importance of understanding an asset well before investing, suggesting that investors should be able to project a company's future cash flows and estimate its worth based on their knowledge of the business and industry. The acquisition of Ameritrade by Schwab is expected to bring significant expense and revenue synergies, potentially leading to a compound annual growth rate of 8-12% for Schwab's revenue and profits. However, the realization of this upside may take some time, depending on market conditions and interest rate normalization. To learn more about Arif and Ensemble Capital, listeners can visit ensemblecapital.com, read their blogs at interestinginvesting.com, or follow them on Twitter @intrinsicinv.

    • Focus on key industry factors and variablesIdentify and concentrate on essential factors unique to the industry or business you're considering for investment. Monitor key performance indicators like combined ratio for insurance, paid subscriber growth for streaming services, and compare with costs.

      To be successful in investing, it's crucial to identify and focus on the key factors and variables specific to the industry or business you're interested in. This requires filtering out the noise and understanding what truly matters. For instance, in the case of insurance companies, tracking combined ratio and investment records are key variables. In the context of a streaming service like Spotify, monitoring paid subscriber growth is essential. It's also important to compare these factors with costs. Staying focused on what you understand and gradually expanding your competence to new businesses and industries is a recommended approach. Gaining a deep understanding of a business, especially through owning your own company, provides valuable insights that can help in making informed investment decisions. For those who don't own their own business, breaking down a business into understanding its revenue streams, competitive landscape, and expense structure can help in gaining the necessary knowledge.

    • Assessing a Business HolisticallyConsider financials, market conditions, competition, and growth potential when evaluating a business. Use tools like TIP Finance for insights and filters. Regularly manage correlations within your portfolio for optimal performance.

      To effectively assess the value of a business, it's essential to think critically and holistically, as if you personally own the company. This means considering various factors such as financials, market conditions, competition, and growth potential. The speakers recommend using tools like TIP Finance to help with this process, which can provide valuable insights and filters for finding potentially advantageous companies. Additionally, regularly reviewing and managing correlations within your portfolio is important for overall portfolio performance. To get your investing questions answered on the show, visit asktheinvestors.com. Remember, this podcast is for entertainment purposes only, and before making any investment decisions, consult a professional.

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    On today’s episode, Clay dives into the investment approach of billionaire value investor Li Lu. Li Lu is the Founder and Chairman of Himalaya Capital, a value investing firm where he has been managing its principal fund since 1997. Before his passing in 2023, Charlie Munger was an investor in the fund. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:27 - The back story of Li Lu’s early life. 06:46 - Li Lu’s investment philosophy. 08:28 - The four key investment principles he adheres to. 29:36 - Li Lu’s view on investing in China. 44:52 - An overview of Alphabet, one of Li Lu’s top holdings. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Li Lu’s book: Moving the Mountain. Check out: FT Magazine Article. Check out: Li Lu’s 2006 talk at Columbia. Related Episode: RWH008: Playing to Win w/ Mohnish Pabrai | YouTube video. Follow Clay on Twitter.  Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Sun Life Range Rover AFR The Bitcoin Way Meyka CI Financial Industrious Fidelity Long Angle Briggs & Riley AFR Fundrise iFlex Stretch Studios Public NDTCO American Express Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

    BTC185: AI Compute with Bitcoin Mining w/ Andrew Edstrom and Jesse Myers (Bitcoin Podcast)

    BTC185: AI Compute with Bitcoin Mining w/ Andrew Edstrom and Jesse Myers (Bitcoin Podcast)
    In this episode of the Bitcoin Fundamentals Podcast, Andy Edstrom and Jesse Myers discuss the recent shift in political attitudes towards Bitcoin, highlighting how being “anti-Bitcoin” has become an election-losing stance. They explore the merging of AI training and Bitcoin mining facilities, examining the potential synergies and future implications for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Join us for an insightful discussion on these pivotal developments. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 12:12 - How major political parties are shifting their stance on Bitcoin. 12:12 - Insights into the current political climate and its effect on Bitcoin. 17:45 - The implications of being “anti-Bitcoin” as an election-losing proposition. 36:38 - The merging of AI training and Bitcoin mining facilities. 39:30 - Potential synergies between AI and Bitcoin mining. 39:30 - The future impact of AI integration on Bitcoin mining efficiency. 39:30 - The potential economic and technological benefits of combining AI and Bitcoin. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Jesse Myer's Twitter. Andy Edstrom's Twitter. Onramp Twitter. Onramp's Website. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our Bitcoin Fundamentals Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Sun Life Range Rover AFR The Bitcoin Way Meyka CI Financial Industrious Fidelity Long Angle Briggs & Riley AFR Fundrise iFlex Stretch Studios Public NDTCO American Express Shopify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

    TIP635: Deep Diving Into The Warren Buffett Way w/ Robert Hagstrom

    TIP635: Deep Diving Into The Warren Buffett Way w/ Robert Hagstrom
    Kyle Grieve chats with Robert Hagstrom about reflections from Warren Buffett’s early investing mistakes, why GEICO’s insurance float has been setup so perfectly for use by Warren Buffett, why low turnover portfolio’s outperform other options, why looking at stocks as abstractions is such a powerful mental model, how Warren Buffett has made thinking long-term into his own competitive advantage, a detailed history on modern portfolio theory, and why it’s so pervasive today, why investors should focus on certainties in their investing strategy, and a whole lot more! IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 05:30 - Details on Warren's mistakes on Berkshire Hathaway (textile mill) and subsequent mistakes with the Dexter Shoe acquisition. 08:44 - Why low turnover portfolios tend to outperform. 16:20 - Why you can outperform the market over the long term while underperforming the market 50% of the time. 18:29 - The importance of thinking of stocks as abstractions. 27:55 - How Warren Buffett has evolved his investing methods while staying true to his deeply held principles. 43:07 - Benjamin Graham's two most influential concepts Warren still abides by today. 43:07 - The history of modern portfolio theory and why it's so pervasive today. 54:28 - The single most important characteristic that has produced so much of Warren Buffett's success. 59:36 - The characteristics required to outperform the market. 01:08:09 - Why we should spend our investing time thinking about business rather than macroeconomics. And so much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Buy The Warren Buffett Way here. Read more of Robert Hagstrom’s articles here. Related Episode: TIP360: Inside The Money Mind Of Warren Buffett w/ Robert Hagstrom | YouTube video. Related Episode: MI307: Unpacking The Money Mind w/ Robert Hagstrom | YouTube video. Related Episode: MI222: How To Invest Like Warren Buffett w/ Robert Hagstrom | YouTube video. Follow Kyle on Twitter and LinkedIn. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Sun Life AFR The Bitcoin Way AT&T Sound Advisory Industrious Range Rover iFlex Stretch Studios Meyka Yahoo! Finance Vacasa Briggs & Riley Public American Express USPS Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

    Related Episodes

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    📞 For Your FREE Consultation with Rob, simply fill out the form and directly book your strategy session in his calendar here: https://robtetrault.com/speak-to-rob/

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    ⭐⭐ What is an ETF? Should you invest in an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF)?

    Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is a type of pooled investment security that operates much like a mutual fund and trades on an exchange just like a stock does. This video will let you know what are ETFs and will explain the basics of ETF. Should you invest in ETFs or not? You will know everything about Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in this video.

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    How Salad Chain Sweetgreen Figures Out Its Next Product to Sell

    How Salad Chain Sweetgreen Figures Out Its Next Product to Sell

    Sweetgreen, the popular fast food salad restaurant, recently announced that it was eliminating all use of seed oils, in favor of higher quality oils such as avocado and olive oil. This is more costly, but the company sees it as worthwhile, given its reputation for high-quality ingredients, and growing public interest in oils. So how does a company like Sweetgreen decide what to sell? And how does it compete against the numerous other fast casual chains competing for lunchtime dollars. On this episode we speak with co-founder Nicolas Jammet about the company's strategy, how it deals with labor and commodity costs, and the future of the restaurant business. 

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