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    TPP588: June Market Update

    enJune 20, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Rental Market ShiftRental inflation has decreased significantly, London rents fell for the first time in years, and rental demand and rental stock are both lower than pre-pandemic levels but higher than last year, leading to a more normal level of rental growth.

      While house prices have shown modest growth this year after some unexpected falls earlier, the rental market is seeing a significant shift. According to the latest reports, rental inflation has decreased significantly when looking at the quarterly breakdown, with London seeing rents falling for the first time in years. The market is coming back into alignment as rental demand and the stock of homes for rent are both lower than pre-pandemic levels but higher than last year. These trends are expected to continue, leading to a more normal level of rental growth. However, it's important to note that the London market remains an interesting case, as it has seen a larger impact from the pandemic and may take longer to recover. Overall, the property market continues to evolve, and it's crucial for investors to stay informed and adapt to these changes.

    • London Rental MarketLondon's falling house prices and only slightly rising rents result in unfavorable yields for investors, but the rental market, especially Build to Rent, is showing signs of improvement with institutional investors entering the scene to raise standards and improve the sector's reputation.

      London, despite its historical appeal as a strong long-term investment case, is currently not an ideal area for investment due to falling house prices and only slightly rising rents, resulting in unfavorable yields. However, the rental market, particularly Build to Rent, is showing signs of improvement with institutional investors making bold moves. The shift towards institutional operators managing rental properties aims to raise standards and reduce scrutiny on the sector. Although there are unscrupulous landlords, this trend is expected to improve the overall quality of rental properties and reduce the sector's negative perception.

    • UK political parties housing policiesThe Conservative and Labour parties in the UK prioritize building more houses and eliminating no-fault evictions. Labour plans immediate action, while the Conservatives do not specify a timeline. The parties differ on leasehold reform, with the Conservatives capping ground rents and Labour ending the feudal leasehold system.

      Both the Conservative and Labour parties in the UK have manifestos that prioritize building more houses and getting rid of no-fault evictions. The Labour party has pledged to act on this immediately, while the Conservatives have not specified a timeline. Another notable difference is the approach to leasehold reform. The Conservatives plan to cap ground rents at £250 and reduce them to peppercorn rates over time, while Labour intends to end the feudal leasehold system and ban new leasehold flats. Despite some differences, the lack of mention of rent controls in the Labour manifesto is a relief for property investors and landlords. Overall, the manifestos do not indicate significant changes for property investors and landlords, regardless of which party wins the election.

    • 2021 UK Election and Property MarketThe 2021 UK election manifestos suggest a continuation of existing housing policies, with minor differences between parties. No major upheavals for the property market are expected, as indicated by a stable owner-occupier market.

      The 2021 UK election manifestos, particularly those of the Conservative and Liberal Democrats parties, do not seem to present any major upheavals for the property market. According to a Rightmove survey, 95% of owner-occupiers have reported no change in their plans to move, indicating a stable market. The Liberal Democrats have pledged to build more houses and revive the idea of garden cities, while the Conservatives have made no radical promises. The Green Party, on the other hand, could introduce rent controls at a local level if they gain power. Reform Party stands out as the only significant difference, promising to abolish the Renter's Reform Bill and scrap the 2019 tax changes for landlords. Overall, the manifestos present a continuation of existing housing policies, with minor differences between parties. For those looking to align their vote with their housing interests, uk.isidewith.com can help determine political alignment based on answers to a series of questions.

    • Political alignmentExplore parties based on values and beliefs, not just tradition or loyalty, and make an informed decision for what you truly believe in to contribute to making a difference.

      Your political alignment should be based on the values and beliefs of the parties, not just tradition or team loyalty. The speaker encourages individuals to explore alternative parties and make a statement through their vote, even if the party may not win. The popular vote holds power, and the political system can seem frustratingly limited to two major parties. However, by making an informed decision and casting a vote for what you truly believe in, you can contribute to making a difference. The speaker emphasizes that your personal growth and success are more important than any political party. Therefore, it's essential to approach politics with a clear understanding of what each party offers and the potential impact on your life and the country as a whole.

    • Political discussions without party affiliationsExploring political beliefs without party labels can lead to valuable insights, potential for change, and help mitigate tribalism in politics.

      Engaging in thoughtful discussions about political ideologies and policies, without the influence of party affiliations, can lead to valuable insights and potential for change. The speakers in this discussion suggest that taking a quiz to assess political beliefs without party labels can encourage individuals to reconsider their positions and explore new ideas. They emphasize that tribalism, or the damaging effects of party loyalty, is a concern in politics, and examining policies objectively can help mitigate this issue. The speakers also encourage listeners to continue engaging with their podcast and asking questions to deepen their understanding of political issues.

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