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    UPDATE: BOE Set to Tip UK Into Recession & Odey Suspends Two Funds

    enJune 27, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • New Monthly Editions of Capital Ideas Podcast and Visibility Gap Podcast, QuickBooks Offer, Economic Predictions, and Food Price Inflation UpdatesInvestment pros share insights on Capital Ideas Podcast, Visibility Gap podcast emphasizes empathy, QuickBooks offers 5% APY, potential UK recession predicted, food price inflation may ease

      There are various important topics being discussed across different platforms, from podcasts to economic reports. The Capital Ideas Podcast now features new monthly editions with investment professionals sharing their experiences and insights. Meanwhile, the Visibility Gap podcast highlights the importance of empathy and awareness towards invisible struggles faced by individuals. In the business world, QuickBooks Money offers small business owners an opportunity to make their money work harder with a 5% annual percentage yield. Economists predict a potential UK recession due to Bank of England rate hikes, but some experts remain cautious about this forecast. Additionally, food price inflation in the UK may be starting to ease. These stories and more are being covered in various media outlets, providing valuable information and insights for listeners and readers.

    • Central bankers debate interest rates at Sintra forum, Putin denounces Wagner mercenaries, US Treasury Secretary to visit ChinaCentral bankers weigh pause vs continue on interest rate hikes, Putin condemns Wagner mercenaries for treason, Yellen plans China visit amid investment regulation talks, Li Qiang opposes deglobalization trends

      Central bankers from around the world are currently debating whether to pause or continue with interest rate hikes, as they gather at the Sintra forum in Portugal. Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin has denounced the leaders of the Wagner mercenary group as traitors, following an attempted revolt. In the financial world, OD Asset Management has suspended two more funds due to redemption requests from investors amid sexual assault allegations against its founder. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is planning to visit China in early July, marking the second high-level US cabinet official visit to the country in recent months. This visit comes as the Biden administration continues to work on an executive order to regulate and potentially cut off certain US investments in China. Chinese Premier Li Qiang spoke out against deglobalization trends in the West, urging governments not to politicize economic issues or turn risk into an ideological tool.

    • Global economic challenges: Chinese economy on track, UK recession predictedThe Chinese economy is projected to grow despite Credit Suisse controversies, while the UK is predicted to enter a recession due to high inflation and interest rate hikes, but it's not expected to be severe.

      The global economic landscape is facing challenges from various fronts. The Chinese economy, the world's second-largest, is still on track to meet its growth target of around 5%, despite allegations against Credit Suisse for reporting trades late and misapplying key indicators to thousands of transactions. In Europe, the Bank of England's continued rate rises are predicted to push the UK into a recession by the end of this year, according to a new forecast from Bloomberg Economics. The UK's high inflation rate, caused by energy shocks and a tight labor market, is leading to more tightening than initially anticipated, potentially resulting in a recession. However, it's important to note that this recession is not expected to be as deep or long as past recessions. Despite some skepticism, Bloomberg Economics maintains that the downturn will be more substantial than economic models suggest.

    • Pressure to Raise Interest Rates FurtherThe Bank of England and ECB face pressure to raise interest rates further due to persistent inflation, with expected peaks at 5.75% and 4% respectively.

      Despite better-than-expected economic performance and muted reactions to monetary policy tightening, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank (ECB) are facing pressure to raise interest rates further. The Bank of England is expected to peak at 5.75%, while the ECB may peak at 4% in September due to persistent inflation. The ECB's peak is expected to be lower due to different natural rates of interest and possibly lower growth in the euro area. The debate is ongoing, with hawkish members pushing for another 25 basis point increase in September. The ECB is still behind the Fed and the Bank of England in terms of interest rates, but the recent economic data, such as the marked slowdown in Germany, may add pressure for further rate hikes.

    • Small business owners seek ways to grow their money with QuickBooks Money's 5% APYQuickBooks Money offers a 5% annual percentage yield to help small business owners make their money work harder, while there's a growing concern about corporate greed's impact on inflation and workers' wages.

      Behind the scenes of large events, small business owners, including lighting engineers, photographers, and caterers, are working hard to make ends meet. They are seeking ways to make their money work harder for them, and that's where QuickBooks Money comes in, offering a 5% annual percentage yield. Meanwhile, in the business world, there's a growing concern about corporate greed and its impact on inflation. The IMF's latest research suggests that companies' pursuit of profit margins is a significant factor in rising costs and inflation. This phenomenon, known as "greedflation," could lead to workers demanding higher wages, potentially causing a drop in corporate profits and a challenge for companies to maintain their profitability. It's a complex issue, as companies' pursuit of profits is not inherently problematic, but the potential consequences for workers and the economy as a whole need to be considered. The conversation also touched on the challenges faced by individuals, such as stress, burnout, and caregiving, which underscores the importance of empathy and awareness in creating healthier work environments.

    • Industrial Revolution 4.0: Driving Growth and AutonomyThe current industrial revolution, fueled by nearshoring, military remilitarization, and green technologies, is bringing significant investment, manufacturing, and productivity growth, while independent workers report the highest levels of satisfaction due to autonomy and responsibility.

      The current industrial revolution, as described by Andy Haldane in his Financial Times editorial, is bringing significant promise to the global economy. This revolution, which includes nearshoring, military remilitarization, and green technologies, is driving investment, manufacturing, and productivity growth. Despite concerns about rearmament, the benefits of this revolution outweigh the risks. Meanwhile, according to a survey in The Wall Street Journal, while salary is important for worker satisfaction, independent workers report the highest levels of satisfaction due to the autonomy and responsibility that comes with being their own boss. However, it's important to note that not all gig workers share this sentiment, with many reporting poor working conditions and low pay.

    • Exploring the Future of Artificial IntelligenceThe Bloomberg Tech conference in San Francisco will delve into the opportunities and challenges of the next phase of AI adoption, featuring speakers from major tech companies and startups.

      The future of artificial intelligence (AI) is a topic of great interest and importance, with significant implications for both businesses and society. The next phase of AI adoption is expected to bring new opportunities for innovation and growth, but also new challenges and risks. Some of the key players in this space are likely to be major tech companies and startups. The Bloomberg Tech conference on May 9th in San Francisco aims to explore these issues in depth, with speakers including Evan Spiegel of Snap, Sarah Bond of Xbox, Brad Lightcap of OpenAI, and other leading experts. Stay tuned to Bloomberg Daybreak Europe for more updates on these developments, and join us at the conference to learn more about the future of AI. Remember, there are only a few tickets left, so don't miss out! Get your tickets now at Bloomberg.com/techsf.

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    The FT News Briefing is produced by Fiona Symon, Sonja Hutson, Kasia Broussalian and Marc Filippino. Additional help by Sam Giovinco, Peter Barber, Michael Lello, David da Silva and Gavin Kallmann. Our engineer is Monica Lopez. Topher Forhecz is the FT’s executive producer. The FT’s global head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. The show’s theme song is by Metaphor Music.


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