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    Was the Bank of England right to raise interest rates?

    enDecember 17, 2021

    Podcast Summary

    • Bank of England raises interest rates amid inflation concerns and pandemic uncertaintyThe Bank of England increased interest rates to combat inflation, but some question if it's the right move given ongoing pandemic challenges.

      The Bank of England raised interest rates from 0.1% to 0.25% in response to rising inflation, despite the uncertainty surrounding the omicron variant. The move was driven by concerns over inflation, which hit 5.1%, and warnings from the IMF about inaction bias. While some believe the rate rise could help curb inflation, others argue that the economic situation is more precarious now than it was last year due to the ongoing impact of the pandemic. The decision comes as people grapple with the new state pension age and potential delays in pension payments. Additionally, there's a possibility of crackdowns on fraudulent ads and a shift towards crypto for Christmas spending. Overall, the economic landscape remains uncertain, and individuals must stay informed to navigate their finances effectively.

    • Economic Impact of Holiday Season during PandemicRetail sector sees early Christmas shopping success, but hospitality industry suffers. Inflation driven by energy, food prices, and supply chain issues. Central banks plan to raise interest rates, but uncertain impact on inflation.

      The economic impact of empty city centers during the holiday season, caused by the ongoing pandemic, is a temporary setback. While the retail sector has seen some success due to early Christmas shopping, the hospitality industry is suffering. The Bank of England plans to raise interest rates in response to rising inflation, but it's unclear if this will make a significant impact on inflation, which is primarily driven by energy prices, food prices, and supply chain issues. The Federal Reserve expects three rate rises next year, but the Bank of England is less specific. Despite the first steps of recovery being important, it's uncertain how quickly inflation will decrease. The ongoing pandemic, specifically the Omicron variant, may even worsen supply chain issues and prolong inflation.

    • Central banks considering raising interest rates to combat inflationCentral banks are considering raising interest rates to curb inflation despite a resilient economy, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. However, the impact on inflation may be limited.

      The global economy is experiencing unexpected demand and supply chain disruptions due to the pandemic, leading to inflationary pressures. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, are considering raising interest rates to dampen demand and bring down inflation. This shift comes as the economy has shown signs of resilience, with low unemployment, rising house prices, and businesses able to borrow at cheap rates. Central banks kept interest rates low for years after the financial crisis and the Brexit vote, but this time, they may be ready to recalibrate. The Bank of England recently raised interest rates for the first time in three years, signaling a possible shift in monetary policy. However, some experts believe that the impact of interest rate hikes on inflation may be limited. Nonetheless, the symbolic significance of central banks raising rates cannot be ignored, as it sends a strong message to markets and investors.

    • Impact of interest rate increase on various sectorsAn interest rate hike could lead to higher mortgage payments, minimal impact on savings, and financial challenges for pensioners and those on fixed incomes, with potential state pension age increases

      The potential increase in interest rates could have significant impacts on various sectors, including the stock market, mortgages, savings, and pensions. For those with mortgages, particularly those on standard variable rates and trackers, the increase could mean additional monthly payments. For savers, the impact might be minimal. However, for pensioners and those on fixed incomes, the rise in interest rates could lead to a tougher financial situation due to inflation potentially outpacing the increase in state pensions. Additionally, an official review could recommend raising the state pension age to 68 for those born in the 1960s and later. Overall, these changes could cause financial hardships for many individuals, particularly those on fixed or low incomes.

    • UK may raise state pension age earlier due to unreliable life expectancy data and labor market trendsThe UK government is considering raising the state pension age earlier than planned due to uncertain life expectancy data and labor market trends, potentially impacting millions of people's retirement plans and financial security.

      The UK government is considering raising the state pension age earlier than previously planned, potentially as soon as the 2030s. This decision comes after a review of the issue, which was prompted by the fact that life expectancy data has been less reliable in recent years due to the pandemic. The cost of supporting an aging population and labor market trends are also being considered. While it's uncertain what the final decision will be, experts believe it's likely that the state pension age will be raised sooner rather than later. This could impact people in their forties and beyond, who are expected to retire with inferior defined contribution pensions compared to the defined benefit pensions of older generations. Younger generations are also expressing doubts about the existence of a state pension when they retire. The government's decision will have significant implications for the retirement plans and financial security of millions of people.

    • Maximizing Retirement Income: State Pension and Private SavingsAs people near retirement, they must focus on maximizing state pension and saving into private and work pensions to ensure a comfortable retirement. Employer contributions and tax relief can boost savings. State pension remains important but issues with claims and deferments persist.

      As people approach retirement, they may find it increasingly challenging to rely solely on their state pension due to less generous defined benefit pensions and the need to work longer before receiving full state pension benefits. To prepare for this change, individuals should focus on maximizing their state pension and saving as much as possible into their private and work pensions. This includes taking advantage of employer contributions and tax relief. The effects of past contracting out arrangements will no longer be a factor by the 2030s. However, the state pension remains an important source of guaranteed income, and individuals should make every effort to maximize it as well. Unfortunately, it appears that issues with new state pension claims and deferments continue to persist, causing difficulties for some individuals.

    • Difficulties in receiving pensions on time cause financial hardshipGovernment promises improvements for standard claims, but complex situations and fraudulent ads continue to cause issues, leading to financial distress for individuals

      Many individuals, particularly those with complex state pension situations, have faced significant difficulties in receiving their pensions on time, leading to financial hardship and distress. The DWP has promised improvements for standard new claims but continues to encounter issues with non-standard applications. Cases of missing or closed pension claims have left people without income and no clear resolution in sight. The government is also under pressure to address fraudulent ads targeting unsuspecting savers and investors in the Online Safety Bill, which aims to regulate online harms on large tech platforms. These issues highlight the importance of effective communication and transparency from government agencies and the need for robust regulations against harmful online content.

    • Online Financial Scams: A Hidden DangerStay cautious and double-check financial investments or transactions to avoid falling victim to online financial scams. Check the FCA's list of authorized companies for legitimacy.

      Online financial scams have become a major issue as people spend more time and money on the internet. Fraudsters use various sites and companies to lure individuals into handing over their cash, often disguising themselves as legitimate brands or sites. The damage caused by these scams can be devastating, with victims sometimes not realizing they've been scammed for years. Tech giants control a significant portion of the online advertising industry, making it challenging for publishers to crack down on fraudulent ads. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) provides a list of legitimate, authorized companies on its website to help prevent falling victim to these scams. Unfortunately, financial scams are not currently included in the Online Safety Bill, with regulation being handled by Ofcom instead. It's crucial to be cautious and double-check any financial investments or transactions to ensure their legitimacy.

    • Being vigilant against suspicious ads, even on trusted sitesDespite regulatory efforts, consumers must remain cautious when encountering ads for financial products, especially from unfamiliar sources, on even trusted websites due to the programmatic advertising market.

      While regulatory bodies like the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) advise including financial regulation in online advertising, some publishers may not have direct control over the ads displayed on their sites due to the programmatic advertising market. This makes it essential for consumers to practice critical thinking and be cautious when encountering ads, especially those that appear suspicious or are from unfamiliar sources. The FCA's involvement is a step in the right direction, but consumers must remain vigilant and be aware that even trusted sites may not have complete control over the ads they display. Be cautious when dealing with ads for fixed rate bonds or cryptocurrencies from unrecognized sources.

    • Considering Gifting Cryptocurrency to Children? Weigh the RisksWhile traditional investments like premium bonds offer safety, long-term shares or even cryptocurrencies could provide better returns for children's future. However, the risks and complexities of opening investment accounts and the high volatility of cryptocurrencies make this a complex decision.

      While some may consider giving cryptocurrency as a gift to children, it's important to weigh the risks against more traditional investment options. The discussion highlighted the instance of a fake news story about celebrities' supposed cryptocurrency returns, which serves as a reminder of the potential dangers of such investments. While premium bonds have been a popular choice for gifting children due to their safety and minimal returns, the speakers suggested that long-term investment in shares or even cryptocurrencies could be a better option for those who don't need the money immediately. However, the challenges of opening investment accounts for children and the high volatility and risk associated with cryptocurrencies make this a complex issue. Ultimately, the decision depends on the reasons for gifting the money and the child's financial future.

    • Buying Crypto for Children: Risks and ConcernsEncourage children to learn about investing and financial responsibility through a Junior ISA instead of buying crypto due to its volatility and risks.

      It is not recommended to buy cryptocurrency for children due to its volatility and potential risks. Instead, opening a Junior ISA and teaching them about investing and financial responsibility at an early age can be a more valuable lesson. The discussion also touched upon the concern of teenagers engaging in crypto trading in the classroom, which raises concerns about their understanding of the risks involved and the potential negative impact on their financial future. It's essential to educate children about the volatility and risks associated with crypto trading and encourage them to learn about traditional investment methods.

    • Stay connected with usReach us via email, follow on Twitter, visit website, rate on iTunes for multiple ways to engage with this is money

      This is money provides multiple ways for you to engage with us. You can reach out to us via email at thisis money@co.uk, follow us on Twitter @thisismoney, visit our website thisis money.co.uk/forward/podcast, and if you enjoy our podcast, please consider rating us on iTunes. These different channels allow us to connect with our audience in various ways and make it easier for new listeners to discover our content. So, whether you prefer email, social media, or podcast platforms, there's a way for you to stay informed and engaged with this is money.

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    The triple lock guarantee that ensures the State pension rises by inflation, earnings or 2.5% , whichever is higher, could be scrapped because the Government is ideologically against raising taxes to pay for it. Pensioners will be worse off without a solid alternative.

    Britain’s pensions used to be best in the world. Like a lot of things, we’ve slipped down that league table too. Women especially continue to lose out.

    But pensions are boring, right? Not when Simon Lambert, Lee Boyce and Georgie Frost get their hands on the subject.

    Also on this week’s show…

    • Bank branches? Honestly, when was the last time you went into bank branch? What’s the point of them in 2017? More than 1,000 have closed in the past 12 months and the new thing of paying in cheques by photo could finish the rest off.

    • You’re young, you earn money but never enough. Do you rent / buy a home or pay into a pension - or both?

    • Inflation – it’s higher expected. Will Brexit make it spiral out of control and why did we move from to CPI from RPI?

    • You CAN be a successful investor. If our new guide isn’t the easiest to read, most informative one you’ve read – we failed. We don’t think we did. Allow its author Simon to explain why investing is easier and more profitable than you might think.

    And finally…

    Ebay contracts aren’t binding. You can make anonymous joke bids that you never have to honour. It must be time for the online auction house to behave like an auction house.

    Enjoy

    #brexit #economy #money #pensions

    145: What is Economic 3D Reset? A Conversation With Johanna Kyrklund of Schroders

    145:  What is Economic 3D Reset? A Conversation With Johanna Kyrklund of Schroders

    In this episode of "The Patti Brennan Show," host Patti Brennan continues her conversation with Johanna Kyrklund, Chief Investment Officer at Schroders, who shares her insights on the economy and the paradigm shift known as the 3D Reset. This is part 2 of a two-part series.  Kyrklund discusses the three key trends shaping the economic landscape: demographics, decarbonization – focused on climate change, and deglobalization. She explains how these factors are leading to a new investment regime characterized by a shift in the trade-off between growth and inflation. Kyrklund points out that interest rates are fundamental to how everything is priced in the financial world, which results in big implications on how investors will manage their money.  Patti and Johanna also discuss proper asset allocations between US and International investment tools based on the 3D Reset.