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    What Alphabet Wants

    enJuly 24, 2024
    Why did Wiz reject Alphabet's $23 billion offer?
    How did CrowdStrike's acquisition attempt influence Wiz's decision?
    What is Google Cloud's strategy to compete with AWS and Azure?
    What challenges does Tesla face in its self-driving ambitions?
    How is Tesla addressing competition in the automotive industry?

    Podcast Summary

    • Google Cloud's acquisition strategyGoogle Cloud rejected Alphabet's $23 billion acquisition offer due to antitrust concerns and potential regulatory approval delays, focusing instead on AI-infused services to provide higher ROI for customers.

      The Wiz cloud security startup rejected Alphabet's $23 billion acquisition offer due to antitrust concerns and the potential for a lengthy regulatory approval process. This decision may have been influenced by the recent stumble of CrowdStrike in its acquisition attempt and the opportunity for an IPO. Although Google Cloud's revenue grew nearly 30% in the first quarter, it still lags behind AWS and Azure. Success for Google Cloud might not be about revenue growth through acquisitions but rather about providing the highest return on investment for customers using AI-infused cloud services. The Alphabet executives emphasized their focus on building a profitable system with their in-house AI expertise. Despite the strong performance of Google's ad business, which is a significant revenue driver, YouTube showed a slight deceleration in ad revenue growth.

    • Google's advertising shiftsGoogle is prioritizing quality, long-form content for advertising in connected TV and reducing focus on network revenue, which may impact other ad companies

      The advertising landscape is shifting towards quality, long-form content, particularly in connected TV venues, while short-form content on platforms like YouTube, which is popular among younger demographics, may degrade advertising ROI for some advertisers. Additionally, Google's significant investment in AI technology is leading to changes in ad placement and revenue streams, with the search business continuing to grow while network revenue, which includes banner ads on third-party websites, declines. The ripple effects of these changes may impact other ad companies, as seen in the recent market downturn for companies like The Trade Desk and Pubmatic. Google's willingness to sacrifice some network revenue to keep growing its search business and experiment with new ad placement options reflects the company's commitment to staying competitive in the evolving AI-driven advertising landscape.

    • Tesla's robo-taxi business caseThe future business case for Tesla's robo-taxi service is uncertain and requires more data to determine its potential market value, while Waymo currently leads in the self-driving industry with significant financial backing and operational experience.

      Waymo is currently the leading company in the self-driving industry, with the largest operating fleet and significant financial backing from its parent company Alphabet. However, the future business case for Tesla's self-driving ambitions, specifically the robo-taxi service, is uncertain and requires several business quarters of data to determine its potential market value. The bull case for Tesla reaching a $5 trillion market cap through robo-taxis is currently speculative and relies on the efficiency of artificial intelligence, low maintenance costs, and regulatory approval. It is recommended to revisit this topic in two to three years when more data is available.

    • Tesla's Competitive AdvantagesTesla is investing in autonomous vehicles, a more affordable car, and advanced technology like supercomputers to stay competitive, but the high cost of these investments is a concern.

      Tesla is focusing on several key areas to remain competitive in the automotive industry, including the development of autonomous vehicles, the production of a more affordable vehicle, and the investment in advanced technology such as supercomputers. Elon Musk has expressed the need for Tesla to catch up in the affordability race, as companies like BYD in China are releasing competitive hybrid models. Musk also mentioned Tesla's plans to double down on their supercomputer, Dojo, to compete with Nvidia. However, the cost of building a competitive supercomputer is high, and Tesla seems to be heavily reliant on Nvidia's GPUs. Tesla is also working on humanoid robots, but it could be at least three years before they are commercially available. Overall, Tesla is making significant investments in technology to stay competitive, but it will come at a high cost.

    • Communication issues at Boston OmahaDespite promising plans for real estate and broadband infrastructure, Boston Omaha failed to raise capital and has wound down those businesses due to poor communication, causing investors to lose faith and the stock to trade at a low value.

      Boston Omaha Corporation's communication with investors regarding their asset management business and plans for raising outside capital have been disappointing. Despite having grand plans for a built-for-rent real estate business and broadband infrastructure investments, they were unable to raise capital and have since wound down those businesses. This lack of execution, coupled with poor communication, has caused investors to lose faith in the management team and the stock is currently trading at a low value. The only exciting aspect for some investors is the potential value in the insurance, billboards, and broadband businesses. However, the communication challenges continue as the company is only hosting an investor day in person, with no remote streaming option. This lack of transparency may further deter potential investors. The thesis for Boston Omaha has come full circle, and it's important for investors to be aware of the communication issues and potential risks before investing.

    • Berkshire Hathaway annual meetingBerkshire Hathaway's annual meeting to have both in-person and virtual attendance due to shareholder demand, focusing on improved communication and quarterly investor decks from CEO Adam Peterson

      Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting, which was initially planned to be virtual-only this year, is now expected to have both in-person and virtual attendance due to shareholder demand. This decision comes as part of an emphasis on improved communication from CEO Adam Peterson, who also plans to implement quarterly investor decks. Peterson is seen as the compounding CEO, focusing on growing existing businesses, while Alex Rosaldo is the entrepreneurial CEO, exploring new business ventures. Peterson's performance in the coming quarters will be closely watched by investors, as they decide whether to maintain their investment in the company.

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