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    Where Truth Lies

    enJuly 29, 2024
    What example is given of insidious misinformation in the text?
    How can encouragement impact self-confidence according to Angela Zhao's story?
    What should we do to combat confirmation bias?
    Who is the former owner of BHS?
    What is the role of curiosity in critical thinking?

    Podcast Summary

    • Misinformation consequencesMisinformation can have significant consequences, such as leaving thousands of employees without their pensions, and it's not limited to the fringe but can be prevalent

      Misinformation comes in various forms, some blatant like the hacked AP tweet, but many are subtle and can exploit our mental blind spots. The case of BHS in the UK serves as an example of insidious misinformation. The former owner, Sir Philip Green, sold the bankrupt company to a bankrupt entrepreneur, leaving thousands of employees without their pensions while he awaited delivery of a $150 million super yacht. Such instances of misinformation are not limited to the fringe, but are prevalent and can have significant consequences. It's crucial for us to be vigilant and fact-check information, no matter how appealing or convenient it may seem.

    • Misinterpretation of academic researchMisquoting or misinterpreting academic research can lead to significant errors in important investigations or reports, emphasizing the importance of double-checking sources and using up-to-date information.

      The accuracy of information used in important investigations or reports can be significantly impacted by the misquote or misinterpretation of academic research. In the discussed case, a witness misquoted a research paper during a UK parliamentary inquiry, leading to the recommendation for companies to disclose their pay gaps based on the overturned result. The error was due to the witness using an outdated version of the paper, which had been corrected in the peer review process. Despite the correction being brought to the committee's attention, the final report still referenced the incorrect result. This incident highlights the importance of double-checking sources and ensuring that the most up-to-date and accurate information is used in formal proceedings. Additionally, it underscores the potential influence of emotional narratives and preconceived beliefs on the interpretation and selective use of evidence.

    • Gender diversity and financial performanceDespite some research suggesting a positive relationship, there's no significant evidence that gender diversity leads to better financial returns.

      The relationship between employee satisfaction, diversity, and company performance is complex and requires careful study. In this case, a researcher was approached by an investor to explore the idea that gender diversity leads to better financial returns. The researcher conducted a study, but unfortunately, did not find a significant positive relationship between the two. Despite this, the investor went ahead and launched a gender diversity fund based on different research. This incident highlights the importance of transparency and accuracy in research, as well as the potential for data mining and selective reporting of results. The researcher emphasized the need to report all findings, not just the ones that support a preferred outcome. Overall, the discussion underscores the importance of rigorous research and ethical reporting in the business world.

    • Confirmation bias and misinformationConfirmation bias can lead to the spread of misinformation, as people tend to believe information that aligns with their beliefs, overlooking alternative explanations or facts that contradict the popular narrative. It's essential to report evidence accurately and objectively to avoid being misled.

      The desire for positive results and confirmation bias can lead to the spread of misinformation, even if it goes against facts or evidence. This was exemplified in the case of Belle Gibson, who falsely claimed to have cured herself from cancer through clean eating and inspired a large following. People wanted to believe her story because it aligned with their beliefs about natural remedies and the power of the human spirit. However, this narrative fallacy overlooked alternative explanations or facts that contradicted the popular narrative. As scientists, it's crucial to report evidence accurately and objectively, regardless of personal views or desires for positive outcomes. The human brain is wired to seek out explanations and patterns, but it's essential to use both rational and emotional systems to make informed decisions and avoid being misled by misinformation.

    • Breastfeeding considerationsIndividual circumstances, such as a baby's weight and risk of jaundice, should be considered when deciding on breastfeeding. Studies may not fully account for home environment and maternal education, and pressure to exclusively breastfeed can negatively impact well-being and bonding.

      While breastfeeding is encouraged for newborns due to its numerous benefits, it may not be the only feeding method for every child. The decision to feed a newborn should consider individual circumstances, such as a baby's weight and risk of jaundice. It's essential to approach information on breastfeeding with a nuanced perspective, as studies may not always account for other influential factors like home environment and maternal education. The guilt and pressure some women feel to exclusively breastfeed can negatively impact their well-being and bonding experience with their child. Therefore, it's crucial to critically evaluate sources and consider the full context of the information to make informed decisions.

    • 10,000 hours ruleThe 10,000 hour rule, while popular, has concerns regarding its accuracy and underlying data. Focusing on deliberate practice and hard work is important, but it's not the only factor for achieving success.

      The 10,000 hours rule, popularized by Malcolm Gladwell, suggests that deliberate practice and hard work are crucial for achieving success, not just talent. Alex, an economist and tennis enthusiast, applied this rule to his own tennis game by focusing on the hours spent playing rather than the outcome of each match. However, upon revisiting the original claim, Alex discovered concerns regarding the rule's accuracy and the underlying data. He learned that Gladwell never claimed 10,000 hours was sufficient for success, but rather necessary. Additionally, the primary study Gladwell cited lacked validity due to issues with self-reported hours and the measurement of success. Alex also emphasized the importance of considering the opposite, which involves examining arguments from different perspectives to promote critical thinking and avoid misinformation.

    • Examining opposite perspectivesTo combat confirmation bias and misinformation, we should actively consider the opposite perspective, question our assumptions, and stay objective and open-minded.

      To combat confirmation bias and misinformation, we should actively consider the opposite perspective. This means examining alternative explanations for results we want to be true and questioning our assumptions. Curiosity and asking ourselves questions like "do I want this conclusion to be true?" or "is this conclusion extreme?" can help us stay objective and open-minded. It's important to remember that misinformation isn't just coming from our enemies, but also from ourselves and our friends. By practicing this discernment universally, we can better protect ourselves from being misled. This approach empowers us to be more critical thinkers and make informed decisions based on evidence, rather than biases.

    • Encouragement, self-confidenceEncouragement from others can significantly boost self-confidence and inspire us to step out of our comfort zones. A simple act of kindness, like a smile or applause, can leave a lasting impact.

      Encouragement from others can significantly impact our self-confidence and motivate us to step out of our comfort zones. The story of Angela Zhao, a pianist from Beijing, China, beautifully illustrates this concept. During a competition, she was encouraged by a rival who gave her a kind smile and clapped for her after her performance. This simple act of kindness transformed Angela's perspective, making her believe that she was ready to perform on the stage. The memory of that smile remains a precious gift for her to this day. Discover, the sponsor of this segment, believes in celebrating individuals who exhibit exceptional spirit in their communities, just like Angela. By sharing such inspiring stories, we can all be reminded of the power of encouragement and the impact it can have on someone's life. To learn more about Discover's credit cards or to explore exclusive interviews and deeper dives into the ideas we discuss on Hidden Brain, visit discover.com/credit-card or join Hidden Brain Plus with a free seven-day trial at apple.co/hidden-brain for iOS users or support.hiddenbrain.org for Android users. I'm Shankar Vedantam, and I look forward to bringing you more stories that celebrate the human spirit.

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