The Lion's Edge

Chase is FIRED UP for College GameDay's return to his alma mater, James Madison. Here are the picks ahead of a fun weekend on the road.

Some relevant reading for this week...

• A written version of this episode: College Football Week 12 Best Bets
• Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds
• Start thinking about this year's College Basketball National Championship Odds!
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

After a very successful week, Chase is back to handicap the board, gravitating toward contrarian favorites in the college football space. 

Some relevant reading for this week...

• A written version of this episode: College Football Week 11 Best Bets
• Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds
• Start thinking about this year's College Basketball National Championship Odds!
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

The CFP committee got it... right? Huh. That's weird. So I guess there's not much to complain about. Let's get into bets for CFB Week 10 and NFL Week 9.

Some relevant reading for this week...

• A written version of this episode: College Football Week 9 Best Bets
• Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds
• Start thinking about this year's College Basketball National Championship Odds!
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

Chase caught a cold after a bit too much partying after last week's JMU/Marshall game. Nonetheless, here's your market breakdown for CFB Week 9 and NFL Week 8, starting (as always) with Thursday Night Football.

Some relevant reading for this week...

• A written version of this episode: College Football Week 9 Best Bets
• Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds
• Start thinking about this year's College Basketball National Championship Odds!
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

It's a better-late-than-never kind of week, with Chase checking in with both CFB Week 8 and NFL Week 7 bets on a Thursday. 

Some relevant reading for this week...

• A written version of this episode: College Football Week 8 Best Bets
• Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds
• Start thinking about this year's College Basketball National Championship Odds!
• Speaking of basketball: here's my new post out on Purdue Basketball odds (and the interesting and odd reasons why bettors like them)

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

On a week without many strong feelings, Chase is leaning hard into big favorites that are classically square. But can our old-school market tendencies correctly account for the differences between a team like the Dolphins and a team like the Panthers?

This week's Week 6 NFL picks & leans include the following games:

• Thursday Night Football: Broncos at Chiefs (-10.5)
• Vikings at Bears (+2.5)
• 49ers at Browns (+7)
• Panthers at Dolphins (-13.5)
• Colts at Jaguars (-4)
• Giants at Bills (-14)

NFL Week 6 Survivor Pick: Buffalo Bills

Other relevant reading...

• Chase's Super Bowl Odds & Analysis
• Who's going to the NFL postseason in 2023? Here are the latest NFL Playoff odds
• Looking for Awards market analysis? Check these out: NFL Coach of the Year odds; NFL MVP; Rookie of the Year Odds
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

Before launching into his best bets for Week 7 of the college football season, Chase breaks down a few observations from key NCAAF futures markets, including the national championship odds, playoff odds, and Heisman odds.

This week's official picks include the following games:

• Louisville at Pittsburgh (+8)
• Illinois at Maryland (-14)
• Miami (OH) at Western Michigan (+8.5)
• UMass at Penn State (-42.5)
• Auburn at LSU (-11.5)

Other leans and notes from this week include the following games:

• Georgia Southern at James Madison (-3.5)
• Georgia at Vanderbilt (+31)
• UTEP at Florida International (-2)
• Wake Forest at Virginia Tech (-1.5)

Some relevant reading for this week...

• Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds
• Start thinking about this year's College Basketball National Championship Odds!
• Speaking of basketball: here's my new post out on Purdue Basketball odds (and the interesting and odd reasons why bettors like them)

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

After a slow Week 4 with not much to offer, Chase is back for NFL Week 5 with a ton of picks he likes. Some even trend toward the square side of the market, but given how much the public has won so far this season, that might not be a bad thing...

This week's Week 5 NFL leans include the following games:

• Thursday Night Football: Bears at Commanders (-5.5)
• Texans at Falcons (-1.5)
• Panthers at Lions (-9.5)
• Saints at Patriots (-1)
• Bengals at Cardinals (+3)
• Cowboys at 49ers (-3.5)

NFL Week 5 Survivor Pick: Atlanta Falcons

Other relevant reading...

• Chase's Super Bowl Odds & Analysis
• Who's going to the NFL postseason in 2023? Here are the latest NFL Playoff odds
• Looking for Awards market analysis? Check these out: NFL Coach of the Year odds; NFL MVP; Rookie of the Year Odds
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

The podcast is hot right now! Picks and leans are coming in green across both NFL and college football, and Chase has another deep group of picks he really likes on this week's podcast.

There's also the curious case of one G5 team, which is badly mispriced in its conference futures market...

This week's official picks include the following games:

• Washington State at UCLA (-3.5)
• Syracuse at North Carolina (-8.5)
• Kentucky at Georgia (-14.5)
• South Alabama at UL Monroe (+12.5)
• LSU at Missouri (+6.5)

Other leans and notes from this week include the following games:

• Central Michigan at Buffalo (+3)
• Wake Forest at Clemson (-21)
• Florida/Vanderbilt Total (52)
• Notre Dame at Louisville (+6.5)
• Colorado at Arizona State (+4)
• Marshall at NC State (-6.5)
• South Florida at UAB (+3.5)

Some relevant reading for this week...

• Check out a written version of this episode: College Football Week 6 Best Bets
• Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds
• Start thinking about this year's College Basketball National Championship Odds!
• Speaking of basketball: here's my new post out on Purdue Basketball odds (and the interesting and odd reasons why bettors like them)

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

Chase hates this week's NFL board, but at least he's in good company. BetMGM Senior NFL Writer Nick Hennion stops by the show to talk early season impressions, overrated & underrated teams, Week 4 bets, futures, and more.

This week's Week 4 NFL leans include the following games:

• Thursday Night Football: Lions at Packers (+1.5)
• Commanders at Eagles (-8.5)
• Steelers at Texans (+3)
• Seahawks at Giants (-1.5)

NFL Week 4 Survivor Pick: San Francisco 

Other relevant reading...

• Chase's Super Bowl Odds & Analysis
• Who's going to the NFL postseason in 2023? Here are the latest NFL Playoff odds
• Looking for Awards market analysis? Check these out: NFL Coach of the Year odds; NFL MVP; Rookie of the Year Odds
• Check out Nick's Early Week 4 Betting Predictions and Best Teaser Legs
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

After a really strong week of betting results, Chase is back with an excellent crop of Week 5 sides, totals, and leans. 

This week's official picks include the following games:

• Clemson at Syracuse (+7)
• Florida at Kentucky (-3)
• Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech (+2.5)
• Georgia at Auburn (+14.5)
• Troy at Georgia State (-1.5)

Plus total plays from the following games:

• Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan
• Utah at Oregon State
• Missouri at Vanderbilt

Other leans and notes from this week include the following games:

• Oregon at Stanford (+27.5)
• Iowa State at Oklahoma (-20)
• Nebraska at Michigan (+17.5)
• Louisville at NC State (+3)
• Houston at Texas Tech (-10)

Some relevant reading for this week...

• Want the written version of today's episode? Here are Chase's College Football Week 5 Best Bets
• Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Most Underrated College Football Teams
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

BetMGM Tonight cohost Ryan Horvat stops by the show to break down early NFL  reactions, Week 3 picks, the imminent demise of Colorado Football, and a Saturday night showdown between his beloved Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Ohio State Buckeyes.

This week's official Week 3 NFL bets include the following games:

• Thursday Night Football: Giants at 49ers (-10.5)
• Cowboys at Cardinals (+12.5)
• Chargers at Vikings (-1)
• Bills at Commanders (+6.5)
• Bears at Chiefs (-13)

NFL Week 3 Survivor Pick: Seattle Seahawks (-275)

Other relevant reading...

• NFL Best Bets: My Top Spreads, Parlays, and Teasers for Week 3
• Chase's Super Bowl Odds & Analysis
• Who's going to the NFL playoffs in 2023? Here are the latest NFL Playoff odds
• New market analysis from Chase: Investigating the NFL Coach of the Year odds market
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

With conference play now kicking off across most of the college football landscape, it's time to lay down some markers on which teams are real playoff contenders and which teams are not. Get ready to kick out the old guard.

LATER: as always, Chase walks listeners through his official plays for the week, adding in some more thoughts about another handful of games. 

PLUS: Understanding the difference between a bad bet and an unlucky result. 

This week's official picks include the following games:

• Georgia Southern at Ball State (-6.5)
• Ole Miss at Alabama (-7)
• Nevada at Texas State  (-17.5)
• North Carolina at Pittsburgh (+7.5)

Other leans and notes from this week include the following games:

• Colorado at Oregon (-21)
• Texas Tech at West Virginia (+6)
• Ohio State at Notre Dame (+3.5)
• Kentucky at Vanderbilt (+14)
• Boston College at Louisville ( -14)
• SMU at TCU (-6.5)

Some relevant reading for this week...

• A written version of this episode's picks: College Football Week 4 Best Bets
• A new weekly blog piece from Chase: College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Most Underrated College Football Teams (Including Kansas State)
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

Week 2 NFL odds are here, and it's important not to overreact or bet too much. This week's lines are tough.

Chase breaks down the line movement for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Vikings and Eagles (-6.5) before highlighting his favorite bet from the game. He's also got only a couple of straight bets for this weekend's difficult board. It is a great weekend for teasers, though!

This week's official Week 2 NFL bets include the following games:

• Jets at Cowboys (-9.5)
• Ravens at Bengals (-3.5)

Other leans and notes from this episode include the following games:

• Chiefs at Jaguars (+3.5)
• Commanders at Broncos (-3.5)
• Raiders at Bills (-9.5)

NFL Week 2 Survivor Pick: New York Giants (-250)

Other relevant reading...

• Kirk Cousins' ATS Record in Primetime
• Chase's Super Bowl Odds & Analysis
• Who's going to the NFL playoffs in 2023? Here are the latest NFL Playoff odds
• New market analysis from Chase: Investigating the NFL Coach of the Year odds market
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

With another week left before conference play really begins in earnest, many teams have FCS and G5 games scheduled for this week. And with only a couple of data points now in the books for most teams, that's created some really valuable spots in games that few CFB fans are paying attention to.

Chase covers five official plays, three road favorites, and a host of Week 3 leans before talking G5 & FCS football with Sam Herder and Colton Pool of HERO Sports.

This week's official picks include the following games:

• Florida State at Boston College (+25.5)
• Georgia Southern at Wisconsin (-19.5)
• Georgia State at Charlotte (+7.5)
• New Mexico State at New Mexico (-1.5)
• Minnesota at North Carolina (-7.5)

Other leans and notes from this week include the following games:

• Alabama at South Florida (+32.5)
• Kansas State at Missouri (+5.5)
• Iowa State at Ohio (+3)
• Navy at Memphis (-14.5)
• Virginia at Maryland (-14.5)
• Central Michigan at Notre Dame (-34.5)
• South Carolina at Georgia (-27.5)
• Pittsburgh at West Virginia (+1)
• Syracuse at Purdue (+2.5)
• South Alabama at Oklahoma State (-7.5)

Some relevant reading for this week...

• College Football Week 3 Predictions & Best Bets
• A new weekly blog piece from Chase: College Football Odds Report on Line Movement
• Most Underrated College Football Teams (Including Kansas State)
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• College Football National Championship Odds
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay
• Colton Pool's G5 Top 25 Rankings
• Sam's Highest-Graded FCS Players
• CFB Betting 101: How to Read College Football Odds

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

Week 1 of the NFL is here, which means it's time to lock in for a small handful of official plays.

Thursday Night Football odds for Week 1: Lions at Chiefs (-4.5). With Chris Jones and Travis Kelce both potentially missing the NFL opener, a torrent of action has pushed the line from Chiefs -6.5 to Chiefs -4.5. Should you chase the movement, counter with the Chiefs, or stay away completely? (There's a case for all three.)

This week's official Week 1 NFL bets include the following games:

• Bengals at Browns (+2.5)
• 49ers at Steelers (+2.5)
• Panthers at Falcons (-3.5)

Other leans and notes from this episode include the following games:

• Cowboys at Giants (+3)
• Raiders at Broncos (-3.5)
• Eagles at Patriots (+4.5)
• Jaguars at Colts (+5)
• Cardinals at Commanders (+7)

NFL Week 1 Survivor Pick: Baltimore Ravens (-500)

JOIN THE FREE BETMGM SURVIVOR GAME WITH A $100,000 PRIZE!

(Did I mention it's free? And the $100,000?)

Other relevant reading...

• Here's the written version of this episode, plus some bonus parlays and teasers: NFL Week 1 Best Bets
• If you're looking for a written copy of the 20 NFL futures bets, check out the blog
• Chase's Super Bowl Odds & Analysis
• Who's going to the NFL playoffs in 2023? Here are the latest NFL Playoff odds
• New market analysis from Chase: Investigating the NFL Coach of the Year odds market
• Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

A lot of handicappers got absolutely blasted in Week 1, so Chase is feeling fortunate to have gotten out of the long weekend with a 3-3 record on last week's official plays. 

This week's official picks include the following games:

• App State at North Carolina (-18)
• Wisconsin at Washington State (+6.5)
• Texas State at UTSA (+12.5)
• UCF at Boise State (+3.5)
• Nebraska at Colorado (-3)

Other leans and notes from this game include the following games:

• Utah at Baylor (+7.5)
• UTEP at Northwestern (+1.5)
• Illinois at Kansas (-3)
• Oregon at Texas Tech (+6.5)
• Texas at Alabama (-7)
• Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina (-13)
• JMU at UVA (+7)
• Holy Cross at Boston College (off the board)
• Lafayette at Duke (off the board)

Some relevant reading for this week...

• My written version of the College Football Week 2 Best Bets
• Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly
• CFP Odds & Analysis
• Your complete guide to Heisman odds
• CFB odds & analysis for the national championship
• My weekly $2,000 college football parlay

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

Last week was the appetizer; now, it's time for the main course. Chase returns to the classic Lion's Edge in-season schedule, offering mid-week NCAA analysis ahead of his official college football picks column dropping on the BetMGM blog.

This week's official picks include the following games:

• Ohio State at Indiana (+30)
• New Mexico at Texas A&M (-38.5)
• Texas Tech at Wyoming (+14)
• Louisville at Georgia Tech (+7.5)
• South Alabama at Tulane (-6.5)
• Old Dominion at Virginia Tech (-16)

Other leans and notes from this game include the following games:

• Northern Iowa at Iowa State (off the board)
• UMass at Auburn (-35)
• Boise State at Washington (-14.5)
• Clemson at Duke (+13)
• East Carolina at Michigan (-36.5)
• South Carolina vs. North Carolina (-2.5)
• West Virginia at Penn State (-20.5)
• Texas State at Baylor (-27.5)
• Fresno State at Purdue (-3.5)
• Washington State at Colorado State (+12)
• UTSA at Houston (+1.5)
• Buffalo at Wisconsin (-27.5)
• Kent State at UCF (-37)
• Stanford at Hawai'i (+3.5)

Some relevant reading for this week...

-Official College Football Week 1 Picks

-CFP Odds & Analysis

-Your complete guide to Heisman odds

-CFB odds & analysis for the national championship

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

With Week 0 now over, college football begins in earnest this week. We've got an appropriately huge show this week -- the full college football season preview & predictions episode! College football preview legend Phil Steele returns to the show to break down Ohio State vs. Michigan, Georgia vs. the SEC, Big 12 newcomers, championship sleepers, FBS new guys Sam Houston & Jacksonville State, CFP predictions, and so much more.  

LATER: Chase has a number of predictions for this season, including the four teams he likes to make the CFP. (Big Ten fans will not be amused.)

You can buy Phil Steele's 2023 magazine -- or his outstanding FCS product, or Phil Steele Plus! -- at www.philsteele.com.

Some relevant reads for this week:

CFP Odds & Analysis

Your complete guide to Heisman odds

CFB odds & analysis for the national championship

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar: 

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok

College Football is here! We're just days away now from Week 0, and Chase has a quick breakdown on the early games to target. 

Some relevant reading for this week...

You can check out a written version of this Week 0 college football picks episode at the BetMGM blog: 

-CFP Odds & Analysis 

-Your complete guide to Heisman odds

-CFB odds & analysis for the national championship

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar

Social media links:

Lion's Edge Twitter

Lion's Edge Instagram

Lion's Edge TikTok