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    What Are The Odds?!

    A podcast by two blokes that like a punt and now have a point to prove.
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    Episodes (122)

    Remember... Footy's Meant To Be Fun! (AFL Round 10 Preview)

    Remember... Footy's Meant To Be Fun! (AFL Round 10 Preview)
    Every week, Season 2021 is providing more questions than answers... Are the 9-0 Demons ACTUALLY legit? Can a team that plays handball (Western Bulldogs) win a football premiership? Can Richmond break not only every rule in football but also society on their way to a three-peat? And who's in charge of Collingwood's sinking ship? Join 'The Boys' as they break down the headlines, team lists and stats sheets ahead of the weekend's action.

    On this week's episode:

    The obligatory Collingwood lamentation (0:54)

    Coach’s Corner: How important is fun for losing teams? (2:42)

    Footy Stock Exchange (10:25) - The Boys are SELLING Port Adelaide (10:49) & Fremantle (13:54), HOLDING on to Sydney (15:30) and BUYING Melbourne (16:38) & Brisbane (18:25).

    Plus, The Boys provide a preview of the Round 10 action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the timestamps are below:

    MUST WATCH
    Brisbane vs. Richmond (19:25)
    GWS vs. West Coast (20:54)

    UPSET ALERTS
    Carlton vs. Hawthorn (24:09)
    Fremantle vs. Sydney (27:14)

    TIP & FORGET
    Geelong vs. Gold Coast (30:16)
    Adelaide vs. Melbourne (31:17)
    Western Bulldogs vs. St Kilda (32:23)
    Collingwood vs. Port Adelaide (33:38)
    Essendon vs. North Melbourne (36:32)

    GREENBACK BOOGIE (37:54)

    The more you know, the more you don't know... (AFL Round 8 Preview)

    The more you know, the more you don't know... (AFL Round 8 Preview)
    The more you know, the more you don’t know...

    And there's not much about Season 2021 that we know for sure. Have the Dogs been exposed? Are the Cats cooked? Are Port pretenders? Join 'The Boys' as they break down two months of patterns, trends and gut feelings to make sense of the footy we've seen so far...

    On this week's episode:

    Footy Stock Exchange: The Boys are SELLING Port Adelaide (1:18) & Western Bulldogs (3:06), HOLDING on to Melbourne (4:42) and BUYING Richmond, Brisbane (6:49) & Gold Coast (7:53).

    Coach’s Corner: Hit, Hold or Fold? How many cards do you show during early round Top 8 clashes? (12:46)

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the timestamps are below:

    MUST WATCH
    Richmond vs. Geelong (15:33)
    Gold Coast vs. St Kilda (19:34)
    North Melbourne vs. Collingwood (22:58)

    UPSET ALERTS
    GWS vs. Essendon (26:25)
    Melbourne vs. Sydney (31:07)
    Hawthorn vs. West Coast (34:40)

    TIP & FORGET
    Port Adelaide vs. Adelaide (37:02)
    Western Bulldogs vs. Carlton (38:30)
    Brisbane vs. Fremantle (40:13)

    GREENBACK BOOGIE (41:17)

    It's Hottake Season! (AFL Round 6 Preview)

    It's Hottake Season! (AFL Round 6 Preview)
    We're five rounds into the 2021 AFL season, and it's hottake season! "Everyone" seemingly knows already who's a contender and who's pretending. Join 'The Boys' as they throw their takes on the Footy Opinion Bonfire...

    On this week's episode:

    Coach’s Corner: What is Development? (1:12) aka "Exploring the Carlton Conundrum...
    • How do you determine game style? Is it coach driven or player driven?
    • "PLAY THE KIDS!!!" - But does 'gifting' games really develop a successful environment?
    • How many games does a player need to successfully estimate whether they are up to standard?

    Footy Stock Exchange: The Boys are SELLING Sydney (12:46) & St Kilda (14:34), HOLDING on to Geelong & West Coast (17:03) and BUYING Richmond & Port Adelaide (18:43).

    Plus, The Boys provide a preview of the Round 6 action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    *If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the timestamps are below:*

    MUST WATCH

    GWS vs Western Bulldogs (19:37)
    Geelong vs. West Coast (22:45)
    Melbourne vs. Richmond (25:24)
    Collingwood vs. Essendon (29:58)

    UPSET ALERTS

    Hawthorn vs. Adelaide (31:21)

    TIP & FORGET

    Gold Coast vs. Sydney (32:50)
    Carlton vs. Brisbane (36:15)
    Fremantle vs. North Melbourne (37:20)
    Port Adelaide vs. St Kilda (38:07)

    GREENBACK BOOGIE (40:27)

    To the Exchange! (Round 5 Preview)

    To the Exchange! (Round 5 Preview)
    We’re four rounds into the 2021 season, and we pretty much still have no idea who’s winning on any given Saturday. But if we know one thing, it’s that our punting partner "Big Bustlin' Baz" LOVES an early-season hottake prediction. So join "The Boys" as they break down the first month of footy and try to tip nine this week...

    On this week's episode:

    Coach’s Corner: How much change is too much change? (0:55)

    Footy Stock Exchange: Top 8 Analysis and who ‘The Boys’ are buying, selling and holding after a month of footy - Richmond (9:28), Carlton (9:46), West Coast (10:37), Adelaide (11:42), Port Adelaide (12:31), Sydney (13:47), Melbourne (14:55), Western Bulldogs (16:23).

    Plus, The Boys provide a preview of the Round 5 action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    *If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the timestamps are below:*

    MUST WATCH

    St Kilda vs. Richmond (19:42)
    West Coast vs. Collingwood (23:44)
    Carlton vs. Port Adelaide (25:26)

    UPSET ALERTS

    Sydney vs. GWS (28:11)
    Adelaide vs. Fremantle (31:26)

    TIP & FORGET

    Western Bulldogs vs. Gold Coast (33:16)
    Brisbane vs. Essendon (34:26)
    Hawthorn vs. Melbourne (35:45)
    Geelong vs. North Melbourne (37:14)

    GREENBACK BOOGIE (38:34)

    Is it too soon to call them trends? (AFL Round 3 Preview)

    Is it too soon to call them trends? (AFL Round 3 Preview)
    A fortnight into 2021 and Bulldogs vs. Eagles has the "Footy's Fixed" truthers singing from the rooftops! Sydney's cygnets have got Baz excited while the Power continue to charge up under the radar, and Gordo is diagnosing Carlton with a big case of the blues on both sides of the ball...

    Join 'The Boys' as they breakdown Round 2's action and preview Round 3 of the 2021 AFL season.

    On this week's episode...

    Coach’s Corner: Should coaches be held to a higher social standard? (2:00)

    Footy Stock Exchange: Who are ‘The Boys’ buying, selling and holding this week?
    SELL: GWS (6:08) & Carlton (10:54)
    HOLD: Brisbane (15:31) & Western Bulldogs (17:18)
    BUY: Port Adelaide (21:26) & Fremantle (22:31)

    Plus, The Boys provide a preview of the Round 3 action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the timestamps are below:

    MUST WATCH
    Collingwood vs. Brisbane (24:24)
    West Coast vs. Port Adelaide (30:16)
    Geelong vs. Hawthorn (35:07)

    UPSET ALERTS
    Essendon vs. St Kilda (39:00)
    Carlton vs. Fremantle (41:07)
    GWS vs. Melbourne (43:35)

    TIP & FORGET
    North Melbourne vs. Western Bulldogs (47:10)
    Adelaide vs. Gold Coast (48:00)
    Richmond vs. Sydney (49:23)

    GREENBACK BOOGIE (51:04)

    Trying Not to Overreact to a Sample Size of One... (AFL Round 2 Preview)

    Trying Not to Overreact to a Sample Size of One... (AFL Round 2 Preview)
    Grand Final hangovers, bathwater drinking, cellar-dwellers causing upsets, blowing epic halftime leads... and that was just Round 1.

    It's hard not to overreact to an exciting opening round of footy, but 'The Boys' are here to present the facts, and keep you on track for Round 2.

    On this week's episode...

    Coach’s Corner: What does a head coach look for from a Round 1 match? (2:00)

    Footy Stock Exchange: Who are The Boys buying, selling and holding this week?

    SELL: Melbourne (5:08) & Collingwood (6:50)
    BUY: Sydney (9:39) & St Kilda (11:42)
    HOLD: Brisbane (13:20) & Geelong (13:55)

    Plus, The Boys provide a preview of the Round 2 action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the timestamps are below:

    MUST WATCH
    Carlton vs. Collingwood (14:33)
    Geelong vs. Brisbane (18:49)
    Sydney vs. Adelaide (23:15)
    St Kilda vs. Melbourne (26:27)
    Western Bulldogs vs. West Coast (28:21)

    50-50 MATCH UPS
    Fremantle vs. GWS (32:09)

    TIP & FORGET
    Port Adelaide vs. Essendon (35:15)
    Gold Coast vs. North Melbourne (38:01)
    Richmond vs. Hawthorn (39:32)

    GREENBACK BOOGIE (42:26)

    COVID is coming to an end, and so is the footy season... (AFL Grand Final Preview)

    COVID is coming to an end, and so is the footy season... (AFL Grand Final Preview)
    Footy in 2020 was different. The feeling of Grand Final Week is different, but it's a Grand Final nonetheless. Not since 2011 have we had an all-Victorian Grand Final, and in true COVID-2020-style it's in Queensland!

    Join “The Boys” as they talk footy for one final time for this "unprecedented" season...

    On this week's episode:

    Gordo and Baz assess the "Big Wins and Bad Beats" from the Preliminary Finals including: Richmond def. Port Adelaide (1:33) and Geelong def. Collingwood (9:41) as well as a breakdown of how Richmond have broken footy's "matrix". (15:30)

    Plus, "The Boys" provide a bumper preview of the AFL Grand Final (20:58) as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with tomorrow. (30:31)

    Unapologetically Biased (AFL Finals Week 3 Preview)

    Unapologetically Biased (AFL Finals Week 3 Preview)
    Like everyone else in the "Footy Punditry" business, 'The Boys' have their biases but unlike most, they're upfront, honest and unapologetic about the shades of their eyewear. They won't apologise for being themselves, but they will apologise for getting it wrong.

    Join “The Boys” as they re-assess the form lines after a Semi-Final weekend and turn their gaze to the best weekend in footy...

    On this week's episode:

    Gordo and Baz assess the "Big Wins and Bad Beats" of Finals Week 2 including: Richmond def. St Kilda (2:30) and Geelong def. Collingwood (11:19).

    Plus, "The Boys" provide a preview of the Preliminary Finals action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the time stamps are below:

    Port Adelaide vs. Richmond (21:41)
    Brisbane vs. Geelong (29:54)

    Feature Bets (37:04)
    Saturday Racing Bonus (40:00)

    Your Trusted Finals Experts (AFL Finals Week 2 Preview)

    Your Trusted Finals Experts (AFL Finals Week 2 Preview)
    If there’s a time of year to hit good form, it’s finals. And “The Boys” (in particular Big Bustlin’ Baz) are looking in fine form after going 4/4 on their tips last week.

    Join “The Boys” as they revel in their successes and try their best to back it up again this weekend...

    On this week's episode:

    Gordo and Baz assess the "Big Wins and Bad Beats" of Finals Week 1 including: Collingwood def. West Coast (2:36), St Kilda def. Western Bulldogs (9:27), Port Adelaide def. Geelong (17:36) and Brisbane def. Richmond (20:25).

    Plus, "The Boys" provide a preview of the Semi-Final action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the time stamps are below:

    Richmond vs. St Kilda (23:39)
    Geelong vs. Collingwood (30:02)

    FEATURE BETS (36:44)

    The Celebration of Footy Begins! (AFL Finals Week 1 Preview)

    The Celebration of Footy Begins! (AFL Finals Week 1 Preview)
    After a global pandemic brought the 2020 season to a halt, the AFL somehow managed to pull off 153 matches across 18 rounds to give every footy fan what they want... FINALS!

    The usual suspects are back this year, with six of the eight teams that qualified for last year’s finals series returning for another crack with Port and the Saints the spring time new comers.

    But can anyone knock the Tigers off their perch? Join "The Boys" as they try to answer the hardest question in footy...

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the time stamps are below:

    2020 FINALS WEEK ONE
    Port Adelaide vs. Geelong (2:24)
    Brisbane vs. Richmond (7:34)
    St Kilda vs. Western Bulldogs (13:25)
    West Coast vs. Collingwood (18:02)

    FEATURE BETS (24:09)


    Ladder Shapers and Heartbreakers (AFL Round 18 Preview)

    Ladder Shapers and Heartbreakers (AFL Round 18 Preview)
    All eyes will be firmly fixed on the bottom of the eight this week as the Saints, Bulldogs, Demons and Giants all scramble to keep their season alive, while the top four could also be set for a shakeup with Collingwood taking on Port, leaving the Lions one last opportunity to finish the year on top of the ladder.
    Join “The Boys” as they preview all the Ladder Shapers and (potential) Heartbreakers of Round 18…

    On this week's episode:

    Gordo and Baz head to “Coach’s Corner” to answer the listener question: “What constitutes a ‘wasted’ season?” (1:26)

    Plus, "The Boys" provide a preview of the Round 18 action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the time stamps are below:

    LADDER SHAPERS
    St Kilda vs. GWS (14:39)
    Essendon vs. Melbourne (17:19)
    Hawthorn vs. Gold Coast (20:14)
    Fremantle vs. Western Bulldogs (22:12)
    Collingwood vs. Port Adelaide (25:39)

    TIP AND FORGET
    North Melbourne vs. West Coast (28:47)
    Adelaide vs. Richmond (29:52)
    Brisbane vs. Carlton (30:41)
    Sydney vs. Geelong (32:33)

    FEATURE BETS (36:28)

    The Finals Countdown! (AFL Round 17 Preview)

    The Finals Countdown! (AFL Round 17 Preview)
    It’s the FINALS COUNTDOWN!

    It’s time to get a wriggle on if you’re a finals footy aspirant and it’s also time to get a wriggle on if you’re a tipster trailing in your tipping competition.

    Join “The Boys” as they navigate the penultimate round of home and away footy for 2020...

    On this week's episode:

    Gordo and Baz assess the "Big Wins and Bad Beats" of Round 16b (1:03) before checking in with the futures markets (Top 8, Top 4 and Premiers) at the “WATOs Stock Exchange” for the last time this season.

    Plus, "The Boys" provide a preview of the Round 17 action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the time stamps are below:

    LITMUS TESTS
    St Kilda vs. West Coast (11:55)
    Geelong vs. Richmond (15:57)
    GWS vs. Melbourne (20:17)

    BOOBIE TRAP GAMES
    Port Adelaide vs. Essendon (23:17)
    Carlton vs. Adelaide (24:18)
    Hawthorn vs. Western Bulldogs (26:11)
    Sydney vs. Brisbane (27:28)
    Collingwood vs. Gold Coast (28:13)

    TIP AND FORGET
    North Melbourne vs. Fremantle (29:59)

    FEATURE BETS (30:32)

    Finally! Footy That MATTERS... (AFL Round 16b Preview)

    Finally! Footy That MATTERS... (AFL Round 16b Preview)

    Things we learned over the weekend: sunlight is incredibly good for the mind and soul, in-depth and thorough statistics don’t lie, and footy that matters is always the best kind of footy!

    And for the most part, EVERY GAME OF FOOTY MATTERS NOW!

    Join "The Boys" as they share a knock-off (iso) beverage and toast to the successes of the weekend's footy.

    On this week's episode:

    Gordo and Baz play a game of “On the Money or Off the Boil” as they assess the "Big Wins and Bad Beats" from the first half of Round 16, including:

    • St Kilda won’t win a final based on their last month of footy. [St Kilda def. Hawthorn] (1:42)
    • Essendon made a mistake by keeping Worsfold on as the official head coach in 2020.[Geelong def. Essendon] (5:20)
    • West Coast are the most overrated club in 2020. [Western Bulldogs def. West Coast] (10:49)

    After, they stop in at the "WATOs Stock Exchange" (13:42) to explore why Port Adelaide and Brisbane are STILL undervalue in the bookies' markets.

    Plus, "The Boys" provide a preview of the Round 16b (Mon/Tues/Wed) action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the time stamps are below:

    UPSET ALERTS
    Melbourne vs. Fremantle (19:16)
    Carlton vs. Sydney (23:53)

    TIP AND FORGET
    Adelaide vs. GWS (28:33)
    Brisbane vs. Gold Coast (30:36)

    FEATURE BETS (33:25)

    The Footy That 2020 Deserves... (AFL Round 16a Preview)

    The Footy That 2020 Deserves... (AFL Round 16a Preview)
    It’s not the footy we want, but it’s probably the footy that 2020 deserves.

    The constant mid-week games feels like a footy fan's equivalent of “eating your greens” until we get to the dessert that is finals, but - we guess - it’s better than no footy at all.

    Join "The Boys" are here to offer a spoonful of sugar (fresh takes and play action) to make the medicine go down this weekend...

    On this week's episode:

    Gordo and Baz head to "Coach's Corner" to discuss whether "The On-Field Affects The Off-Field" (00:56) before they assess the "Big Wins and Bad Beats" of Round 15, including: Sydney def. Melbourne (09:09), GWS def. Carlton (12:26), Brisbane def. Collingwood (18:51) and Adelaide def. Hawthorn (23:25).

    Plus, "The Boys" provide a preview of the Round 16a action (Sat/Sun) as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the time stamps are below:

    UPSET ALERTS
    Western Bulldogs vs. West Coast (26:04)

    LITMUS TESTS
    Geelong vs. Essendon (30:14)

    TIP AND FORGET
    Port Adelaide vs. North Melbourne (31:42)
    St Kilda vs. Hawthorn (33:16)

    FEATURE BETS (34:58)

    "On The Money" or "Off The Boil" (AFL Round 15 Preview)

    "On The Money" or "Off The Boil" (AFL Round 15 Preview)
    Fear not footy fans! TV’s best reality show "AFL" is back in its midweek time-slot to save you from the "Masked Singer" or compulsive online boredom shopping.

    Join "The Boys" as they catch you up on the key storylines ahead of another “Festival of Footy”...

    On this week's episode:

    Gordo and Baz play a game of “On the Money or Off the Boil” as they assess the "Big Wins and Bad Beats" of Round 14, including:

    • Are the Bombers finals bound? [Hawthorn def. Essendon] (1:25)
    • Are the Tigers “Premiers Elect” or are the Eagles very easy to coach against? [Richmond def. West Coast] (6:38)
    • Will Geelong’s game-plan stand up to Finals Footy examination? [Geelong def. Western Bulldogs] (11:09)
    • Are the “Good Giants” a Grand Final side? [GWS def. Fremantle] (16:03)
    • Are the Saints the most “untrustworthy” team in the AFL, or are they planning for the future? [Melbourne def. St Kilda] (18:27)
    • The Magpies are fine, just fine... [Collingwood def. Carlton] (23:45)

    Plus, "The Boys" provide a preview of the Round 15 action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the time stamps are below:

    LITMUS TESTS
    West Coast vs. Essendon (27:44)
    Brisbane vs. Collingwood (31:33)

    UPSET ALERTS
    Sydney vs. Melbourne (36:30)
    GWS vs. Carlton (38:45)

    TIP AND FORGET
    Hawthorn vs. Adelaide (41:10)
    Richmond vs. Fremantle (43:06)

    FEATURE BETS (44:55)

    Take Downs & Hot Takes (AFL Round 14 Preview)

    Take Downs & Hot Takes (AFL Round 14 Preview)
    Things are getting serious now, we’re into the second half of Melbourne’s hard lockdown, the jasmine is about to flower and footy finals are almost - almost - upon us. Take means "8 Point Clashes" and "Ladder Shapers" - "Hot Ticket" (not that we can attend) games and even hotter takes!

    Join "The Boys" as they take down said takes - and probably provide a few of their own...

    On this week's episode:

    Gordo and Baz assess the "Big Wins and Bad Beats" of Round 13 focussing sharply on Brisbane d St Kilda (2:00) and Port Adelaide def. Hawthorn (8:28).

    Plus, "The Boys" provide a preview of the Round 14 action as well as some trademark value picks for you to play around with this week.

    If you want to skip ahead to listen to the preview of a specific game the time stamps are below:

    LITMUS TESTS
    Richmond vs. West Coast (12:32)
    Melbourne vs. St Kilda (19:54)

    UPSET ALERTS
    Hawthorn vs. Essendon (26:19)
    Western Bulldogs vs. Geelong (30:22)
    Fremantle vs. GWS (34:09)
    Carlton vs. Collingwood (38:16)

    TIP AND FORGET
    Port Adelaide vs. Sydney (44:00)
    St Kilda vs. Melbourne (45:41)

    FEATURE BETS (49:04)