Your Market Recap for Week Ended Sept 23 2023
The GTA resale housing market activity was muted during August due to a seasonal lull in sales during the second half of the summer and as buyers awaited the Bank of Canada’s last interest rate decision on Sept 06th, a rate hold, following its July increase to a 22-year high of 5.0%. This is your recap of the August stats followed by my thoughts and analysis of what is going on in today's residential real estate market.
If you are planning on entering the real estate market soon or are currently a homeowner, it’s important to follow along with the Bank of Canada’s rate announcements. These rate changes will have a direct impact on the housing market and housing affordability. You’ll be able to manage your expectations of the housing market better and make better decisions when it comes to your home ownership journey and budget.
The next announcements are Oct 25th and Dec 6th. Buyers should be in the market today taking advantage of the current rate hold and looking for those opportunities that exist. Take advantage of First Home Savings Account (FHSA)
September numbers won't be in until the first week in October but I'm seeing a similar pattern play out; softer prices and lower sales volume than seasonal normal. The fall market is the 2nd busiest market.
Affordability will remain a hot topic and controversial issue heading into the fall market.
On Sept 21st Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland tabled new legislation to implement the promised removal of GST from new rental developments, and to revamp Canada's competition laws, framing the bill as a package that will result in more affordable housing and groceries, eventually.
Key takeaway:
The longer interest rates remain high, the more upward pressure there will be on listings as homeowners face difficulties managing their finances. So far, banks have been very accommodative with borrowers by allowing them to extend out amortizations. However, as more mortgages come up for renewal, more supply and motivated sellers can be expected to arrive on the market. While prices will be supported by demand fundamentals remaining strong due to record high population growth and supply being in a structural deficit, some further downward pressure on prices is possible in the near-term.
That's it for this episode of the Real Estate Podcast with me, Nico James-Bock, a broker with Royal LePage Signature Realty in Downtown Toronto. You can always review the charts posted to my various channels, call me when you feel the need, and/or fire off a quick text or email.
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