electability

So far the Republican primaries have had very few surprises. Former President Donald Trump continues to be the favourite. On the first episode of Swamp Notes, the FT’s Lauren Fedor and Peter Spiegel unpack how Trump is winning these races as if he were an incumbent, what was in it for the other Republican candidates, and why former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley is staying in the race.

Mentioned in this podcast:

Donald Trump warns Nikki Haley’s billionaire backers to halt support

Nikki Haley, the woman determined to keep taking on Trump

Donald Trump wins New Hampshire primary but Nikki Haley vows to fight on

Donald Trump moves closer to Republican coronation after Ron DeSantis ‘kisses the ring’

Donald Trump draws on arsenal of slurs to attack rivals for Republican nomination

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Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com

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With Donald Trump facing charges in three different criminal cases, the biggest questions in American politics are whether that creates an opening for his Republican rivals in the presidential race — and whether it disqualifies him in the eyes of general election voters.

A new set of Times polls has answers to those questions. It shows the president and the former president still tied among registered voters, each at 43 percent.

Nate Cohn, The New York Times’s chief political analyst, talks us through the first Times/Siena polling of the 2024 election cycle.

Guest: Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for The New York Times.

Background reading: 

• Can the race really be that close?
• The first Times/Siena poll of the Republican primary shows Trump still commands a seemingly unshakable base of loyal supporters.

For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday.

US prosecutors have charged Donald Trump for attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 Election. It’s the second federal indictment brought against the former president in as many months.

We knew this was on the way.

So why is he still the leading Republican to be president? And why doesn’t the party care ?

On this episode of The News Agents USA, two former Republican congressmen - one of whom challenged Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election - go head to head on whether Trump is the right person to lead the Republican Party into the 2024 election. Trump still dominates the field.

Ron de Santis keeps saying the word “ woke “ but Republican voters just keep getting turned off by him.

And Hunter Biden’s business associate has claimed Joe Biden joined more than twenty work calls with his son - while he was Vice-President. A pretty major breach if the current president was improperly involved in his son's business proceedings, but how damaging could that be for the current incumbent of the White House?

Editor: Gabriel Radus

Planning Producer: Alex Barnett

Social Media Editor: Georgia Foxwell

Video Producer: Will Gibson-Smith

Grassroots Republican leaders increasingly favor Trump, and he's getting significantly more coverage on CNN than the other candidates. Plus, when Democrats lose, they tend to move to the center. When Republicans do, they tend to move harder right. Seth Masket joins Charlie Sykes today.

show notes:

https://smotus.substack.com/

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On the third, and final, installment of That's the Ticket, Dan and Alyssa talk about what factors a candidate has to consider once they've vetted potential VPs, how the vice presidential announcement process has evolved over time, and finally who they think Biden will pick. Dan also talks to Perry Bacon Jr., a senior writer from FiveThirtyEight, about what polling does and doesn't tell us about the impact of a VP pick.

In the weeks leading up to Super Tuesday, Senator Bernie Sanders was the only candidate to win across multiple states. With his more moderate competitors splitting the vote, his success was built on a coalition of union workers, Hispanics and the college-educated.

Then South Carolina happened. Now, former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. is banking on a different coalition — this time, of suburban, black and older voters. Is the contest for the Democratic nomination now a two-person race? Guest: Brian Keane, a 52-year-old Democratic voter from Arlington, Va, who spoke with Michael Barbaro about his experiences with Mr. Biden and his thoughts on the 2020 election. For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily.

Background reading:

• Here’s what’s at stake in the 14 states (as well as American Samoa and Democrats Abroad) voting on Super Tuesday.
• Senator Klobuchar and Mr. Buttigieg both dropped out of the race after the South Carolina primary. Can their backing for Mr. Biden help him capture the moderate vote?
• Mr. Sanders’s strength has complicated the Democratic establishment’s effort to coalesce support around a single candidate.

Jon, Jon and Tommy talk about the chaotic Democratic debate that went down in South Carolina just days ahead of the Palmetto State’s primary, and where the candidates stand with just a week to go until Super Tuesday.

Jon, Jon, Tommy, and Dan break down the results of the Nevada caucuses and the ensuing freakout that Bernie Sanders is now the prohibitive favorite to win the Democratic nomination.

Jon, Jon, and Tommy break down the feistiest Democratic debate yet, hosted by NBC in Las Vegas, Nevada. Then Democratic candidate Jessica Cisneros talks to Tommy about her primary challenge to one of Congress's most conservative Democrats in Texas’s 28th district.

Senator Bernie Sanders won New Hampshire’s Democratic primary last night, with Pete Buttigieg and Senator Amy Klobuchar close behind in second and third. After two candidates once considered front-runners, Senator Elizabeth Warren and former Vice President Joe Biden, finished toward the back of the pack, we consider what Mr. Sanders’s win means for the rest of the race for the Democratic nomination. Guest: Alexander Burns, a national political correspondent for The New York Times. For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily.

Background reading:

• With his New Hampshire win, Mr. Sanders tightened his grip on the Democratic Party’s liberal wing, benefiting from a field that has divided moderate voters.
• Here are the full results. Unlike in Iowa, where we have yet to declare an official winner, we can confidently say Mr. Sanders won in New Hampshire in a tight race with Mr. Buttigieg.

The New Hampshire primaries are here, Michael Bloomberg meets rough road as old audio of him emerges on stop and frisk, and we discuss whether the nuclear family was a “mistake.” Check out The Cold War: What We Saw, a new podcast written and presented by Bill Whittle at https://www.dailywire.com/coldwar. In Part 1 we peel back the layers of mystery cloaking the Terror state run by the Kremlin, and watch as America takes its first small steps onto the stage of world leadership. If you like The Ben Shapiro Show, become a member TODAY with promo code: SHAPIRO and enjoy the exclusive benefits for 10% off at https://www.dailywire.com/Shapiro

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With Iowa voters making their choice and the 2020 election getting underway, we’re introducing a new show: one covering the country and its voters in the lead up to Nov. 3. In our first episode of “The Field,” we ask Democratic caucusgoers how they’re feeling about the election. Traveling around the state, we found anxious Iowans asking one question over and over: Who can beat President Trump? Note: This episode contains strong language.

Guests: Astead W. Herndon, who covers national politics for The New York Times, and Austin Mitchell and Andy Mills, producers for “The Daily.” For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily.

Background reading:

• Confused by the Iowa caucuses? Here’s how they work.
• The New York Times polled 584 Democrats likely to caucus in Iowa. Fifteen of them agreed to talk to us on camera. Here is what they told us.
• The state with a huge influence in picking presidential candidates doesn’t look much like the country as a whole, except in one very striking way: a rapidly aging population.

Jon, Jon, Tommy, and Dan talk about Donald Trump’s impeachment trial and the final Democratic debate before the Iowa caucuses, hosted by CNN and the Des Moines Register in Des Moines. 

BIG NEWS. Pod Save America is going on tour. Presale is January 15-17 using code CROOKED2020 and public on-sale is Saturday January 18. Get tickets: http://crooked.com/events