New Zealand farmers have called Labour’s bluff on the climate tax Labour was planning, and they’ve won this thing.
After yesterday’s announcement from the Nats, there is now very little chance- actually probably no chance at all- that Labour will put any kind of tax on farmers before the election.
Because what happened yesterday is that farmers got hope. All they have to do is hold on for the next four months.
Don't agree to anything, wait until October, and if National and ACT get elected- and the three most recent polls say that’s what’s going to happen- they won’t be burdened with the enormous tax Labour was planning for them.
This is more egg on Labour and James Shaw’s face than many of us probably realise. Because Labour said they were going to do this. They told their supporters in 2017 that if they won the election, they would force farmers to pay for their emissions in their first term.
And here we are, at the end of their second term, if not their tenure in Government, and they haven’t been able to do it.
That'll be extremely disappointing to their supporters, who have been dying for the farmers to get their comeuppance. It's yet another delivery failure, alongside solving the housing crisis and child poverty and Light Rail to the airport.
Labour will keep going to keep trying. They tried to threaten a nitrogen levy in the last few weeks, but as we predicted on the show- it was a bluff. It's not happening.
There's a now meeting scheduled for Thursday at Fieldays between the Prime Minister, Damien O’Connor the Agriculture Minister, James Shaw from the Greens, David Parker and the farming leaders.
And apparently, the Government’s going to propose a new idea- an R&D levy. So at least they can say to their supporters that they got something from farmers.
But farmers don’t need to agree anymore.
Because why should they? They only have to hang on another 4 months.
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