expectations investing

What does an investor have to believe for today’s share price to make sense?  Ricky Mulvey and Asit Sharma continue their conversation about Expectations Investing, applying the framework to four companies with different growth outlooks. They discuss: - Value drivers for a mature automaker. - A high-growth payment processing company experiencing a narrative shift.  - If Nvidia can maintain its moat over the long-term. Companies discussed: GM, CP, ADYEY, NVDA Host: Ricky Mulvey Guest: Asit Sharma Engineer: Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

How can you use a company’s stock price to give you a window into the future? (00:21) Bill Barker and Deidre Woollard discuss: - Reasons for skepticism when it comes to AI hype. - How long a leash unprofitable software companies may have. - If being located in SIlicon Valley is still an advantage for tech companies. (18:20)  Asit Sharma and Ricky Mulvey break down the basics of expectations investing and give a framework for applying it to individual companies. Companies discussed: PATH, AI, ASAN, NVDA Host: Deidre Woollard Guests: Ricky Mulvey, Bill Barker, Asit Sharma Producer:Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Dan Boyd, Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Michael Mauboussin is an adjunct professor of finance at the Columbia Business School and the Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Bill Mann interviewed Mauboussin in front of a live audience about a range of investing topics, including: - The approach of "expectations investing" and how to apply it - Why a company's base case for growth is so important - Peloton’s faulty growth predictions - Businesses with real option value   Companies mentioned: SBUX, PTON, AMZN, GOOG, GOOGL, WMT, TGT   Host: Bill Mann Guest: Michael Mauboussin Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Tim Sparks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trey Lockerbie chats with a very special guest and that is investing legend Michael Mauboussin. Michael is the Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global. He is also the author of three books as well as an adjunct professor at Columbia Business School, where he’s been teaching the Security Analysis course for 30 years.  IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN: 01:52 - Michael's early career working under the tutelage of Bill Miller. 06:08 - His introduction to the Santa Fe Institute and how it shaped his investing style. 15:49 - The 3 steps of what Michael calls Expectations Investing. 19:37 - The concept of reflexivity. 25:26 - The problem with investing is based simply on multiples. 30:35 - The rise of intangibles, what are they, and how to look through them. 39:40 - The golden rule of share buybacks and why they are controversial to some. 55:00 - How to calculate a company's competitive moat. 58:09 - How Michael has updated the Security Analysis course at Columbia. 1:04:33 - How to determine your own cost of capital. And much, much more! *Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, and the other community members. Michael Mauboussin's website. Michael Mauboussin's Twitter. Measuring the Moat paper.  Expectations Investing book. Increasing Returns by Brian Arthur book. Scale by Geoffrey West book.  Understanding Michael Porter by Joan Magretta book. Against the Gods by Peter Bernstein book. Valuation by McKinsey book.  A Random Walk Down Wall Street by Burton Malkiel book.  Trey Lockerbie Twitter. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fidelity Efani Shopify NDTCO Fundrise Wise NetSuite TurboTax Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices