property cycle

This week we have been busy putting the finishing touches to the next issue of The Property Hub Magazine, which is looking fantastic. We've also been planning the details for the new and improved Property Hub Summits which we will give you more details on very soon.

The topic this week is how to predict future property prices and we've used lots of historical data in order to help us forecast what the next few years may have in store for the property market in the UK. 

If you'd like to take a look at the data we used for our research then check out The Nationwide price index, you may also wish to refer to our earlier episode on The 18 year Property Cycle - and we are working on the belief that the last cycle started after the crash in 1989 and ran for (would you believe it) 18 years to 2007. We looked at London vs the Northwest and Yorkshire & Humberside (The modern day Northern Powerhouse). 

We made some surprising discoveries and if you listen to the podcast in full, you will be able to hear our take on what is likely to happen next and most importantly, how you should prepare and protect your investments for the next few years.

News story of the week: Britain's top seaside property hotspot revealed

Broadstairs in Kent has been identified as Britain's top seaside property hotspot in 2017,  you can find out more about the top seaside investment locations here.

Resource of the week

LiveYield was suggested from one of our listeners (sorry, we don't have your name to hand!), and this takes data from Zoopla and uses it to tell you how different areas are performing. One note though - it is automated, so use with some caution.

Join the conversation over in the forum

What do you make of Rob & Rob's findings? Head over to the forum to discuss in more detail here.

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If you’d like to hear your name on the show, leave us a review on iTunes here.

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This week The Robs jump in their time machine and look at what they would do if they could start investing all over again.

Listen to the podcast in full to find out how both of The Robs started out, and what they would have done differently with the benefit of hindsight. What opportunities did they miss, which disasters do they think they avoided, where would they focus their investment, and what do they think they definitely got right.

News story: Irish government meet with Airbnb to address housing concerns

The housing minister met Airbnb amid concerns that the business is driving up rents and removing housing stock from the rental market in Dublin. Pressure has grown on the government to limit the number of days that a property can be made available to let on Airbnb after findings that there were 2,984 listings in Dublin that involved entire properties being made available for more than 90 nights a year.

Read more on this one right here.

  Resource of the week

This week's Resource of the Week is  www.walkscore.com. This one combines Rob B' favourite things - walking and fundamentals! This one we grabbed from over on The Property Hub Forum (what do you mean you haven't checked it out yet?!). This resource gives you a walk score for the fundamentals in any given area - enjoy playing about with that one!  The Robs checked out their own postcodes and one fairs significantly better than the other!

Continue the conversation over in the forum

How did you begin and what would you do differently if you could rewind the clock? Let us know over in the forum.

If you enjoyed The Property Podcast, please leave a review on iTunes

Reviews are really important in helping other people to find the show, so by way of thanks we read out every single review we receive on air.

If you’d like to hear your name on the show, leave us a review on iTunes here.

Not sure how to leave a review? This video shows you how to review and subscribe on iTunes.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This week on Ask Rob & Rob, Mike...

Asks Rob & Rob –  Should I never sell a property? 

Rob D admits this is something you hear a LOT from everyone, including from The Robs. However he also says that his thinking has changed a little in recent year. If your property price is increasing a lot faster than the rent and your yield has fallen, you could take the view that you have had the majority of your gains and you could sell now and buy a property elsewhere where there's more growth in it. There's no right answer, and there is a logic in both approaches.    Rob B says his attitude has changed too but only slightly - and that still feels that never selling is a decent principle. There's a time and place to take stock and maybe move some units on though - for example if you have a dud property that just hasn't performed as you expected, or was one of your earlier purchases and you made some mistakes on it, or you have had a constant string of bad tenants that have cost you a lot of time and money; then you should be prepared to walk away and move on to something else.    Rob B continues by saying that as he believes in the 18 year property cycle, he will be inclined to move properties on when we're at the top of that cycle (which we are a fair way away from just now).    So it's not quite a 'never sell a property' answer, and there is definitely a bit more to it than this, depending on your situation, your longterm plan, and where we are in the cycle.

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On this weeks podcast, Jack asks a cracker of a question - where are we in the 18 year property cycle. 

Given that this is one of Rob & Rob's favourite topics to talk about, they didn't need a lot of convincing to answer this one! Rob B starts off by stating that he thinks we're just heading into the mid-term wobble - where London and the South East prices should soften a little, and the North should grow a little less slowly. Of course the media will term this as a 'crash' but it's likely that the results will show it to be far less dramatic. 

Rob D agrees the UK as a whole is heading into the mid-term wobble, and reminds us that the growth has been amazing in the past few years in London and the South East, so the 'wobble' is likely to be felt the most in these areas. 

Both Rob B and Rob D agree the aggressive growth is to come in the second half of the cycle, though London and the South East may grow slightly less aggressively due to their growth beforehand. 

Rob B reminds us that as most of our podcast listeners have predicted this is coming, it leaves us in a position to be a lot more relaxed about the situation, and make the most of it. 

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This week on Ask Rob & Rob, Paddy asked: What do you do in a boom? Slow and steady wins the race. This question (as many do) refers to the 18-year property cycle, so be sure to check out our episode on that. The answer talks about looking at your portfolio in the period leading up to […]

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This 18 year property cycle we’ve been going on about for the last year…is it all just a scam? That’s what we’re asking this week, in response to a voicemail from a listener who expressed doubts about the veracity of the data and its application. So we dug into: Has the 18 year pattern actually […]

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Property investment is great when everything is chugging along nicely…but what happens when the economy takes a turn for the worse? A crash may not happen soon, but we know it will come at some point – so what can we do to prepare ourselves? In this episode we cover: Looking to history to see […]

The post TPP113: How to survive a property crash appeared first on The Property Hub.

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Where’s the best place to invest in property in 2015? In this episode we share our opinions – and perhaps more importantly, our reasons behind them so you can do some research of your own. We discuss: Why to be wary when looking at certain affordability measures to decide if we’re in a bubble Why […]

The post TPP102: The best places to invest in 2015 appeared first on The Property Hub.

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This week we laid ourselves open to looking very daft indeed by making some long-term property predictions based on the 18-year property cycle that we introduced in Episode 69. The beauty of the cycle is that while no two cycles are ever quite the same, it’s a great framework for guiding your own thinking and […]

The post TPP071: Long term property predictions appeared first on The Property Hub.

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