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    10/4/22: Russia-Ukraine War, Energy Crisis, Housing Market, Midterm Races, NFL Scandal, Crypto Scheme, Lab Leak, & More!

    enOctober 04, 2022

    Podcast Summary

    • New podcasts by influential women in media and entertainmentRachel Zoe's podcast celebrates women, Tamika D. Mallory's tackles social issues, Radhie Davlukia's explores emotions, Krystal Ball and Saagar Enjeti provide analysis on current events

      Several influential women in media and entertainment are launching new podcasts, each focusing on unique themes and perspectives. Rachel Zoe's "Climbing in Heels" celebrates the stories of extraordinary women, Tamika D. Mallory and her son's "TMI" tackle social and civil rights issues, and Radhie Davlukia's "A Really Good Cry" explores the importance of emotions and vulnerability. Meanwhile, Krystal Ball and Saagar Enjeti of Breaking Points are providing in-depth analysis on current events, including the ongoing crisis in Ukraine and the midterm elections. These podcasts offer listeners a diverse range of topics and viewpoints, providing valuable insights and entertainment. Don't miss out on these engaging and thought-provoking shows available on popular podcast platforms.

    • New crew member added with premium member supportA new team member, expected to be an asset, joins due to premium member backing. International tensions rise as a Russian nuclear military train moves towards the Ukrainian frontline, potentially carrying tactical nuclear weapons.

      The recent announcement of a new crew member joining the team was made possible by the support of premium members. This addition is expected to be a great asset to the team and they are already meshing well with James. However, international tensions remain high as there have been reports of a Russian nuclear military train moving towards the Ukrainian frontline. Although not yet confirmed by the Pentagon, this train is believed to be linked to the 12th Main Directorate of the Russian Ministry of Defense, which is responsible for nuclear weapons. The potential deployment of tactical nuclear weapons, even those as small as artillery shells, could significantly alter the strategic posture and potentially lead to a larger conflict. Therefore, all eyes are on this train and the 12th directorate as any movement could be a sign of a potential nuclear strike.

    • Risk of Nuclear War due to Miscalculation in Ukraine ConflictThe ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine increases the risk of nuclear war due to potential miscalculations, ambiguous situations on the ground, and threats from all sides.

      The potential use of tactical nuclear weapons in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine could lead to a chain reaction of escalation that could result in all-out nuclear war. The ambiguity of the situation on the ground, with ongoing military gains by Ukraine and the fluidity of territorial borders, increases the risk of miscalculation and misunderstanding between Russia and the West. The Kremlin's threats to use nuclear weapons over territories they do not fully control adds to the instability of the situation. Western leaders who issue nuclear threats without clear control of the situation on the ground are putting us all in a dangerous position and increasing the risk of a catastrophic outcome. It's crucial that all parties involved work to de-escalate the situation and avoid actions that could lead to a wider conflict.

    • Authoritarian regimes offer amenities but limit freedomsRussia and China's promises of healthcare and strong economies come with individual rights and freedoms sacrifices. Their handling of conflicts and crises demonstrate potential risks and economic consequences.

      The promise of authoritarian regimes, such as Russia and China, offering guarantees of certain amenities like healthcare and a strong economy comes at the cost of individual rights and freedoms. The current situations in Russia and China, particularly their handling of the Ukraine conflict and China's COVID-19 lockdowns, respectively, demonstrate the risks and potential economic consequences of such regimes. Moreover, Russia's nuclear arsenal and its increasing reliance on tactical nuclear weapons add to the global instability. Despite some successes, such as growing their middle class and strong industrial policies, the costs of these authoritarian models are becoming increasingly apparent.

    • Elon Musk's Proposal for Peace Between Ukraine and RussiaMusk suggested UN-supervised elections in annexed regions and recognition of Russia's control of Crimea, but Ukrainian officials criticized the proposal, leading to personal attacks on Musk.

      The geopolitical situation between Ukraine and Russia is complex and volatile, with potential for significant consequences including nuclear war. Elon Musk's proposal for peace, including a suggestion for redoing elections in annexed regions under UN supervision, has been met with criticism, particularly regarding the feasibility of free and fair elections after forcible removal of pro-Ukrainian populations. Musk's proposal also includes recognition of Russia's control of Crimea, which has been a point of contention since 2014. The international community, including the United States and European Union, have previously acknowledged Russia's control of Crimea, and easing of sanctions could be a potential outcome in negotiations. However, Musk's proposal has been met with harsh criticism from Ukrainian officials, leading to personal attacks on Musk himself. The situation highlights the complexity and potential danger of the ongoing conflict, and the need for diplomacy and negotiation to avoid further escalation.

    • Understanding the Complexity of ConflictsIt's essential to remember the human cost and geopolitical implications of conflicts, rather than viewing them as abstract concepts. Compromises and practical solutions, even if unpopular, can lead to peaceful resolutions.

      The current discourse around conflicts, particularly the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, has become detached from reality due to the passage of time and the ease of online communication. People tend to view conflicts as abstract concepts rather than understanding the human cost and the complex geopolitical implications. Elon Musk's Twitter diplomacy and the maximalist expectations from the Ukrainian people are signs of this detachment. The consequences of this mindset can hinder diplomatic efforts and obstruct the path to peace. It is crucial to remember the gravity of conflicts and the importance of finding practical solutions, even if they may be difficult or unpopular. The Cuban missile crisis serves as a reminder that compromises and quid pro quos can lead to peaceful resolutions, despite the potential for criticism or accusations of appeasement.

    • Ukraine-Russia Conflict: Aligned Interests Not GuaranteedThe US should prioritize a negotiated settlement and ceasefire in the Ukraine-Russia conflict to prevent further escalation, despite differing perspectives and risk tolerances.

      The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia is not as simple as it seems, and the interests of the United States and Ukraine do not always align. While some may argue that the US should support Ukraine's maximalist aims, such as recovering Crimea, the risks of doing so could lead to a larger conflict, including the possibility of nuclear war. Instead, it's crucial to find a negotiated settlement and ceasefire to prevent further escalation. The disconnect between those advocating for a more interventionist approach and those prioritizing American interests comes from differing perspectives and levels of risk tolerance. The hubris and arrogance of some in the foreign policy establishment, driven by a belief that they can remake the world, have led to costly interventions in the past, and it's essential to learn from these mistakes to avoid repeating them.

    • Europe's Dependence on Russian Gas and the Dangers of Energy VulnerabilityEurope's reliance on Russian gas makes them vulnerable to supply disruptions, increasing the risk of a crisis. The world must focus on energy independence and resilient networks to mitigate this risk.

      The West's focus on economic gains in Russia, at the expense of building democratic institutions, led to an unintended consequence with Putin's presidency. This situation, combined with Europe's reliance on Russian gas and potential vulnerability to energy supply disruptions, creates a dangerous situation for the entire world. Europe's current indications suggest a cold winter with reduced renewable power generation, potentially leading to a crisis if natural gas supplies are insufficient. Additionally, the Nord Stream pipeline incident highlights Europe's dependence on Russia for natural gas, making them vulnerable to potential supply disruptions. The world must work towards energy independence and resilient networks to prevent a potential crisis, especially in the context of geopolitical tensions.

    • Europe's energy crisis: Vulnerability to Russian gas and lack of nuclear investmentThe European energy crisis, fueled by reliance on Russian gas and insufficient investment in nuclear energy, risks energy shortages, skyrocketing prices, and human suffering.

      The European energy crisis, exacerbated by the war in Ukraine, is causing significant challenges for the EU. The lack of investment in nuclear energy and the reliance on Russian gas have left many countries vulnerable, leading to skyrocketing energy prices and potential energy shortages. The EU's inability to agree on a solution, as well as the consequences for poorer European nations and developing countries, adds to the complexity of the situation. The International Energy Agency predicts that if the EU is completely cut off from Russian gas, they may need to cut usage by up to 13%, with the majority of the cuts coming from consumer behavior and industrial conservation. The human suffering and potential loss of support for the Ukrainian cause are also concerning. Additionally, there are gas price increases in the US related to this situation.

    • Oil prices could surge due to OPEC+ cuts and EU ban on Russian crudeOPEC+ production cuts and EU ban on Russian crude could lead to oil prices reaching $100 per barrel, impacting oil-rich countries and causing historically high gas prices in the US, potentially influencing midterm elections

      The decision of OPEC+ to potentially cut oil production and the impending EU ban on Russian crude oil could lead to a significant increase in oil prices, potentially returning to $100 per barrel. This is significant for oil-rich countries like Saudi Arabia, whose economies and royal families are heavily reliant on these high prices. Additionally, many Western states in the US, particularly California, are already experiencing historically high gas prices due to low inventory and refinery issues. This situation could worsen as the SPR releases are reduced and oil supply shocks hit the global market. Furthermore, the political implications are also significant, as gas prices have been shown to have an inverse relationship with President Biden's approval rating, which could impact the midterm elections.

    • Economic Factors Influencing Political OutcomesRising gas prices and the housing market's affordability issues, driven by the Fed's policy, can significantly impact voter decisions in elections, particularly in the midterms.

      The economy, particularly gas prices and the housing market, plays a significant role in political outcomes. The psychological toll and financial burden of rising gas prices can impact voters' decisions. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's policy has led to a worst-of-all-worlds situation for regular people in the housing market, with sticker prices decreasing but mortgage rates spiking, making homes less affordable. Homebuilders, unable to sell to individual buyers due to high mortgage rates, are offloading inventory at discounts to investors, creating a market advantage for those with significant cash or financing. These economic factors can have a substantial impact on elections, especially in the upcoming midterms.

    • Housing market's unaffordability worsens, impacting renters, homeowners, and potential buyersThe housing market's unaffordability, driven by increasing rents, decreasing home values, and high mortgage rates, is making it difficult for individuals and families to build middle-class wealth through homeownership, a problem that's not limited to the US.

      The current housing market situation is leaving many people feeling squeezed. Renters are facing increasing rents, homeowners are seeing their home values decrease but are unable to move due to high mortgage rates, and potential buyers are priced out of the market. This situation, which is making housing less affordable for the average American than ever before, was unintentionally exacerbated by the Fed's efforts to control inflation. The situation is particularly concerning because homeownership is a crucial pathway to building stable middle-class wealth for individuals and their families. The housing market's unaffordability is not just an issue in the US but also in other parts of the world. It's important to remember that the actual home price is not the only factor determining affordability; the mortgage interest rate plays a significant role in determining monthly payments. The current situation is unlikely to change soon, as the Fed has indicated it will not consider lowering interest rates until 2024 at the earliest. This situation is a significant concern, as it effectively shuts off a critical avenue for building wealth for millions of people.

    • Fed's anti-inflation measures may end 'great resignation'The Fed's actions to combat inflation could lead to an end to the 'great resignation', slow wage growth, and challenges for labor movements. Global economic downturn is a concern with multiple central banks tightening.

      The Federal Reserve's efforts to combat inflation by increasing interest rates and slowing down the labor market may be backfiring, leading to a potential end to the "great resignation" and a slowdown in wage growth. This could have negative consequences for grassroots labor movements and make it more difficult for them to continue organizing new workplaces. Additionally, the UN and other central banks are warning against further interest rate increases due to the risk of a global economic downturn. The compounding effects of multiple central banks tightening at once could lead to devastating fallout, particularly for poor countries. The historical context of the Great Depression serves as a reminder of how quickly economic conditions can deteriorate, especially when combined with international conflict.

    • Attempting to solve supply side problems with demand side solutions is riskyExperts advise against using demand side measures like interest rate hikes to address supply shocks causing inflation. Instead, focus on price caps and taxes on large energy company profits to directly tackle price spikes.

      Attempting to solve supply side problems with demand side solutions, such as raising interest rates, is a risky approach according to experts. The current inflation was caused by supply shocks, and increasing rates won't address that. Instead, policymakers should focus on measures that directly target price spikes, such as price caps funded by one-time taxes on large energy company profits. Additionally, the strong US dollar relative to other currencies can trigger cascading effects, particularly for countries with dollar-denominated debt, making their imports more expensive and fueling their inflation. The UN is warning of a potential global recession due to these issues. In the political sphere, the midterm elections are seeing Democrats facing challenges due to voter frustration over inflation and a struggling economy. Nevada, in particular, is a microcosm of these nationwide headwinds, with incumbent Democrats in danger of losing their seats due to the state's heavy unionization, large Latino electorate, and the fact that it was hit hardest by the pandemic and resulting shutdown policies. Polling shows these races to be very close.

    • Nevada: A State to Watch in the Upcoming ElectionsNevada's close Senate race, with Republicans leading, and significant union influence make it a potential 'sleeper' state that could impact Senate balance of power.

      The Nevada Senate race between Republican Laxalt and Democratic incumbent is a close contest, with Laxalt leading by a small margin. This trend is consistent across other races in Nevada, including the gubernatorial, lieutenant governor, secretary of state, and attorney general races, where Republicans hold a significant or narrow edge. The accuracy of Nevada polls makes this state a potential "sleeper" that could impact the balance of power in the Senate, especially if Democratic incumbents in toss-up districts in other states, such as Pennsylvania and Georgia, also experience unexpected results. The Democratic Party machine in Nevada, built by Harry Reid and influenced by unions, plays a crucial role in keeping the state competitive for Democrats. Despite some internal strife, the union presence remains a significant determinant of Democratic voting. Overall, Nevada's unique political landscape and the importance of organized labor make it a state to watch closely in the upcoming elections.

    • Herschel Walker's Campaign Hit by Abortion AllegationsPro-life Senate candidate Herschel Walker denies paying for girlfriend's abortion, but evidence suggests otherwise. His son publicly criticizes him for deceit, causing controversy.

      Herschel Walker, a pro-life Senate candidate, is facing allegations that he paid for his girlfriend's abortion, which he denies. The Daily Beast reported this story with evidence including a receipt from the abortion clinic, a get well card signed by Walker, and a bank deposit receipt. Walker has a history of lying about various matters, including his family and personal background. His son, Christian Walker, who had been a prominent campaign surrogate, has publicly denounced his father for lying about his past and being a hypocrite, contradicting his public image as a moral and upright man. The allegations and denials have caused significant drama and controversy in the campaign. Walker has threatened to sue the Daily Beast for defamation. The story took a dramatic turn when Christian Walker, who had previously been a vocal supporter of his father's campaign, turned against him and publicly criticized him for his deceit.

    • Walker's Son Accuses Him of Being an Adulterer and a LiarThe Georgia Senate race between Herschel Walker and Raphael Warnock is heating up with Walker's personal life under scrutiny, potentially making it harder for Republicans to secure the one Senate seat they need for a majority.

      The Georgia Senate race between Herschel Walker and Raphael Warnock has taken a dramatic turn with Walker's son publicly accusing him of being an adulterer and liar, adding to the damaging allegations against him. This comes at a crucial time in the campaign, with polling indicating a tight race and Democrats holding a slight edge. The controversy surrounding Walker's personal life and authenticity could make it difficult for Republicans to win the seat, forcing them to focus on other states like Nevada and Pennsylvania to secure the one point they need for a Senate majority. Meanwhile, in the world of sports, the health of Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa after a head injury during a game has raised concerns, adding another layer of uncertainty to an already unpredictable season.

    • NFL's concussion protocols ignored for Miami Dolphins QB Tua TagovailoaDespite clear signs of a concussion, Tagovailoa was allowed to play, potentially risking his health and career due to a protocol loophole. Second impact injuries can lead to severe, lasting consequences or even death.

      The NFL's concussion protocols were disregarded in the case of Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, potentially putting his health and career at risk. Despite clear signs of a concussion and gross motor instability, Tagovailoa was allowed to play in a game just a few days later, leading to a second injury with severe consequences. The loophole in the protocol, which allows team doctors and independent neurologists to override "no go" symptoms if they deem the player fit to play, was a significant factor in this situation. The potential danger of not allowing the brain to heal between injuries, resulting in second impact syndrome, was also highlighted, as it can lead to fatal or severe, lasting brain injuries. The incident has sparked calls for accountability and reform within the NFL, with advocates warning of legal consequences for those involved. The recent dismissal of the independent neurotrauma consultant who evaluated Tagovailoa adds to the growing concerns of a cover-up.

    • NFL Prioritizes Profit Over Players' HealthThe NFL and its teams put profit before players' health, leading to pressure to perform and potential long-term brain damage, highlighted in the case of Tua Tagovailoa.

      The NFL and its teams prioritize profit over the health and well-being of their players, particularly when it comes to head injuries. The pressure to perform and the culture of toughness in the locker room can lead players to ignore their own injuries and push themselves back into the game before they're ready. This was highlighted in the case of Tua Tagovailoa, who suffered a head injury during a game but was pressured to play in the next game despite concerns about his health. The long-term consequences of these injuries, including chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE), have been well-documented, yet the NFL and its teams continue to put players at risk. The NFL has faced numerous lawsuits over these issues, with a recent settlement totaling $1 billion. The pressure on players to perform, combined with the potential for long-term brain damage, is a major ethical concern in professional sports.

    • Importance of prioritizing player health in sports and businessStricter concussion protocols are necessary to ensure player health, but transparency and honesty are equally important in sports and business to avoid negative consequences.

      The healing process for a concussion can take weeks to months, even if symptoms abate. Returning to play too soon after a concussion can lead to severe trauma and prolonged recovery. The NFL, which has faced scrutiny over its handling of concussions, has recently tightened its protocols to prevent players from returning to the field if they demonstrate gross motor instability. However, the focus on stricter protocols may be driven more by concerns over the sport's image and profitability rather than player health. In a recent incident, the coach of a player who suffered a concussion was criticized for downplaying the injury and misrepresenting it as a back injury. Kim Kardashian also made headlines for failing to disclose her paid promotion of a crypto token, leading to a settlement with the SEC. These incidents highlight the importance of transparency and prioritizing player health in sports and business.

    • Celebrities Facing Backlash for Crypto Promotions without Proper DisclosureRegulators are cracking down on celebrities for promoting cryptocurrencies without proper disclosure, which can be misleading and harmful to investors. The SEC is enforcing disclosure rules, dating back to the 1930s, to protect the public from potential scams in the crypto and NFT space.

      Financial regulators are cracking down on celebrities for promoting cryptocurrencies without proper disclosure, following Kim Kardashian's recent Instagram post about Ethereum Max. The SEC views these actions as potentially misleading and harmful to investors. Kardashian, along with other celebrities like Paul Pierce, Lloyd Mabillard junior, and Reese Witherspoon, reportedly received payment for promoting these crypto projects. The SEC argues that such disclosures are necessary to protect the public, as these cases date back to the 1930s and have been a recurring issue in recent years, even in the crypto space. The SEC has previously brought cases against Floyd Mayweather, DJ Khaled, and Steve Seagal for similar reasons. The consequences of these schemes can be severe, as seen in the case of Ethereum Max, which lost 97% of its value after the hype died down. The SEC is using high-profile cases like Kardashian's to warn investors about the risks of investing based on celebrity endorsements. The issue goes beyond just crypto and extends to NFTs as well. The SEC is calling for more transparency and stricter regulations in the crypto space to protect investors from potential scams.

    • Two contrasting responses to banking system failure: stricter regulations or embracing cryptocurrencyThe failure of traditional banking systems after 2000 led to either stricter government regulations or a shift towards decentralized cryptocurrency, with each approach presenting unique challenges.

      The failure of traditional banking systems after 2000 led to two contrasting responses: stricter government regulations or giving up on government altogether and embracing cryptocurrency. While the appeal of crypto as a currency for dissidents and those living under repressive regimes is understandable, it has recreated the problems of the financial system with fewer avenues for accountability and enforcement. In the realm of public health, the COVID-19 pandemic brought about unprecedented censorship and an unwillingness to have honest conversations. The latest development in the lab leak story involving Dr. Fauci and Peter Daszak's grant for bat coronavirus research is unbelievable, as it was a major point of vulnerability in the early days of the pandemic when the origins of COVID-19 were being investigated. The cover-up that ensued involved the publication of a false article and full-scale censorship at the highest level of government. Despite this, the facts are beginning to come out, revealing the corruption and dishonesty that surrounded the initial response to the pandemic.

    • Concerns over COVID-19's origin from Wuhan labFormer CDC director's claim of evidence for Wuhan lab origin, potential cover-up, and public's call for diplomacy in Ukraine ignored by media

      There are serious concerns that COVID-19 may have originated from the Wuhan lab in China, despite initial denials from the scientific community and the Chinese government. Former CDC director Robert Redfield believes he had evidence to support this claim and faced retaliation for speaking out. Since then, various pieces of evidence have emerged, including sickness reports from the lab in November 2019, athletes getting sick in China, and search data for COVID symptoms. The Lancet, a reputable medical journal, has even retracted its initial statement dismissing the lab leak theory. Given the potential risks and the involvement of US funding, some argue that we should reconsider conducting such research. Meanwhile, the media's lack of inquiry into this issue raises concerns about complicity in a potential cover-up. In another context, the public's desire for diplomacy to end the war in Ukraine is largely ignored by the media, despite polling showing that a majority of Americans believe the US should be doing more diplomatically to help end the conflict. This stark divide between public opinion and media coverage highlights the importance of critical media analysis and open dialogue.

    • Russia-Ukraine Conflict's Far-Reaching ConsequencesThe Russia-Ukraine conflict's consequences extend beyond the two countries, causing economic sanctions, political instability, food shortages, and fear throughout Europe and beyond. A diplomatic approach could have prevented the crisis.

      The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, despite being unsuccessful for Russia, has far-reaching consequences beyond the borders of these two countries. The economic sanctions and political instability resulting from the war are causing food shortages, political strain, and fear throughout Europe and beyond. The potential for nuclear war looms large, yet there is a lack of public opposition to it. This situation is surprising, as trying to avoid nuclear war should be an uncontroversial goal. A different approach could have been diplomacy and engagement from all parties involved, including the US, which is heavily involved in the conflict through military aid and intelligence. Early diplomatic engagement could have prevented the escalation of tensions and potentially avoided the current crisis.

    • Putin's resentment towards the West fuels the Ukraine conflictThe ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine could lead to nuclear war, highlighting the need for international action and public awareness to prevent escalation.

      The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine is deeply rooted in Putin's resentment towards the West, particularly the US. The international community, including the US, needs to engage more actively to prevent a potentially catastrophic escalation. The lack of public outcry and activism against the possibility of nuclear war is concerning, and the absence of this discourse in the media is alarming. The potential consequences of inaction could be devastating, not just for the US but for the world as a whole. It's crucial that all nations come together to de-escalate the situation and find a peaceful resolution.

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    Related Episodes

    UK Foreign Secretary visits Donald Trump & Russia battles a fuel crisis and flash floods

    UK Foreign Secretary visits Donald Trump & Russia battles a fuel crisis and flash floods

    Day 773.

    Today, we bring you the latest news from Ukraine, report on UK Foreign Secretary David Cameron’s visit to the US and discuss some updates from Russia which faces devastating floods and a fuel crisis, amid closer cooperation with China. 

     

    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Head of Audio Development). @DJKnowles on X.

    Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @Francis Dearnley on X.

    James Kilner (Editor, Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin). @jkjourno on X.

    Tony Diver (US Editor). @Tony_Diver on X.



    Articles referenced:

    'Ukraine developing ‘unstoppable’ AI-powered attack drone' (Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/04/08/ukraine-developing-unstoppable-ai-powered-attack-drone/ 


    'Britain is still making a killing from Putin’s war machine' (Ed Conway in The Times)

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/britain-is-still-making-a-killing-from-putins-war-machine-lbtcjqsg0 



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    SQUAWK BOX, FRIDAY 4TH MARCH, 2022

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    A fire at Europe’s largest nuclear plant rattles global markets after heavy fighting in Ukraine. Kyiv warns that an explosion at the site could dwarf the Chernobyl disaster ten times over. The U.S. activates its nuclear response team, and the EU’s Energy Commissioner, Kadri Simson, tells CNBC that targeting nuclear facilities would violate global regulations. We are live at NATO headquarters in Brussels as the alliance holds an emergency meeting in what will arguably be one of its most crucial days of diplomacy. And in the U.S. non-farm payrolls are set to show slowing job growth. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester tells CNBC that it’s critical the central bank gains control over inflation.  

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    Ep. 1452 - Putin’s Escalation Continues

    Ep. 1452 - Putin’s Escalation Continues

    Vladimir Putin unleashes a strike against a Ukrainian base along the Polish border; Iran fires missiles at the US consulate in Erbil, Iraq; and China generously offers to mediate between Russia and Ukraine.

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    Putin blames West for starting the War & the latest intelligence on Russia’s faltering offensive

    Putin blames West for starting the War & the latest intelligence on Russia’s faltering offensive

    Day 363.

    Today, we analyse Vladimir Putin’s speech to the nation, look at the most recent intelligence reports on the situation on the ground and discuss Russia’s most recent defeats, including a bloody engagement near Vuhledar.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @djknowles22 on Twitter.

    Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on Twitter

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on Twitter.

    Joe Barnes (Brussels Correspondent).

    Nataliya Vasilyeva (Russia Correspondent).


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk

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    Vijay Gokhale on Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi's Visit to India

    Vijay Gokhale on Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi's Visit to India

    In this episode, Vijay Gokhale joins Rudra Chaudhuri to take stock of the recent meet between Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and the External Affairs Minister of India, Dr. S. Jaishankar. Together, they discuss the significance of Wang Yi’s visit to India, particularly against the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine crisis. How does the Ukraine crisis shape the Sino-Indian relationship? Separately, what are some of the mechanisms needed to stabilize the relationship between India and China?

    --

    Episode Contributors

    Vijay Gokhale is the former foreign secretary of India and a nonresident senior fellow at Carnegie India. He retired from the Indian Foreign Service in January 2020 after a diplomatic career that spanned thirty-nine years. Between 2016 and 2017, he served as the ambassador of India to the People’s Republic of China. He has worked extensively on matters relating to the Indo-Pacific region with a special emphasis on Chinese politics and diplomacy. He is the author of two books: The Long Game: How the Chinese Negotiate with India and Tiananmen Square: The Making of a Protest

    Rudra Chaudhuri is the director of Carnegie India. His primary research interests include the diplomatic history of South Asia and contemporary security issues. 

    --

    Further Reading:

    India’s Fog of Misunderstanding Surrounding Nepal–China Relations by Vijay Gokhale

    The Road from Galwan: The Future of India-China Relations by Vijay Gokhale

    How Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has undermined strategic choices available to India by Rudra Chaudhuri

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    🎙️ Check out our podcast, Interpreting India available now on 

    YouTube, Spotify, and iTunes! 

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    Every two weeks, Interpreting India brings you diverse voices from India and around the world to explore the critical questions shaping the nation's future. We delve into how technology, the economy, and foreign policy intertwine to influence India's relationship with the global stage.

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