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    Putin blames West for starting the War & the latest intelligence on Russia’s faltering offensive

    enFebruary 21, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • New Technologies and Health InsurancePeople may adopt new techs like chatbots, but health insurance remains essential. UnitedHealthcare's TriTerm plans offer flexible, budget-friendly coverage with nationwide access.

      During the next three years, people may adopt new technologies like chatbots as friends, but the need for health insurance remains constant. UnitedHealthcare's TriTerm medical plans offer flexible, budget-friendly coverage for those in between jobs or missed open enrollment, providing access to a nationwide network of doctors and hospitals. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions continue to escalate, with Russia's suspension of participation in the New START Treaty, the world's last remaining nuclear arms control deal, raising concerns. Putin's speech to the nation attempted to blame the west for the war in Ukraine, but failed to mention Biden's visit to Kyiv. This Mother's Day, consider treating mom to Osea's limited edition skin care sets, featuring clean, seaweed infused products for healthy, glowing skin.

    • Putin shifts focus to domestic issues in state of the nation addressPutin's recent state of the nation address emphasized domestic matters like infrastructure, education, and energy, marking a shift from his previous focus on international conflicts and nuclear threats.

      Russian President Vladimir Putin's recent state of the nation address was notable for its focus on domestic issues and lack of overt aggression towards the West. Putin spent over an hour discussing domestic matters such as infrastructure, education, and energy, a shift from his previous focus on international conflicts. He also made no direct threats about nuclear weapons, unlike in the past. The address came after a visit from U.S. President Joe Biden, but Putin did not respond with the expected aggression. Instead, he presented a more subdued tone, possibly due to the lack of clear victories in ongoing conflicts and the Russian public's growing desire for improvements at home. However, some found the speech dispiriting from a Western perspective due to its historical distortions and emotional appeals. Overall, the address signaled a continued focus on domestic issues while maintaining a tense relationship with the West.

    • Putin's accusations of Western deceit and manipulationPutin's sincere beliefs could limit peaceful resolution to Russia-West conflict, with criticism of Western values and economic boasts, Western response dismissive

      Learning from Putin's recent speech is that if his sincerity is to be believed, the path to peace and compromise between Russia and the West appears to be narrow. Putin accused the West of deceit and historical manipulation, invoking Russian anxieties and spiritual mission to cleanse the sins of the West. He criticized Western values, particularly concerning LGBT rights and family values. Putin also boasted about Russia's economic resilience and warned of enemies within. The Western response has been dismissive, with US officials describing the speech as an absurdity and Putin as being out of touch with reality. However, the potential consequences of Putin's beliefs, if held sincerely, could significantly limit the possibility of a peaceful resolution to the ongoing conflict.

    • Russia's Offensive in Ukraine: Struggling to Make GainsRussia is facing challenges in its offensive in Ukraine, but the cost is worth it for Ukraine as they're not losing significant ground. NATO intelligence suggests Russia is repairing gaps and building up forces in Belarus as a potential distraction.

      The situation in Ukraine is existential for Russia and President Putin, and while Russia is making significant efforts to advance, the offensive is not going as well as they had hoped. NATO intelligence suggests that Russia is struggling to make gains and is instead using newly mobilized troops to repair and plug gaps in existing units. The cost of maintaining this pressure on Ukraine is worth it for Ukraine, as they are not losing significant ground. Additionally, there are concerns that Russia may be building up forces in Belarus as a potential distraction. Overall, the situation remains static with small localized points of pressure, and the West is confident in its intelligence capabilities.

    • Ukraine-Russia Conflict: Complex Challenges for Both SidesRussia's offensive is 'botched', both sides face logistical challenges, Ukraine confident but not deploying main forces, Western military aid uncertain, conflict expected to continue for months

      The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia is a complex situation with both sides facing significant challenges. Russia's offensive has been described as "botched" and its logistical chains are stretched, making it difficult for them to make substantial gains. Ukraine, on the other hand, is confident but not yet deploying its main reserve forces, instead using previously deployed units. Western military planners believe Ukraine will need to launch continuous attacks to reclaim land, but face challenges with ammunition and the arrival of promised military aid. Russia, meanwhile, is also facing ammunition shortages and the challenge of defending occupied positions. The arrival of promised Western military aid, including tanks and artillery, could significantly impact the battlefield, but their arrival timelines are uncertain. Ultimately, the conflict is expected to continue for months, with both sides facing significant challenges.

    • Putin's speech on Ukraine lacked significant updatesPutin's speech on Ukraine focused more on domestic issues and did not provide significant updates on the war's progress or claims of victory.

      During Putin's speech, there was a noticeable absence of discussion about the war in Ukraine. This was expected, as the speech was primarily geared towards a domestic audience. While there was some mention of supporting widows and children, there was no significant claim of victory in Bakhmut or Central Donbas. Putin's comments about NATO and the West should also be taken with a grain of salt, as they were likely intended for domestic consumption. Elsewhere, diplomatic hokeycokey was in play, with President Biden moving from Kyiv to Poland and addressing European leaders, while Italian Prime Minister Maloney responded to Putin's speech with a dismissive stance. In terms of international relations, there are ongoing talks between China and Russia, and the Italian government, despite some concerns, remains committed to supporting Ukraine. The START treaty, which aims to limit nuclear weapons, has been extended to January 2026 but has been effectively dormant for over a year. The US and Russia can each deploy up to 700 ICBMs, SLBMs, and heavy bombers equipped with nuclear weapons.

    • Suspension of New Start treaty by Russia causing concernRussia's suspension of the New Start treaty and US accusations towards China could lead to a potential arms race and make communication between nuclear powers more difficult, emphasizing the significance of diplomacy and dialogue.

      The New Start treaty, which limits the number of nuclear weapons each country can possess, is currently being suspended by Russia. This treaty, which has been in place since 2010, allows for each side to have up to 1,550 deployed nuclear warheads, with an additional 800 that can be in storage. Russia's decision to suspend its participation in the treaty is a cause for concern, as it could lead to a potential arms race and make communication between nuclear powers more difficult. Additionally, the Chinese ambassador to the US has accused the US of escalating the war in Ukraine by providing weapons to the battlefield, further adding to tensions between global powers. These developments highlight the importance of diplomacy and the need for continued dialogue between nations to prevent potential conflicts from escalating.

    • China's stance on Russia-Ukraine conflict raises Western concernsChina's refusal to condemn Russia's invasion and continued support have led to Western accusations of playing both sides, with potential for China to provide weapons adding to concerns. China's actions have raised questions about commitment to international order, causing Western powers to reevaluate relationships.

      China's stance on the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict is causing significant concern for Western powers. Beijing's refusal to condemn Russia's invasion and its continued support for Moscow have led to accusations of China playing both sides. The potential for China to provide weapons to Russia is an additional anxiety for the West. NATO and EU governments are now viewing China as a threat rather than a strategic partner. China's unwillingness to distance itself from Russia and the lack of consequences for its actions have raised questions about China's commitment to the international rule-based order. The situation is particularly concerning as the anniversary of President Xi Jinping's significant speech approaches, where he may reiterate his stance on the conflict. The potential for a wider conflict, including China's involvement, is a real concern, and Western powers are reevaluating their relationships with China in light of these developments.

    • China's territorial claims and resource acquisition make it a geopolitical threatChina's military aggression and territorial claims, including over Taiwan, position it as a significant threat. The brutal nature of war, highlighted by the use of thermobaric rockets in Ukraine, underscores the need to remove such weapons. Post-Ukraine conflict, the world may focus on addressing China's dominance.

      China's aggressive acquisition of natural resources and strategic locations, coupled with its territorial claims over Taiwan, positions it as a significant geopolitical threat in the post-Ukraine conflict era. The ongoing war in Ukraine, particularly the battle for Volodar, showcases the limitations of brute military force against fortified positions and heavily mined territories. The use of devastating weapons like thermobaric rocket launchers underscores the brutal nature of war. Despite their horrific impact, removing such weapons from the battlefield is crucial. China's strategic maneuvers aim to establish its dominance as the world's leading power, causing concern among Europe, the US, and other nations. The end of the Ukraine conflict may shift the focus towards addressing the challenges posed by China.

    • Russia's determination and disregard for human cost in the conflictDespite perceived military weaknesses, Russia's operational skill, economic resilience, and disregard for human cost make them a formidable force in the conflict

      Russia's military progress in the ongoing conflict may be slow, but their determination and disregard for human cost should not be underestimated. Despite the international community's belief that Russia's military capabilities are lacking, they have shown moments of operational skill, as seen in their retreat from the Azovstal steel plant in Mariupol. Furthermore, Russia's economy, particularly its energy exports to countries like China, continues to thrive amidst Western sanctions, demonstrating their ability to adapt and find alternative markets. These factors underscore the importance of remaining cautious in assessing Russia's capabilities and the potential outcomes of the conflict.

    • Russia's economy not sustainable in long termDespite short-term support from China, Russia's economy is unsustainable due to sanctions. Putin hopes for favorable outcome on Ukrainian battlefield or weakening Western resolve.

      The Russian economy, while able to sustain itself in the short term with support from countries like China, is not sustainable for the long term in its current state of severance from the West. The economy has suffered significant losses due to sanctions, but Putin's speech and recent economic growth projections suggest that Russia is buying time in the hope of a favorable outcome on the Ukrainian battlefield or a weakening of Western resolve. The comparison to the Nazi economy in Adam Tooze's "Wages of Destruction" highlights how economies shaped by war can have positive effects in the short term but ultimately lead to negative consequences. As we approach the one-year anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, it will be worth watching how Western officials approach negotiations and the level of support they continue to show for Ukraine.

    • Maintain pressure on Russia for peace with UkraineInternational community should keep pressure on Russia to prevent compromises during negotiations and respect Ukraine's borders.

      To effectively negotiate peace between Ukraine and Russia, it's crucial for the international community to keep pressure on Russia and maintain support for Ukraine, preventing Russia from taking back any compromises made during negotiations. Additionally, Alexei Navalny, a Russian opposition leader, has recently made a significant statement, expressing his desire for Russia to respect Ukraine's internationally recognized borders and leave Ukraine alone. This marks a shift from his previous stance on Crimea and could potentially signal a pivot in his political positioning.

    • Ukraine and NATO strengthen military capabilitiesEfforts are being made to boost Ukraine's military capabilities and transition from Russian weapons to NATO-caliber ones, with a focus on increasing ammunition stockpiles and improving procurement systems. Russia's invasion and tensions with the West continue to shape these efforts.

      There are ongoing efforts to strengthen the military capabilities of Ukraine and NATO, with a focus on increasing ammunition stockpiles and improving procurement systems. This comes as Russia continues its invasion of Ukraine, and tensions between Russia and the West remain high. The West, including NATO and the EU, are working to support Ukraine in its transition to NATO-caliber weaponry and away from Russian weapons. This includes discussions about ramping up production and developing effective, transparent, and accountable procurement systems. Additionally, there have been exchanges between Western diplomats and China regarding Russia's nuclear rhetoric, but the extent of these conversations and their impact on the conflict remain unclear. Overall, these developments highlight the ongoing complexities and geopolitical dynamics of the situation in Ukraine.

    • Discovering the latest news from Ukraine and celebrating Mother's DayListen to Ukraine the Latest podcast for news updates and special Mother's Day offers from 1-800-Flowers. Celebrate moms with handmade bouquets, sweet treats, and unique gifts, while also considering supplemental health insurance plans for financial protection.

      If you want to stay updated with the latest news from Ukraine, consider listening to Ukraine the Latest podcast and following it on your preferred podcast app. You can also engage with the show by leaving a review or sending an email with questions or comments. This podcast is produced by Louisa Wells and Giles Gere, and you can find their Twitter handles in the description. Additionally, Mother's Day is coming up, and 1-800-Flowers offers various ways to celebrate all the amazing moms in your life with handmade bouquets, sweet treats, gourmet food, and unique gifts. For a limited time, you can save up to 40% off Mother's Day bestsellers by ordering online at 1-800flowers.com/acast. Another important topic discussed in the podcast is the importance of supplemental health insurance, such as UnitedHealthcare's Health ProtectorGuard fixed indemnity insurance plans, underwritten by Golden Rule Insurance Company. These plans help manage out-of-pocket costs and complement your primary insurance plan. Overall, the podcast provides valuable information and offers opportunities for engagement and celebration.

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    'Why it’s too late to stop World War 3 – according to one of Britain’s greatest military historians' (Richard Overy in The Telegraph) -

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/books/authors/world-war-three-too-late-history-violence/ 



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    Ukraine: The Latest
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    Contributors:

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    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    With thanks to Ukrainian author Oleksandr Mykhed. @mykhed_o on X.

    https://www.penguin.co.uk/authors/303637/oleksandr-mykhed


    Upcoming events:

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    Article Referenced:


    Exclusive Olena Zelenska interview (The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/20/olena-zelenska-ukraine-hope-burnout-family/


    Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jY2UD11kbmE



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Ukraine: The Latest
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    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/britain-is-still-making-a-killing-from-putins-war-machine-lbtcjqsg0 



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    10/4/22: Russia-Ukraine War, Energy Crisis, Housing Market, Midterm Races, NFL Scandal, Crypto Scheme, Lab Leak, & More!

    10/4/22: Russia-Ukraine War, Energy Crisis, Housing Market, Midterm Races, NFL Scandal, Crypto Scheme, Lab Leak, & More!

    Krystal and Saagar cover Russia's nuclear convoy, Europe's difficult winter, gas prices rising, housing market, Nevada races, Herschel Walker, NFL concussion coverup, crypto scams, lab leak, & the lack of resistance to the Ukraine war!


    To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/


    To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and Spotify


    Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623 


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    Branko Marcetic: https://twitter.com/BMarchetich 

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    Zelensky rules out election, Russia strikes Ukraine with glide bombs & the ongoing fight against the Wagner group

    Zelensky rules out election, Russia strikes Ukraine with glide bombs & the ongoing fight against the Wagner group

    Day 620.

    Today, we bring you the latest updates from Ukraine, analyse a downbeat assessment of Russian military power and interview British Conservative MP and Chair of the Foreign Affairs committee, Alicia Kearns, on the threat the Wagner group continues to pose despite the death of Yevgeny Prigozhin. 


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @djknowles22 on Twitter.

    Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on Twitter.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on Twitter.

    With thanks to Alicia Kearns MP (British Conservative MP and Chair of the Foreign Affairs committee). @aliciakearns on Twitter.


    Find out more: 

    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk

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    Snippets from the Audio Archive III - Kenneth Kaunda and Ruth Weiss

    Snippets from the Audio Archive III - Kenneth Kaunda and Ruth Weiss
    Kenneth Kaunda (1924–2021) was the first State President of independent Zambia. On March 30, 1977 Ruth Weiss conducted an interview with Kaunda in Lusaka on the occasion of the visit of Nikolai Podgorny, then President of the Soviet Union. In this extract from the interview, Kaunda provides an assessment of the Cold War situation in southern Africa, Zambia’s position as a member of the Non-Aligned Movement and the supportive role of the Soviet Union for Zambia.

    Legendary CNN reporter Mike Chinoy on his book and documentary series "Assignment China"

    Legendary CNN reporter Mike Chinoy on his book and documentary series "Assignment China"

    This week on the Sinica Podcast, Jeremy and I chat with Mike Chinoy, the legendary award-winning TV newsman who helmed CNN in Beijing for many critical years. Mike talks about the video documentary series and accompanying book Assignment China: An Oral History of American Journalists in the People’s Republic, for which he interviewed about 130 journalists whose careers spanned an 80-year period, from the 1940s to the present.

    04:08 – The genesis of the Assignment China project

    11:15 – Editorial decisions: What was included, and what wasn’t

    16:13 – The big takeaways for Mike on finishing this project

    25:13 – The role of contingency and the observer effect

    32:52 – How Tiananmen really made CNN and changed the future of cable news

    36:30 – Tough ethical calls in the reporting of China 

    42:42 – Structural biases in American reporting on China…

    50:50 – …and what news consumers can do to adjust for those baked-in biases

    52:54 – Does where the reporters are actually determine what the story is?

    1:02:17 – What went wrong with TV news?

    A complete transcript of this podcast is available at TheChinaProject.com.

    Recommendations:

    Mike:  Who by Fire: Leonard Cohen in the Sinai by Matti Friedman

    Jeremy: From the Jewish Provinces: Selected Stories by Fradl Shtok, translated by Jordan Finkin and Allison Schachter

    Kaiser: Father's Laszlo Ladany's "Ten Commandments" on China-watching, and playing around with ChatGPT 4


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