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    #105 - Judith Curry Talks About Climate Change And The Problems With Science

    enDecember 23, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Exploring different perspectives with community supportCommunity support and an open mind can lead to personal growth and a larger impact. Consider various perspectives, even the unconventional ones.

      The power of community and support from listeners can lead to personal growth and the ability to make a larger impact. The speaker expressed gratitude for the recommendations of guests and listeners, and the impact they've had on her journey. She also emphasized the importance of an open mind and considering various perspectives, even those that may be considered "woo woo" or unconventional. During the podcast, the speaker interviewed Judith Curry, a climate scientist with experience on both sides of the climate change debate. Judith shared her story of how she became interested in climate science and her perspective on the climate change debate. She emphasized the importance of considering all perspectives and not being too dogmatic in one's beliefs. The speaker also reflected on her own personal journey, expressing her gratitude for the support of her listeners and the impact they've had on her. She emphasized the importance of staying open-minded and considering various perspectives, even if they may be unconventional or outside of the mainstream narrative. Overall, the key takeaway is the importance of community, support, and an open mind in personal growth and making a positive impact in the world.

    • A scientist's disillusionment with the climate science communityScientists should prioritize transparency and respectful dialogue, even in the face of disagreements and backlash, to maintain trust and credibility in their field.

      The scientific community, specifically in the field of climate science, can face significant challenges when it comes to transparency and handling disagreements. In this account, a scientist shares her experience of getting caught up in the public debate on climate change in 2005, and later being disillusioned by the revelation of emails from the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia in 2009. She was appalled by the attempts to suppress opposing views and the lack of transparency, leading her to speak out and become a target of the climate establishment. The incident fueled her determination to be more transparent, honest, and respectful in scientific discourse, despite facing backlash and being labeled as a "denier." This experience serves as a reminder of the importance of upholding transparency and respectful dialogue in the scientific community.

    • Stifling Free Thinking in AcademiaAcademic institutions and professionals can suppress free thinking and debate, resulting in resignations, suspensions, or cult-like behavior. Encourage critical thinking and questioning for scientific progress.

      Academic institutions and professionals can stifle free thinking and debate, leading individuals to resign or face suspension. This is driven by self-protection, careerism, and personal moral assumptions or political preferences. The situation is akin to cult-like behavior, with those going against the dominant ideology facing banishment or punishment. The scientific community, meant to welcome questioning and debate, is not immune to this phenomenon, which can result in the marginalization and silencing of true scientists. Instead of blind obedience, we should encourage critical thinking and questioning of assumptions to advance knowledge and understanding.

    • The moralizing approach to climate change oversimplifies complex scientific questionsOur understanding of climate change is still developing, requiring a nuanced and open-minded approach that acknowledges the complexity of scientific questions and the importance of continued research.

      The debate around climate change has become deeply polarized, with those who believe in human-caused climate change being labeled as "good" and those who question it being branded as "heretics" or "anti-human." This moralizing approach to the issue oversimplifies the complex scientific questions at hand and stifles open dialogue. The truth is, our understanding of the climate system is still developing, and while human activities contribute to greenhouse gas emissions, the role they play in climate change is not clear-cut. The sun also significantly influences the Earth's climate, and the Earth's climate has naturally varied throughout history. The debate around climate change requires a nuanced and open-minded approach, one that acknowledges the complexity of the scientific questions and the importance of continued research.

    • Uncertainty and Complexity in Climate ScienceClimate science acknowledges uncertainties and complexities, with some scientists skeptical of all warming being human-caused. Warming itself may not be inherently dangerous, but potential extreme weather events and tipping points pose risks. Reduce greenhouse gas emissions and invest in adaptation strategies.

      While the Earth's climate is warming and human activities are contributing to this trend, there is significant uncertainty regarding the extent of human influence and the potential dangers of this warming. Many climate scientists with a deep understanding of the underlying physics and dynamics of the climate system are skeptical of the idea that all warming is human-caused, and they acknowledge the complexities and uncertainties involved in modeling such a complex system. Additionally, some argue that warming itself may not be inherently dangerous, as historical periods of warming have been beneficial for life on Earth. The biggest concern, then, becomes the potential for extreme weather events and the potential for tipping points that could lead to catastrophic changes. However, the likelihood and timing of these events are uncertain, and it is important to distinguish between natural climate variability and human-caused warming when assessing the risks. Ultimately, the most effective response may be to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions to mitigate potential risks, while also investing in adaptation strategies to address any unavoidable impacts.

    • Urgency to transform systems may overlook natural climate variabilityDespite efforts to reach net zero emissions by 2050, the impact on climate will be negligible due to natural climate variability and inertia. We need a nuanced understanding of carbon dynamics and budget, and should be cautious about transforming systems by a certain deadline.

      The urgent push to transform agriculture and electrical power systems to net zero emissions by certain deadlines may lead to economic and environmental disaster. The speaker argues that natural variability and inertia in the climate system mean that even if we achieve net zero emissions by 2050, the impact on the climate will be negligible. Moreover, the speaker emphasizes that the climate system has experienced significant natural fluctuations throughout history, and humans have only contributed to a portion of the current increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide. While we have a qualitative understanding of carbon dynamics and budget, we lack a quantitative understanding. The speaker also highlights the parallels between climate science and medicine, noting that public perception and scientific consensus shift over time. In summary, the speaker cautions against the urgency to completely transform our energy systems by a certain deadline and emphasizes the importance of a nuanced understanding of the climate system.

    • Predicting the exact consequences of climate change is challengingDespite contributing to climate change, we can't predict the future with certainty due to complex systems and natural feedback mechanisms.

      While we have a good understanding of the qualitative aspects of climate change, such as the processes involved and the general directions, we don't have a clear answer to how much warming will occur or the precise interactions between various factors. We know that human-caused emissions contribute more to warming than natural causes, but we can't predict the future with confidence. Additionally, there are positive feedbacks, such as the increase in plant growth due to higher CO2 levels, which help keep CO2 under control to some extent. However, the potential negative impacts of human activities, particularly land use, cannot be ignored. The planet's complex systems and natural feedback mechanisms make it difficult to predict the exact consequences of our actions. While we can and do impact the climate, we cannot control it entirely. The long-term effects of climate change are still uncertain, and we should respect the planet's ability to adapt and maintain its balance. There are misconceptions, such as the idea that CO2 injections into the atmosphere can change weather systems, which are not supported by scientific evidence.

    • Skepticism towards climate solutions and potential risksApproach climate solutions with caution, considering potential risks and the complexity of the climate system, while avoiding political agendas and ideological belief systems.

      The climate system is complex and there are differing opinions among scientists regarding potential solutions, such as stratospheric injection. The speaker expresses skepticism towards some scientists who may not fully understand the system and warns against the potential negative consequences of attempting to modify the planet. He also criticizes the ideological belief systems and political activism within the climate science community, drawing parallels to the COVID-19 pandemic and the consensus surrounding its origins. The speaker argues that scientists should approach their work with an open, inquiring mind and avoid being driven by political agendas. The complexity of the climate system and the potential risks of intervention is a reminder of the importance of careful consideration and a nuanced understanding of the issues.

    • Applying the precautionary principle in uncertain timesThe precautionary principle, while useful, can lead to unnecessary restrictions and silencing of dissenting voices if misapplied. A balanced and nuanced approach to risk management is necessary for complex, uncertain, and ambiguous problems like pandemics and climate change.

      The precautionary principle, which advocates taking action to avoid potential harm even in the face of scientific uncertainty, was heavily applied during the COVID-19 pandemic and the climate change debate. However, its misapplication can lead to unnecessary restrictions and silencing of dissenting voices for prolonged periods. This was evident during the COVID-19 pandemic when a consensus against the lab leak theory was rigorously enforced for 15 months, despite new evidence suggesting otherwise. Similarly, in the context of climate change, the precautionary principle has been used to justify drastic measures without considering the potential costs and benefits. It's important to note that the precautionary principle is not a decision rule but rather a suggestion to consider potential risks. A more balanced and nuanced approach to risk management is necessary when dealing with complex, uncertain, and ambiguous problems like pandemics and climate change.

    • Balancing Precaution and InnovationDuring crises, it's crucial to maintain a balance between caution and progress, allowing for open dialogue and freedom of thought, rather than silencing dissent and limiting freedoms.

      The precautionary principle, which encourages caution and careful consideration before taking action, is important in various fields such as medicine and climate science. However, during times of crisis, this principle can be overlooked, leading to potentially harmful consequences. The pandemic served as a recent example, where a single narrative was pushed, dissent was silenced, and solutions often came with the loss of freedoms and liberties. It's crucial to maintain a balance between precaution and innovation, and to allow for open dialogue and freedom of thought. Unfortunately, there's a growing trend towards censorship and bias in areas like climate science and medicine, making it difficult for alternative viewpoints to be heard and considered. It's essential to remember that true progress and understanding often come from open and honest discussions.

    • Historical mistrust in science and medicineScientists and medical professionals need stronger ethics foundations to rebuild public trust, address vaccine concerns, and ensure transparency.

      The history of science and the medical field reveals a long-standing issue with trust due to power politics, ethics, and a lack of transparency. Vaccines, in particular, have become a contentious issue, with valid concerns about safety being met with skepticism and even punishment. The speaker expresses concern that scientists and medical professionals need a stronger foundation in ethics and philosophy to avoid compromising their integrity and public trust. The backlash against vaccines, including COVID-19 vaccines and those for children, is a result of this mistrust, fueled by a lack of transparency and perceived power plays. Personal experiences of vaccine injuries and the increasing prevalence of conditions like shingles have further eroded trust. The speaker calls for a more open and ethical approach to scientific research and medical practices to rebuild trust and ensure public safety.

    • Orthopedic Surgeon's Concerns About COVID-19 VaccinesAn orthopedic surgeon shares his distrust in the medical system due to concerns about COVID-19 vaccine safety and potential side effects, expressing frustration with lack of investigation and dialogue. He encourages listeners to explore his podcast for more information.

      The speaker, an orthopedic surgeon, has lost trust in the medical system due to concerns about the safety and potential side effects of COVID-19 vaccines, particularly the mRNA vaccines. He shares personal experiences of encountering individuals who believe their health issues may be related to the vaccines, and expresses frustration with the lack of investigation and open dialogue about potential risks. The speaker also mentions his own experience with being shadow banned on Twitter, but finds the platform more open and diverse since Elon Musk took over. He encourages those interested in health to listen to his podcast for more information. Overall, the speaker's perspective highlights growing distrust and concern about the medical system and vaccines, and a desire for more open and transparent dialogue about potential risks and side effects.

    • The Vaccine Injury Act and Climate Change: Profit and ControlThe Vaccine Injury Act's immunity for manufacturers and climate change's complex landscape of profit and control reflect power dynamics, with some pushing for change and others resisting.

      The push for vaccines for young children in the US is tied to the 1986 Vaccine Injury Act, which provides vaccine manufacturers with immunity from prosecution once their products are added to the childhood schedule. This ensures a steady income stream and protection from liability. Parallels can be drawn to the climate change debate, where some see it as a money-making opportunity, driven by fear and a single narrative. However, the climate change scene is more complex, with various players and motivations. While some corporations may profit, others struggle. The underlying theme seems to be about power and control, with some pushing for sustainable living and others resisting. The UN environmental program has been a driving force behind this agenda, aiming to exert political control over industries and economies. The success of this approach remains to be seen, as some countries, like the US, are more resistant to such control.

    • Understanding worldviews is key to changing minds on climate changeTo change someone's mind about climate change, focus on their values and ethics, acknowledge complexity, and engage in a non-confrontational way.

      Changing someone's mind about climate change isn't just about presenting facts or data. Instead, it's essential to understand their worldview and challenge it from that perspective. It's important to acknowledge the complexity of the issue and the role humans play in impacting the planet. Instead of focusing on specific policies or scientific debates, try to connect with people on a moral and ethical level. Ask them to consider the implications of their beliefs and the sacrifices they're willing to make. By engaging in a soft, non-confrontational way, you may be able to help them see the issue from a new perspective and become more open to change. It's also crucial to recognize that not all "green" initiatives are as beneficial as they seem and that the issue is much more nuanced than many people realize.

    • Recognizing Science as an Ongoing ProcessValuing independence and critical thinking, questioning information, and acknowledging limitations and uncertainties are crucial in complex fields like climate science and medicine.

      The reliance on peer-reviewed literature alone in fields like medicine and climate science may not be enough to ensure accurate and reliable knowledge. Judith Curry, a distinguished professor in the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology, emphasizes the importance of recognizing science as an ongoing process, not a collection of facts. She warns against the dangers of premature canonization of uncertain science and the influence of bias. Curry advises valuing independence and critical thinking, encouraging individuals to question information and form their own opinions. In the complex fields of climate science and medicine, it's crucial to acknowledge the limitations and uncertainties, and continue to challenge and refine our understanding.

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    ABOUT THIS CONVERSATION: For too long, the Covid Plandemic has been a faceless monolith, represented by the media mainly through charts, graphs and confusing numbers. Science was corrupted, people were manipulated on a global scale and statistical jugglery was used to confuse, guide, and misinform. I have been moved by the messages from my paid supporters, who come from all walks of life and from across the globe. I have read some incredible emails, listened over the phone to amazing minds and beautiful souls, and most importantly I have learnt so much from them. I want to give a voice to these people. Everyone has a story worth telling, and I want to highlight this through this series of podcasts. In this episode, we have Alex from Germany and Yurek from Canada. Both have been some of my earliest supporters and listeners. I thank them both for their messages of support and recommendations. Alex was the one who put me in touch with Dr Sabine Stebel who did the amazing podcast on Spike Protein. If you are one of my supporters and would like to feature in the supporter series, please get in touch. If I have failed to get back to you it's because I'm inundated with correspondence and am struggling to keep up. You have my permission to badger me. I hope you enjoy the episode. Much love as always, Ahmad.


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    enJune 04, 2024

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