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    161. Question Time: Rebuilding the Tory brand, Macron’s successor, and the militarisation of Mexico

    enAugust 09, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • The importance of surrounding oneself with trustworthy people for political decision makingSurrounding oneself with individuals who challenge and provide constructive criticism is crucial for making sound political decisions, rather than relying on yes people.

      The role of ego in political decision making is a significant concern, especially in the context of modern politics and the rise of populism. Politicians like Trump and Johnson have made this clear. When asked about personal checks and balances to ensure decisions are made for the greater good and not personal ego, Rory Stewart emphasized the importance of surrounding oneself with trustworthy people who can challenge and provide perspective. He admitted that he, too, struggled with the lurch between feeling all-powerful and completely incapable in politics, and felt that many of his colleagues were negatively impacted by the profession. Stewart believes that having a team of individuals who are not yes people, but rather, who challenge and provide constructive criticism, is essential for making sound political decisions.

    • Balancing Confidence and Openness in LeadershipEffective leaders balance confidence and openness, preventing big egos and negative consequences. Unusual cases like Mexico's AMLO illustrate the risks of ignoring challenges and overusing military power.

      Effective leadership requires a balance between having confidence and being open to challenges. Fiona from "The Crown" served as an important leveler for her husband, keeping him grounded and preventing him from developing a big ego. In contrast, Theresa May and Boris Johnson both lost their ability to listen to challenges, leading to negative consequences. Mexico's President AMLO is an unusual case in Latin America, where the military's role has traditionally been weak. However, AMLO's increasing use of the military in civilian matters raises concerns, especially given his past skepticism towards the military. Despite his campaign promise to get rid of the army, the military now controls key areas such as airports, ports, and train lines. The Supreme Court has even deemed this move unconstitutional. It remains to be seen how this trend will develop and what implications it will have for Mexico.

    • Military's Role in Civilian Matters in MexicoGovernments must define military's role clearly and limit it to crises, avoiding blurring lines between military and political power.

      The military's involvement in civilian matters in Mexico, under President Obrador, raises concerns about potential political power abuse in a region where such strengthening of military forces often leads to political instability. The military's reputation for efficiency and capability, especially in the face of crises, tempts governments to bring them in. However, it's crucial for governments to be cautious, as the military's increasing involvement in civilian matters can blur the lines between military and political power, potentially leading to an enterprise-like military structure. This is particularly concerning in the context of Mexico's high levels of violence and disappearances. The military's role should be clearly defined and limited to specific crises or emergencies, with clear guidelines to prevent political exploitation.

    • Military rule leading to corruption and inefficiencyHistorically, militaries running countries have resulted in corruption and inefficiency, but they can respond to emergencies. Current French politics show Macron's low approval ratings, European elections importance, and potential for Le Pen to succeed.

      Military involvement in running countries, as seen historically in Turkey, Egypt, Pakistan, Indonesia, can lead to corruption and inefficiency. Despite their ability to respond to emergencies, militaries often struggle to effectively govern. Regarding French politics, current polls show that President Macron's approval ratings remain low, with 65% disapproving and 32% approving. The upcoming European elections are important, as Macron seeks to differentiate himself from his opponents, Le Pen and Melenchon, on their views towards Europe. However, Macron's struggle to connect with the French public, despite economic success, raises concerns about his political legacy and the lack of a clear successor. The fragmentation of the traditional left and right parties leaves Macron facing extremist opposition without a clear mainstream alternative. Despite the challenges, it's not yet probable, but more possible than before, that Le Pen could follow Macron as France's president.

    • French politics faces challenges post-Macron, US conservatism evolvesFrench politics faces instability due to Macron's parliamentary loss, potentially leading to constitutional bypasses. The conservative brand in US politics is evolving, with some questioning its previous values of fiscal prudence and respect for tradition.

      French politics is facing significant challenges following Emmanuel Macron's loss of his parliamentary majority. This could lead to further democratic weakening as he may be forced to use constitutional articles to bypass votes. Meanwhile, in the US, the conservative brand values are under debate, with some questioning if it still represents fiscal prudence and respect for tradition as it once did. During a recent podcast episode, Anthony Scaramucci shared a personal story about donating to Barack Obama's campaign in 2008, highlighting the unique relationship that developed between them. The Rest is Politics US, a new podcast launched by BBC, will delve into the inner workings of the Biden and Trump administrations and their impact on the global economy. In the context of American politics, Roy's question about the evolving conservative brand values is particularly relevant. For him, the conservative brand was previously associated with fiscal responsibility, respect for tradition, and a cautious approach. However, the current state of conservatism and its brand values is a topic of ongoing debate.

    • Emphasizing small businesses, low taxes, and controlling immigrationSuella Braverman's political pitch focuses on supporting small businesses, lower taxes, smaller government, and controlling immigration, appealing to voters seeking tax cuts, smaller government, and sovereignty. Citizens' assemblies could help depoliticize contentious issues and find middle ground.

      Suella Braverman, a potential interviewee for the podcast, would likely emphasize her values of supporting small businesses, low taxes, smaller government, and controlling immigration as part of her political pitch. These values resonate with specific voter groups who seek tax cuts, smaller government, and sovereignty. The discussion also touched upon the potential use of citizens' assemblies to inform policy, particularly in contentious areas like renewable energy infrastructure. Citizens' assemblies, where a randomly selected group of people are brought together to discuss and make recommendations on an issue, have proven effective in finding consensus and compromises. The use of citizens' assemblies could potentially help depoliticize contentious issues and find middle ground, as seen in Ireland's resolution of abortion issues and the potential for a soft Brexit in Britain.

    • Debate over citizens' assemblies and contentious issues, France and Canada's new bill C-18France explores citizens' assemblies for contentious issues, Canada's new bill C-18 aims to make tech companies pay media organizations for content, potential implications for tech, news, and politics globally

      There's ongoing debate about the role and effectiveness of citizens' assemblies in addressing complex societal issues. Emmanuel Macron in France is exploring this approach further, potentially using it for contentious topics like immigration. Meanwhile, Canada's new bill C-18 aims to make tech companies pay media organizations for using their content, posing a significant challenge to companies like Google and Meta and the open-source nature of the internet. This could have far-reaching implications for tech, news, and politics worldwide. The debate continues on whether these measures will lead to fair compensation for content creators or have unintended consequences for the internet and digital economy.

    • Navigating the Intersection of Business, Politics, and TechnologyGoogle's dominance in news industry and UK's privatization of probation service showcase the challenges of addressing complex issues at the intersection of business, politics, and technology. International cooperation and careful consideration are crucial when implementing policies.

      The intersection of business, politics, and technology can create complex issues that are difficult to navigate, especially when addressing them late. The example of Google's dominance in the news industry and the Canadian government's attempt to regulate it illustrates this point. The politics surrounding the issue have muddied the waters, making it hard to find a solution. Furthermore, the power of individual sovereign states is limited when dealing with tech giants, as they can simply pull out of a market to avoid regulation. The privatization of the probation service in Britain serves as another example of the challenges that come with applying private sector mentality to government services. While the theory behind it sounded promising, the reality was that companies exploited loopholes to cut costs, leading to increased reoffending and financial losses for the taxpayer. These issues highlight the need for international cooperation and careful consideration when implementing policies related to technology, business, and government.

    • Large companies forcing government control of essential servicesInternational corporations can declare bankruptcy on their UK probation subsidiaries, leading to government takeover of essential services. We also discussed upcoming films and Arnold Schwarzenegger's potential presidency.

      Even large international companies can force governments to take control of essential services, as seen when they declared bankruptcy on their UK probation subsidiaries. Meanwhile, in lighter news, we discussed our anticipation for upcoming films like "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer," with a shared love for cinema and recommendations for the Arnold Schwarzenegger Netflix series. Despite Trump's ability to run for president from prison, had Schwarzenegger been born in the US, his compelling story and charisma might have made him a formidable contender. Overall, we look forward to exploring more thought-provoking topics and sharing our recommendations in future conversations.

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