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    4/11/23: EXCLUSIVE: Zelensky Sought To Bomb Russia, 5G Threatens Military Satellites, Ukraine Looks To India, DeSantis Abortion Ban, Biden 2024 Announcement, Justice Thomas, Biden's Tik Tok Influencers, US Lab Leak, Thomas Sadoski On Yemen Genocide

    enApril 11, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Uncovering old family stories and historical mysteriesExplores a personal family murder story, historical disappearances, and Pentagon document leaks while discussing political developments and international peace processes.

      A podcast host is embarking on a personal journey to uncover the truth behind an old family story about a murder in Sicily, while also providing listeners with intriguing tales of historical disappearances and scandals. Another significant takeaway is the ongoing controversy surrounding leaked documents from the Pentagon, with the defense department expressing serious concern and urging caution against amplifying potentially doctored information. Additionally, there are ongoing political developments, such as Ron DeSantis' proposed abortion ban in Florida and Joe Biden's latest gaffe, as well as potential international peace processes involving India and Ukraine. Overall, the podcast "Breaking Points" covers a wide range of topics, from historical mysteries to current events, and encourages listeners to stay informed and engaged.

    • Ukraine's President Zelensky's private military intentions towards Russia under scrutinyReports of Ukrainian President Zelensky's suggestion to use drones against Russian troops inside Russia have raised concerns about Ukraine's defensive assurances and added to geopolitical tensions with Russia. The Pentagon has urged caution due to potential sensitive information and risks to national security.

      There has been a controversy surrounding the authenticity and potential alteration of documents related to Ukrainian President Zelensky's private military intentions towards Russia. The Pentagon has urged caution regarding reporting on these documents due to the potential sensitive information they contain and the potential risks to national security. However, the Pentagon has not disputed any specific information reported from these documents, including Zelensky's suggestion to use Ukrainian drones to strike Russian troops inside Russia due to a lack of long-range missiles. This revelation raises questions about Ukraine's previous assurances that longer-range missiles would only be used defensively and adds to the ongoing geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia. The authenticity and implications of these documents continue to be a topic of debate and scrutiny.

    • Ukraine's President Desires to Strike Inside RussiaUS intelligence reveals Ukraine's President expressed a desire to strike Russia, contradicting US assurances, potentially misaligning US and Ukraine interests, and increasing risk of US involvement in the conflict.

      According to a US intelligence assessment, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed a desire to strike inside of Russia due to the limitation of his current capabilities, specifically the lack of long-range missiles. This contradicts assurances from US policymakers that Ukraine will not use its conflict with Russia to strike Russian territory. The revelation exposes a potential misalignment of interests between the US and Ukraine, with Ukraine seeking to escalate the war and drag the US fully into it as a possible strategy to win. The US has so far resisted providing long-range missiles and jets to Ukraine due to the risk of escalation and potential direct US involvement in the conflict. It's important for the public to understand the reasons behind US decisions regarding military aid to Ukraine.

    • Risk of World War 3 with Ukraine conflict, China and Russia involvementThe Ukraine conflict's escalation risks World War 3, with potential Chinese and Russian intervention. US must consider strategic risks and align interests with leaders before providing weapons. 5G services may disrupt military communications, highlighting tech risks.

      The ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the potential involvement of China and Russia could lead us to the brink of World War 3. The debate over providing weapons to Ukraine and the potential consequences of doing so has become increasingly complex. Former US Ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul, who has been a vocal advocate for sending advanced weapons to Ukraine, risks putting our faith in a leader whose interests may not align with ours. Additionally, China's red lines in this conflict could lead them to provide lethal aid to Russia if NATO or the US provides missile systems, jets, or other weaponry that strikes inside of Russia. This could result in a confrontation between the US and Russia, and potentially drag in China, creating a dangerous situation for all parties involved. Furthermore, a US intelligence assessment reveals that increased 5G services could disrupt commercial and military communications by encroaching on satellite frequencies used by the US military. This assessment, marked secret and not to be shared with foreign intelligence services, highlights the importance of considering the potential risks and consequences of technological advancements. It's crucial for there to be open public debate and consideration of strategic risks in decision-making to avoid escalating an already perilous situation.

    • 5G poses a threat to military and communication satellitesLeaked documents reveal 5G could disrupt military and communication satellites, impacting both commercial and military services.

      The US intelligence community has identified 5G technology as a potential disrupter to their military and communication satellite infrastructure. This issue was significant enough to be included in a briefing booklet for principal military policymakers. The documents detailing this concern were leaked from a small, anonymous group on the internet, which had been sharing top-secret information for months without raising alarm. The source of the leak, Bellingcat, is a controversial organization known for its investigative journalism. The fact that these documents were leaked is embarrassing for the Pentagon and intelligence agencies, and the full implications of this issue are still unclear. The documents suggest that 5G interference could impact not just commercial services like Starlink, but also military and spy satellites. Despite the ongoing debate about 5G conspiracies, it's clear that this is a concern worth paying attention to.

    • US Military Docs Leaked on Discord for MonthsSensitive US military documents about Ukraine's air defense and Russia's actions were shared on Discord servers, potentially obtained by Russian and US governments, and could result in serious consequences for the leaker

      Highly sensitive US military documents related to the ongoing war in Ukraine were publicly shared on Discord servers for months before being discovered by news outlets and the US government. The documents, which included information about Ukraine's air defense capabilities and US understanding of Russia's actions, were shared on a Minecraft server and later reposted on a larger Discord server and Russian propaganda accounts on Telegram. The documents have since been deleted, and it is believed that the Russian and US governments may have obtained them. The US government is treating this as a potential act of treason and is actively investigating the leak. The leaker, who may have exposed critical information to the public and potentially strengthened the hand of hawks pushing for more intervention, could face serious consequences. The selective reporting of the documents by some media outlets has raised concerns about the accuracy and completeness of the information being presented to the public.

    • Ukraine Leaks Reveal Media Bias, Divide in PerspectivesRecent leaks of US intel on Ukraine expose media bias, disconnect between western and global perspectives, and the challenge of convincing the international community to support the western narrative on the conflict.

      The recent leak of US intelligence documents regarding Ukraine and its conflict with Russia has revealed a significant hawkish bias in mainstream media reporting and a growing disconnect between the western world's perspective and that of other global powers. The leaks, which include real-time data on Ukraine's military situation and private diplomatic efforts, have been described as the most significant national security leak since the Edward Snowden documents. The documents also expose instances of US allies, such as Egypt and the UAE, engaging with Russia despite western efforts to isolate Moscow. The Ukrainian deputy foreign minister is currently traveling the world in an attempt to broker peace, with India being a potential mediator. However, the leaks have highlighted the divide between the western world's perspective and that of other countries, making it clear that convincing the international community to support the western narrative on the Ukraine conflict has been a major challenge. The documents also raise concerns about the potential consequences of intelligence leaks and the ease with which authorities can trace their origins.

    • India's role as a neutral broker in Ukraine peace talksIndia's neutrality and diplomatic ties with Russia and Ukraine could elevate its status as a global power and provide a much-needed neutral perspective in the ongoing Ukraine conflict.

      India's role in potential peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine is significant due to its unique position as a neutral broker with diplomatic relations with both parties. India has been criticized in the West for continuing to buy Russian oil, but its impact from the conflict extends beyond self-interest. The revelation of Ukraine turning to India and China for peace deals highlights the limitations of the US and its allies in the conflict. India's potential involvement could elevate its status as a global power and provide a much-needed neutral perspective. Conversely, taking clear sides in a conflict, as the US has done, makes it less likely for parties to come to Washington for peace negotiations. The ongoing situation in Ukraine underscores the importance of maintaining neutrality and diplomatic relations in international conflicts.

    • India as a potential mediator in Ukraine crisisAmidst diplomatic efforts to resolve the Ukraine crisis, India's global role and influence make it a potential mediator. Domestically, the abortion rights issue continues to divide the US political landscape, with Florida's 6-week ban causing controversy within the Republican party.

      The geopolitical situation in Ukraine is becoming increasingly complex, with Ukraine seeking diplomatic solutions as their military situation remains critical and the US's influence wanes. India, among other countries, is emerging as a potential mediator due to its global role and influence. Meanwhile, in domestic politics, the issue of abortion rights continues to be a contentious electoral issue, with Republicans facing backlash for restrictive policies. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is pushing for a 6-week abortion ban, but this move is dividing the Republican party and may be driven more by his ambitions for the Republican primary than by a genuine commitment to the issue.

    • DeSantis' stance on 6-week abortion ban may harm his electabilitySupport for abortion rights is on the rise, and DeSantis' 6-week ban stance may not resonate well with voters, potentially damaging his electability argument in the primary and general election

      Ron DeSantis' stance on a 6-week abortion ban, which is a politically unpopular position both within and outside the Republican Party, could potentially harm his electability argument in the Republican primary and in a general election against Joe Biden. The issue of abortion has become increasingly motivating for voters, particularly those who don't usually vote, and the trend shows that support for abortion rights is on the rise. According to a Wall Street Journal survey, 60% of voters now believe abortion should be legal in all or most cases, and 62% oppose a 6-week abortion ban. DeSantis' position on this issue may not resonate well with the broader electorate and could damage his ability to make the argument that he is a more electable version of Trump.

    • Florida Governor's 6-week abortion ban may harm primary campaignDeSantis' 6-week abortion ban could negatively impact his primary campaign due to its unpopularity, potential health risks for women, and shifting public sentiment towards abortion.

      Florida Governor Ron DeSantis' stance on a 6-week abortion ban could negatively impact his Republican primary campaign due to its dramatic political unpopularity. The ban, which is already in place in Florida with limited exceptions, is opposed by a large majority of Americans according to recent polls. The discussion highlighted the potential health risks for women if they are denied access to abortions before fetal viability, and the anecdotal evidence of women suffering severe complications as a result of such bans. The public sentiment towards abortion has shifted post-Dobbs decision, with more people identifying as pro-choice. The 15-week ban, which has more exceptions and is more popular, seems like a more reasonable compromise for national public policy. The impact of these bans on women's health and the potential backlash from the media and the public could make it difficult for DeSantis to justify his position in the primary.

    • The complex issue of abortion rights in the USPublic sentiment has shifted towards pro-choice positions, but some states continue to restrict access significantly. Recent efforts to ban abortion earlier have faced backlash, and former President Trump's influence in the GOP may impact future candidates' stances.

      The debate around abortion rights in the United States remains a complex and contentious issue, with most Americans holding nuanced views. Historically, the landscape has allowed for varying state laws, with some restricting access significantly. However, public sentiment has shifted towards pro-choice positions since the Roe v. Wade decision, which only protected abortion up to the point of fetal viability. Recent efforts to restrict abortion even earlier, such as the six-week ban in Texas, have faced significant backlash and are seen as extreme by many. In the current political climate, former President Trump's dominance in the Republican Party may pose challenges for potential contenders like DeSantis, who may hold more moderate stances on certain issues. Meanwhile, President Biden's communication skills and plans for another presidential run remain topics of interest and speculation.

    • Biden's campaign delay: Indecisiveness, fundraising concerns, and lack of primary challengesBiden's campaign delay may be due to indecisiveness, fundraising concerns, and a lack of primary challenges. Trump's dominance of the media keeps him in the spotlight, but Biden's team sees an advantage in waiting. The political landscape is uncertain with both major candidates facing low approval ratings and advanced ages.

      The delay in Joe Biden's presidential campaign announcement may be due to his indecisiveness and lack of enthusiasm among voters, particularly young voters. Trump's dominance of the airwaves and unpopularity could be giving Biden an advantage, but there's no clear strategic benefit to running at this time. Biden's team is reportedly delaying the announcement due to fundraising concerns and a lack of pressure from primary challenges. Trump, on the other hand, has shown no signs of dropping out, keeping himself at the center of media attention. The political landscape is in a difficult state, with both major candidates facing low approval ratings and advanced ages. Additionally, explosive revelations from ProPublica about Justice Thomas' repeated luxury vacations and benefits from a Republican donor billionaire have added to the uncertainty and complexity of the political situation.

    • Undisclosed Luxurious Gifts to Supreme Court Justice Clarence ThomasJustice Clarence Thomas received luxurious vacations and travel worth millions from billionaire Harlan Crowe without disclosing, potentially violating ethics laws and damaging public trust in the Supreme Court's impartiality.

      Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas has received luxurious vacations and travel on a super yacht, private jets, and other expensive trips from billionaire Harlan Crowe for over two decades without disclosing them. These undisclosed gifts could potentially violate ethics laws and raise concerns of corruption, especially since these trips often included other influential Republicans and corporate executives. The appearance of such extravagant gifts, even if there's no proven evidence of direct influence, is damaging to the public trust in the impartiality of the Supreme Court. While some argue it's a personal matter, there's no ethical justification for accepting such expensive gifts as a public servant, especially for someone in a position of power like a Supreme Court Justice.

    • Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas and Conservative Billionaire Harlan Crowe's Interconnected InterestsJustice Thomas' acceptance of expensive gifts from Harlan Crowe raises ethical concerns, potentially creating the appearance of impropriety and undermining public trust in the impartiality of the Supreme Court.

      The relationship between Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas and Harlan Crowe, a conservative billionaire, raises serious ethical concerns due to their interconnected political and financial interests. Thomas' acceptance of expensive gifts from Crowe, such as private jet rides and yacht trips, despite his public statements about preferring a simpler lifestyle, contradicts his image and could create the appearance of impropriety. Even if Crowe had no direct business interests at stake, the potential for perceived influence is a major issue. The fact that Crowe financed a documentary promoting Thomas' image further complicates the situation. While enjoying nice things is not inherently wrong, the lack of transparency and disclosure around these gifts undermines public trust in the impartiality of the Supreme Court.

    • Biden Announces Reelection Bid Amidst Low Approval Ratings and DoubtsDespite low approval ratings, Biden announces reelection bid. White House attempts to boost online presence through influencer partnerships, but faces skepticism.

      President Joe Biden has officially announced his intention to run for reelection in 2024, despite growing concerns about his approval ratings among the American public, particularly young voters. The CNN poll revealed that only 32% of respondents believe Biden deserves to be reelected, with majorities expressing doubts about his stamina, confidence, honesty, and empathy. The White House is reportedly trying to boost Biden's online presence by working with hundreds of social media influencers, offering them access and briefings in exchange for favorable coverage. However, the efforts seem to be met with skepticism and mockery from some quarters, highlighting the challenges the Biden team faces in winning over young voters and maintaining public support.

    • Power and relevance drive decisions, even at the cost of values and public healthPower and relevance can lead individuals to compromise values and endanger public health, as seen in discussions about influencing youths and handling dangerous viruses in labs, funded by the US government.

      Power and relevance, rather than cash, often drive individuals' decisions, even if it means compromising their values or endangering public health. This was highlighted in discussions about influencing youths for political gain and the potential risks involved in handling dangerous viruses in labs, funded by the US government. The lab leak hypothesis of COVID-19 and the associated investigations revealed the depth of the issue, with one example being a lab in Thailand where researchers collected samples from bats, despite the risks of exposure. Despite recorded incidents of researchers being bitten by bats and accidentally pricking themselves with needles, the US government continued to fund this lab until 2021. The report also highlighted the significant increase in funding for biodefense after the anthrax attacks in 2001, leading to a surge in the number of labs handling dangerous pathogens. This increase in funding, coupled with the lack of oversight, has raised concerns about the potential risks and the need for greater accountability.

    • Concerns over lab leaks and potential origins of Ebola and Lyme diseaseConcerns persist about potential lab origins of Ebola and Lyme disease, with Plum Island's biological weapons research linked to a Lyme outbreak in 1975. China's involvement in Yemen diplomacy offers hope for a ceasefire, but transparency and accountability in scientific research are crucial.

      There are concerns about potential lab leaks in relation to both the Ebola virus and Lyme disease, with some suggesting that these outbreaks may have originated from research being conducted in labs. In the case of Lyme disease, the closest town to Plum Island, where biological weapons research was being conducted, experienced an outbreak in 1975. Regarding the ongoing conflict in Yemen, there have been recent developments with China playing a role in diplomacy and potential ceasefire talks. War Child USA ambassador Thomas Sadosky is hopeful that this could lead to a resolution, but there is still much work to be done. Overall, there are calls for increased transparency and accountability in scientific research, particularly in the context of potential lab leaks and their potential impact on public health.

    • Yemen's Humanitarian Crisis: Millions Face Starvation and DiseaseThe ongoing conflict in Yemen has caused widespread destruction of essential infrastructure, leading to food insecurity, malnutrition, and increased vulnerability to diseases. International aid efforts have fallen short, worsening the crisis, and lack of media coverage and public awareness further exacerbates the situation.

      The ongoing conflict in Yemen has led to an unprecedented humanitarian crisis, with millions of people facing acute food insecurity and starvation. The destruction of agricultural lands, water treatment facilities, and other essential infrastructure has exacerbated the situation, and the collapsing immune systems of malnourished individuals make them vulnerable to mosquito-borne diseases. The international community, including the United States, has failed to provide adequate aid to prevent the situation from worsening, with only a small fraction of the requested funds being raised. The lack of coverage in the news media and general awareness among the population contributes to the ongoing suffering, and even when aid is promised, it often falls short of previous years' commitments.

    • Yemen Crisis: End of Conflict but Not the End of the CrisisThe end of conflict in Yemen is not the end of the crisis. Immediate attention is needed to prevent famine and ensure proper resource distribution. UN's underfunding of humanitarian efforts is unacceptable. Raise awareness and support for Yemeni people's suffering.

      The end of conflict in Yemen is not the end of the crisis. While the peace process is underway, the situation remains delicate and requires immediate attention to prevent famine and ensure proper distribution of resources. The UN's underfunding of humanitarian efforts in Yemen is unacceptable, especially considering the billions spent on other conflicts. The suffering of Yemeni people, who have done nothing to harm the international community, should not be ignored. It's crucial for individuals and organizations to raise awareness and support for humanitarian efforts in Yemen. You can learn more and get involved with War Child USA and War Child Canada. The media and political class have a responsibility to shed light on this crisis and hold those involved accountable.

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    E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more

    E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more
    0:00 Jason's new "family office" and Sacks' new strategy

    2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in

    15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solutions, how we got here, creating distributed manufacturing and supply chains, capitalist incentives flipping

    34:59 Breaking down the second- and third-order effects of the massive sanctions on Russia; best case/worst case outcomes for this new form of economic warfare, deglobalization

    49:26 US economy big picture outlook: inflation, rising rates, decreasing uncertainty potentially a bullish sign in public markets; how that flows to private markets

    1:02:06 Rewriting foreign policy playbooks

    Follow the besties:

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    Intro Music Credit:

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    Referenced in the show:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/russia-troop-deaths.html

    https://www.axios.com/zelensky-russian-invasion-ukraine-ea623eb5-4a14-4458-9640-af981081e4a4.html

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/russia-ukraine-invasion-francis-fukuyama-b2035413.html

    https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1504601558184517637

    https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-russia-ukraine-war-china-choice/

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/16/ukraine-zelensky-information-war/

    https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1504824837964926981

    https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1504618754784735232

    https://www.ft.com/content/7b341e46-d375-4817-be67-802b7fa77ef1

    https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/first-drought-now-war-global-wheat-supplies-peril-rcna19298

    https://www.agweb.com/news/policy/politics/if-you-think-fertilizer-prices-are-bad-now-heres-why-china-could-make

    https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/Fig4.png

    https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/skyrocketing-fertilizer-prices-gouge-farmer-profits-groups-blame-consolidation

    https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cu22

    https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1504214235114577926

    https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/10/there-are-more-than-11-million-open-jobs-in-america-right-now.html

    https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/16/business/fed-meeting-interest-rates

    https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1503989745939980292

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957

    https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2021-06-16/the-latest-kremlin-official-says-summit-will-not-be-easy

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/biden-says-ukraine-has-work-to-do-on-corruption-to-get-into-nato

    https://theintercept.com/2022/03/15/ukraine-russia-war-sovereignty-negotiations/

    https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html

    https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/09/01/joint-statement-on-the-u-s-ukraine-strategic-partnership/

    https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/

    https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/dp/1982160276/

    https://www.salon.com/2021/01/19/who-is-victoria-nuland-a-really-bad-idea-as-a-key-player-in-bidens-foreign-policy-team/