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    Europe ‘must prepare for war’ & how Russia rebuilt its armies

    enMarch 19, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Flexibility in Insurance and Conflict in UkraineUnitedHealthcare offers flexible and budget-friendly insurance plans, ideal for those in transition or missing open enrollment. In Ukraine, ongoing conflict continues with volunteer groups engaging in cross-border raids and the Russian government responding with threats and military action.

      Flexibility is important, whether it's in yoga or insurance coverage. UnitedHealthcare Insurance Plans, underwritten by Golden Rule Insurance Company, offer flexible and budget-friendly options for medical, vision, dental, and more. They can be a good fit for those between jobs, coming off their parents' plan, starting a full-time business, or even missing open enrollment. Meanwhile, in Ukraine, there is ongoing conflict near the border with Russia. Pro-Ukrainian volunteer groups, such as the Freedom of Russia Legion and the Siberian Battalion, are reportedly engaging in cross-border raids, destroying Russian ammunition depots and raising their flags in border villages. The Russian government, in response, has acknowledged these groups and threatened to find and execute the "traitors." The Russian Ministry of Defense has also confirmed limited ground attacks in the Belgorod region. In the interview with John Foreman, former British defense attache to Moscow and Kyiv, they discussed the Russian war machine, the fight for the Black Sea, and the challenges facing both armies in the months and years ahead. The situation remains complex and uncertain, but the bravery and determination of the Ukrainian people continue to be a source of inspiration.

    • Ukraine-Russia Conflict Escalates, Thousands of Children EvacuatedThousands evacuated as Russia escalates conflict with Ukraine; International community aids Ukraine with military aid and drones; US, UK pledge support; Germany announces €500M package

      The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia is escalating, with increasing cross-border raids and attacks on Ukrainian cities. The situation is of great concern at a high level, with over 9,000 children reportedly evacuated from the Belgorod region due to the raids. The previous raids were more limited in scope, but the current ones have been ongoing for over a week and seem to be more expansive. Russian forces have also struck several Ukrainian cities, resulting in casualties. In response, the international community, including the US and the UK, is providing military aid to Ukraine to help it gain an advantage against the numerically superior Russian forces. Ukraine's commander in chief has prioritized the development of drones to achieve this advantage. The UK has pledged to deliver 10,000 drones to Ukraine this year as part of a coalition effort. The Ramstein process, a defense contact group, is currently underway to provide military aid to Ukraine, with Germany announcing a new military aid package worth €500 million. The US defense secretary Lloyd Austin reiterated the coalition's commitment to supporting Ukraine and preventing Putin from achieving his goals.

    • Ongoing military aid for Ukraine and contrasting reactions to Russia's election resultCountries are providing military aid to Ukraine, but reactions to Russia's election result vary, with some leaders congratulating Putin and others remaining silent. Putin's proposal for a buffer zone in Ukraine raises concerns about potential escalation.

      There are ongoing efforts to support Ukraine with military aid, including artillery ammunition from Germany and the Czech Republic, and the formation of a new coalition for armored vehicles from Germany and Poland. Meanwhile, geopolitical fault lines have been highlighted by contrasting reactions to Russia's sham election result, with some leaders, such as India's prime minister, congratulating Putin, while others have remained silent. Putin's emboldened attitude following the election has led him to propose creating a buffer zone in Ukraine to protect Russia from Western weapons. This proposal echoes Stalin's justification for seizing Eastern European lands during the Cold War, and raises concerns about potential escalation in the region.

    • Efforts to Strengthen Alliances and Bolster Defenses Amidst Geopolitical TensionsAmidst ongoing geopolitical tensions, the EU is preparing to levy taxes on grain imports from Russia and Belarus, and negotiations on Ukraine's accession to the bloc have begun. Despite Russian military threats, the EU is bolstering defenses and shifting towards a war economy.

      Despite the ongoing geopolitical tensions and military conflicts, particularly between Russia and Ukraine, there are significant efforts being made to strengthen alliances and bolster defenses. Russian President Putin's recent actions have been met with strong condemnation from the EU, with leaders calling for a shift to a war economy and increased defense capabilities. The EU is preparing to levy taxes on grain imports from Russia and Belarus, and negotiations on Ukraine's accession to the bloc have formally begun. Meanwhile, Russia's military threat to European security remains a serious concern. The Russian army, despite predictions of its demise after Ukrainian counter-offensives, has rebuilt and come back stronger. John, a Korean naval officer with a long career in the Royal Navy, offers insights into the Russian military's resilience.

    • Russia's Military Evolution in UkraineRussia has replaced leaders, brought in new troops, shifted to a defensive strategy, increased UAV usage, improved accuracy, ramped up production, and evolved tactics in its ongoing military effort in Ukraine.

      Russia's military situation in Ukraine has evolved significantly since the early days of the invasion. People-wise, Russia has replaced a large number of its military leaders and brought in new troops, including volunteers and mercenaries. Ideas-wise, Russia has shifted to a more defensive strategy and adapted new tactics, such as storming tactics using elite forces and cheaper troops. Machine-wise, Russia has increased its use of UAVs, improved accuracy, and ramped up production in its military industrial complex, with support from countries like North Korea and Iran. The rebuilding process is ongoing, but Russia has come a long way since the failed Ukrainian offensive in 2022 and is no longer the disorganized militia it once was. The Russian tactics and strategy have also evolved, with a return to classic doctrines such as digging in and concentrating forces.

    • Military Strategies of Russia and Ukraine AdaptRussians focus on strategic defense, prioritizing a solid defensive baseline. Ukrainians reorganize, focusing on qualitative superiority, particularly in asymmetric warfare.

      Both Russia and Ukraine have been adapting their military strategies following the intense conflict in 2022. The Russians, who have historically focused on strategic defense, have continued this approach and are prioritizing a solid defensive baseline. Ukrainian forces, on the other hand, have been reorganizing and focusing on qualitative superiority, particularly in the area of asymmetric warfare. The Black Sea theater, while important, has seen the Russians struggle to innovate and stay ahead of Ukrainian attacks on their ships. This may be due to intellectual rigidity and the supportive role of the Russian navy to the army. Both sides are learning from their experiences on the battlefield and making adjustments for future operations.

    • Ukraine's Asymmetric Warfare Against Russia's NavyUkraine's smaller forces effectively use asymmetric tactics against Russia's larger navy, causing significant damage. Both sides face challenges: Russia aims to control occupied territories, while Ukraine reorganizes and focuses on future resources.

      The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine in the Black Sea highlights the importance of having adequate equipment and strategy over sheer numbers. The Ukrainian forces have effectively used asymmetric warfare against the Russian Navy, causing significant damage despite being outnumbered. The Russian Navy's lack of training and readiness has been exposed, but this may not directly apply to other parts of their navy. Looking ahead, both sides face challenges: Russia's priority is to grind forward in Donbas and assimilate the occupied territories, while Ukraine needs to reorganize and focus on the future with more resources. The recent Russian elections raised concerns about Putin's legitimacy and popular support, with the ludicricously high vote count surprising many. Ultimately, the situation remains volatile, and the international community must continue to monitor developments closely.

    • Russia's Power Transition and Potential Impact on Military LeadershipThe ongoing power transition in Russia raises questions about who will succeed aging leaders and whether new generations will be brought in, potentially impacting military leadership. Gerasimov is a likely successor as chief of general staff if Shoygu steps down.

      The ongoing power transition in Russia, with aging leaders like Borknikov, Patryshev, and Shoygu, raises questions about who will succeed them and whether they will bring in a new generation or stick with their current team. This transition could potentially impact the military leadership, with Gerasimov being a likely successor as chief of general staff if Shoygu steps down. Meanwhile, the Ramstein meeting regarding Ukraine's defense is a pre-planned event where nations discuss their commitments to support Ukraine's wish list for arms and aid. Diplomats and defense officials play a crucial role in negotiating these commitments and ensuring a balance between what Ukraine asks for and what nations can realistically provide. Austin's comments at the meeting emphasized the importance of avoiding confusion for Ukraine by having a single process for military support, rather than multiple organizations trying to do their own thing. The diplomacy and military diplomacy behind the scenes are essential to making these complex processes run smoothly.

    • The importance of face-to-face diplomacy and understanding evolving threats in the 21st centuryFace-to-face diplomacy is crucial for human interaction and understanding. Evolving threats in the Black Sea necessitate a more layered defense approach, with potential for long-range attacks, stealth, and AI. Misperceptions about each other's intentions underscore the importance of accurate communication.

      Face-to-face diplomacy remains crucial in the 21st century, providing a level of human interaction and understanding that cannot be replicated through video conferences or written communications. This was highlighted during historical meetings like those between Wallace and Shorgyu in Moscow. Additionally, the evolving threat in the Black Sea, as demonstrated by Ukraine's use of autonomous vehicles and drones, requires a more layered defense approach, with the potential for long-range attacks and the use of stealth and artificial intelligence. This is an evolution of existing threats rather than a whole new threat, but it necessitates serious attention from naval commanders. Regarding attitudes towards Russia during John's tenure as an attache, there was a general ignorance about the reality of Putin's regime in the West, and vice versa. Surprising attitudes from the Russian side included a misperception of Western intentions, demonstrating the importance of accurate and open communication between nations.

    • Lack of Understanding Between West and Russia/ChinaClear communication and dialogue are essential to managing risks and reducing misunderstandings between the West and countries like Russia and China. It's crucial to focus on the reality of these countries, rather than relying on historical analogies, as Putin and his regime are their own entity.

      The lack of understanding between the West and countries like Russia and China poses a significant risk for potential conflicts and misunderstandings. As the speaker pointed out, during the Cold War, there was a deep investment in understanding the Soviet Union, but that institutional knowledge and language expertise have been lost in recent decades. This lack of understanding goes both ways, with Russian leaders having limited experience and understanding of the West. Clear communication channels and dialogue are crucial in managing these risks and reducing misunderstandings. The speaker also emphasized the importance of focusing on the reality of these countries, rather than trying to fit them into convenient historical analogies. While some similarities may exist, Putin and his regime are their own entity, and it's essential to approach them as such. The historical references can sometimes be unhelpful and even misleading, as the complexities of current geopolitical situations cannot be fully captured by historical analogies alone.

    • Understanding Putin's Unique MotivationsPutin's insecurity, expansionist tendencies, extreme nationalism, and desire for absolute control shape his actions. Russian nationalism is more extreme than in previous centuries, and Putin uses disinformation to manipulate Western reactions.

      While there are similarities between Putin's rule and past Russian leaders, it's essential to understand Putin's unique motivations and how they have shaped his actions. Putin's insecurity, expansionist tendencies, extreme nationalism, and desire for absolute control are common themes in Russian politics. However, the current level of Russian nationalism is more extreme than in previous centuries. Nixon warned about the potential loss of Russia's democratic experiment and the rise of extreme nationalism if the West did not invest seriously. Putin's comments about Western military personnel in Ukraine and the Western response to crossing "red lines" demonstrate the complexity of understanding Putin's actions and his use of disinformation. The Institute for the Study of War suggests that many of Putin's "red lines" have been crossed in the past without significant Russian reaction. This behavior can be seen as an attempt to manipulate Western reactions and maintain control through reflexive control tactics. Overall, understanding Putin's unique motivations and tactics is crucial to navigating the geopolitical landscape of Russia under his rule.

    • Not letting Putin set the narrativeDespite tensions, it's crucial for the West to continue the conversation and push back against Russia's attempts to enforce boundaries.

      Despite the ongoing tensions and potential red lines being crossed between Russia and the West, it's crucial for the West not to let Putin set the agenda or parameters of the narrative. The recent events in Ukraine and the potential consequences of Russia's actions should not deter us from continuing the conversation and pushing back against any attempts to enforce honorable boundaries on ourselves. Francis O'Doherty shared a personal story about an unfortunate accident, but reassured listeners that he's okay. John, as the guest, expressed his view that Russia is not likely to invade NATO territory and emphasized the importance of investing in the health and strength of our own societies for our security. The discussion highlighted the need for resolve, confidence, and purpose in addressing geopolitical challenges, and the importance of staying informed and engaged in the ongoing developments. To stay updated on the latest Ukraine news, analysis, and dispatches, subscribe to "Ukraine the Latest" podcast, or sign up for Dispatchers, the Telegraph's world affairs newsletter.

    • Exploring Flexibility in Yoga, Insurance, and SkincareEmbrace flexibility in your yoga practice, insurance coverage, and skincare routine for better adaptation and enhancement of various aspects of life. UnitedHealthcare Insurance Plans offer customizable options, and Osea's mega moisture duo nourishes for a glowing complexion.

      Flexibility is a valuable asset, whether it's in your yoga practice, your insurance coverage, or even in your skincare routine. During this podcast episode, we discussed how you can listen to "Ukraine, the latest" every weekday at 1 PM London time on Twitter Spaces by following The Telegraph on Twitter. We also mentioned the benefits of being flexible with your insurance coverage through UnitedHealthcare Insurance Plans, which offer budget-friendly and customizable options. Lastly, we introduced Osea's mega moisture duo, which provides nourishment and a glowing complexion, emphasizing the importance of taking care of yourself from the inside out. Remember, flexibility is key to adapting to new situations and enhancing various aspects of your life. So whether you're exploring new insurance plans or upgrading your skincare routine, consider embracing the power of flexibility. To learn more about UnitedHealthcare Insurance Plans, visit uhone.com, and for Osea's seaweed-powered duo, go to oseamalibu.com and use code "glow" for a 10% discount.

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    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Scarborough Fair (29th June): 

    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/


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    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    ==


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

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    Niall Ferguson: 'We’re All Soviets Now' (The Free Press)

    https://www.thefp.com/p/were-all-soviets-now


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    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/podcasts/


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    ==


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Andrew Todos from Zorya Londonsk, Ukrainian football expert. @zoryalondonsk on Twitter.


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    Ukrainian Football video:

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    Telegraph report on Romania 3:0 Ukraine

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    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @DJKnowles on X

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Joe Barnes (Brussels Correspondant). @Barnes_Joe on X.



    Hear 'Ukraine: The Latest' Live at the Chalke Valley History Festival:

    Tickets are available for our two talks on Thursday 27th June.

    https://programme.chalkefestival.com/talks-and-addons?date=2024-06-27


    Hear 'Ukraine: The Latest' live from Scarborough

    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 17, 2024

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    Day 448.

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    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @DJKnowles22 on Twitter.

    Genevieve Holl-Allen (Foreign Correspondent). @genevieve_holl on Twitter.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on Twitter.

    Hamish De Bretton-Gordon (Former Tank Commander). @HamishDBG on Twitter.


    To support our work, subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk

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    Zelensky fires top general and why does the EU continue to buy Russian gas?

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    Day 633.

    Today, we bring you the latest news from the frontline, including President Zelensky's decision to sack a senior general, and why the EU is still buying Russian gas.


    Contributors:

    Dominic Nicholls (Host, Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on Twitter.

    Joe Barnes (Brussels Correspondent). @Barnes_Joe on Twitter.

    James Kilner (Editor of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin). @jkjourno on Twitter.


    Find out more:

    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk

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    Russia captures town in battlefield ‘victory’ & how to open a new front in Putin’s propaganda war

    Russia captures town in battlefield ‘victory’ & how to open a new front in Putin’s propaganda war

    Day 732. Today, we assess the latest battlefield developments as Russia seizes settlements around Avdiivka, discuss important political debates about armament, and look at what advice history gives in combating Russian propaganda and how to open a new front in the information war.


    Contributors:

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Correspondent). @RolandOliphant on X.


    With thanks to Peter Pomeransev. @peterpomeranzev on X.

    Peter's book, How to Win an Information War, is out now.


    Antony Beevor on Putin’s Stalin-like blunders, Lenin and Hitler: https://youtu.be/DFW5V4IB_PA


    Two Year Anniversary Special, Live from Kyiv:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LutJ6UwFvAg 


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Putin hails "meaningful and frank" talks with Xi & we interview former US National Security Adviser John Bolton

    Putin hails "meaningful and frank" talks with Xi & we interview former US National Security Adviser John Bolton

    Day 390.

    Today, we continue to analyse Xi Jinping’s visit to Moscow, bring you the latest from the front lines & Dom Nicholls interviews former US ambassador to the UN & former National security Advisor John Bolton.

      

    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @djknowles22 on Twitter.

    Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on Twitter.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on Twitter.

    Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Correspondent).


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.